Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Quoting seflagamma:
Hi everyone,

even thought I do not post here that much when there is no system out there, I do check in ...

and I do check the map of the Tropical Atlantic
I have in my blog...see below I brought it here.

and there is a nice swirl that just came off Africa.. between N5-N10...and it actually held it's swirl after it came off land...which most of them do not.

Is this something to watch? I will check back to see if any of you have mentioned it yet...
and come back to see if any of you answer my post...
What do you think?

Gams

gams, we've been talking about the EATL wave all day. It's something to watch, though most are reserving judgement on development until they see how that spin holds up...

Quoting Drakoen:


Judging by the latitude that could be a dust low.

Likely could be. Interesting to see though.

Quoting IKE:
12Z ECMWF.

10 day shows this tropical wave exiting Africa approaching S Florida

Hi everyone,

Well I rolled back and noticed a lot of you have already posted pictures of this swirl/wave off Africa but no one is really "talking" about it that I can see; just posting pictures...

Or is that what you are talking about in some of the "like Andrew" posts???

Hi Getty!

Quoting Drakoen:

Looks like it really hasn't completely emerged off Africa yet. Could be another reason for the NHC's lack of mentioning it on any surface map.

Quoting Hurricanes101:


10 day shows this tropical wave exiting Africa approaching S Florida

shhhh what evere you do dont show that mode run too JFV

Quoting Hurricanes101:


10 day shows this tropical wave exiting Africa approaching S Florida

Yup.

ECMWF 240 hours.

The chances of that verifying are near none at this point.

BTW, I wanted to say thanks to DR. CARVER for putting up with the crazy blog all week... it was indeed pretty wild a few times this week... lol.... also I found today's video blog interesting and a nice change since we don't have much in the way of maps to look at so far.... anybody seen a map of the flood coverage areas around the Rio Grande?

oh my, just took a refresh look at Andrew in 1992.. and Andrew did develope in about same location and stayed a TD then TS until very close.... I remember Andrew well..
I thought we were all going to DIE because no one was really prepared back in those days before we had internet weather...
and TWC was about as good as we got besides local news.....can you imagine how scary it would be to have TWC as our only n ews source today! YIKES!

and it "morphed" so quickly it caught people off guard.

and at last minute it took a dip South of Broward and really rolled over South Dade County..who were less prepared than Broward because they were suppose to be "south" of the storm when it made landfall..
.with Broward only marginally affected by comparison.

Quoting extreme236:


Looks like it really hasn't completely emerged off Africa yet. Could be another reason for the NHC's lack of mentioning it on any surface map.

It looks to be along 15-16W

thanks Baha! I see that now.. guess I should have read back before posting.. thanks everyone.

Isn't it quite possible that this wave could detach itself from the ITCZ and still be well south of the SAL and dry air considering how far south the ITCZ still is?

I mean we saw 92L get pretty well organized pretty far south and detach itself from the ITCZ, its only issue was it gained latitude much too quickly; 92L was a full month ago too.

Quoting Tazmanian:




shhhh what evere you do dont show that mode run too JFV

Too late!! He's here!! GettySquare!!

Quoting GettySquare:


You are such a doll, gamma.

I would not go that far.. LOL but thank you!

*What's the sense in banning someone if they can simply post under another SN? Why ban anybody?*

Quoting xcool:

Serious SAL there..that should help keep things in-check for awhile.

Quoting IKE:
*What's the sense in banning someone if they can simply post under another SN? Why ban anybody?*




Serious SAL there..that should help keep things in-check for awhile.

Because most people aren't disturbed or obsessed enough to register a NEW EMAIL EVERYDAY just to come on here. Especially when you start getting into the dozens...it really might be a medication issue..

Quoting BahaHurican:
U know, I'm not figuring how the WPac is so quiet right now.... EPac, I can understand, but WPac?? They're normally booming by now...

Yes, good point. The SSH's I posted back in 510 sure shows a great deal of warm, deep water piling up in the wPac. When anything does get going, hitting that water is likely to ramp up intensities. I haven't followed that too much. Hades usually posts some good information from those regions, especially when something gets going.

