Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Major flooding in the Northeast and Midwest; Fiji reels from major cyclone Tomas
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 14:51 GMT le 16 Mars 2010 +2
The extremely wet and windy Nor'easter that plowed across the northern tier of states has left moderate to major flooding in its wake over both the Midwest and Northeast. In the Northeast, the storm dropped more than five inches of rain in New Jersey, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and Connecticut, and moderate to major flooding is occurring in these states. Flooding was particularly severe in Rhode Island on the Pawtuxet River in Cranston, where the river crested a record six feet over flood stage, forcing evacuations. Major flooding was also occurring in New Jersey, where the Passaic River at Little Falls is cresting at five feet over flood stage.

In the Midwest, snow melt and heavy rains have swollen the Red River in North Dakota and Minnesota to near flood stage, and the river is expected to crest two feet above major flood stage by Sunday morning, and one foot above one of the permanent dikes on the river. In Fargo, ND, the Red River is expected to crest Saturday at 38 feet, three feet below the record of 41 feet set last year. Many rivers in Iowa are in flood and expected to crest above major flood stage on Thursday or Friday this week, including the Des Moines River in northern Iowa. In Des Moines, flooding on the Des Moines River is expected to be moderate, but a levee that failed in the floods of 1993 and 2008 is leaking, and residents of the area are evacuating, according to media reports.


Figure 1. Estimated precipitation for the seven day period ending at 8am EDT Monday March 15, 2010. Image credit: NOAA.

Tropical Cyclone Tomas roars through Fiji Islands
Tropical Cyclone Tomas roared through the eastern portion of the Fiji Islands as a major Category 3 storm with 130 mph winds yesterday. Tomas sideswiped the two largest islands in the chain, destroying 50 buildings, causing extensive power outages, and claiming one life. The cyclone made a direct hit on several of the smaller islands to the east of the main islands, and the extent of damage on these islands is unknown, but undoubtedly very heavy.

Tropical Cyclone Ului weakens, may threaten Australia
The first Category 5 tropical cyclone of the year, Tropical Cyclone Uliu, has weakened from its impressive peak as a Category 5 storm with 160 mph winds to a low-end Category 4 storm with 132 mph winds. Ului is over the open waters of the South Pacific, east of Australia, and is projected to significantly decay as the week progresses, due to high wind shear. Ului may be a threat to the Queensland coast of Australia by the end of the week, but should be at tropical storm strength by then.


Figure 2. Tropical Cyclone Ului (left) and Tropical Cyclone Tomas (right). Over the Solomon Islands, Tropical Cyclone Ului had maximum sustained winds of 130 knots (240 kilometers per hour, 150 miles per hour) and gusts up to 160 knots (300 km/hr, 180 mph). Over Fiji, Tropical Cyclone Tomas had maximum sustained winds of 115 knots (215 km/hr, 132 mph) and gusts up to 140 knots (260 km/hr, 160 mph). The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA's Terra and Aqua satellites captured both storms in multiple passes over the South Pacific on March 15, 2010, local time. The majority of the image is from the morning of March 15 (late March 14, UTC time) as seen by MODIS on the Terra satellite, with the right portion of the image having been acquired earliest. The wedge-shaped area right of center is from Aqua MODIS, and it was taken in the early afternoon of March 15 (local time). Image credit: NASA.

Portlight looks to build permanent shelters in Haiti
On February 26th, torrential rains brought more than five feet (1.5 m) of flood water into the streets in the coastal city of Les Cayes, Haiti, an area unscathed by the massive January 2010 earthquake. Eleven people were killed during this storm, with the rainy season still two months away. This deadly flood serves as a reminder that the people of Haiti are highly vulnerable to disastrous flooding during this year's rainy season. A vast number of the survivors are living in "tent" cities where most of the "tents" are really nothing more than bed sheets draped over ropes and sticks; the potential for a second humanitarian disaster is significant. With this in mind, Portlight.org has been exploring fast, inexpensive methods of providing solid, permanent, safe shelter for survivors of the earthquake. They have found a number of groups looking at using shipping containers for this purpose. Shipping containers are steel-reinforced boxes used for shipping goods overseas. Portlight's on-site coordinator in Haiti, Richard Lumarque, has identified an engineer that has come up with a number of designs for converting these containers into dormitories, offices, medical facilities and individual homes; his plan for a dormitory container is below. Portlight is looking to help with this effort; please visit the Portlight.org web site to learn more and to donate to this worthy cause.


