DocNDswamp's WunderBlog

SE LA obs Jan 3 2012... Short-lived arctic chill...
Posted by: DocNDswamp, 16:47 GMT le 11 novembre 2011 +8
Latest W Atlantic Basin AVN / IR Satellite Image...

W Atlantic Basin AVN Satellite Image

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(No comprehensive update or review of 2011 stats yet, but needed to change the header to "something" more recent... which of course will be outdated soon, lol... As usual, updated info can be found within comments section)...

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Wed Jan 4 2012, SE LA Wx...

Expected warm up underway today with incr SE winds / humidity / dewpoints... Big contrast from yesterday when had amazingly low dewpoints across SE LA down to single digits many locations - one of the lowest was Slidell, had 2F dewpoint temp at 1 PM! Cold remained entrenched overnight, clear skies / light to calm winds, good radiational cooling lead to my 3rd light freeze of season and 10th frost, which was very thick... Temps fell quickly after sunset, this morn KHUM was colder showing a 28.4F low (but is really a range between 28.4F to 30.2F since it only reads whole degrees celsius), while my home thermo refused to drop below 31.5F, which I am certain can be attributed to massive urbanization / land-use change / habitat destruction surrounding my Bayou Cane, LA location above Houma...

Rather than compare to KHUM airport, a better comparison of this drastic temp difference is between readings at our Gray LA location, just 6-7 miles N of Bayou Cane, and to this point is still a truly rural setting in North Terrebonne (but not for long!)... Prior to excessive development in Bayou Cane, these two locations physical topography, lay of the land with mix of woods / adjacent open fields and no immediate proximity to a waterbody were identical... Last night was a good example of distinct changes that have been wrought - by the time I left there at 9 PM the Gray thermo was already trending below 30F, frost had begun covering the roof of the car and house, ice forming... Drove home within 10 minutes to find my home thermo at 39F - a full 10F higher - no signs of frost and it clearly FELT warmer regardless of whatever might nit-pick over the two thermometers accuracy!

In that matter, I'm certain the Gray thermo has a cold bias of 2-3 degrees - this morns low showed 24F - but accounting for that still reveals it's become several degrees warmer where development is altering the microscale local climate to a warmer state... It's often more noticeable on Winter nights under such conditions of calm winds / ideal radiational cooling than like wx conditions we had the previous night / morning before (Tue 3rd) - with widespread CAA and mod strong NLY winds mixing the boundary layer more homogeneously over the area and the lowest temp on both thermometers read near 30F yesterday... Nothing new of course, we've KNOWN the UHI impact for decades, guess my point is just that it's now GROWN to alter MY LOCATION noticeably over the very short timescale of a decade or two... So much for UHI being an "island", as fast as human footprint is expanding a better descriptive is needed to reflect today's reality...


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Tue Jan 3 2012 greetings,

Nice seasonally cold early January day under severe-clear skies, as dome of arctic high pressure edges across our region - noted climbed to 30.61" for highest sfc pressure reading *this year*, lol... Daytime temps slow rising, now into mid-40's at noon hr...

Overnight temps were slow to fall off as the initial cold air advection with this system was rather weak by "arctic" standards, but did fall to 30.6F low on my Bayou Cane home thermo to declare my 2nd freeze of season, albeit brief duration of about 2 hrs, not enough time for ice to form in my buckets... Seems a secondary surge of cold air got here near sunrise as I reached my low after 7 AM, much like Slidell hit their low of 25F then... Of course had another "WTF? / WUWT?" moment viewing KHUM airport readings which showed it, sigh, once again, bottoming out at an even 32.0F... Thanks, but no thanks, I prefer more precise reading than the span of a whole degree celsius - will assume might have shown a 30F reading had they dropped to -1.0C / 30.2F... But such is the case with the only weather station in Houma being "not up to NWS standards", or as described here at WU - "Averages and records for this station are not official NWS values", besides having frequently sporadic reportage issues...

