Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Quoting leelee75k:
Thanks patrap, that's exactly the type of things I'm looking for, didn't think of either one of those to have.

anyone else?

Having a piece of flint to start a fire to stay warm (and cook with if you don't have propane) is always a great thing. Also, if you need water right away and don't have any stored or you have lost your supplies for one reason or another, the tablets to sterilize water are good to have. Also to have a little backpack or something with all your supplies together in one place in case you have to evacuate all of a sudden is always useful as well.

Quoting TampaTom:


Look at me. Do I look upset to you?

Ya luk like da holi terrer.:)

Quoting reedzone:
NHC has the floater positioned on 93L, only problem is, it says 92L lol.. Looking closely at the visible, I see a small spin 14.2N 68.5W. I believe that is where the LLC might form in the next 24-40 hours.

No not quite. Watch the box between 13-14N and 67-68W. That's where the LLC would be most likely to form.

Hurricane food -- pre-cooked vacuum packed bacon....it is easy to heat + is comfort food. I cooked scrambled eggs and bacon on the grill during Hurricane Francis in 2004....wore a poncho! Yummy!

What do you all think...Code Orange in a few minutes?

Quoting StormW:

Cloud banding feature? Currently 10 KT of wind shear and... a developing anticyclonic outflow aloft?

Quoting Floodman:


His backyard? MY BACKYARD!?!?!?!

LOL...making a popcorn and Dr. Pepper run...anyone need anything?

LOL, actually looks like MY backyard.

Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
What do you all think...Code Orange in a few minutes?

Yellow.

Quoting PanhandleChuck:


TW --- are you in the P-cola area?

i work in santa rosa beach but live in fountain 40 mi north of panama city but during opal i worked for bay county and had to answer the phone after opal and my god some people were so totally wiped out. storm surge mostly i think. it was a dry hurricane for us. lots of trees fell and power down for 2 weeks in some places. i had to go to the mall parking lot and get pimento cheese sandwiches and ice from the red cross with a guardsman with an automatic rifle guarding. a very eery feeling! i thought i would die with no power for a week and the heat was merciless.

Quoting Jeff9641:
This could be a situation of a cat 2 to 3 hurricane shooting up the easter gulf.

Worst position possible for the West Coast of Florida....the OIL WILL then come pouring onto the coast.

Quoting Levi32:


No not quite. Watch the box between 13-14N and 67-68W. That's where the LLC would be most likely to form.

Ok, well I'm actually going out after the next TWO. I'm expecting 20-30%, no rush to jump ito orange code yet. This just started organizing, while wind shear is low, it will take time developing.

The anti-Post is 666

Quoting thegoldenstrand:


and to think Obama had Ken Salazar go to bat for BP so it could drill after Washington DC court ruled in April of 2009 that BP and others could not drill due to environmental safety concerns.

After our inept Government helps destroy the Gulf, Obama and the gang are pushing Nuclear, which will lead to something possibly as bad inland within a couple years if Court decisions and laws are not respected.

Maybe. But remember that it was Bush/Cheney who set up the permitting and control system under which BP was operating. Now we are seeing the consequences of having had an admin run by the oil companies.

The NHC dosent point the Floaters

I love the dishwasher idea but I know I can't fit a propane tank in there, lol

great suggestions everyone I've read and noted them all and thank you again, it's so much easier to ask this type of question and get answers before the real craziness starts when a storm actually threatens and this blogs moves at lightning speed.

Question all....I live in South Florida and where I live the power lines are underground....How long is the power out for after a hurricane when you have lines that are underground....does the fact that they are underground help any?

Quoting hydrus:
Ya luk like da holi terrer.:)

Da Holly Terrier? What? Christmas for my pooch?!? :-)

Quoting WarEagle8:
Hurricane food -- pre-cooked vacuum packed bacon....it is easy to heat + is comfort food. I cooked scrambled eggs and bacon on the grill during Hurricane Francis in 2004....wore a poncho! Yummy!

mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm......bacon.......

hot water & 10K WIND SHEAR .ALLGOOD FOR 93L

Quoting leelee75k:
tampa, but what if you don't have a garage? would you then bring them inside the house?

A hand held battery charger for your cell phone can be a life saver. Especially when everything within 40 miles of you has been wiped off the Earth.

Nice banding features on visible:

Quoting lickitysplit:


Maybe. But remember that it was Bush/Cheney who set up the permitting and control system under which BP was operating. Now we are seeing the consequences of having had an admin run by the oil companies.

2 years after they're gone and you dems are still bashing them, give it up! lol
Besides, this is a weather forum, not political forum, not the right place to bash politicians here.

