Global warming unthaws warrior mermaids and mermen frozen during last ice age
Global warming has unthawed an entire race of warrior mermen and mermaids in the Arctic, scientists revealed today. At a packed press conference in Boulder, Colorado, Dr. Mark Xyzzy of the National Institute for Cryosphere Exploration and Tertiary Research on Yetis (NICETRY) revealed the details of the discovery: "We've been operating robot research submarines under the sea ice in the Chukchi Sea north of Barrow, Alaska this winter, as part of International Geophysical Year studies on the dynamics of arctic sea ice loss," commented Dr. Xyzzy. "Last week, one of our submersibles caught a remarkable video of a warrior mermaid, armed with a trident, riding past the submarine on the back of a narwhal. We were able to track the mermaid to her home--an underwater merfolk city at the bottom of the Chukchi Sea. The city had been thawed out in 2005 by warm water currents invading the Arctic due to global warming. These mermaids and mermen had been frozen into the underwater permafrost since the onset of the last ice age, 115,000 years ago. We undertook immediate efforts to establish communications with the merfolk, by sending in divers with underwater writing boards who were able to work out a simple symbol-based language. We learned that the Chukchi Sea merfolk are at war with a tribe of rival merfolk in the Greenland Sea. The two tribes have been fighting a heated underwater battle for dominance of the Arctic Ocean ever since global warming thawed out both tribes in 2005. It is the explosions from their undersea battles that have been the dominant cause of arctic sea ice loss since 2005, not global warming, as had been previously assumed. A team of experienced United Nations negotiators is now in the Arctic, attempting to broker a truce between the rivals and save the arctic sea ice from further destruction."
Figure 1. Merfolk negotiator Urgok Nzgradborkan and an exhausted U.N. diplomat take a break after a grueling all-night round of peace talks.
Critics of climate change science immediately pounced upon the news to unleash a new barrage of criticism against the National Intergovernmental and Territorial Panel to Investigate Climate Change (NITPICC). "The computer climate models used by the NITPICC utterly failed to anticipate the record loss of arctic sea ice due to underwater explosions from merfolk battles," commented spokesman Markoff Chaney of the Very Competitive Free Enterprise Institute. The Institute maintains of staff of top-notch scientists who swear that their funding from the fossil fuel industry does not affect the objectivity of their science. "This new "mermaid-gate" scandal proves that we can't trust climate models to say diddly-squat that's right about global warming, nah-nah-na-nah-nah!" taunted Chaney.
The head of NITPICC, Dr. R. J. Donteventrytopronouncemylastname, conceded that his organization had some work to do. "We're working very hard to incorporate the effect of underwater explosions from merfolk sea battles into the NITPICC models," said Dr. Donteventrytopronouncemylastname. "We've also begun to explore the impacts on sea ice should other denizens of the Arctic unthaw. For instance, the possibility exists that plesiosaurs from the time of the dinosaurs may be frozen in the underwater arctic permafrost. Should global warming thaw out these great leviathans of the deep, the turbulence from their swimming motions could cause significant cracking and breakup of the sea ice. We now have a new plesiosaur parameterization module built into our top models to account for this possibility."
Dr. Xyzzy of NICETRY commented, "I applaud NITPICC's efforts to incorporate their Underwater Merfolk Battle Module and Plesiosaur Parameterization Module into the climate models. However, I caution that they might also need to build modules to simulate the effects of astrology, thermography, ice-nine, and the warming effect of hot air coming out of Washington politicians, before critics of the NITPICC models will be satisfied."
April Fools!
Internet radio appearance today
I'll be appearing with San Francisco-based wunderground meteorologists Shaun Tanner and Tim Roche on The Daily Downpour Internet radio show at 4:20 pm EDT today, to talk about weather, hurricanes, and climate change. There will not be the opportunity to call in today. No foolin'!
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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cobia, good catchin' better eatin' mm mm
The AWRA Specialty Conference in Orlando was great!
I'm looking forward to doing some of the time mapping demonstrated by Rick of NOAA there.
Link
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 1307UTC 2 APRIL 2010
STORM FORCE WIND WARNING
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 1200 UTC a tropical low was centred within 30 nautical miles of
latitude eleven decimal six south (11.6S)
longitude ninety two decimal three east (92.3E)
Recent movement : south southwest at 6 knots
Maximum winds : 30 knots
Central pressure: 1000 hPa
The low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 6 to 18 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 120 nautical miles in the southwest quadrant, and then within 90
nautical miles of centre in remaining quadrants from 0000 UTC 03 April.