N winds also held the temps up overnight and that combined with very dry airmass eliminated any frost chances... May be some tomorrow morn and low temps should be close to today's as Freeze Warnings remain in effect, "might" have better rad cooling here "if" E / SE winds don't kick up with the sfc high sliding EWD... Forecasting the low temp tonight is a crap shoot and very location dependent over SE LA, as I'd agree with KLIX NWS assessment in this morn's discussion on factors - "THE URBAN HEAT ISLAND EFFECT...PROXIMITY TO WATER...AND LOCAL WINDS WILL CREATE QUITE A RANGE OF LOWS...SO THE DURATION OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES OVER A 20 MILE AREA COULD RANGE FROM 6 HOURS TO NONE."

We shall see and regardless, the moderating return flow warming trend will be underway tomorrow, some chance of shwrs Fri-Sat with next feature coming across...

Work calls, hey it's too clear / sunny to be inside... ;)
G'day!


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SE LA obs Dec 7 2011, coldest wx yet on 70th anniversary Pearl Harbor...

Wed Dec 7 2011... Cold, with Freeze Warnings...

70th anniversary Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor.
...a scant dozen years before I's born, us post-WWII baby-boomers are getting old!

Cold weather arrived / well-entrenched across our region... Actually the outlook mentioned last Friday - with couple days of highs struggling to get outta the 40's / widespread freezing across TX by this morn - appears close... Here yesterday, temp fell from 50's at midnight, stayed into 40's, windy and raw with cold rain shwrs / drzl, nasty overcast / overrunning conditions... And about par for course, minimal rain amts near 3/10ths" locally... (Sat: .02", Sun: none, Mon: .13", Tue: .28")...

Dipped to 37 between 8-9 AM at KHUM with clearing skies / strong but shallow-layered arctic CAA underway, slow rising into 40's now, might touch L 50's... but expecting a fast fall-off tonight, feeling a high confidence will see 1st actual light freeze tomorrow morn for coldest yet, mod-hard farther N portions... Earlier KLIX forecast had that low pegged at 35F (still saying that on TWC), latest from KLIX NWS now forecasting "low 30's" for Houma - Bayou Cane and I'll predict lower, expect to see near 29-30F at KHUM and my home thermo, and a colder temp reading would be less surprise than warmer... possibly with another frost, wind-moisture dependent - have observed 5 frosts so far this season... Unlike KLIX, KLCH forecasters are on the ball in posting hard and light freeze warnings across the SW / S Cen LA area...

Nice cool stretch of below avg temps ahead, reinforcing shot Fri, slow moderating warm-up into next week... and milder pattern might prevail going into Christmas... But overall, think December temps here likely to avg near normal, with equal chance of being slightly below or above... Rainfall amts? LOL...

Local November 2011 rainfall continued the overall dry trend - amts from 1.3" to near 1 3/4" from my 2 locations yielded about 3" deficit of the 4.55" November mean... Year to Date amts still running near 10" deficit locally... while Nov temps averaged within 1 degree range of normal.


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SE LA obs 11-11-11 - 1st Frost...

Fri Nov 11 2011 - Happy TGIF and cool wx Veterans Day greetings...

Hello!
Yeah, been a while... sorry to close the last blog abruptly but duties called, and remain far too busy to blog much, so just popping in to add a note or two here on our triple numeral date "11-11-11", Veterans Day... Nope, nothing much to report lately in local weather other than been stable, cool and nice, no earthquakes, tornadoes, floods, blizzardcanes, or subtropical storms here, and hardly any rainfall (no surprise), however that may change as slightly better rain chances appear possible over next week or so, and temps trend warmer...

Like it's been most of year, still well-entrenched in long-term drought conditions that quickly resumed as TS Lee departed early September... In fact, our typically dry October was even farther below average as only had a single rain day entire month when 1/4" to half inch amt fell locally on Oct 28 (.39" home gauge)... Probably one of the top 5 driest on record, but who knows since official records are no longer being maintained for Houma... So we're still sharing the regional dry misery with Texas and likely will continue for some time given the unfavorable long-term climate influences causing this - the warm AMO / cool PDO again combining with returning La Nina, although some short-term relief is possible for our region... Not an encouraging outlook ahead is it? IMHO, I see plenty evidence this pattern has more than less ruled since the AMO switched to it's warm phase in the 90's in how it's affected the usually wet immediate N Gulf coast region... Sadly, our pecan trees suffered badly from 2011's terrible drought as nearly all failed to produce any viable nuts (and now reflected at the grocery with bags selling near 10 bucks a pound!)... Lot of veggie crops were miserable failures, although have managed to get some local citrus - a bit smaller but still delicious satsumas and naval oranges... Only got a few of our Tamopan persimmons after discovering an unusual scoundrel was rapidly stealing them - nope, not the typical raccoon, deer, possom or birds might expect, but of all things never thought I'd see - a dang coyote! Guess he wanted something sweet to go with the rabbits, the coyote was able to climb a low limb to reach fruit above, unreal... Harvested the remaining dozen or less early before he cleaned 'em all! LOL, next year gonna hang water-filled orange balloons from the branches to thwart him... or offer him same fate as da cottonmouths got...!

