Cooler weather pattern takes hold in the Northeast to open April...

By: Zachary Labe , 22:53 GMT le 29 Mars 2012

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After a very mild few weeks in the Northeast, cooler weather and a little taste of winter are headed towards some viewers. While the snow will be short-lived, long term prognostics indicate a potentially cool beginning of April for those in the east.

"Afternoon Thoughts" (Updated 3/29)
The 2010 award winning Sundance Film Festival's "Waiting for Superman" highlights critical flaws in today's public education system. The premise behind the film highlights the struggles of parents and students in Harlem in the fight against the poor public schools in the city. Families have the option to chose charter schools as an alternative education, but the competition is fierce especially for schools such as Harlem Success Academy. In fact to receive admissions into these charter schools, one is entered in a random lottery where odds are often very slim. A similar documentary, "The Lottery," provides a another storyline again highlighting the issues in public schools particularily in highly urbanized areas. Through evidence such as Michelle Ree's attempt to evaluate and reform the Washington DC public school system, the movies take a critical approach without posing direct blame on any one factor.

Both documentaries highlight charter schools as a superior alternative to public schools. They also indicate that it is not the students fault for failing federal test guidelines, but instead the adult bureaucracy whom many of which have no experience in the classroom. The failing scores of American students against other foreign countries shows there are clear differences.

A 2011 Wall Street Journal Article (Link) by Stephanie Banchero poses a possible model solution to better equip students in a failing public school system. The solution is simple; provide a strong and healthier adult-student relationship in the schools. Current theologies in many schools value just making sure the student passes (partly due to the dreadful No Child Left Behind Act) without any concern for the value of his/her education. I have personally had educators mention that their only goal is to see us (the students) walk across that graduation stage. By providing strong bonding relationships in the school itself, not only is a mentor-like figure provided, but someone to whom the student is accountable especially if parental figures show no particular support or interest.

Boundaries need to be broken in public education, and the entire current system is in desparate need of reform. Both documentaries listed above providing a quick, but shocking glimpse at many of the problems. While they provide limited solutions, they more importantly highlight the problem.

The purpose of educated students is to prepare them to be hard-working and decent citizens. Instead present curriculums seek the easiest methods to solve a problem. Students need to be challenged and better prepared not only through increased academic work, but also in moral code. And along with providing a closer staff-student bond, these factors can be reached.

"Regional Radar"

(Courtesy of NOAA)

"Regional Satellite"

(Courtesy of Penn State Meteo.)

"Regional Advisories"

(Courtesy of NOAA)

"Weekly Forecast" (Updated 3/29)
Friday- A weak trough centered over the Northeast will begin to lift northward as warm air advection filters in from the southwest. Sunshine will likely start the day for many areas after a cold morning courtesy of radiational cooling. A heavy frost/freeze is likely for areas as far south as central and northern Maryland. Increasing cirrus ahead of the next advancing shortwave will give way to a mostly cloudy afternoon and evening with temperatures rounding up in the middle 50s for the Middle Atlantic. But a thermal boundary over the southern tiers will maintain a cooler profile for New England with H85s below 0C from the I-90 on northward. Friday night will feature an advancing QPF shield from the Ohio Valley into western areas with lows dipping to near freezing from I-80 on northward.

Saturday- Overnight Friday and into Saturday early afternoon will feature the bulk of QPF as a weak shortwave advancing in a due west to east manner. Current global guidance generally indicates a surface low track over Pennsylvania and New Jersey. The GFS and GGEM remain on the northern limits with the NAM and ECMWF a bit further south. QPF will generally be less than .6in for most all areas and limited to a narrow 100mi or so zone. Given the antecedent cooler air mass in place over New England, boundary layer temperatures will be at or below freezing from the southern tiers to I-90. This axis stretching east into Connecticut will see the potential for a light wet snow event. H85s will be around -1 to -3C with 1000-500mb thicknesses below the central 540dm threshold. Poor dendritic snow growth and limited Omega will limit snow rates to at or below .5in/hr at the height of the event. Ground temperatures will also be another limiting factor with accumulations generally limited to grassy surfaces. The highest accumulations will be across the higher elevations in the Catskills particularily above 1200ft with possible peak amounts at 6in on a stray peak. A snow map has been posted below, but I may have been a bit generous with amounts given the marginal setup. Rain is expected elsewhere south across Maryland, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey. A strong confluent flow over New England an associated 1020mb anticyclone will maintain dry conditions north of I-90.

Sunday- By Sunday morning any lingering clouds will begin to clear as the northwest confluent flow begins to wane as warm air advection and increasing 850mb thermals begin to dominate. A warm front will attempt to lift northward in the Ohio Valley under the southwest flow. Temperatures will soar in the 60s for areas south of I-80. Latest GFS/NAM/ECMWF guidance indicates a back door cold front for Sunday across the Northeast along with a developing 1008mb anticyclone over Nova Scotia. This may prevent and limit the extent of the warmth ahead of the next cold front approaching from the west.

