Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Quoting Stormchaser2007:


Probably a decommissioned satellite.

Oh.....learn something new everyday.

Quoting CatastrophicDL:

I didn't think guys would know giddy LOL!

haha but a young college student like myself is around a lot of giddy girls ;)

Quoting tornadodude:


the black thing is the deathstar

& wikipedia says that is a bunch of fiction. We have proof. lol.

I've got to get back to unpacking. Nice not to be driven home early for a cane in the peak of season.

Quoting Skyepony:


& wikipedia says that is a bunch of fiction. We have proof. lol.

I've got to get back to unpacking. Nice not to be driven home early for a cane in the peak of season.

haha well have a good rest of the night

Quoting Jerrob:
Patrap, that is so cool! thanks

Yeah,..I remember Apollo 12 well. A Perfect Landing near the edge of Surveyor Crater.

So sad they Burned out the Color TV camera while setting it up..we wouldnt have TV from the Surface of the Moon till Apollo 14.
As well..13 didnt Land.

Apollo 12 was also very Lucky as they Launched thru a FLa T-storm and the ROcket Plume made a conduit for a Strike Leader and "Boom",..Apollo 12 Got Hit by Lightening 30 secs Post Launch,Lost all their NAv and Displays and was a real Pucker Moment for the Crew.

Who Luckily were able to quickly Re-configure the Conn.

Good early Labor Day morning everyone! The tropics may be getting pretty interesting soon both in the Gulf of Mexico and Central Atlantic as we could have two different systems to track sometime within the next 72 hours. I will have much more sometime late this morning or this afternoon when I update my website again.

Ok Storm, interesting to see what the morning brings!

Quoting StormW:


I have to look at other things, but just based on the 12Z run on the steering forcast layers, which becomes valid for 00Z (4 hours ago), would you believe I look for model guidance to shift left, and I'm on the middle to southern model guidance? Based on just the steering layers forecast (which I would want to see more runs), they have 96L near 20-21N, 35-36W in 5 days, with the ridge building back.

STATISTICAL


Dynamic

Oh brother. We should've learned from Erika nothing goes as planned. Lol. Thanks Storm.

Quoting StormW:


I have to look at other things, but just based on the 12Z run on the steering forcast layers, which becomes valid for 00Z (4 hours ago), would you believe I look for model guidance to shift left, and I'm on the middle to southern model guidance? Based on just the steering layers forecast (which I would want to see more runs), they have 96L near 20-21N, 35-36W in 5 days, with the ridge building back.

STATISTICAL


Dynamic

Thanks!

some more of the wait and see game. good night all. I'm sleepy.

96L will probably never make it past 50W....

Quoting truecajun:
some more of the wait and see game. good night all. I'm sleepy.

Night Cher,..sweet dreams

Quoting truecajun:
some more of the wait and see game. good night all. I'm sleepy.

Good night. :)

infact is it makes it to 40W and under 25N I would be surprised.... only thing really to watch would be home grown in the Keys or GOM over the next 2-10 days...@ least home threatening...

Storm, don't forget the GOM forecast...

g-nite everyone. see ya in the am....

Quoting Jerrob:
g-nite everyone. see ya in the am....

goodnite!

Making some math the models have it at 37w in 72hrs the Low is located at 20W thats 1,700 miles in 72 so 96L should move very quikly at about 25mph to make it to that point at 72hrs.

Do I am correct Storm W?

T-Dude, I'm an old college student. Now that you mention it I do have a couple of giddy guys and girls in one of my classes.

Quoting CatastrophicDL:
T-Dude, I'm an old college student. Now that you mention it I do have a couple of giddy guys and girls in one of my classes.

haha well there you go, where do you attend?

mm5fsu-merge 2009090600 Forecast slp Java Animation

This one is a little worrisome.

Quoting Orcasystems:
mm5fsu-merge 2009090600 Forecast slp Java Animation

This one is a little worrisome.

Why? on a wnw heading around 40-45w poses no threat to the U.S. deep trof out there.

Rare View from the Launch Umbilical Tower Deck.

Super Slow Motion.
Notice the Large chunks of Ice falling from the Cold frosted Upper Stages of the Saturn 5.

November 14, 1969 carrying the Apollo 12 mission, seen from the LUT deck in slow motion.

The Video also shows the Pad pummeled by 7.5 million lbs of Thrust.

Quoting Orcasystems:
mm5fsu-merge 2009090600 Forecast slp Java Animation

This one is a little worrisome.

Yeah. A little bit. Wow!

Areas of Interest featured!

Quoting homelesswanderer:


Yeah. A little bit. Wow!

Ive seen that extreme high over Europe in a few models ... i guess that's one of the key players in keeping 96L on a west track or not

Quoting StormW:


Actually, about 1020nm in 72 hours

Ok that makes sence 15mph movement would make it.

Quoting serialteg:


Ive seen that extreme high over Europe in a few models ... i guess that's one of the key players in keeping 96L on a west track or not

I would be more worried about the system off the Carols.. heading to the NY area.

Quoting tornadodude:


haha well there you go, where do you attend?

I'm in Utah. It's been 22 years since I was in college, so I'm taking some refresher courses at a community college before transferring back to BYU, then planning on UofU for my PhD in archaeology.

Quoting Patrap:
Rare View from the Launch Umbilical Tower Deck.

Super Slow Motion.
Notice the Large chunks of Ice falling from the Cold frosted Upper Stages of the Saturn 5.

November 14, 1969 carrying the Apollo 12 mission, seen from the LUT deck in slow motion.

The Video also shows the Pad pummeled by 7.5 million lbs of Thrust.

Quite a wow video pat, awesome

Quoting CatastrophicDL:
I'm in Utah. It's been 22 years since I was in college, so I'm taking some refresher courses at a community college before transferring back to BYU, then planning on UofU for my PhD in archaeology.

oh wow, well thats exciting, i go to Purdue for Meteorology

Wow. Nice perspective on that video Pat. We had a ball crawling all over the space stuff in the Smithsonian when I was a kid. I was telling a friend of mine all about it once. She just looked at me like big deal. Sigh. I forgot she was born after men had walked on the moon. Lol. It was a very big deal back then. Thanks for the memory. :)

Quoting iceman55:


Latest Image

thanks ice

Quoting Orcasystems:


I would be more worried about the system off the Carols.. heading to the NY area.

yeah that would be the next punch in the sequence

00Z GFS develops 4 systems in the Atlantic in the next 9 days.

storm 1 is 96L and it appears storm #s 1,3 and 4 go out to sea

but storm #2 slips through the cracks and the GFS has it making landfall in the islands in 9 days.

Quoting CatastrophicDL:
I'm in Utah. It's been 22 years since I was in college, so I'm taking some refresher courses at a community college before transferring back to BYU, then planning on UofU for my PhD in archaeology.

im 27 and starting a 2nd b.a. in computer engineering w/an associates in meteorology for now... some people think that college is just to get a degree and go on with life, i think you can learn and study while you construct your material life also... to me learning at that level is not limited to the 18-21year old standard... obviously I have to think that to keep my esteem up high :D

especially if i plan to pursue postgraduate afterwards, which is my inclination

TD by the end of the day

00Z GFS now develop another TC behing 96L and have it making into the NE caribbean 300hrs from now. I know is a long long shot but this maybe the one thats finally make some noise close to George aniversary here in the islands sept 19 to 22.