Heavy snow, rain, and flooding for the Northeast U.S.
The winter of 2009-2010 continues its relentless onslaught over the U.S. today, as a powerful low pressure system intensifying along the East Coast brings heavy snow, flooding rains, and high winds to New England and the Mid-Atlantic. The storm has already dropped more than two feet of snow over Eastern New York near Albany, and surrounding regions of Western Massachusetts and Southern Vermont. These regions are now seeing rain mixed in with the snow, which will limit further accumulations to 1 - 3 inches. Farther east, flooding is a concern for most of Connecticut, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, southern New Hampshire, and portions of western Maine, where heavy rainfall of 1 - 3 inches on top of a snow pack with a high water content has created runoff that has already swollen many rivers to flood stage. Heavy snow is the main concern over southeast New York, northern New Jersey, and northeast Pennsylvania. The unusually slow-moving storm is expected to drop snow amounts of up to 18" in the Pocono Mountains of northeast Pennsylvania, and in northern New Jersey. New York City, whose 30.5" of snow so far this winter is 13" above average for this date, could get up to a foot of wet, heavy snow. Philadelphia's 73" of snow for the season will get an 8 - 12" boost from the storm, taking their record snowiest winter even further into record territory. Wind gusts of 30 - 40 mph in combination with the very wet, heavy snow will make power outages a problem over much of the region.
Figure 1. Visible satellite image at 9:30am EST Thursday, February 25, 2010 showing today's Northeast U.S. snowstorm. Image credit: NASA GSFC GOES project.
Some selected storm-total snowfall amounts, from Tuesday morning through 10am EST today, courtesy of the National Weather Service:
...CONNECTICUT...
BURLINGTON 10.0
NEW HARTFORD 3.8 W 9.0
...KENTUCKY...
OVEN FORK 1 NE 5.0
BLEDSOE 2 SE 4.0
...MASSACHUSETTS...
SAVOY 28.5
ROWE 25.0
CHESTERFIELD 24.0
ASHFIELD 23.6
HEATH 22.0
SHELBURNE 22.0
PLAINFIELD 21.5
PITTSFIELD 20.0
BECKET 19.8
CHESTER 19.5
BLANDFORD 19.0
ASHBURNHAM 16.8
LANESBOROUGH 16.0
NORTH OTIS 16.0
NEW ASHFORD 13.0
WORCESTER 10.7
...NEW HAMPSHIRE...
EAST LEMPSTER 20.0
WASHINGTON 18.5
PETERBOROUGH 18.0
RANDOLF 17.6
GREENFIELD 16.0
NEWPORT 15.3
WILTON 14.0
BENNINGTON 13.0
WAPOLE 12.9
WEST CHESTERFIELD 10.8
LEMPSTER 10.0
...NEW YORK...
ALTAMONT 26.5
WESTERLO 26.0
WILLARD MTN BASE 25.0
NORTH HEBRON 24.0
MEDUSA 23.0
MORIAH 22.5
TABORTON 22.0
DURHAM 20.0
PORTER CORNERS 20.0
ROXBURY 18.9
PHOENICIA 18.5
CHATHAM CENTER 18.0
SCHENECTADY 15.0
ALBANY 12.4
BINGHAMTON 10.5
...OHIO...
CARROLOTON 5.5
...PENNSYLVANIA...
PONOCO PEAK LAKE 13.0
HAWLEY 3.8 NE 11.0
WANTAGE 11.0
PLEASANT MOUNT 10.0
DINGMANS FERRY 3.9 WSW 9.2
MILANVILLE 1.5 SE 8.9
SAYLORSBURG 8.5
BEEMERVILLE 8.0
EAST STROUDSBURG 8.0
THOMPSON 8.0
...RHODE ISLAND...
BURRILLVILLE 6.5
WEST GLOCESTER 5.1
WOONSOCKET 0.3 W 3.4
...TENNESSEE...
APPALACHIA 3.0
ROAN MOUNTAIN 3.0
Update on this Saturday's major winter storm in Europe
Computer forecast models continue to forecast the development of a powerful winter storm that will rapidly intensify Saturday morning into a meteorological "bomb" that will bring high winds and flooding rains to Portugal, northern Spain, and possibly France. However, today's model runs are less aggressive in deepening the storm, and no longer call for the storm to be as intense as last year's Winter Storm Klaus. Klaus, which hit northern Spain and southwest France January 23 - 25, was Earth's most costly natural disaster of 2009, causing $5.1 billion in damage and killing 26. Klaus peaked in intensity at 967 mb, and brought wind gusts of 120 mph (193 km/hr) to Formiguères, France, 125 mph (200 km/hr) to Portbou, Spain, and 134 mph (216 km/hr) to Port d'Envalira, Andorra. Last night's 00Z (7pm EST) run of the ECMWF model and GFS model called for Saturday's storm to have 974 - 976 mb central pressure. Saturday's storm still has the potential to be plenty damaging, as winds of tropical storm force with gusts to hurricane force should affect a large swath of Portugal and northern Spain.