Monday- The back door cold front will likely linger across southern New England. Slight frontogenic lift along with front will set the stage for scattered rain showers on Monday across southern New England and the northern Middle Atlantic. QPF will remain less than .1in for most all areas. Temperatures will warm to near 70F towards Washington DC, but remain in the lower 50s and upper 40s across New England courtesy of a tight thermal gradient.

Tuesday- The back door cold front and maritime flow will begin to push northward on Tuesday as a strong warm front lifts northward over the entire Northeast. H85s will rise to above +10C for many areas ahead of the cold front with 2m temperatures up towards 70F as for north as I-80. Weak forcing and lift along the front will limit QPF with generally convective precipitation trends. It appears like it will be a dirty warm sector and therefore will limit CAPE and subsequent surface instability. Also a developing low pressure along the front in North Carolina will steal most of the moisture from the front. Thunderstorm potential will be highest for those across southern Pennsylvania and into Maryland. Elsewhere just light rain showers are likely.

Wednesday-Friday- Much cooler weather is likely to settle in towards Easter weekend with a deep trough over the east and 1000-500mb thicknesses at sub 530dm for many areas. 2m temperatures will also likely be below normal, but overall conditions will be dry.

"Current Surface Map and Weekly History of Jet Stream Position"

(Courtesy of Weather Underground)

"Wildfire Outlook" (Updated 3/29)
A potentially dangerous wildfire season is possible for parts of the Northeast given the early mild spring temperatures and accompanied dry conditions. The recent warm spell resulted in many brush fires stretching from Pennsylvania through Maine, but many of these were minor in nature. The threat will continue through the next several weeks especially considering the forecasted dry pattern. Many areas in parts of New England have received at or less than two inches of rain over the past 60 days. While on the heels of one of the wettest years on record, low snow packs and depleting ground water from excess rain is resulting in potential drought risks over the next few months. The geology of the Northeast is very different than that of the western United States, so year to year rainfall does not have long-last effects. Dry vs. wet conditions are quite a bit more variable in the east and therefore the recent dry spell is already having consequential effects. Long range guidance suggests continued dry periods ahead with QPF at or less than .5in for the next 16 days over much of the Northeast in a continued progressive unamplified jet.

Here is a link to the criteria for fire development... Link.

Criteria for rapid initiation and spread of wildfires:

1. Winds must be sustained at 15 mph (13 knots) for two hours or more, and

2. Minimum Relative Humidities (which usually occur in the afternoon) must be 30 percent or less, and

3. 10-hour Fuel Moistures must be 15 percent or less (and expected to remain there for two or more days).

"Fire Outlooks from Storm Prediction Center Days 1, 2, and 3"

(Courtesy of NOAA)

"Gardening Outlook" (Updated 3/29)
March will likely prove to be one of the warmest March's on record for much of the contiguous United States courtesy of nearly persistent ridging across the middle and eastern portions of the nation. The jet stream has allowed much of the colder air to linger across the extreme polar regions. The lack of polar and arctic air this winter has allowed for a very 'early spring' to reach the Northeast. Many plants are nearly 2-3 weeks ahead of schedule for blooms including flowering fruit trees many of which are already past peak. The warm temperatures have also allowed many animals to come out of hibernation earlier than normal. Both of these factors set the stage for a possible dangerous situation should a rapid freeze affect much of the Northeast in the coming few weeks. The lack of cold temperatures in the winter will also allow an increase in tick and mosquite populations along with other insects and pathogens which may wreak havoc on local farmers. Anytime anomalous temperatures dominate the weather pattern for an extended period of time will result in major agricultural problems.

Given the mild temperatures during the past few weeks, I was able to plant a few crops in my vegetable garden raised beds. For those unfamiliar, my vegetable garden consists of 5 raised boxes with a mixture of hummus/manure, peat moss, garden soil combination. I also have a side in-ground bed consisting of several berry bushes (which I have no luck with, lol). After adding a few organic feeds to the soils and doing the seasonal turning of the soils, I planted my onion sets, parsley, broccoli, lettuce, peas, and radishes. After my issue of overcrowding last year, I am constructing lines of strings between each crop for extra organization in the garden. I will post pictures later in the spring.

This past week's freeze did seem to kill many of the flowers on the fruit trees, but overall other damage looks limited. Looking ahead another frost/freeze is likely Monday night as far south as central Maryland. And even farther ahead, the pattern is showing signs of cooling down across the east with in fact prognostics indicating quite a cool (winter-like?) start to the month of April. This may pose many problems for the early 'green-out' for much of the Northeast particularily in New England where temperatures in the 80s may be followed by several chances of snow in the coming weeks. It is still uncertain if there will be any long term effects environmental effects this summer from this recent warm winter, but according to experts it appears like most plants and animals seem to have adapted fairly well. The concern for farmers in the coming weeks will be watching very closely the threats for frosts.

Also as a side note, very dry conditions particularily towards New England have been recorded during the last two months. While not of immediate concern currently, there may be the potential for drought possibilities given a quick look at the long range. Stay tuned.