FORECAST
Maximum winds to 30 knots near the centre increasing to 50 knots by 0000 UTC 03
April.
Winds above 48 knots within 25 nautical miles of centre with very rough to high
seas and moderate to heavy swell by 1200 UTC 03 April.
Winds 25/35 knots within 120 nautical miles of centre in the southwest quadrant
with rough seas and moderate swell, increasing to 30/40 knots and extending to
within 90 nautical miles in remaining quadrants by 0000 UTC 03 April.
Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 03 April: Within 60 nautical miles of 12.7 south 92.3 east
Central pressure 995 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 03 April: Within 90 nautical miles of 13.5 south 92.4 east
Central pressure 988 hPa.
Winds to 50 knots near centre.
REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to tcwcwa@bom.gov.au or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.
Next warning will be issued by 1900 UTC 02 April 2010.
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - WESTERN REGION
Issued by PERTH TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0831 UTC 02/04/2010
Name: Tropical Low
Identifier: 12U
Data At: 0600 UTC
Latitude: 11.0S
Longitude: 92.3E
Location Accuracy: within 30 nm [55 km]
Movement Towards: southwest [224 deg]
Speed of Movement: 6 knots [11 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots [55 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots [85 km/h]
Central Pressure: 1000 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: N/A
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1006 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 150 nm [280 km]
Storm Depth: Medium
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 02/1800: 11.9S 92.1E: 060 [110]: 035 [065]: 997
+24: 03/0600: 12.5S 92.0E: 090 [165]: 040 [075]: 994
+36: 03/1800: 13.1S 92.0E: 120 [225]: 050 [095]: 988
+48: 04/0600: 13.8S 92.1E: 155 [285]: 060 [110]: 981
+60: 04/1800: 14.6S 92.3E: 200 [375]: 060 [110]: 981
+72: 05/0600: 15.3S 93.1E: 250 [465]: 060 [110]: 981
REMARKS:
Deep convection has improved near and west of the low level circulation centre
in the past 18 hours, despite ongoing moderate to strong easterly vertical wind
shear in excess of 30 knots. Ascat images indicate 30 knot winds in the
southwestern quadrant [downshear].
Dvorak DT=2.5 based on -0.4 wrap on curved band [although shear pattern could
even suggest a 3.0 possible]. MET/PAT agree.
Given the persisting deep convection with very cold cloud tops through the day,
further intensification expected especially as the low moves to the south
southwest into a zone of lower wind shear. Tropical cyclone intensity is hence
expected during the overnight period [although a region of 35 knots in the
southwestern quadrant is likely from now on]. Steering flow remains light with a
ridge remaining weak in the forecast period. Slow south southwesterly movent is
forecast. On Sunday a strengthening mid-level trough to the south may help to
deepen the system and move it to the south southeast keeping the system east of
90E within the Australian region.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 02/1300 UTC by Perth TCWC.
Issued at 9:21 AM on Friday the 2nd of April 2010
by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane.
Heavy rain associated with Ex Tropical Cyclone Paul has led to fast rises in the
Nicholson catchment overnight with minor to moderate flooding expected. Further
rises are likely over the weekend. Rainfall is expected to move into the
Leichardt catchment during Friday where river rises are likely with possible
minor to moderate flooding.
Rainfall totals to 9am Friday include 237mm at Burketown, 185mm at Escott
Station, 121mm at Century Mine and 119mm at Gregory Downs.
Next Issue:
The next warning will be issued by 10am on Saturday.
Long time no see, How you been?
Link
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0236
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 AM CDT FRI APR 02 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...NE TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 021259Z - 021430Z
HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS STORMS
INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS NE TX OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WW
ISSUANCE MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE REGION DEPENDING ON HOW THE
SITUATION UNFOLDS THIS MORNING.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY INITIATING WEST OF THE DALLAS/FORT WORTH
METROPLEX ALONG A COLD FRONT AND ON THE WRN EDGE OF A CORRIDOR OF
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. SFC DEWPOINTS ACROSS NE TX ARE STEADILY
INCREASING AND SHOULD REACH THE MID 60S F AHEAD OF THE STORMS OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THIS COMBINED WITH INCREASING DEEP LAYER SHEAR
AND INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT. IN
ADDITION...OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS A 40 TO 50 KT LOW-LEVEL JET IN
EAST TX. MODEL FORECASTS MOVE THE LOW-LEVEL JET NNEWD ACROSS NE TX
THIS MORNING SUGGESTING LOW-LEVEL FLOW MAY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR
A WIND DAMAGE THREAT ESPECIALLY IF A LINE CAN ORGANIZE. STEEP
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD ALSO BE SUFFICIENT FOR AN ISOLATED
LARGE HAIL THREAT WITH THE STRONGER CORES.
