The Live Tropics
Hurricane Philippe:
...PHILIPPE SLIGHTLY STRONGER...HEADING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC...
11:00 PM AST Thu Oct 6
Location: 29.1°N 58.1°W
Max sustained: 90 mph
Moving: NE at 13 mph
Min pressure: 976 mb
Tropical Storm Irwin:
...IRWIN CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY...
8:00 PM PDT Thu Oct 6
Location: 13.4°N 119.0°W
Max sustained: 65 mph
Moving: WNW at 10 mph
Min pressure: 994 mb
Tropical Storm Jova:
...JOVA SLOWLY STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
8:00 PM PDT Thu Oct 6
Location: 13.0°N 108.3°W
Max sustained: 45 mph
Moving: WNW at 10 mph
Min pressure: 1002 mb
Hurricane Philippe has peaked as he moves Northeast out to sea. Irwin and Jova will be our main focus until around Sunday(when we could see Rina in the Atlantic from a Sub-tropical system off the Florida coast). Irwin is gradually strengthening and is forecasted to become a hurricane Friday. Jova is forecasted to slowly progress into a hurricane and could become a Category 2 before hitting the West Mexican Coatline. Irwin could make a landfall on Mexico as well, but will be weaker.
2011 Hurricane Season
My Prediction in December 2010:
14 to 17 Named storms
7 to 10 Hurricanes
3 to 6 Major Hurricanes
My Prediction in April 2011:
16 Named Storms
9 Hurricanes
6 Major Hurricanes
My Prediction in August 2011:
17 Named Storms
9 Hurricanes
5 Major Hurricanes
My Prediction on October 6th 2011:
22 Named Storms
8 Hurricanes
4 Major Hurricanes
Forecast for the month of October:
4 Named Storms
2 Hurricanes
1 Major Hurricane
Actual Numbers:
16 Named Storms
5 Hurricanes
3 Major Hurricanes
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