On the bright side, temps have been very pleasant as Fall wx set in early this year - temperature data from CPC shows SE LA being 3-5 degrees cooler than average for both Sep / Oct... Notably on Oct 20 - and very early for such - Houma KHUM airport recorded 39F low and actually saw evidence of frost trying to form on a few roofs (not enough to call) that morn, certainly colder locations on the Northshore had frost that early date (with today likely being their 3rd)... The cool trend has continued into November up to this point - up to 5-9 degrees colder than typical across SE LA, although milder / more moist wx pattern appears developing, perhaps into Thanksgiving week if to believe recent GFS runs keeping colder air bottled up north...

Anyhow, was a beautiful Winter-like feel and view this "11-11-11" morn as confirmed our 1st widespread frost of season, rather light-moderate in crystal growth / thickness but full coverage... Low temp at Houma's KHUM fell to 32F (37F at home) for coldest yet, while some colder stations above also recorded their 1st light freeze (i.e. - 30 @ Slidell, 29 @ Tallulah in NE LA)... Alas, upper trough lifting out (and ripping STS / TS Sean out away from Bermuda), milder ridging to rebuild some as moderating zonal flow pattern takes hold...

Gotta run...
Happy TGIF and in honor of all our armed forces vets, a big Thank you!

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251. Skyepony (Mod) 03:57 GMT le 26 décembre 2012    
Nice to see you come out of the weather alright today. Merry Christmas!
Member Since: 10 août 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29327
252. DocNDswamp 04:19 GMT le 26 décembre 2012    
Skye, thanks, and wishing same - Merry Christmas holiday to you and family! Hope the storms pass by you without harm too... Was a rather awesome view as those rogue cells developed under warm, sunny skies ahead of the squall line - just humongous towering cumulus, hinting rotation! I admit, got a lil anxiety for a while... ;)
Member Since: 21 septembre 2005 Posts: 92 Comments: 4640
253. Skyepony (Mod) 04:31 GMT le 26 décembre 2012    
NWS was keeping the severe weather north of I-4, well north of me earlier today, looking at it tonight I think I'll watch it.

Thanks for the well wishes..
Member Since: 10 août 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29327
254. palmettobug53 18:20 GMT le 27 décembre 2012    
Glad to hear that you weathered the storms OK.

We came through with no problem. Lots of leaves, gum balls, twigs and branches strewed hither and yon.

It was windy as hell, though. I had thought I would get out, potter about the stores a bit, take the truck for an oil change, etc, etc.

One step outside and I changed my plans immediately. Opted to cocoon inside, play on the computer, watch TV and see how much of an inroad I could make with the leftovers.

Did the PEP Boys run this a.m. and got the oil changed. Had them eyeball wiring, tubes, hoses, etc and make sure nothing looked like it was getting ready to self destruct.

I might run out again shortly. I've a couple of things on the "To Get" list for the drugstore/grocer.

Santa was very nice to both of us. I got the printer I wanted. My old printer is fine; it just won't plug into my lappy. I found one at Target for 29.00. A Hewlett Packard bubble jet. I don't print all that much at home, so something basic (and cheap) was all I needed. I wrote down the make/model and told Hubby weeks ago, "GO GET IT NOW BEFORE THEY SELL OUT." This time, he listened! lol

Hubby got shirts, a couple of books, slippers and a giant bag of M&M peanuts.