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0237
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0828 AM CDT FRI APR 02 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN KS/WRN AND NRN MO/WRN AND CNTRL IA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 021328Z - 021500Z
IT IS NOT CERTAIN THAT A WW WILL BE NEEDED...AT LEAST IN THE NEAR
TERM...BUT CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.
STRONGER MID/UPPER FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORT WAVE IMPULSE
LIFTING OUT OF THE BASE OF APPROACHING LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL
OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF THE MID/LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY BETWEEN NOW AND
15-18Z. VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS ONGOING WITH THIS
FEATURE...BUT IT IS NOT CLEAR THAT FORCING WILL BE ABLE TO GENERATE
SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION TO SUPPORT A CONTINUING SEVERE THREAT AS
IT DEVELOPS ACROSS AND AWAY FROM THE NORTHERN/LEADING EDGE OF A
NARROW PRE-FRONTAL TONGUE OF WEAK GULF MOISTURE RETURN.
I see a hook echo on the Topeka, KS radar. just south of Ottawa, KS.
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
353 AM EDT FRI APR 2 2010
...RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON...
STRONG AND DRY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER CENTRAL INDIANA
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BRING WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND FAIRLY LOW DEW POINTS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER LEVELS OF NEAR 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.
INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-021600-
/O.UPG.KIND.FW.A.0001.100402T1600Z-100403T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KIND.FW.W.0001.100402T1600Z-100403T0000Z/
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
353 AM EDT FRI APR 2 2010
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR 25 PERCENT...AND SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS
IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE...COMBINED WITH LOW FUEL MOISTURES WILL
CREATE HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.
THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN INDIANA...21...28...29...30...31...35...36...37...38
...39...40...41...42...43...44...45...46...47...48
...49...51...52...53...54...55...56...57...60...61
...62...63...64...65...67...68...69...70...71...72
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
&&
$$
SMF
That's it , from start to 2nd last image of the loop
you mean the "Google" KS radar ;)
Topeka changes name to Google
It's not April fools day anymore
yeah I know, but for the entire month of March, Topeka did rename itself Google
They took on Google's name for a month.
I can see what looks like a possible hook echo on regular reflectivity radar, but once I look for it based on wind values and shear couplets, it isn't there at all.
Experimental forecast Tropical Cyclone Genesis Potential Fields
NCEP Model Analyses and Forecasts
Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Forecasts and Guidance
NHC Tropical Cyclone Model Output Maps
Allan's Model and Weather Data Page
The FIM Global Model
COAMPS® Tropical Cyclone Prediction and Verification
Im pretty sure there is no tornado and doppler radar would have picked up the rotation in the clouds.
I'm saying no tornado and really dont see a hook echo at all any where on the radar.
Feel free to use
This bad. This very bad. ;)
The TWC could call for 100% rain and it would be the nicest day of the whole year.
Never trust the TWC.
yeah the problem with TWC is that they have one forecast office that forecasts for the entire country, but the NWS has a ton of offices that forecast for a localized region, thus allowing the forecasters to be better acclimated to the weather patterns in their local area, creating more accurate forecasts
thanks
However, people in East TX, AR, Western LA, and portions of Eastern OK, KS and MO should be on the look out for strong/severe thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours today.
August 2004:
CFS forecast for August:
Lat: 40.43 Lon: -86.93 Elev: 623
Last Update on Apr 2, 10:54 am EDT
Fair
72 °F
(22 °C)
Humidity: 41 %
Wind Speed: SW 15 G 23 MPH
Barometer: 29.89" (1011.8 mb)
Dewpoint: 47 °F (8 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
That's one of the worst places to have the trough as it both helps ventilate the western Caribbean and favors U.S. landfalls along the eastern gulf coast, Florida, and the SE coast.
well it looks like it will be another long one, running from June 1st through November 31st ;)
ok by the looks of it we could have numbers like in the upper teens of lower 20's and storm tracks like IVAN and CHARLEY in 2004
I am no liking the sound of this
Yup. And as bad as it seems this solution seems more reasonable than some of the other CFS runs considering the analog years.
Viewing: 451 - 501
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