565. Drakoen 7:36 PM GMT on July 10, 2010

That is a great site. Dust shows up well on this one also, Drak. Last few frames. Some dust to the equator.

Can't loop links.

Go here, select Tru Color > modis composite > animate

He's driven quite a few away from this blog and I don't blame people for going elsewhere.

My God...it's just the weather.

It's hot outside...

WZEP AM 1460 DeFuniak Springs, FL, DeFuniak Springs, Florida (PWS)
Updated: 0 sec ago
Clear
92.1 °F
Clear
Humidity: 62%
Dew Point: 77 °F
Wind: 0.0 mph Variable
Wind Gust: 3.0 mph
Pressure: 29.89 in (Falling)
Heat Index: 106 °F
Visibility: 10.0 miles
UV: 13 out of 16
Pollen: 3.10 out of 12
Pollen Forecast new!
Clouds:
Clear -
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 174 ft

Quoting beell:
565. Drakoen 7:36 PM GMT on July 10, 2010

That is a great site. Dust shows up well on this one also, Drak. Last few frames. Some dust to the equator.

Tru Color Modis

Yea looks like the bulk of the dust is up and around the CV islands where the stratocumulus deck is most prominent, south of maybe some very light dust... cimss SAL product doesn't show anything in there though.

Quoting GettySquare:
NP, madame. How's everything over there in SW Florida?

I'm in SE Fla. and it is hot and humid!

You have a handle I have not seen before but you "sound" familar!

Quoting seflagamma:


I'm in SE Fla. and it is hot and humid!

You have a handle I have not seen before but you "sound" familar!

*snickering quietly*

Quoting Dirtleg:


*snickering quietly*

I guess I really am "behind" here huh? LOL

you sound familiar also.. hummmmmmmmmmmm

Quoting seflagamma:


I guess I really am "behind" here huh? LOL

you sound familiar also.. hummmmmmmmmmmm

Everyone is familiar! xD

gamma another JV copy?

i smell JFV

Drak, that actually looks like its developing inflow to the south western region of the system.

Getty IS JFV! Realized last night when after a brief mention of him in last nights blog, I was bombarded with an email saying I've hacked into his myspace account and daring me to hack into his facebook account. :) I'm under the same handle I've always been :)

Drak, you see AccuPro's new ECMWF?

Pretty awesome.

Quoting Stormchaser2007:
Drak, you see AccuPro's new ECMWF?

Pretty awesome.

I don't have accuweather pro but I am aware the addition

Quoting BahaHurican:
U know, I'm not figuring how the WPac is so quiet right now.... EPac, I can understand, but WPac?? They're normally booming by now...

It's all about the relative heat balance in the ocean. This is something I learned from Joe Bastardi....you want the warmest water relative to normal focused in the tropical breeding grounds to get an active season in any basin. Look at the cold PDO signature in the north Pacific with all that warm water near and east of Japan. That water is much warmer relative to normal than the waters down in the tropical west Pacific where the typhoons develop. The upward motion pattern gets distorted to the north and isn't focused properly over the tropics, resulting in less typhoon activity. The MJO is also naturally in a downward motion phase most of the time in the west Pacific because it's attracted to the Indian Ocean and Atlantic in a global pattern such as the one we're in now.

Is there any way to predict if the SAL is going to retreat (or whatever it does)?

Sorry if this is a dumb question.

Loop Current Now Over Gusher

http://www.floridaoilspilllaw.com/loop-current-directly-over-oil-gusher-trouble-for-florida-video

Quoting GettySquare:
for how long have you've been here, madame? (remember, by ignoring the cancerous plauqe, it'll stop botehring us).

teh main thing is taht a plague is easily spotted! lol wouldn't you agree Taz taht it is usually teh case?? :) :) :) :)

I would believe that is another version of JFV, if you remember how he talked on other names gamma you would understand what I mean

Quoting xcool:

Dark blue is just dry, or dry and dust?

have any one noted ever day this week he had have come back on here with at lest 7 names and evere one of them beeen banned

we have 2 active names of his in here taz