I got scented body wash, soap, a watch and some socks. I only asked for a couple of pair of knee socks; he got me six. Another example of his "If one is good, more is better" philosophy. Oh, well, they'll get used.
Member Since: 7 octobre 2005 Posts: 206 Comments: 21451
255. whitewabit (Mod) 04:39 GMT le 30 décembre 2012    
Doc .. looks like your going to get cold down there tonight !! did you break the freezing mark ??
Member Since: 17 août 2005 Posts: 322 Comments: 24088
256. DocNDswamp 05:01 GMT le 31 décembre 2012    
Surely a wet outlook ahead here to begin 2013, but last day 2012 looks fine / milder trend for SE LA as bulk precip should remain to our west - nice to see some rain today / night over parts of TX where needed, lol, wish they'd keep it there!

Howdy Bug,
Glad that last storm didn't cause you serious issues too. Yes, the winds, most notable... lol, ya know I had to share it with you! And hey, appears Santa delivered well among da Bugster clan, there ya go! Sheesh, the mechanical maintenance stuff sounds familiar - changing out hydraulic hoses / fittings on a tractor lately while my old truck still awaits it's turn... always sumthin', never get caught up...

Hiya Wabit,
Yes, but again just a light freeze here (3rd) with 31F low and 6th frost... as fortunately the clouds thinned out after midnight, allowing temps to fall off last night - already missed outta 2 other freezes (or frosts at least) when had decent CAA, but clouds either held on or returned after had cleared / kept temps up... LOL, I'm probably one of the few hoping for hard freeze here! Anyway, was m sunny today (50F high) but clouds increasing again tonight, quickly fell into up 30's after dark, now rising L 40's... I've 'bout had my fill of this "SW flow aloft" stuff lately, although the sunsets have been colorful with those mid-up clouds...

On the positive side, good to see Pac / Gulf moisture trying get to places that need it... Hey, your snow prospects looking up with this next system!

Oh, and... Happy New Years, all!

Member Since: 21 septembre 2005 Posts: 92 Comments: 4640
257. Barefootontherocks 05:14 GMT le 31 décembre 2012    
Hi DocNDswamp.
Glad to see you!
Had just enough sneaux here Christmas Day to call it a White Christmas. 1" fell during the day.

Raining a little this evening here and expected to continue overnight, so the tap is on, if only for a short while. Probably many across the middle will be happy to take whatever rain you don't need.
:)

New Year's Eve soon. Have a good one.
Member Since: 29 avril 2006 Posts: 135 Comments: 16318
258. DocNDswamp 05:44 GMT le 31 décembre 2012    
Well Hi there Barefoot!
Ahh, that last sneaux worked out well for ya, 1" amt sounds fine to me! And without the blizzard hazard part...

Yes indeed, rain's the word next few... Surely rain or snow is welcome up your way (and more into Plains / Midwest the better). Plus, really been a while since saw such rarity on Del Rio TX radar... as took a gander lil while ago... Wow, sure hope that reaches our WU blogger, lessee, think his handle is "bohonkweather" somewhere near San Antonio and 'bout as parched / desperate as gets when he posts in Jeff's blog...

LOL, yeah I can still spare to send whatever rain happens elsewhere, reached my quota back in August, even tho we've hardly had any since Sep... but not real keen on the possible sev inches might get Tue-Wed, and muddy propects - our soil doesn't dry out easily in Winter.

Heee haw, and happy New Years!
;)
Member Since: 21 septembre 2005 Posts: 92 Comments: 4640
259. palmettobug53 02:06 GMT le 01 janvier 2013    
Currier and Ives

We spend January 1 walking through our lives, room by room, drawing up a list of work to be done, cracks to be patched. Maybe this year, to balance the list, we ought to walk through the rooms of our lives... not looking for flaws, but for potential.

~ Ellen Goodman

Wishing you and yours a happy, healthy and prosperous New Year!
Member Since: 7 octobre 2005 Posts: 206 Comments: 21451
260. palmettobug53 02:08 GMT le 01 janvier 2013    
Currier and Ives

We spend January 1 walking through our lives, room by room, drawing up a list of work to be done, cracks to be patched. Maybe this year, to balance the list, we ought to walk through the rooms of our lives... not looking for flaws, but for potential.