"Soil Moisture Anomalies and 5-day Precipitation Amounts from Hydro Prediction Center"

(Courtesy of NOAA)

"Severe Weather Outlook" (Updated 3/29)
Severe weather chances for the Northeast look limited over the next two weeks, which is to be expected for the Northeast given climatological odds. But the pattern over the entire United States suggested a potential active several week period is possible. The one limiting factor is the relatively progressive flow and inactive jet stream. But an increasing thermal gradient will likely polarize across the Midwest given the expected cool down in the east and warm up in the west and central plains. In fact the latest GFS and ECMWF operational and ensemble runs indicate a few instaneous examples where H85s approach -15C towards Chicago meanwhile while areas from Pennsylvania on northward are at or below 0C. This sharp gradient will likely be the catalyst for several severe weather outbreaks over the Midwest during the next few weeks. In the shorter term severe weather parameters are shaping up for a particularily active period as a cold front advances across the nation on Sunday and Monday. Keep an eye on areas in the deep south and along the Mississippi Valley where squall line development is possible given the latest prognostics. Farther east, a stable cool layer will prevent all thunderstorm development for the Northeast.

"Severe Weather Outlooks from Storm Prediction Center Days 1, 2, and 3"

(Courtesy of NOAA)

"Monthly Outlook" (April)
Long term peristence argues for once again mild temperature anomalies for much of the Northeast. But the warmth will be subdued for monthly averages courtesy of a likely cold period for the first two or so weeks of April. The current teleconnection pattern suggests a chance of a west-based -NAO allowing likely a weak trough to form over the east. This will likely result in several backdoor cold fronts with the coldest anomalies for those farthest north. The AO is also forecast to approach neutral or negative values suggesting that colder air will become more available to parts of North America in the coming two weeks. This also corresponds will the predicted Madden Jullian Oscillation phase changes. Recent NAEFS output also indicates cooler temperatures for the east coast. Overall roll-over techniques highlight that this will likely be short-lived with warmer temperatures headed back towards the region for the second half of April. Therefore the month will not feature a below normal departure for temperatures.

Temperatures- Anomalies ranging from (+)1.0-(+)2.5 for most all climatological reporting sites in the Northeast. Cooler temperatures will prevail earlier in the month with milder air for the second half likely giving way to a well above normal temperature pattern as we approach May.

Precipitation- Precipitation will likely be average below normal for stations across the Northeast fueled by a continued inactive jet and progressive pattern. Long term ensemble output indicates drier conditions persisting through the early summer.

"Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks from Climate Prediction Center for next 30 days"

(Courtesy of NOAA)

Lower Susquehanna Valley Doppler...

(Courtesy of WGAL)

Follow my 24hr forecasts on Twitter... Link and Facebook... Link.

"Linglestown, PA 2012 statistics"
(Severe Weather Stats...)
Severe Thunderstorm Watches- 0
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings- 0
Tornado Watches- 0
Tornado Warnings- 0
Total Thunderstorms- 3

(Precipitation Stats...)
Flash Flood/Flood Watches- 0
Flood Warnings- 0
Flash Flood Warnings- 0

(Temperature Stats...)
Heat Advisories- 0
Excessive Heat Warnings- 0
90degree days- 0
Highest Temperature- 78F

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87. Pcroton
13:00 GMT le 09 avril 2012
Hello all.
goofy, LT, and everyone else.

Marietta: Got any PRECIP records? We must benear some minimums so far in 2012.

Impressive retrograding low to our north continues our dry breezy wx.
Soon the plants are going to run out of their stored water. No appreciable precip visible in the near term.

We should all be back to well above normal temps by next weekend but where is the rain?
Member Since: 26 septembre 2011 Posts: 66 Comments: 11100
86. Zachary Labe
11:43 GMT le 09 avril 2012
Be careful out there today! I heard about two forest fires in Perry county, Pennsylvania yesterday...
Member Since: 14 décembre 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
85. kaaterskillfalls
04:08 GMT le 09 avril 2012
Re: Nuclear energy...

One of the great ironies regarding nuclear energy as dramatically exhibited by what happened in Fukushima is the vulnerability of the spent fuel cooling process to disruptions in cycling of the cooling water (i.e. power failures (electrical pumps) which then make it necessary to rely on diesel powered pumps to cycle the cooling water)...

The U.S. has a MAJOR problem with this right now in that we have no designated waste facility where we can consolidate this waste and isolate it from the general population for what will amount to thousands of years due to the enrichment with all sorts of particularly nasty radioisotopes.

When the cooling water boils off due to inability to replenish the water supply in the cooling ponds / tanks (which exist at every nuclear facility) as occurred at Fukushima you are almost guaranteed to have a release due to melting, corrosion, explosion or some combination... when that happens these areas will be rendered uninhabitable for centuries.

Currently this country has no way to prevent this eventuality... it is a ticking time bomb and we would be crazy to push forward with any kind of insane policy that would result in the creation of yet more waste that we have no way of dealing with. I would advocate for rolling blackouts before recommending that we depend more heavily on nuclear...