Figure 3. A proposed design for a simple dormitory that can accommodate twelve people, built from a shipping container.

I'll have a new post on Wednesday or Thursday.

Jeff Masters
Flood (DeeGirl)
2010 NorEaster Flood in Manville, NJ
Flood
Flooded bridge (Exogyra)
Small bridge in Haddonfield flooded at Cooper River along Kings Highway on 3/13/10
Flooded bridge
Rockaway River Flooding (blueyes113)
Lower Berkshire Valley Rd.
Rockaway River Flooding
Categories: Flood
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451. doabarrelroll 02:42 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Grothar:


Hollywood, FL.


Not to be insensitive, but I imagine Hurricanes back then were much harder to predict so how did preparations go?
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452. doabarrelroll 02:43 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Levi32:


Can't be worse than the things people say now....I wish people still spoke like they did 50 or 100 years ago.


yea with all the racial slurs. It truly was a great time...
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453. hydrus 02:45 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Patrap:
Were still lucky and Proud to have Nash Roberts with us here.




He was the First Met to Enter a Tropical System on purpose,..and designed the Butterfly Pattern that is still flown today.

John Hope was also a Colleague of Nash Roberts in the Navy.


Nash Roberts



Nash C. Roberts Jr. (born c. 1918) is a New Orleans, Louisiana based meteorologist who is widely known for the accuracy of his hurricane forecasts.

He began his career in weather during World War II. He worked for Admiral Chester Nimitz in the Pacific. Roberts was on the first plane to enter the eye of a tropical system near the Philippines. This method is still used today by the "Hurricane Hunters" of the Air Force based at Keesler Air Force Base in Biloxi, Mississippi to measure and record internal conditions in hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean Sea and Atlantic Ocean to help predict their development and path.

In 1948 he began broadcasting on WDSU-TV. Roberts was the first full time weathercaster in the Deep South and one of the first to use radar on television weather broadcasts.

New Orleans Meteorologist Nash Roberts gives his papers to Loyola

Loyola press release - August 7, 2001

What about Duckworth in 1943? I read somewhere that he flew into a hurricane off Texas and that he was the first. However, this does not mean I believe everything I read.
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454. Levi32 02:45 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting doabarrelroll:


yea with all the racial slurs. It truly was a great time...


Ok well I'm thinking more along the lines of being "proper" like most good people were, including how to be proper to a lady, as well as how they spoke. Maybe that was more in the 19th century or earlier, in times like Little House on the Prairie. But the way British children spoke even in the mid-20th century when C.S. Lewis wrote the Chronicles of Narnia was really cool.
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455. Patrap 02:47 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting hydrus:
What about Duckworth in 1943? I read somewhere that he flew into a hurricane off Texas and that he was the first. However, this does not mean I believe everything I read.


AL Duckworth was a WWL-TV Met here in NOLA,but Im sure someone confused Him with Nash...on that point,
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456. doabarrelroll 02:47 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Levi32:


Ok well I'm thinking more along the lines of being "proper" like most good people were, including how to be proper to a lady, as well as how they spoke. Maybe that was more in the 19th century or earlier, in times like Little House on the Prairie. But the way British children spoke in the mid-20th century when C.S. Lewis wrote the Chronicles of Narnia was really cool.


lol i know i know i was kidding
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457. GeoffreyWPB 02:47 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Levi32:


Can't be worse than the things people say now....I wish people still spoke like they did 50 or 100 years ago.


Levi...part of my job is writing and sending out press releases. Some of the postings on here make my stomach churn. Per Wiki...We are 19th in literacy rate. Link
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458. GTcooliebai 02:48 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
I found this interesting...
Due to extreme destruction, the name Allison was retired in the Spring of 2002, and will never again be used in the Atlantic basin; the 2001 incarnation of Allison is the only Atlantic tropical system to have its name retired without reaching hurricane strength.
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459. Patrap 02:48 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
This Video shows the Emg Preps and some actual transmissions during Betsy's Trek thru Fla. and Louisiana.

Department of Defense
Office of Civil Defense
Motion Picture Service

A Hurricane Called Betsy
AVA16542VNB1 - 1966

Recounts Hurricane Betsy's 3,000-mile trip from the Caribbean through the Bahamas, Miami, the Florida Keys, and along the Gulf Coast to New Orleans and Baton Rouge.

