2010 ING New York City Marathon Weather
Starting one week from race day, just to get an idea what to expect. The forecast will change,so look to the comments below for updates...
Hope it doesn't happen, and at 180 hours out the forecast is certain to numerous times, but the GFS keeps returning to cold & rain (or some form of precipitation) for this year's NYC marathon.
The official NWS forecast seems to agree more with the ECMWF model calling for better race day weather, but they hedge in their discussion (as I'm doing)
".LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL. AFTER THAT...THE PICTURE BECOMES MORE UNCERTAIN. MODELS HAVE BEEN SIGNALING EAST COAST LOW DEVELOPMENT TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK...BUT WITH A LOT OF RUN TO RUN INCONSISTENCY IN TRACK AND INTENSITY. THE LATEST ECMWF AND CANADIAN RUNS PROG THE SURFACE LOW
WEST OF THE NY METRO...WHILE THE GFS SHOWS A WEAKER SYSTEM MUCH FURTHER TO THE EAST. INTERESTINGLY...THE GFS DEVELOPS A
SECOND...MORE VIGOROUS COASTAL SYSTEM LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WHICH IS NOT REALLY SUPPORTED BY THE OTHER MODELS. GIVEN THE LARGE UNCERTAINTIES IN THE EVOLUTION OF THE LOW LATE NEXT WEEK..KEPT POPS GENERALLY CONSERVATIVE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
TEMPERATURES AVERAGING A FEW DEGREES BELOW CLIMO THROUGH THE
The CPC 6-10 day outlooks prog colder than normal and about normal chance of precipitation.
According to Al Roker LOL,
"Almost everybody's bucket list includes running the ING New York City Marathon," said Roker. "Just the thought of being able to start this race gives me goose bumps. As does the fear that the weather might turn ugly. On the other hand, if it does that might help improve my time as I try to outrun an angry mob of soggy and cold runners!"
I'm saying it might be a good idea to pack that cold weather and rain gear...
Good luck runners, especially:
The West Volusia Runners from East Central Florida!!:
Current Conditions, Radar & Forecast - Weather Underground
I'll post updates as available..