As for nuclear fusion - there's sort of a tongue-in-cheek motto for that research..."energy from nuclear fusion - always 30 years in the future..." - which may not be too far from the truth since I'm not sure whether it has ever even been net energy positive. Fusion is a prime example for what will be one of the first victims of the "Law of Receding Horizons"... as conventional energy sources (i.e. fossil fuels) become more and more precious and less and less abundant there will be far less available to power 50 gigawatt lasers to attempt to produce fusion for a few nanoseconds... The idea that we could even think to replicate what occurs in the sun and make it happen for a split second is by and large a product of an era of energy abundance... that we could ever do it at all is nothing short of a miracle.

At some point this country (and the globe) is going to need to actually have an adult conversation about energy. One day people are going to become more familiar than they ever hoped to be with the exponential function because it defines all our lives now... population, available consumable resources, well production decline curves... all taking on similar shapes. Consider that it is estimated that a very significant percentage of the number of barrels of oil ever used by mankind for energy were burnt in just the time since George W. Bush took office and then we really start to see the magnitude of the problem. Consider that one oil field complex in Saudi Arabia has continuously produced millions of barrels of oil per day since the start of operation in the mid-1950s... MILLIONS of barrels per DAY for over 60 years... almost inconceivable isn't it ?
Member Since: 31 août 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 101
84. listenerVT
02:42 GMT le 09 avril 2012
Quoting Blizzard92:
Happy Easter all!!!


=Happy Easter, Blizz!=

Got back this evening from several days in Maine with family.

Yesterday we got to attend our 5 year old granddaughter's first Gymnastics meet. Then we went to the Easter Vigil with our Daughter.

Today began with heavy snowfall that covered the ground before melting off, and ended with a glorious sunset ~ gold to purple and pink to red ~ as we drove home to Vermont. In between we had amazing food, and a pretty funny Easter egg hunt. Gray Squirrels joined in, filching some of the chocolate eggs that had peanut butter in them! It's pretty funny to see a Gray Squirrel holding a big coloured egg!

As the saying goes: "You have to plant enough for the neighbours." ;-D
Member Since: 11 juillet 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5548
83. listenerVT
02:37 GMT le 09 avril 2012
Quoting MariettaMoon:


I completely agree with the development of more nuclear. The amount of energy produced on the small parcel of land is enormous. Some greens who were previously opposed to nuclear development are beginning to realize that nuclear is environmentally almost completely benign. I personally don't mind wind & solar as I think they are also necessary in the overall use of future energy.

I believe there is fear involved with nuclear and the prospects of a nuclear accident, but these fears may be overdone. After the Chernobyl accident, the worst nuclear accident of all, all the residents of the area are perfectly healthy. There was intitially a lot of damage done to vegetation, but the area has recovered better than ever imagined. Since the area was almost entirely abandoned years ago (just a few decided to stay), biodiversity has boomed and many animals such as wolves have since inhabited the area. Biological tests on the animals reveal that they are in perfect health. Even the people who decided to stay are healthy. Amazing...

The recent Japan meltdown doesn't help the fear factor in people's minds. I will lay money down that the couple people who have stayed will be just fine. I very strongly believe Nuclear Power is necessary if we want to live sustainably on this planet without drastically and immediately altering our high consumption lifestyles. We won't be able to continue without it.

People are afraid of nuclear. As a politician, if you push for further development of nuclear, you risk losing your election. It stinks, but that's why it's not talked about.

NUCLEAR IS GREEN!


It does appear to be better than feared. However, not all the people who were there are healthy. Some died and others, including children, have seen increases in thyroid cancer. While it is treatable, that doesn't make what people, especially children, have had to endure okay. I'm fine with solar, and okay with wind if set up responsibly, but I don't think I will ever be okay with nuclear.
Member Since: 11 juillet 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5548
82. listenerVT
02:22 GMT le 09 avril 2012
Quoting originalLT:
Thanks guys for the spelling lesson (I knew I was wrong!!) But at least as Listener pointed out, it does have a "E" when plural! My wife has always said, I'm "OP"--"Almost perfect"--Oops.


LOL! We are ALL *almost* perfect. ;-)
Member Since: 11 juillet 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5548
81. weathergeek5
20:36 GMT le 08 avril 2012
Happy Easter!!!!
Member Since: 25 décembre 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1744
80. Zachary Labe
13:33 GMT le 08 avril 2012
Happy Easter all!!!
Member Since: 14 décembre 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
79. TheRasberryPatch
12:10 GMT le 08 avril 2012
HAPPY EASTER EVERYONE


There is a difference between fission reactor and fusion reactor. At least for now we can harness with fission, but we should be developing fusion. Like I said there is no waste as we have with fission reactors.
Member Since: 26 janvier 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6263
78. MariettaMoon
00:25 GMT le 08 avril 2012
Quoting TheRasberryPatch:


I don't know who he is and what his company produces. Can you enlighten me?

I know the people that have been here for awhile have heard me before talk about developing Fusion, but I am clueless why there is NO as in ZERO talk amongst the politicians. Should Fusion be developed all of our electrical power plant needs would be solved. And it has NO waste by products. Not one politician mentions about developing Fusion. What a great green solution to our electrical needs. And it would get rid of those UGLY and UNSIGHTLY wind farms and solar panel parking lots. I was watching the Kraft LPGA last week and all the wind turbines out there. It was so UGLY to see in the background and amongst the mountain scenery. And the other week I saw a solar panel farm the size of a mall parking lot....again UGLY and takes up so much room. They said it provides electricy for some miniscule amount of homes.