Figure 2. Forecast from the 1am EST 2/25/10 run of the GFS model for 18 GMT Saturday for surface winds. The GFS is predicting that Saturday's storm will peak in intensity at this time with a pressure of 974 mb. Sustained winds just below hurricane force of 60 - 75 mph (green colors) are expected offshore from Portugal. Image was generated using our wundermap for Spain with the "model" layer turned on.
Next post
My next post will be Friday.
Jeff Masters
this frozen drop was suspended on the thinnest filament of ice over our frozen brook..so very delicate and beautiful
Reader Comments
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youtube says:
No videos found for "portlight haiti"
WTH? Did no one capture video of any of it? (Where are you P451?)
The data does not lie.
Feedback: Your legends are hardly legible...
Further, I need to look at the data more...
...but I think there is nothing wrong with adjusting GISS to better match satellite obs (especially if we are going to be subject to all of those plots that marry the 2 together).
It is accurate. Purely used the data as described, step by step, through the process.
I'll see if I can get better resolution on the graphics.
This brings back memories
Any suggestions on resolution are welcomed.
Hmmm, try increasing font size in the legend and then move it to some unoccupied place in the plot axes? Would give you a larger area for the plot itself and solve the legend thing...
Takes a fan to appreciate the Bo Diddly song...
;-)
Bo Diddley said, "Uh..whats in it for me?"
Man said, "Shut your mouth son , play the
guitar and you just wait and see"
earthquakes cen asia/s cen indo
Go a head man and tellem like it is.
Quoting Motttt:
384.
Pat thats great.. did Paul ever get on NBC
youtube says:
No videos found for "portlight haiti"
WTH? Did no one capture video of any of it? (Where are you P451?)
dated 1/29/10
Friends of Disabled Adults and Children, Too!, a non-profit based in Stone Mountain, Ga. (www.fodac.com), will be featured in an upcoming story on NBC Nightly News. FODAC provides home mobility and daily living equipment to people of any age or any disability, temporary or permanent, for medically necessary and medically helpful reasons. The organization is partnering with Portlight Strategies of Charleston, S.C. (www.portlight.org) to collect and ship relief items, primarily wheelchairs, crutches, orthotic braces, blankets and medical supplies to Haiti.
i can't understand why they would not run this.
Ummm, no. And I am not on a little laptop. Even just viewing a plot, alone, is still tough to read the title and legend (among the last few plots).
2 lines for the title?
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1024 PM EST THU FEB 25 2010
.SYNOPSIS...
-- Changed Discussion --A INTENSE STORM WITH MULTIPLE CENTERS...ONE OVER LONG ISLAND
SOUND THIS EVENING AND ANOTHER SOUTH OF NANTUCKET...WILL
CONSOLIDATE OVER CONNECTICUT AND LONG ISLAND OVERNIGHT. THE STORM
WILL THEN LOOP-DE-LOOP OVER THE TRI-STATE AREA ON FRIDAY...AND
THEN DRIFT SLOWLY NORTH INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WHILE WEAKENING
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. A SECOND STORM WILL PASS WELL EAST
OF THE AREA ON SUNDAY ON ITS WAY TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...AND
THEN STALL THERE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN SLOWLY BUILD FROM THE PLAINS STATES INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. YET ANOTHER COASTAL LOW WILL PASS WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST
NEXT THURSDAY.-- End Changed Discussion --
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
-- Changed Discussion --LATEST SFC OBS REVEAL TWO CENTERS TO THE INTENSE OCEAN STORM...ONE
AT 976 MB OVER PECONIC BAY...AND ANOTHER DEEPER CENTER S OF BLOCK
ISLAND AND NANTUCKET PER ACK OB AT ONLY 974 MB. THESE SHOULD
CONSOLIDATE OVER CT/LONG ISLAND TONIGHT...WITH TEMPS OVER CT/LONG
ISLAND GRADUALLY COOLING AS THE LOW BECOMES VERTICALLY STACKED AND
ALSO VIA CAA ON INCREASING WESTERLY FLOW. MT POCONO PA EXPERIENCED
AT 44-KT GUST EARLIER THIS EVENING...AND THINK SIMILAR GUSTS WILL
OCCUR OVER NYC METRO AND LONG ISLAND OVERNIGHT. PLACES IN NYC MAY
EVEN SEE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH FOR A BRIEF TIME LATER TONIGHT.
