Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Quoting earthlydragonfly:
That is one large wave that just exited the west African Coast...

Is it just you and I that thinks that way- cause Ive been on here for an hour talking about that wave but noone is even mentioning it at all.

Quoting btwntx08:
its still attached with a front so no its not breaking off

And you know this....right?

Quoting Patrap:
Hurricane Cindy July 5-6 2005




95L

Wow, they're twins!

Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
35-38 if dvorak numbers warrant (obviously that is not the case with 96L). Once numbers reach 39 it is mandatory that a TCFA is issued. As a side note, remember that TCFA's are issued only during weekdays and never on weekends.

Had no clue, lol. What would they do if you got a Humberto on Saturday? By the time they issue the darn TCFA you have a hurricane on your hands. By tomorrow it'll definitely have enough points to get a TCFA though.

Quoting atmoaggie:
For now, you could use this: http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop_timestamp_640.asp?data_folder=rmtc/rmtcsasec4ir 404

Actually I've been using the Nasa rapid-fire imagery. Ramsdis is also good though.

Quoting cg2916:


Wow, they're twins!

More a climo lesson than twins..

Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
35-38 if dvorak numbers warrant (obviously that is not the case with 96L). Once numbers reach 39 it is mandatory that a TCFA is issued. As a side note, remember that TCFA's are issued only during weekdays and never on weekends.

just after midnight tonight if so needs be thats when it will be posted

Well just put my hurricane shutters to the east end of my house, nearly half done, I'll leave the rest for later, at least their on the side of the high winds, don't want to take any chances.

Quoting HurricaneSwirl:


Had no clue, lol. What would they do if you got a Humberto on Saturday? By the time they issue the darn TCFA you have a hurricane on your hands. By tomorrow it'll definitely have enough points to get a TCFA though.

Lol, just the way it works.

96L WNW my foot. That's NNW right now!

Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
just after midnight tonight if so needs be thats when it will be posted

Exactly right.

Quoting kuppenskup:


Is it just you and I that thinks that way- cause Ive been on here for an hour talking about that wave but noone is even mentioning it at all.

. I understand why... That is 2 weeks away from entering the Carib... Not hot off the presses.. but it sure is impressive. looks to have outflow and all.

95L reminds me of Marco (2008). Except it's not tropical.

NMFC Norfolk Tropical Feed
No Active Tropical Warnings in the Atlantic, Caribbean, or Gulf of Mexico


As of Sun 04 Jul 2010 19:30:02Z

Hi all. Tropical or not, 95L looks interesting. And I bet if it was be heading to Brownsville it would not have been "dead" yet.

04/1845 UTC 27.5N 89.8W T1.0/1.0 95L -- Atlantic

Quoting TerraNova:
95L reminds me of Marco (2008). It's fighting, I see curvature on the northeast side of the cloud deck but what convection it has is warm.

warm means the convection it has is not that strong

Quoting Patrap:
And the LSU Site is the Only one with the Wunderground tropical Link on a College site ..too

Check the "Tropical Weather" Link on the WAVCIS Page.

FSU models page links WU, too.

I am counting 4 AOIs right now, its all because doc went on vacation lol.

Quoting Hurricanes101:


warm means the convection it has is not that strong

compared to what it was yesterday and the day before.. this looks WAYY better

96L is congealing a bit further east. That may help it move through the channel instead of over the tip of the Yucatan.

Nevermind, lol.

Quoting Tazmanian:
04/1845 UTC 27.5N 89.8W T1.0/1.0 95L -- Atlantic

Thought it was dead?

Quoting jlp09550:
Hm.

Like I said, I am a new blogger and I may be wrong on this but the outflow is beginning to look impressive.

95L
04/1845 UTC 27.5N 89.8W T1.0/1.0 95L -- Atlantic

not ripped yet

Anyone else notice the new spin?? Straight west of Orlando, offshore about 100 miles maybe?

Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Uh-oh, you know what this means. Time to bump up those TCFA numbers.

04/1845 UTC 27.5N 89.8W T1.0/1.0 95L

thats 95L not 96L

Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Uh-oh, you know what this means. Time to bump up those TCFA numbers.

04/1845 UTC 27.5N 89.8W T1.0/1.0 95L

That's 95L, not 96L.

I feel we will have quite a few things to talk about over the next week. The feature approaching the Lesser Antilles looks interesting. Pressures do not appear to be falling yet, but there is a decent vorticy present which has increased since yesterday. Convection has also been holding steady. The wave which just exited Africa also looks impressive on IR.

Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Nevermind, lol.

fast

Quoting Tazmanian:



thats 95L not 96L

Quoting CybrTeddy:


That's 95L, not 96L.

LOL, yes yes. I found it very odd that 95L got bumped up.

Quoting EricSFL:
Hi all. Tropical or not, 95L looks interesting. And I bet if it was be heading to Brownsville it would not have been "dead" yet.

Rare is the morning in SE LA when we don't have any dew on any of the usual surfaces. This morning was one of those.



Too dry for 95L to do much of anything.

And for local concerns, winds from the east at 15 knots do kick up *some* wave action, but not a whole lot.

Quoting IKE:
Thought 95L was dead? Bloggers?

I do. And I still do. LOL.

Quoting IKE:
Thought 95L was dead? Bloggers?

95L is dead

Atmo hope we don't get a west wind on 96 because it's going to be Katy bar the door then. I know I shouldn't say this but 96 L is bugging me, as in a Camille only larger wind field size. That said I not posting anymore for a while.

Quoting IKE:
Thought 95L was dead? Bloggers?

sigh. just when I was warming up the pipes...

Quoting IKE:
Thought 95L was dead? Bloggers?

I'm with you. It's not over until they drop the invest. Or the fat lady sings. Whichever comes first.

...SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO...

PREFERENCE: 12Z UKMET/12Z ECMWF

THE 12Z NAM HAS TRENDED A LITTLE FASTER BUT REMAINS SLOWER AND
GENERALLY DEEPER THAN THE 12Z ECMWF/12Z UKMET SOLNS. THE 12Z GFS
APPEARS TO BE A FAST NRLY OUTLIER...ESP WITH ITS ENERGY ALOFT. THE
06Z GFS WAS MORE REASONABLE AND IN BETTER LINE WITH THE
ECMWF/UKMET CAMP. THE 12Z GEM GLOB APPEARS TO BE DEEP OUTLIER
ALOFT...AND PUTS MORE EMPHASIS ON A NEW GULF LOW ON DAY 2/3 THAT
TRACKS TWD THE GULF COAST WHICH IS NOT AT ALL SUPPORTED BY THE
OTHER GLOBAL MDLS. THE 12Z UKMET CONTINUES TO HAVE OVERALL THE
BEST HANDLE ON THE SYS WITH BETTER CONTINUITY AND ALSO CONTINUING
TO REFLECT A MORE PROGRESSIVE SOLN THAT ULTIMATELY TAKES THE
CURRENT LOW INTO SWRN LA TWD THE END OF DAY 1. HOWEVER...THE UKMET
SFC PRESSURES MAY BE A TAD TOO LOW BY THE END OF THE PD...AND TO
THAT EXTENT A BLEND WITH THE ECMWF IS SUGGESTED WHICH IS A BIT
WEAKER.

Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
I do. And I still do. LOL.

Your just so star struck with 96L that you can't think of anything else lol...Anything aimed at my state ima keep an eye...it may not be worthy of two eyes on it but one eye at least....them things can be sneaky lol

omg i about leave