I completely agree with the development of more nuclear. The amount of energy produced on the small parcel of land is enormous. Some greens who were previously opposed to nuclear development are beginning to realize that nuclear is environmentally almost completely benign. I personally don't mind wind & solar as I think they are also necessary in the overall use of future energy.

I believe there is fear involved with nuclear and the prospects of a nuclear accident, but these fears may be overdone. After the Chernobyl accident, the worst nuclear accident of all, all the residents of the area are perfectly healthy. There was intitially a lot of damage done to vegetation, but the area has recovered better than ever imagined. Since the area was almost entirely abandoned years ago (just a few decided to stay), biodiversity has boomed and many animals such as wolves have since inhabited the area. Biological tests on the animals reveal that they are in perfect health. Even the people who decided to stay are healthy. Amazing...

The recent Japan meltdown doesn't help the fear factor in people's minds. I will lay money down that the couple people who have stayed will be just fine. I very strongly believe Nuclear Power is necessary if we want to live sustainably on this planet without drastically and immediately altering our high consumption lifestyles. We won't be able to continue without it.

People are afraid of nuclear. As a politician, if you push for further development of nuclear, you risk losing your election. It stinks, but that's why it's not talked about.

NUCLEAR IS GREEN!
Member Since: 11 juin 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
77. MariettaMoon
00:08 GMT le 08 avril 2012
04/04 RECORD HIGH MAXIMUMS
Bridgeport CT: 69F*
Roanoke VA: 62F*
Member Since: 11 juin 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
76. TheRasberryPatch
23:24 GMT le 07 avril 2012
Quoting Blizzard92:
Thanks Gams! Same to you!

Anyone lose any vegetation in the freeze last night? Looked like it got pretty chilly across many areas.


Yesterday morning we got down to 30F, but this morning we only got to 32F. I haven't started any vegetation.
Member Since: 26 janvier 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6263
75. hurigo
22:25 GMT le 07 avril 2012
Hello Blizz, et al.
Sorry, but the absence of winter has something to do with my rude absence of greetings. I hope that you all are well. It has been cold enough we had to turn the heat back on this week, but my lemon tree on the front deck has not been bothered. We have coastal flood watches or warnings, but I really haven't seen any high tide flooding today. The ocean front was so beautiful today and there is such joy in the air.
Member Since: 9 octobre 2005 Posts: 100 Comments: 6731
74. Zachary Labe
20:40 GMT le 07 avril 2012
Thanks Gams! Same to you!

Anyone lose any vegetation in the freeze last night? Looked like it got pretty chilly across many areas.
Member Since: 14 décembre 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
73. seflagamma
16:27 GMT le 07 avril 2012
Hello Bliz and all the winter weather friends who blog here.


Have a Blessed and Happy Easter Weekend!

Hallelujah Egg image
Easter Christian Graphics
Member Since: 29 août 2005 Posts: 301 Comments: 40944
72. PhillySnow
14:45 GMT le 07 avril 2012
Quoting listenerVT:
Today 46F was predicted and we had 54F.

Did you folks notice that PA has *both* Red Flag warnings and Freeze warnings tonight?

"Some say the world will end in fire, some say in ice."
~ Robert Frost
Ha! Thanks for the laugh, Listener. :)
Member Since: 18 décembre 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1246
71. originalLT
04:37 GMT le 07 avril 2012
Thanks guys for the spelling lesson (I knew I was wrong!!) But at least as Listener pointed out, it does have a "E" when plural! My wife has always said, I'm "OP"--"Almost perfect"--Oops.
Member Since: 31 janvier 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7878
70. listenerVT
01:51 GMT le 07 avril 2012
Today 46F was predicted and we had 54F.

Did you folks notice that PA has *both* Red Flag warnings and Freeze warnings tonight?

"Some say the world will end in fire, some say in ice."
~ Robert Frost
Member Since: 11 juillet 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5548
69. listenerVT
01:50 GMT le 07 avril 2012
Quoting originalLT:
You Are right TRP, but I guess politically, now that would be a "hot potatoe". (Don't know if i spelled potatoe right!) They are avoiding anything nuclear now--I guess what happened in Japan has everyone scared off, and they shouldn't be. It's too bad.


You only spelled "potatoe" correctly if you voted for Dan Quayle back in the day. ;-)

The plural does use the "e", though.
Member Since: 11 juillet 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5548
68. TheRasberryPatch
01:27 GMT le 07 avril 2012
Quoting originalLT:
You Are right TRP, but I guess politically, now that would be a "hot potatoe". (Don't know if i spelled potatoe right!) They are avoiding anything nuclear now--I guess what happened in Japan has everyone scared off, and they shouldn't be. It's too bad.


