Much Ado About Nothing: Invest93L
Hi, this is Rob Carver, again filling in for Jeff Masters.
Invest93L is still present as of the 8am EDT Tropical Weather Outlook, but I'm extremely doubtful that it will reach even tropical depression status.
Invest93L's presentation on satellite imagery does not project the image of a strengthening storm. Convection, what there is of it, appears to be anchored over the Yucatan Straits and is not following the low-level circulation center. Also, microwave imagery indicates that the convection is weak, with relatively low rainfall rates.
It is worth noting that even if more convection forms after the circulation center moves into the Gulf of Mexico, there isn't much time for the storm to strengthen. By Tuesday evening, both the NAM and GFS 06Z model runs bring a weak front down into the Gulf, raising wind shear to the point that would dissipate Invest93L.
So, after considering the above, it's my opinion that Invest93L is not likely to intensify and will dissipate in a day or so.
Rob Carver
Reader Comments
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No, it does make mention of it...or at least the tropical moisture part.
Link
kinda like a festering Zit -- surfers are all eyeballing this too!
Off to work -- going to be muddy, mucky, muggy, buggy, -- horses --gotta love them and the job.
Got some nice rides on the surfboard yesterday Stillwaiting - no time today, got a feeling that rip is going to be vicious. Adios
tropical system on carolina coast next week
Surfmom you are right, the NWS just put out the Hazardous Weather Outlook and they do mention strong rip currents. They recommend not going in above the knee.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
845 AM EDT MON JUN 29 2009
.DISCUSSION...WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE
WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BRINGING
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SEVERE THREAT
LOOKS MINIMAL WITH MAIN THREATS CONTINUING TO BE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH. HOWEVER...WITH THE ONSHORE
FLOW CANNOT RULE OUT A WATERSPOUT OR TWO. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BE
LIMITED TO MOSTLY UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 TODAY THANKS TO THE
ABUNDANT CLOUDS. OVERALL THE PRESENT FORECAST LOOKS GOOD SO NO
MORNING UPDATE PLANNED AT THIS TIME.
Only if you share with others.
Can I have the link where to find out about that? I would like to check before I take my kids to the beach this week....also have family coming next month.
Where are you located? My link would just show Tampa Bay.
Reflector site for those at work, which now also includes Weather456, daily updates
Invest 93L
Invest 93L
Trying a few new things.... hope it works this time
DURANGO, Colo. — For the first time since territorial days, rain will be free for the catching here, as more and more thirsty states part ways with one of the most entrenched codes of the West.
Winter Springs, FL --- we ususally go to New Smyrna Beach
Use this link - just click on the county with the beach you are going to and then read any Hazardous Weather Outlook that is posted.
Link
Thanks so much!!!
I hope that helps. I didn't see any rip tide mentioned for the east coast.
I definitely agree there. Some days, I hardly have time to breathe. Other days... I browse the blogs looking for something interesting while I'm waiting for some report to run.
Thanks mate
Link
watch the last 12 frames
Also looks like mid-level spin just south of Cuba
Link
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