Sea of Cortez Weather 07/26/11
Tuesday, July 26, 2011
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning the eye is drawn to a big honk’n thunderbumper that started around midnight right over Mazatlan and has been building ever since. At 5 O’clock it was about half way across the southern crossing extending from just south of Los Mochas to just north of Puerto Vallarta. By 7:30 it was almost all the way across from along the east cape to La Paz. It continues to grow.
The 24 hour loop is showing some cloudiness in the Sea yesterday, mostly high whispys though. Looking over at Sonora I can see that there was a rather moderate flow of monsoon moisture moving up into Arizona yesterday and last night. This loop is not showing any thunderbumper activity in the rest of the Sea last night.
With the exception of “Bubba” sitting in the southern crossing the rest of the Sea looks to be pretty much cloud free this morning.
Looking now south of “Bubba” along the Mexican Riviera I can see a nice thumper working around Lazaro Cardenas and another over Acapulco this morning and that’s it for the Riviera this morning.
Looking further south to the Tehuantepec I can see that during the night there has been heavy thunderbumper activity from the Caribbean side of the Tehuantepec isthmus to several hundred miles west of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. At 5:30 most of the activity was in the Gulf or to the west of the Gulf.
Looking now at the ITCZ and the monsoon trough. I can see the monsoon tough is quite small this morning and is only from 85-95W along 10N this morning.
Nothing cooking in our tropical kitchen this morning. Dora is now what the real meteorologists call “Post Tropical”, meaning Dora is seriously depressed and will linger about 300 miles off the Baja peninsula for a few days with 20-25 knot winds before heading to Hawaii.
One final note on Dora. No rain or wind at the cape as she passed to the west but huge breakers took 10 vertical feet of sand from the beaches along the East Cape around San Jose del Cabo. 10 vertical feet!
Yesterday a Taxi driver told me some of the ranches back in the mountains had a bit of rain and here on the beach my palapa sitter told me that we a sprinkle on Saturday morning.
That’s it for our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where at the top of this image I can see a low trough off the coast that is influencing the entire west coast this morning.
For the Great Northwest there is a chance of some sprinkles today. It should be overcast until probably Thursday.
Northern California overcast along the coast and sunny inland until the end of the week
Southern California will continue to have a heavy marine layer with the fog lasting until late mornings into the weekend.
Looking now over to the southwest where dryer air from the west will bring reduced thunderbumper activity through Thursday. Then as high pressure rebuilds over the west the monsoon faucet will turn on again this weekend. This loop is showing some thunderbumper activity yesterday afternoon in southwest Arizona.
Across the border our delightful summer continues today. As far as the winds they will be light to moderate. What I’m having a problem with is the central Sea and why two of my three models show a northern flow. My logic is saying light to moderate southerlies. I went with the Virtual Buoys this morning with there northern flow. I think most of our winds today, this afternoon, will be thermally driven anyway.
Temperatures look like they will be in the mid to high 90s today.
73s Y'all
Tuesday, July 26, 2011
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, July 26, 2011
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: NE 10-13
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: NW 7-9
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: NW 6-7
TOMORROW: Wednesday, July 27, 2011
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: NNE 12-16
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, July 26, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
TOMORROW : Wednesday, July 27, 2011
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Tuesday 7/26 Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Seas: Seas: WSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 20 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 17 sec.
Point San Quintin
Tuesday 7/26 Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Seas: Seas: W 5 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: W 9-12
Seas: Seas: S 6 feet at 20 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 16 sec.
Turtle Bay
Tuesday 7/26 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: NW 3 feet at 15 sec.
Cedros Island
Tuesday 7/26 Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Seas: Seas: WSW 2 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: Seas: S 3 feet at 19 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSW 3 feet at 16 sec.
ABREOJOS
Tuesday 7/26 Afternoon Winds: W 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 18 sec.
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 19 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 16 sec.
Mag Bay
Tuesday 7/26 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 16 sec.
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 18 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
high Daily High Temperature: 59%
rain Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
bae Sunrise Bar: 1010
Tuesday 7/26 Morning Winds: NW 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SW 4 feet at 16 sec.
Wednesday 7/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 18 sec.
Thursday 7/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: SSW 13 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Low
Sunrise Bar: 1008
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1004
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SSW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 90 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1010
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SSW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1006
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: WSW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: N 3 to 4 knots
Morning Winds: N 3 to 4 knots
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1012
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1006
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NNE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 12-16
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: WNW 3 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 6-7
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: N 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1010
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86
Loreto :
Morning Winds: W 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: W 6 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-12
La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1012
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: W 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 5-6
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 10 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: W 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.14"
Sunrise Bar: 1010
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: NE 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.08"
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: WNW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0"
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.85"
Sunrise Bar: 1012
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 18 sec.
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