I don't think politicians know much about the science of fusion. They are mostly lawyers with a few doctors and businessmen and women, but mostly lawyers. It's a shame that real science doesn't get reported. You have to go to the certain discipline to find it in a magazine or circular.

At one time Princeton had a fusion reactor working.
Link
Member Since: 26 janvier 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6263
67. Zachary Labe
23:57 GMT le 06 avril 2012
Quoting TheRasberryPatch:


I don't know who he is and what his company produces. Can you enlighten me?

I know the people that have been here for awhile have heard me before talk about developing Fusion, but I am clueless why there is NO as in ZERO talk amongst the politicians. Should Fusion be developed all of our electrical power plant needs would be solved. And it has NO waste by products. Not one politician mentions about developing Fusion. What a great green solution to our electrical needs. And it would get rid of those UGLY and UNSIGHTLY wind farms and solar panel parking lots. I was watching the Kraft LPGA last week and all the wind turbines out there. It was so UGLY to see in the background and amongst the mountain scenery. And the other week I saw a solar panel farm the size of a mall parking lot....again UGLY and takes up so much room. They said it provides electricy for some miniscule amount of homes.

Check out this link... Link
Member Since: 14 décembre 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
66. Pcroton
20:49 GMT le 06 avril 2012
Quoting listenerVT:


Why not? It won't be any more accurate than their 3-day forecast, so what have they got to lose? ;-)

Besides, with the highly weird, unanticipated, catawumpus weather we've had this year, any guess has half a chance of coming true. LOL!


LOL!!!! It will also give those that don't understand the dynamics of weather even more to get upset over. "But it said it was going to be sunny and 70 on day 22!"

Well, we've had very dry weather since January really...and it continues. Bone dry, well below normal precip, very low humidities with breezy conditions.

Hope this isn't a persistent pattern.
Member Since: 26 septembre 2011 Posts: 66 Comments: 11100
65. PhillySnow
19:06 GMT le 06 avril 2012
Quoting originalLT:
You Are right TRP, but I guess politically, now that would be a "hot potatoe". (Don't know if i spelled potatoe right!) They are avoiding anything nuclear now--I guess what happened in Japan has everyone scared off, and they shouldn't be. It's too bad.
Agreed, and it's frustrating for me that we have viable solutions for serious challenges, and politicians are more interested in their own little careers. The useful discussions take place outside of the political arena. BTW - no "e" in potato, LT, so now you know. :)
Member Since: 18 décembre 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1246
64. NEwxguy
18:23 GMT le 06 avril 2012
RP,I would fall over unconsious if I heard one of the politicians speak up about something important.They would never stick their necks out.I agree with you totally on the wind turbines.
Member Since: 6 septembre 2007 Posts: 887 Comments: 15965
63. originalLT
16:57 GMT le 06 avril 2012
You Are right TRP, but I guess politically, now that would be a "hot potatoe". (Don't know if i spelled potatoe right!) They are avoiding anything nuclear now--I guess what happened in Japan has everyone scared off, and they shouldn't be. It's too bad.
Member Since: 31 janvier 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7878
62. TheRasberryPatch
15:00 GMT le 06 avril 2012
Quoting Blizzard92:
Just had the wonderful opportunity to listen a talk by Richard Fedrizzi, CEO of United States Green Building Council (LEED Design)!


I don't know who he is and what his company produces. Can you enlighten me?

I know the people that have been here for awhile have heard me before talk about developing Fusion, but I am clueless why there is NO as in ZERO talk amongst the politicians. Should Fusion be developed all of our electrical power plant needs would be solved. And it has NO waste by products. Not one politician mentions about developing Fusion. What a great green solution to our electrical needs. And it would get rid of those UGLY and UNSIGHTLY wind farms and solar panel parking lots. I was watching the Kraft LPGA last week and all the wind turbines out there. It was so UGLY to see in the background and amongst the mountain scenery. And the other week I saw a solar panel farm the size of a mall parking lot....again UGLY and takes up so much room. They said it provides electricy for some miniscule amount of homes.
Member Since: 26 janvier 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6263
61. MariettaMoon
13:55 GMT le 06 avril 2012
A few highlights from the ENSO update on April 5th...

La Niña is expected to transition to ENSO-neutral conditions during April 2012. Niño 4 and Niño 3.4 indices averaged only near -0.5 in March. Presently, however, the larger scale atmospheric circulation anomalies and the Southern Oscillation Index retain their La Niña characteristics. Collectively, these oceanic and atmospheric patterns indicate that a transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions is underway.

A majority of models predict ENSO-neutral conditions for March-May 2012, continuing through the Northern Hemisphere summer 2012. Thereafter, there is considerable uncertainty in the forecast, which slightly favors ENSO-neutral or developing El Niño conditions over a return to La Niña conditions during the remainder of 2012.

Because atmospheric impacts often lag the demise of an ENSO episode, aspects of La Niña are reflected in the coming season. Over the U.S. during April - June 2012, La Niña has the following weak influences on the climate outlook: There is an increased chance of above-average temperatures in the south-central U.S., and below-average temperatures in the Northwest. Also, drier-than-average conditions are more likely across Utah and Colorado, and along the western Gulf of Mexico.