Kids now a days don't know what good music is,agree.
HeHe.
I have always been under the impression that Have A Cigar by Floyd was just the same lyrics, but paraphrased...
Just thought about it. Reposition the legend at the bottom. Duh!
I dunno, my 5 yr old's favorite is Jerry Garcia's version of Teddy Bear Picnic...I think there's hope.
Thanks
If there were a little further south, would be a worrisome surge event for DelMarVa and Tidewater.
(okay, a lot further south)
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1221 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2010
CTZ009-NJZ003>006-011-NYZ069>078-080-260715-
BERGEN-BRONX-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NASSAU-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-NORTHWEST SUFFOLK-
QUEENS-RICHMOND (STATEN IS.)-ROCKLAND-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHWEST SUFFOLK-UNION-
1221 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2010
...HEAVY SNOW AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL IMPACT THE NEW YORK
CITY METROPOLITAN AREA...
AT 1211 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW MOVING SOUTHWEST INTO THE NEW YORK CITY
METROPOLITAN AREA.
SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR...WIND GUSTS UP TO 45
MPH...AND VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY BELOW 1/4 MILE ARE EXPECTED WITH
THE SNOW THROUGH 215 AM. MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION AND
AVOID ALL NON-ESSENTIAL TRAVEL.
A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
Poor NYC-NJ Metro Area is getting slammed! Thankfully, the DELMARVA peninsula is not in the action!!
Second line doesn't copy... no idea why.
I'll try the legend below and if that doesn't help, I'll give in and pull it into MS Office at work.
So far, the river forecasts are not quite to the level of into homes, but damned close.
Details about each here: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/nerfc/
Try Bill Rancic Haiti:
Link
If you get to the point of pulling out hair (careful, there, cannot be too sure how long it will last!), let me know. WU mail me.
I can whip up some IDL code to do it (100 lines...20 minutes for all of them). Full control of where things go, line thickness, text font, font size, text thickness, placement, etc.
(Ironically, the very same code language used by CRU)
EXCELLENT!
Thanks for posting this. (Pat's videos earlier bugger up my browser for some reason)
nuttin like team work
My pleasure, Atmo! The one direct from E! is flash video, looks great on their website, but doesn't seem to travel well. :)
Far, far better...but only when I grab the pic URL and view in separate tab, not so legible in the blog.
(Ehh, is *better* in the blog, but if you want it to be seen, must be clear and easy to read)
I'll wumail you the data points for each graph.
It will prolly be midday before I can do it...(sry, I hope you didn't get the impression I wanted to do it now, about to turn into a pumpkin)
LOL. No. Bedtime for me too.
Our Father, who art in GM Place, hockey be thy name, thy will be done. GOLD to be WON on ICE as well as IN THE STANDS, give us this day, our hockey sticks and forgive us our penalties, as we forgive those who cross check against us. Lead us not into elimination but deliver us to victory, in the name of the fans, CANADA and the HOLY PUCK. AMEN!!
Naa na na naa na na naa na na naa
Naa na na naa na na naa na na naa
Hush hush - I thought I heard (him) calling my name now
[Deep Purple]
leftovers- take a peek at Levi32's blog. Plenty of science there. A doozy? Yes, indeed, it would appear so.
Link
I hope he can stay here for Season™.
Ya'll have a blessed day! ♥
Brrr... A very cold start to the day. Currently 27.6 degrees at my north Jacksonville, FL home location. The low this morning was 27.2 degrees.
It will be a beautiful late winter day with sunny skies and max temps in the upper 50s. Moisture in the mid to upper levels of the atmosphere will increase tonight ahead of the shortwave diving rapidly E-SE from the ARKLATEX region. Models have now backed off with the potential of a light wintry mix potential over the FL panhandle on tomorrow morning. The best moisture and forcing will be too far south in the GOM as the surface Low will move over South Central FL and out to sea in the Atlantic late Saturday.
Also, the models have for now backed off on the snow potential regarding the next GOM storm system early next week. Most of the guidance now think the thermal profiles will be just warm enough to keep this as a rain event and not bringing in the coldest air until the Low passes. This could definitely change with future model runs in the next couple of days though, and will still have to be closely watched as the event approaches early next week.
Have a great day everyone!
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