Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport la
1032 am CDT Wednesday Jun 19 2013
Discussion...
The morning fog continues to dissipate rapidly across the area...so
we allowed the dense fog advisory to expire. A weak boundary near the
southern fringes of the County Warning Area will be the focus for shower and
thunderstorm activity today. This boundary is really hard to pick
out on a surface map...but boundary layer winds and activity on
radar imagery do give hints to the general location of this feature.
Shower and thunderstorm activity should be limited to the vicinity
of the boundary...but isolated activity may pop up in the i20 corridor.
Current forecast maximum temperatures are in decent shape for much of the
area...but I did lower deep East Texas a category. We may see an isolated
severe thunderstorm or two in the deep East Texas or central
Louisiana...but to be honest my confidence is really lacking on
storms reaching severe limits today. Mainly cosmetic changes
coming to the 1100 am update...as I will remove morning fog and
becoming wording.
Eleven
&&
Aviation...
Main concern for the 19/18z taf issuance will be flight hazards from
scattered thunderstorms which are expected to develop during afternoon
heating...aided by a diffuse frontal boundary. Best coverage for the
convection is expected south of a kmlu to kjso line. Otherwise...
mostly VFR flight weather expected with scattered cumulus between 4 and 5
kft...dissipating around sunset. Surface wind light and variable
except in the vicinity of convection. /14/
&&
Updated point temps/pops...
shv 89 72 93 74 94 / 20 10 20 10 10
mlu 89 69 92 71 94 / 30 10 20 10 10
deq 90 67 92 70 93 / 10 10 20 10 20
txk 89 69 92 72 93 / 10 10 20 10 10
eld 90 67 92 70 92 / 10 10 10 10 10
tyr 90 73 93 74 94 / 20 10 20 10 10
ggg 90 71 94 73 94 / 20 10 20 10 10
lfk 87 72 94 73 94 / 40 10 20 10 20
&&
Shv watches/warnings/advisories...
Arkansas...none.
La...none.
OK...none.
Texas...none.
&&
$$
11/14