ENSO model predictions...
Link
Member Since: 11 juin 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
60. MariettaMoon
03:20 GMT le 06 avril 2012
Quoting Blizzard92:
Just had the wonderful opportunity to listen a talk by Richard Fedrizzi, CEO of United States Green Building Council (LEED Design)!


(Like)
Member Since: 11 juin 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
59. MariettaMoon
03:18 GMT le 06 avril 2012
Quoting Blizzard92:

Yet again we attempt to 'dumb down' everything science related for the general public. The concept of highlighting trends in long range weather patterns can be helpful, but an exact day-by-day forecast with details such as rainfall to the hundreth of an inch is absurd and irresponsible. There is no statistical accuracy in these variables at all. I think before the entire new forecast was launched, a statistical report should have been released with some explanation for the validity of these forecasts. In the end, looks like more critiscm for the meteorological field is headed our way.


Seriously. Totally agree
Member Since: 11 juin 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
58. MariettaMoon
03:16 GMT le 06 avril 2012
Here are a couple of northeast stations that recorded their warmest March on record.

There were likely more

Temperatures are degrees above previous record

Burlington VT: +3.2F
Portland ME: NA
Concord NH: +1.0F
Rochester NY: NA
Buffalo NY: NA
Albany NY: +1.5F
Erie PA: NA
Mount Pocono PA: +1.3F
Allentown PA: +1.6F
Pittsburgh PA: +0.3F
Trenton NJ: +0.6F
Atlantic City NJ: +2.0F
Parkersburg WV: +0.1F
Washington DC: NA
Huntington WV: +1.1F
Beckley WV: +3.6F
Member Since: 11 juin 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
57. listenerVT
02:46 GMT le 06 avril 2012
Quoting MariettaMoon:

Accuweather has released a new product... A 25-day forecast lol!


We really ought to take a stab at a 25-day Accu-weather spoof. How would you word their weather forecast? (Enjoy!)
Member Since: 11 juillet 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5548
56. listenerVT
02:44 GMT le 06 avril 2012
Quoting MariettaMoon:
MIT predicts global economic collapse by 2030 Link

On another note, Accuweather has released a new product... A 25-day forecast lol!


Why not? It won't be any more accurate than their 3-day forecast, so what have they got to lose? ;-)

Besides, with the highly weird, unanticipated, catawumpus weather we've had this year, any guess has half a chance of coming true. LOL!
Member Since: 11 juillet 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5548
55. listenerVT
02:41 GMT le 06 avril 2012
The National Weather Service in Burlington has issued a Fire Weather Watch... which is in effect from Friday afternoon through Friday evening.

* Affected area... northern New York and Vermont.
* Timing... from Friday afternoon through early Friday evening.
* Winds... northwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
* Relative humidity... as low as 19 percent.
* Temperatures... highs in the upper 40s.

* Impacts... very dry fuels exist across the north country. Given the expected weather conditions... any fires that do occur Friday will likely spread quickly... burn intensely... and be difficult to contain.



Does this mean we're not going to have May flowers?

And what happens here come July?
Member Since: 11 juillet 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5548
54. Zachary Labe
23:49 GMT le 05 avril 2012
Just had the wonderful opportunity to listen a talk by Richard Fedrizzi, CEO of United States Green Building Council (LEED Design)!
Member Since: 14 décembre 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
53. PhillySnow
20:23 GMT le 05 avril 2012
59F and sunny. Time for spring cleaning! Our windows are a mess and it really shows with all this crisp, clear air.

Member Since: 18 décembre 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1246
52. Zachary Labe
18:34 GMT le 05 avril 2012
Quoting MariettaMoon:
MIT predicts global economic collapse by 2030 Link

On another note, Accuweather has released a new product... A 25-day forecast lol!

Yet again we attempt to 'dumb down' everything science related for the general public. The concept of highlighting trends in long range weather patterns can be helpful, but an exact day-by-day forecast with details such as rainfall to the hundreth of an inch is absurd and irresponsible. There is no statistical accuracy in these variables at all. I think before the entire new forecast was launched, a statistical report should have been released with some explanation for the validity of these forecasts. In the end, looks like more critiscm for the meteorological field is headed our way.
Member Since: 14 décembre 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
51. Pcroton
11:44 GMT le 05 avril 2012
Last two days were forecast to be 50-55 and we ended up with 65-70.

Croton, NY
Member Since: 26 septembre 2011 Posts: 66 Comments: 11100
First we had 80's in March.
Now, weeks later, some areas have a freeze warning.

Wow, this surely has been the Season of Opposites!