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460. Levi32 02:50 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Levi...part of my job is writing and sending out press releases. Some of the postings on here make my stomach churn. Per Wiki...We are 19th in literacy rate. Link


Yikes, that's horrifying.
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461. doabarrelroll 02:50 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Patrap:


AL Duckworth was a WWL-TV Met here in NOLA,but Im sure someone confused Him with Nash...on that point,

Duckworth also moonlighted ad Scrooge McDuck's Butler.
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462. Grothar 02:51 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting doabarrelroll:


Not to be insensitive, but I imagine Hurricanes back then were much harder to predict so how did preparations go?


Badly. Actually, the people had very little warning, but storms were much more frequent then. It was just something they lived with. My mother's family had lived in Florida since the early 1920's, and no, I wasn't around then.
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463. hydrus 02:52 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Grothar:


Hollywood, FL.
There were two land falls in 48. A-lot of flooding. 1947 we had two land falls also. A lot of flooding. My Grand-Father flew into two or more of those storms.
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464. Patrap 02:52 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Well..Im up da stairs to my lil wunderground to watch Chelsea Lately.


Later Gators..
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465. doabarrelroll 02:52 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Levi32:


Yikes, that's horrifying.


Not really, we are in good company tied with the UK and JAPAN
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466. doabarrelroll 02:53 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Grothar:


Badly. Actually, the people had very little warning, but storms were much more frequent then. It was just something they lived with. My mother's family had lived in Florida since the early 1920's, and no, I wasn't around then.


So how did you know one was coming?
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468. Levi32 02:54 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Grothar:


Badly. Actually, the people had very little warning, but storms were much more frequent then. It was just something they lived with. My mother's family had lived in Florida since the early 1920's, and no, I wasn't around then.


And we're currently in the same position in the climate cycle as we were back in the '40s and '50s...notice the increase in storm numbers.
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469. GTcooliebai 02:54 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    


Even though Barry was weak, I remember it didn't take much to flood the streets while going to work.
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470. flsky 02:55 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting altesticstorm10:

Nah, I'm just a woman-lover...I love women.

Obviously a teenager....
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471. Grothar 02:56 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
Grothar was your 1948 hurricane this one?



Or this one?




Probably this one. There was another that hit Palm Beach County, but I was very, very,very young.
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472. doabarrelroll 02:56 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
I live in Gainesville Florida, and I was wondering what the most powerful stormto affect us was.
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473. hahaguy 02:57 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Grothar, which cane was worse for you out of the ones you've been through?
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474. Levi32 02:58 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Grothar:


Probably this one. There was another that hit Palm Beach County, but I was very, very,very young.


Whoa...this one? I always forget about this monster....The Great Fort Lauderdale Hurricane:

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475. LowerCal 02:58 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
From Spaceflight Now | Delta Launch Report | Mission Status Center:
TUESDAY, MARCH 16, 2010
The United States' latest weather observatory successfully flew into geostationary orbit Tuesday, completing a series of stair-step altitude raising maneuvers that followed its launch earlier this month atop a Delta 4 rocket from Cape Canaveral.

The Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite was built and launched under the name of GOES P. But following NOAA tradition of renaming its satellites upon reaching the proper orbit, the craft became GOES 15.
....
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476. Grothar 03:02 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting doabarrelroll:


So how did you know one was coming?


There were meteorologist in THOSE days, but there was still a high presence of military bases, because the war had just ended. John Hope, (of the weather channel) had done a lot of assistance during World War II in the field of meteorology because of the military campaigns. The local radio stations did a very good job keeping the public informed. But in those days, people actually did watch the weather more. Some of you may laugh, but they watched the birds and animals. If the birds disappeared, a storm was coming.

There were the "old-wives tales", like, if there is no rain in the month of May, a hurricane will come. If the banana plants start sprouting a lot, there will be a hurricane. If the mango trees bloom strongly, there is going to be a hurricane.
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477. doabarrelroll 03:04 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Grothar:


There were meteorologist in THOSE days, but there was still a high presence of military bases, because the war had just ended. John Hope, (of the weather channel) had done a lot of assistance during World War II in the field of meteorology because of the military campaigns. The local radio stations did a very good job keeping the public informed. But in those days, people actually did watch the weather more. Some of you may laugh, but they watched the birds and animals. If the birds disappeared, a storm was coming.