~ Ellen Goodman

Wishing you and yours a happy, healthy and prosperous New Year!
Member Since: 7 octobre 2005 Posts: 206 Comments: 21451
261. shoreacres 02:11 GMT le 01 janvier 2013    
Oh, Doc - I wish we could catch some of that rain on its way across the state. It's been gloomy and damp all day, but I wouldn't think we've had more than a quarter inch. I thought I'd give it until morning before I look, just so I don't get too depressed. ;)

However! My ibis are back. The whole herd was across the street again late this afternoon. Now that I think of it, the first time I saw them there, we had had a quarter inch of rain, too. I'm wondering if the moisture doesn't either soften the soil or draw insects up - or both. They were feeding heavily on something, and happy as could be. It was so gray and gloomy that I didn't even try for more photos, but I did hang out on the edge of the flock and listen to them "talk" for a while. So interesting. They're not particularly skittish, which surprises me. I'm glad.

Happy New Year to you - maybe this will be the one when we get rich and famous! LOL

Member Since: 4 octobre 2004 Posts: 195 Comments: 14798
262. DocNDswamp 04:02 GMT le 02 janvier 2013    
Merry New Year, lol!

Bug and Shore, thanks for the fresh greetings!
Hope you both enjoyed the Eve festivities and 2013 sails smoothly, treating you well... Sheesh, well smooth or not ya know it's gonna fly by, with us or without too! Reasonably healthy and marginally / sufficiently prosperous enough to avoid poverty sounds as good a plan as any!

Shore, I saw radar indicated a ton of rain fell just below ya on / near Galveston... And yes to your guess on the ibis feeding habits, seen same on sev occasions... Oh, Rich and Famous this year? Why, that's a given - I've already transferred accounts / made reservations to mingle amongst my bejeweled jet-setting peers in Monaco! Yeah, that's me written all over it... ;)

Anyway, a relatively peaceful, tho hardly quiet Eve it twas here, that is after watched LSU lay it's annual turd on primetime... Clemson learned well from Alabama, just hang in / stay close, shove it down LSU's throats in last couple min when counts... :( .. Good thing "Animal House" was re-running elsewhere to keep me smiling...

By the tick of midnight once again, Terrebonne residents made mockery of our highly-unpopular fireworks ban, as night sky lit up, lol... Tho distinctly also heard a few firearms ring out in sync as well, incl perhaps an AR-15 or two (which have quickly sold out since.. well, you know..)... or perhaps, was simply a semi-auto .22 mixed with firecrackers sparking my imagination of what a war zone must sound like... Either way, the frowned-upon use of firearms to celebrate usually confined away from town - cops ignore fireworks or offer minor warning, but will determinedly haul one's ass to jail if foolishly shooting a gun near pop areas!

Weather was non-issue for last day 2012 - temps rose from up 30's night before to L 40's by midnight on, into 60's by last night's celebrations, m cloudy but no rain although a S breeze kinda whisked away the fireworks displays...

Had a little rain with the front late aftn - about .27" to start 2013 off... Some question how much more will see next couple days with front stalled over / limping around the area and sev disturbances / weak lows riding along it in the (cursed) SW flow aloft, but prev forecasts of near-deluge less likely... From my point of view, sure wish one of these trofs would be MAN ENOUGH to truly shunt away that damn resilient deep-layered warm Greater Antilles ridge! But.. it's there, having developed over past few weeks, doing it's Winter-moderating thing over the Gulf region, just as I expected...

And... there I go, again... ;)
Later!

Member Since: 21 septembre 2005 Posts: 92 Comments: 4640
263. LakeWorthFinn 03:37 GMT le 08 Mars 2013    
Frozen hugz from Finland! Had to fly here to remind meself what paradise feels like - when you're away from it...
Member Since: 6 octobre 2005 Posts: 66 Comments: 6960
264. DocNDswamp 04:25 GMT le 08 Mars 2013    
Hiya Finn!
Glad you made it over safely, enjoy the visit!
Hey, it's just a short hop / skip / jump across from Finland into the Norwegian Sea if need take a dip to warm up - same Gulf Stream waters that passed by you off Florida coast is now delivering it's warmth into the Arctic... albeit slightly cooler... ;)

Best to ya!
Member Since: 21 septembre 2005 Posts: 92 Comments: 4640
265. code1 04:57 GMT le 08 Mars 2013    
Finn is "just a'follin ya Doc & us". God's speed Finn, take care of you & yours. See u on flip side as you can lady. Our atmosphere is awaiting your safe return our friend!
Member Since: 18 septembre 2005 Posts: 66 Comments: 13872

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