NYT:

"The 2000s....ushered in an era of aggressive, government-backed offshore oil production. In May 2001, Bush, acting on recommendations from the oil industry, signed an executive order that required federal agencies to expedite permits for energy projects and paved the way for greater domestic oil exploration. "

TAFB 48 hours, general wnw movement and still a low.

Quoting reedzone:


2 years after they're gone and you dems are still bashing them, give it up! lol

^5

McClatchy:

"The Minerals Management Service had never required any of these backup systems to be tested despite a report it commissioned in 2003 that said these systems "should probably receive the same attention to verify functionality" as the rest of the blowout preventer. The agency had also declined to take the modest step of requiring rigs to have these backup systems in place at all, though it had sent out a safety alert encouraging their use. "

Now



3 Hours ago



Vorticity migrating offshore towards 93L

Quoting StormGoddess:

ROFLOL. That's hilarious. Especially about the raccoons. :)

You know, I went on a walk on Friday night and did see a raccoon which is very unusual since I live on an island... Would that be considered unusual?

Quoting Funkadelic:


Maybe I'm blind.. Would love to see what you are seeing. Some one just posted the 12z CMC and showed nothing of what you have spoken of.

check out the latest GFS @ 850mb vorticity

I thought that this was a weather place and not a politics place....lol.... :)

Quoting TampaSpin:


Garage keep.......everything comes inside.

yeah i was actually thinking about where to put my horses since some people are forecast8ing black toxic rain inland from the gulf if a storm ever comes. i dont want my animals in black toxic rain. kidding. but not. maybe.

Quoting connie1976:
Question all....I live in South Florida and where I live the power lines are underground....How long is the power out for after a hurricane when you have lines that are underground....does the fact that they are underground help any?

Depends on if you loose transmission lines or if downed tree roots tear up the underground system. Underground problems are harder to find.

Not really a necessity but a week after Wilma there was no bread to be found .My local neighborhood store owner drove 100 miles north and loaded up his suv with bread that was snapped up in a day.Of course you need cash because of no electricity so it was cash only.

Thanks all for answering my question!! I HATE when the power goes out.....when I lived in Orlando and Charlie came...we were out of power for a WEEK!!!! I thought that I was going to die....lol...

Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
What do you all think...Code Orange in a few minutes?

Should be Orange at 40% for something to develop in 48HRS

Quoting connie1976:
I thought that this was a weather place and not a politics place....lol.... :)

Keep yer head down, lass...it's about to blow in fast and furious!

hey you know what is a good hurricane food? I love those starkist pouches of "sandwich ready" tuna, eat it for lunch all the time. only has a hundred calories and water chestnuts and pickles. i buy three or four extra every time i go to the store. and sardines.

Quoting connie1976:
I thought that this was a weather place and not a politics place....lol.... :)

I know, we have a serious potential situation on our hands and someone comes in talking about how bad the Bush Admin. is.. It's been 2 years, time to move on.

Go here and zoom in at 14N 69W. See if you can see what I see:

Link

Quoting Jeff9641:


Sorry but JB is wrong a strong trough up in the NE US will create a weakness in the ridge and send 93L N.

I said the same thing about 92L last Tuesday..
That Low and weakness never developed..the ridge got stronger in the western Atlantic...
Then I said the same thing Saturday and the forecast for the ridge changed AGAIN Saturday afternoon..
USUALLY the forecast for the High,Ridges and Lows above 25N are pretty dead on but I've eaten two dead crows for forecasting tracks based on them..

Quoting connie1976:
Question all....I live in South Florida and where I live the power lines are underground....How long is the power out for after a hurricane when you have lines that are underground....does the fact that they are underground help any?

Not sure how long but I know people in Weston that never lost power. If I recall, the people in Weston that did lose power got it back relatively quick. Not sure if this had to do with their powerlines being under ground or not.

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON JUN 21 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE THAT IS MOVING
WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ALTHOUGH THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF A
SURFACE CIRCULATION...THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS WAVE
COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS OVER PORTIONS
OF NORTHERN VENEZUELA...THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...PUERTO
RICO...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND HAITI OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
NNNN

hope i posted this correctly this is what i was asking about earlier

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2010062112&field=850mb+Vorticity&hour=Animation

Quoting TampaSpin:


Should be Orange at 40% for something to develop in 48HRS

That's my thinking. Perhaps a bump up to 30%.

Quoting hydrus:
A hand held battery charger for your cell phone can be a life saver. Especially when everything within 40 miles of you has been wiped off the Earth.

yea, including the cell towers