Flooding Continues Along the Rio Grande

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 08:52 GMT le 10 juillet 2010

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Hi everybody, Dr. Rob Carver filling in for Jeff while he's on vacation.

Things have quieted down in the tropics. No invests are active, and the tropical waves at sea don't have many thunderstorms associated with them. However, the moisture associated with Alex and TD Two is still bring widespread showers to Mexico/Texas which is contributing to flooding alon the Rio Grande. Here are several videos documenting the troubles along the Rio Grande.









Finally, here's a story about relief efforts in northern Mexico for villages cutoff by flood damaged roads and bridges.


Next update
Jeff should be back on Monday. Have a good weekend.

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Quoting sflawavedude:
well so far this season invests have had a hard time forming 'shear?' and td2 shouldnt have been a td.one had slow start but became alex. rough starting invests = slow seasons. dusty out tehre too. 10 most likely but mayby if lucky 11 or 12.


Alright, lets talk about shear shall we? First of all, you totally forgot 92L which dang near became a TD with its organization.. a CV wave in early June with that kind of organization is highly rare. Then we look at shear now vs climo.


(Gulf)


(Caribbean)


(East coast)


(tropical Atlantic)


(Sub-Tropical Atlantic)

In those images, don't look at were shear is currently to Climo look at what it trends to be since May when it really matters.. below average.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting HadesGodWyvern:
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL STORM CONSON (1002)
9:00 AM JST July 12 2010
============================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Seas East Of The Philippines

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Conson (1004 hPa) located at 14.2N 130.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 12 knots.

Gale Force Winds
=================
180 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================
24 HRS: 15.5N 126.6E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm):
48 HRS: 17.0N 122.9E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm)
72 HRS: 18.2N 118.7E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm)




about time may be i get my fishing pool and this hock on too too and bring it overe too the gulf of MX
Member Since: 21 mai 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115362
i be at 50,000 on tusday
Member Since: 21 mai 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115362
Quoting JLPR:
I always wanted to do this but I had to return to this handle to do the math xD

You have posted 37 entries in your own blog.

You have posted 5209 comments in all blogs.
+
You have posted 6 entries in your own blog.

You have posted 972 comments in all blogs.

So I have 43entries on my blog
and 6182comments
... hmm I thought it would be more LOL!


i right be hid pat
Member Since: 21 mai 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115362
2121. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL STORM CONSON (1002)
9:00 AM JST July 12 2010
============================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Seas East Of The Philippines

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Conson (1004 hPa) located at 14.2N 130.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 12 knots.

Gale Force Winds
=================
180 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================
24 HRS: 15.5N 126.6E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm):
48 HRS: 17.0N 122.9E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm)
72 HRS: 18.2N 118.7E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: 2 septembre 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
Quoting Hurricanejer95:


What about 2004, 2004 was still at 0-0-0 on Jul 11 and ended to be 15-9-6


I was just about to bring up such a case..

This graphic gets posted way too much, but I think it needs to be brought up again...


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2118. JLPR2
Quoting Grothar:


Yeah, it seems like more to us too!!! We thought you would never stop. j/k


haha! XD
The smileys contribute to that count. LOL!
Member Since: 4 septembre 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 8747
Quoting sflawavedude:
this season is beginning to turn into a bust! look at the dust maps theres lots more dust this year now tahn years past.2005 was up to the e storm by now and now still no b storm? runnin out of time to be excessive busy. mihgt be lucky to get 10 storms.


LOL! Nice try... 1969's first named storm didn't form until July 25th and the season ended up having 18 named storms.
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Quoting Randrewx:
Quoting Randrewx:
Sorry y'all...StormW is wrong right now.

But then again he sets himself up to be wrong all the time!




POOF!



I haven't been poofed yet pal!



Do NOT be disrespectful of Storm W. I keep my mouth shut on here mostly, but you're walking a thin line mister.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2114. Grothar
Quoting JLPR:
I always wanted to do this but I had to return to this handle to do the math xD

You have posted 37 entries in your own blog.

You have posted 5209 comments in all blogs.
+
You have posted 6 entries in your own blog.

You have posted 972 comments in all blogs.

So I have 43entries on my blog
and 6182comments
... hmm I thought it would be more LOL!


Yeah, it seems like more to us too!!! We thought you would never stop. j/k
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


There's no telling what is it now. That image is from almost 6 days ago. I'll be happy to see what it looks like tomorrow, if the stupif image is working!


My edit didn't go through.. It's probable that its gone up some since TD2 and Alex are long gone. You don't want good weather in the Gulf or Caribbean when it comes to SST's and TCHP. Adds to it substantially.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
well so far this season invests have had a hard time forming 'shear?' and td2 shouldnt have been a td.one had slow start but became alex. rough starting invests = slow seasons. dusty out tehre too. 10 most likely but mayby if lucky 11 or 12.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2111. xcool
CybrTeddy .hmmm
Member Since: 26 septembre 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15684
Quoting Grothar:
Patience, bloggers. We still have a way to go before the year is considered a bust. As anyone knows, the season could become active very rapidly.



I agree... I remember in 2004.. Once it started here in Central Fl. I thought it would never end... One after another...and another and another...
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Member Since: Posts: Comments:
hook ☑
line ☑
sinker ☑

Blog ON
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Quoting CybrTeddy:

Exactly! A slow early part of July (We've had 2 tropical cyclones as a matter of fact, Alex made landfall UTC on July 1st and persisted into July 2nd and TD2)

TCHP


There's no telling what is it now. That image is from almost 6 days ago. I'll be happy to see what it looks like tomorrow, if the stupif image is working!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hehehe! *Steals Grothar's image*.