There were the "old-wives tales", like, if there is no rain in the month of May, a hurricane will come. If the banana plants start sprouting a lot, there will be a hurricane. If the mango trees bloom strongly, there is going to be a hurricane.

I wont laugh at you. I have mentioned in this blog before that every hurricane I have been in had one thing in common. The day before the storm the ducks hide behind the wheels of cars.
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478. Grothar 03:05 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting hahaguy:
Grothar, which cane was worse for you out of the ones you've been through?


Andrew by far. I was living in Miami at the time. Wilma was not picnic either, but nothing like Andrew. I was in a number of others, even a few when I lived on Long Island in the mid-1950's but I lived in Europe quite a bit in between.
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479. doabarrelroll 03:06 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Grothar:


Andrew by far. I was living in Miami at the time. Wilma was not picnic either, but nothing like Andrew. I was in a number of others, even a few when I lived on Long Island in the mid-1950's but I lived in Europe quite a bit in between.


Where in Miami Grothar?
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480. Levi32 03:07 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Grothar:


There were meteorologist in THOSE days, but there was still a high presence of military bases, because the war had just ended. John Hope, (of the weather channel) had done a lot of assistance during World War II in the field of meteorology because of the military campaigns. The local radio stations did a very good job keeping the public informed. But in those days, people actually did watch the weather more. Some of you may laugh, but they watched the birds and animals. If the birds disappeared, a storm was coming.

There were the "old-wives tales", like, if there is no rain in the month of May, a hurricane will come. If the banana plants start sprouting a lot, there will be a hurricane. If the mango trees bloom strongly, there is going to be a hurricane.


No I would absolutely love to hear about all of the signs old-timers used to watch for. It is amazing what you can tell without needing a birds-eye view from space. I wish we could compile a list of all of the signs, like the turtle nesting Dr. Masters brought up the last couple years. Often they have merit. Some are insanely accurate, especially animal ones.

The no rain in May one shouldn't be that hard to figure out meteorologically. My first guess would be that no rain in May = strong high pressure over the SW Atlantic extending over Florida, which in May can foreshadow the dominant pattern during the height of the hurricane season, which would tend to steer storms towards Florida.
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481. Grothar 03:07 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting doabarrelroll:

I wont laugh at you. I have mentioned in this blog before that every hurricane I have been in had one thing in common. The day before the storm the ducks hide behind the wheels of cars.


Anyone who has ducks near them should notice that before storm hits,all the ducks go into a huddle. There may be 40 or 50 in a group and they are very quiet. That is no joke. I saw it many times.
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482. hahaguy 03:08 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
I don't know about anybody else but I would like to have lived back in the 30's and 40's just to see how meteorologist actually performed their job. It would be interesting.
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483. GeoffreyWPB 03:08 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Grothar:


Andrew by far. I was living in Miami at the time. Wilma was not picnic either, but nothing like Andrew. I was in a number of others, even a few when I lived on Long Island in the mid-1950's but I lived in Europe quite a bit in between.


How bad was Andrew for you? Up here in West Palm, just a lot of rain and some gusty winds.
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484. Grothar 03:09 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting doabarrelroll:


Where in Miami Grothar?


Cutler Ridge, which is now called Cutler Bay. I am now in Ft. Lauderdale.
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485. Levi32 03:10 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting hahaguy:
I don't know about anybody else but I would like to have lived back in the 30's and 40's just to see how meteorologist actually performed their job. It would be interesting.


Same here, especially before computer models. So much more common sense and really genius Meteorology were used back then.
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486. Grothar 03:11 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


How bad was Andrew for you? Up here in West Palm, just a lot of rain and some gusty winds.


Let me put it to you this way.... You know how many people can fit into a bathtub? 11

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487. GeoffreyWPB 03:13 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Grothar:


Let me put it to you this way.... You know how many people can fit into a bathtub? 11



My personal record is 14...but not during a hurricane. :)
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488. doabarrelroll 03:14 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Grothar:


Cutler Ridge, which is now called Cutler Bay. I am now in Ft. Lauderdale.


Which was completely wiped out.
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489. Grothar 03:15 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


My personal record is 14...but not during a hurricane. :)


But at least I knew who they were.LOL
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490. doabarrelroll 03:16 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


How bad was Andrew for you? Up here in West Palm, just a lot of rain and some gusty winds.