PhillySnow, OriginalLT and TheRaspberryPatch, thanks for the kind comments about my art! I'm making Easter gifts at the moment (hand-decorated, hand-dipped candles), and will be with family for Easter weekend, but I'll post photos of my art by mid week, and you can see what you think. The art show is my art alongside that of my newest daughter-in-law, who is highly skilled at art, whereas I am untrained. She is Romare Bearden to my Grandma Moses! LOL! But I'm still very happy to be showing my art. I had to borrow all my paintings back for the month from family members I'd given them to. Each is specific to the recipient, from landscapes to sailing scenes to flowers and such. You'll see. :-) There are nine framed (water soluble) oil paintings and nine framed photos. My daughter-in-law has eight unframed acrylic paintings. So we really filled the Library! :-)
Member Since: 11 juillet 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5548
Nice commercial! post # 48. Please do not post here.
Member Since: 31 janvier 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7878
MIT predicts global economic collapse by 2030 Link

On another note, Accuweather has released a new product... A 25-day forecast lol!
Member Since: 11 juin 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
Hi LT how are you doing? Classes are going well, keeping me busy with work as always. Yes I think it's May 11 or so when I finish up. Wow the year has flown by! Looking forward to the summer though.
Member Since: 23 février 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 680
Hi, TheF1Man, weather nice down here in Stamford. How's classes going?. I guess you only have 5-6 weeks to go before everything is done for the year?
Member Since: 31 janvier 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7878
Nice week so far, hope the wind dies down at some point.

How's everyone doing?
Member Since: 23 février 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 680
Quoting Blizzard92:

Her columns can go either way, often I find myself disagreeing with her, but her recent ones on the mayhem in the city of Harrisburg are particularily comical.

MariettaMoon- Thanks for posting the blog link! And no, I am not sure of an explanation on the ice. It must have something to do with the anomalous NAO and AO earlier this winter though.


Yeah, maybe it was that
Member Since: 11 juin 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
32F this morning
Member Since: 11 juin 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
Quoting listenerVT:
Hey all! What great discussion on this thread!

I hear it's supposed to hit 70F here in NW VT on Easter Sunday! So naturally I'll be spending the day with family in Maine, where it is expected to be about 55F for a high. LOL!

I've been a bit busy this past week preparing for my first ever art exhibit. My oil paintings and 8x10" photos are now hanging at the Library in town, for the month of April, along with some acrylic paintings by my newest daughter-in-law.

Congratulations! I would love to see pictures! I am actually doing a report on a past local artist back from the Harrisburg area who featured in wildlife and nature scenes; Ned Smith.
Member Since: 14 décembre 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
Quoting TheRasberryPatch:


The problem I have with her commentary is to keep throwing more money into the education system. When does it stop? We keep throwing more money at the problem. When I was in elementary and junior and senior high we had class size in the upper 20's. We all learned properly. I don't get what it is all about to make class sizes around 15. I don't get that we have to just throw money at the problem and expect it to be solved. I'd love to see a comparison and money per student from the 70's and per student for 2012.

Her columns can go either way, often I find myself disagreeing with her, but her recent ones on the mayhem in the city of Harrisburg are particularily comical.

MariettaMoon- Thanks for posting the blog link! And no, I am not sure of an explanation on the ice. It must have something to do with the anomalous +NAO and +AO earlier this winter though.
Member Since: 14 décembre 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
Couple of additions from March

03/28 Record High Maximum
Roanoke VA: 83F (t)

03/25 Record High Minimums
Poughkeepsie NY: 43F*
Williamsport PA: 47F*
Bridgeport CT: 45F (t)
Lynchburg VA: 53F (t)
Norfolk VA: 57F*

03/24 Record High Minimums
Portland ME: 42F*
Concord NH: 46F*
Boston MA: 47F*
Worcester MA: 46F*
Buffalo NY: 46F*
Hartford CT: 49F (t)
Providence RI: 46F (t)
Poughkeepsie NY: 54F*
Bridgeport CT: 48F (t)
Islip NY: 47F*
Hagerstown MD: 49F*
Wilmington DE: 51F*
Baltimore MD: 53F*
Dulles VA: 55F*
Washington DC: 54F (t)
Salisbury MD: 57F*
Richmond VA: 59F*
Blacksburg VA: 50F (t)
Norfolk VA: 62F*

03/22 Record High Minimums
Poughkeepsie NY: 55F*
Blacksburg VA: 46F*
Member Since: 11 juin 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
Quoting listenerVT:
Hey all! What great discussion on this thread!

I hear it's supposed to hit 70F here in NW VT on Easter Sunday! So naturally I'll be spending the day with family in Maine, where it is expected to be about 55F for a high. LOL!

I've been a bit busy this past week preparing for my first ever art exhibit. My oil paintings and 8x10" photos are now hanging at the Library in town, for the month of April, along with some acrylic paintings by my newest daughter-in-law.


Congratulations. That is a great accomplishment. What is the theme of your paintings and photos? Or is it just random pictures?
Member Since: 26 janvier 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6263
Quoting PhillySnow:
Thanks for sharing this, MM. Very interesting and informative!

Listener: Congratulations on your art show. Great accomplishment to have produced enough work to do a show!

A balmy 42.3F here this morning. I enjoyed our little bit of snow in NH and am enjoying spring back here. Just loving the birdsong outside my window.


Sure
Member Since: 11 juin 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677

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Cornell University- Atmospheric Sciences Undergrad; Research Assist.- Onset of Spring Indices Toolbox; Interests- Small spatial scale climatolology

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