Impressive wave behind the one off of the coast of Africa.

Member Since: 2 septembre 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
Quoting xcool:
2010 IS SO OVER HAHA LMAO LMAO


I really hope your joking..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2103. JLPR
I always wanted to do this but I had to return to this handle to do the math xD

You have posted 37 entries in your own blog.

You have posted 5209 comments in all blogs.
+
You have posted 6 entries in your own blog.

You have posted 972 comments in all blogs.

So I have 43entries on my blog
and 6182comments
... hmm I thought it would be more LOL!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KoritheMan:


We actually had eight during the month of September (Felix, Gabrielle, Humberto, Ingrid, Jerry, Karen, Lorenzo, and Melissa).

Exactly! A slow early part of July (We've had 2 tropical cyclones as a matter of fact, Alex made landfall UTC on July 1st and persisted into July 2nd and TD2)

TCHP
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting sflawavedude:
this season is beginning to turn into a bust! look at the dust maps theres lots more dust this year now tahn years past.2005 was up to the e storm by now and now still no b storm? runnin out of time to be excessive busy. mihgt be lucky to get 10 storms.


What about 2004, 2004 was still at 0-0-0 on Jul 11 and ended to be 15-9-6
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oops. sorry storm...didn't mean to make you work on the weekend! thanks for your insight on the SAL...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Randrewx:
Quoting Randrewx:
Sorry y'all...StormW is wrong right now.

But then again he sets himself up to be wrong all the time!




POOF!



I haven't been poofed yet pal!



You have now! POOF!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2097. xcool
2010 IS SO OVER HAHA LMAO LMAO
Member Since: 26 septembre 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15684
Quoting StormW:


Yep, da list keeps growin'
LOL, that makes 2 of us.
Member Since: 2 septembre 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
2095. JLPR
I see we got some downcasters here tonight, along with one that is nuts LOL

*grabs some popcorn following Ike's example*
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Quoting CybrTeddy:


Wow.. just wow.. I have no idea how to begin with this post. Okay were do I begin. SAL you mentioned.. take a look at the 2005 hurricane season. How many storms formed out by Africa? Almost none.. Irene and that is it. Arlene - Emily all formed well away from SAL near Caribbean. What makes you think we'll have 10 storms only? Have you even bothered to take a look at any of the other data? Record SST's and TCHP? Shear being average-below average for the month of July. Then lets look at 2007. One storm formed that month.. Chantal.. and how many storms did we have in September? 7 to be exact. We ended up with 15 named the entire season including 2 Category 5s. Also to note again we've already had a Category 2 make landfall near the US. That right there is a telling sign.


We actually had eight during the month of September (Felix, Gabrielle, Humberto, Ingrid, Jerry, Karen, Lorenzo, and Melissa).
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2090. 900MB
Hey Storm!
I thought the comments about the current season are like saying that it won't snow in the Rockies based on Sept snowfall rate!
Anyway, you think there is any chance for my low coming off Georgia to go stationary over water and develope? It is toast warm on the East Coast (SST wise). Just when you think it is quiet a stalled front can get things going...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2089. Grothar




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Quoting sflawavedude:
this season is beginning to turn into a bust! look at the dust maps theres lots more dust this year now tahn years past.2005 was up to the e storm by now and now still no b storm? runnin out of time to be excessive busy. mihgt be lucky to get 10 storms.


Wow.. just wow.. I have no idea how to begin with this post. Okay were do I begin. SAL you mentioned.. take a look at the 2005 hurricane season. How many storms formed out by Africa? Almost none.. Irene and that is it. Arlene - Emily all formed well away from SAL near Caribbean. What makes you think we'll have 10 storms only? Have you even bothered to take a look at any of the other data? Record SST's and TCHP? Shear being average-below average for the month of July. Then lets look at 2007. One storm formed that month.. Chantal.. and how many storms did we have in September? 7 to be exact. We ended up with 15 named the entire season including 2 Category 5s. Also to note again we've already had a Category 2 make landfall near the US. That right there is a telling sign. I'm sorry to sound rude or arrogant, I mean no disrespect. You just don't go on saying that without looking at any of the data.
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Storm is up and poofin'! Good to see him feeling happy.
Member Since: 2 septembre 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
Quoting StormW:




lol Storm.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2084. aquak9
let's just be very thankful for the peace and calm in the gulf right now.

If it goes all season, heck I'll bake a cake and send it to someone.

heck, i'll bake cakes and cookies and brownies for everyone.
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Quoting sflawavedude:
this season is beginning to turn into a bust! look at the dust maps theres lots more dust this year now tahn years past.2005 was up to the e storm by now and now still no b storm? runnin out of time to be excessive busy. mihgt be lucky to get 10 storms.


Are you crazy?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2082. IKE
*got a bag of popcorn in my microwave just a poppin*
Member Since: 9 juin 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
2081. xcool
NEW FORECAST COME SOON BY XCOOL. HAHA
Member Since: 26 septembre 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15684
2080. Grothar
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Quoting sflawavedude:
this season is beginning to turn into a bust! look at the dust maps theres lots more dust this year now tahn years past.2005 was up to the e storm by now and now still no b storm? runnin out of time to be excessive busy. mihgt be lucky to get 10 storms.
ROFL! You people are killing me...
Member Since: 2 septembre 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
2077. Grothar
Patience, bloggers. We still have a way to go before the year is considered a bust. As anyone knows, the season could become active very rapidly.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2076. IKE
Quoting earthlydragonfly:


I love SAL!! It makes me happy.. Oil and bad economy is enough Tragedy for me...


Amen bro.
Member Since: 9 juin 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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