250,000 people homeless, South Dade looked like a bomb went off, 13 years to fully recover, marshall law for a full month, so yes very very bad.

THIS BAD
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491. Grothar 03:18 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting doabarrelroll:


Which was completely wiped out.


Mostly, it was. I was fortunate that I had full shutters on the entire house and a hurricane garage door and a full generator. Everyone laughed at us in those days. They said it was a waste of money. We had not had a storm since 1966.
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492. Skyepony (Mod) 03:20 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Don't think I'd care to forecast back in the '20s, at least in the USA. Seems like each NWS reported obs to Washington DC or some central place that wrote up maps & told the mets what what their forecasts were. Words like hurricane & tornado were frowned upon for a time as well. The refusal to deal with Cuba & exchange info, egos.. There were some gross miscalculations, especially small storms. Isacc's Storm about the Galveston 'cane imparted a good taste of what it was like.
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493. doabarrelroll 03:21 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Grothar:


Mostly, it was. I was fortunate that I had full shutters on the entire house and a hurricane garage door and a full generator. Everyone laughed at us in those days. They said it was a waste of money. We had not had a storm since 1966.

Bless you. My father who came to the US from Cuba in 1960 bought plywood and go prepared. My neighbors mocked him but he knew better, and he told me that it had been 30 years since Miami had a Hurricane, but he knew having gone through them in Cuba.
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494. Skyepony (Mod) 03:29 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
The advent of modern technology seemed about the worst. I think it was WWII off Japan one US navel fleet capt got pummeled twice while trying to attack. Each times the signs were there, mariner of old would have heeded, he just looked to info relayed & delayed by code that wasn't all that correct.

Or like south FL in the late '20s. The newspaper says FL is spared while the natives are headed to higher ground cause the sawgrass is blooming.
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495. Grothar 03:39 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Skyepony:
The advent of modern technology seemed about the worst. I think it was WWII off Japan one US navel fleet capt got pummeled twice while trying to attack. Each times the signs were there, mariner of old would have heeded, he just looked to info relayed & delayed by code that wasn't all that correct.

Or like south FL in the late '20s. The newspaper says FL is spared while the natives are headed to higher ground cause the sawgrass is blooming.


Thought you might like this. It is a little known event from World War II.

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
(Redirected from Typhoon Cobra)
Jump to: navigation, search
Typhoon Cobra
Eye structure captured on radar
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Formed December 17, 1944
Dissipated December 18, 1944
Highest
winds 220 km/h (140 mph) (gusts)

Lowest pressure ≤ 907 hPa (mbar)
Fatalities 790 U.S., unknown elsewhere
Damage Unknown
Areas
affected Philippine Sea
Part of the
1944 Pacific typhoon season
Typhoon Cobra, also known as the Typhoon of 1944 or Halsey's Typhoon (named after Admiral William 'Bull' Halsey), was the United States Navy designation for a tropical cyclone which struck the United States Pacific Fleet in December 1944 during World War II.

On December 17, it struck Task Force 38 (TF 38), which was operating about 300 miles (480 km) east of Luzon in the Philippine Sea. Three destroyers were sunk, and a total of 790 lives were lost. Nine other warships were damaged, and over one hundred aircraft were wrecked or washed overboard; the aircraft carrier Monterey was forced to battle a heavy fire caused by a plane hitting a bulkhead. Search efforts eventually rescued 93 men.

In the words of Admiral Chester Nimitz, the typhoon's impact "represented a more crippling blow to the 3rd Fleet than it might be expected to suffer in anything less than a major action".

The typhoon plays an important role in the novel The Caine Mutiny.

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496. tornadodude 03:41 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
evening all
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497. Grothar 03:42 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting tornadodude:
evening all


Dude!
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499. Floodman 03:47 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Hey folks, I updated my blog and the Portlight blog; if you would go have a look...a new project in Haiti and this one is about the most important one so far...

G'night kids, I must get some sleep pretty soon or I'll wake up in the morning with a keyboard tattoo on my forehead
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500. tornadodude 03:54 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting Grothar:


Dude!


how's it going???
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501. Grothar 03:55 GMT le 17 Mars 2010    
Quoting tornadodude:


how's it going???


Slow!
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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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