Flooding Continues Along the Rio Grande

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 08:52 GMT le 10 juillet 2010

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Hi everybody, Dr. Rob Carver filling in for Jeff while he's on vacation.

Things have quieted down in the tropics. No invests are active, and the tropical waves at sea don't have many thunderstorms associated with them. However, the moisture associated with Alex and TD Two is still bring widespread showers to Mexico/Texas which is contributing to flooding alon the Rio Grande. Here are several videos documenting the troubles along the Rio Grande.









Finally, here's a story about relief efforts in northern Mexico for villages cutoff by flood damaged roads and bridges.


Next update
Jeff should be back on Monday. Have a good weekend.

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Quoting klaatuborada:
Well, yesterday here on the Cape of Cod we FINALLY had rain, BUT it was what I call "Florida" rain. It rained for approx 10 minutes, a complete downpour, then stopped. I went to the fish store 3 miles away, and it was raining there; sun on one side, rain on the other. After 20 minutes the rain was gone and on top of the heat we were in the mugglies, or what we refer to as the fugglies, (use your imagination). To our North and West is where most of the rain went, so much so that there was flooding in Boston. This is going to be a very interesting summer.
So that photo I posted earlier would look familiar to you... lol

At least u got a couple of minutes, which is better than none. I actually went and looked at the sat loop to see if any of the convection brushed u guys.

Maybe u will get another 20 minutes today... little drips, I know, but better than no drops at all...
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Sure am glad I'm not in Lake Pont. during that,
looks like it might have been some choppy waters out their.
Member Since: 23 août 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1918
1724. hydrus
Quoting Tazmanian:



i think the earth dead by that time
It is my harmless opinion when I say the Earth will be doing just fine in 94,000,000 years..There will be changes though... Us humans probably wont be here, but if they are, they will look a lot different than they do today.
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Quoting hydrus:
Yes...May the blog live until the year...93873587 A.D


Didn't you know, you're not allowed to use AD anymore. My daughter in public school informed me that the use of Anno Domini is no longer to be used because of it's religious implications.
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1722. Patrap
BP Live feeds from remotely operated vehicles (ROV)

ROV footage - live stream
Live video links from the ROVs monitoring the damaged riser.
Please be aware, these are live streams and may freeze or be unavailable from time to time.
Live feeds from Ocean Intervention III

ROV 1
ROV 2
Live feeds from Viking Poseidon
ROV 1
ROV 2
Live feeds from Boa Deep C
ROV 1
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Live feeds from Skandi
ROV 1
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Live feeds from Enterprise
ROV 1
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Live feeds from Q4000
ROV 1
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Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129841
1721. Patrap
NEXRAD Radar
New Orleans, Base Reflectivity 0.50 Degree Elevation Range 124 NMI

Classic Gust Fronts this afternoon here.


Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129841
Quoting Grothar:


Yes, I have. We are on Coral Ridge, which is a very highest part of the island. Our road is about 10' above the Intracoastal level. Our house is in a mound about 25 feet above that. Believe it or not, we are not considered a flood zone. Even though I was able to get a separate policy.
Sorry to take so long to respond, Grothar - got called away unexpectedly...

This actually sounds like about the best one can expect in S Florida... u should be OK there. But a cat5 would still give me the heebiejeebies... I'd be more worried about roof damage, then. That's my biggest fear this year, the wind just peelin' back the tar-paper....
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Quoting hydrus:
Yes...May the blog live until the year...93873587 A.D



i think the earth dead by that time
Member Since: 21 mai 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115454
1717. hydrus
Quoting klaatuborada:


Long live the blog!
Yes...May the blog live until the year...93873587 A.D
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Quoting gator23:

the Atlantic is dead


Last time I swam in it something bit me, so it's not dead yet. Give BP more time.
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1695. BahaHurican

This graphic will give you an idea of the extent of the winds. The NHC was located in Coral Gables at that time.
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1714. oakland
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Have you noticed that usually, when there is only about 1-2 storms in June and July combined, we get a really active August, September, and October?


Yes, unfortunately.
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Quoting Grothar:


Here 09, look what I found. A nice globe view of the waves.



I am kind of interested in that one way back crossing the Red Sea, it is really far north. Most waves go through Addis Ababa, this one is wayy north of there into Sudan and southern Egypt near Aswan.
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Link

Looks like a setup to me!!
Member Since: 23 août 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1918
Quoting Grothar:


144 hours!!!! I may not even be around in 144 hours.
ROFL!!!
Member Since: 2 septembre 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
1708. Grothar
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
12z ECMWF showing a sharply inverted tropical wave north of the Greater Antilles at 144 hours. Telling from that time-frame, that tropical wave could be the one currently off the coast of Africa or the one just behind it. This tropical wave continues WNW motion into S. FLA at 240 hours as a strong tropical wave or tropical depression. The ECMWF has been showing this since yesterday and should be watched if it continues to show it, but at this point take it with a grain of salt.

ECMWF 12z 144 hours



ECMWF 12z 240 hours



144 hours!!!! I may not even be around in 144 hours.
Member Since: 17 juillet 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27208
Quoting Tazmanian:
the blog is dead


Long live the blog!
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1706. gator23
Quoting Tazmanian:
the blog is dead

the Atlantic is dead
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the blog is dead
Member Since: 21 mai 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115454
Quoting Grothar:


Here 09, look what I found. A nice globe view of the waves.

LOL!
Member Since: 2 septembre 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
12z ECMWF showing a sharply inverted tropical wave north of the Greater Antilles at 144 hours. Telling from that time-frame, that tropical wave could be the one currently off the coast of Africa or the one just behind it. This tropical wave continues WNW motion into S. FLA at 240 hours as a strong tropical wave or tropical depression. The ECMWF has been showing this since yesterday and should be watched if it continues to show it, but at this point take it with a grain of salt.

ECMWF 12z 144 hours



ECMWF 12z 240 hours





i get the popcorn out then you can put some salt on it for me
Member Since: 21 mai 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115454
1702. Grothar
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
12z ECMWF showing a sharply inverted tropical wave north of the Greater Antilles at 144 hours. Telling from that time-frame, that tropical wave could be the one currently off the coast of Africa or the one just behind it. This tropical wave continues WNW motion into S. FLA at 240 hours as a strong tropical wave or tropical depression. The ECMWF has been showing this since yesterday and should be watched if it continues to show it, but at this point take it with a grain of salt.

ECMWF 12z 144 hours



ECMWF 12z 240 hours



Here 09, look what I found. A nice globe view of the waves.

Member Since: 17 juillet 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27208
12z ECMWF showing a sharply inverted tropical wave north of the Greater Antilles at 144 hours. Telling from that time-frame, that tropical wave could be the one currently off the coast of Africa or the one just behind it. This tropical wave continues WNW motion into S. FLA at 240 hours as a strong tropical wave or tropical depression. The ECMWF has been showing this since yesterday and should be watched if it continues to show it, but at this point take it with a grain of salt.

ECMWF 12z 144 hours



ECMWF 12z 240 hours

Member Since: 2 septembre 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
1700. oakland
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Yep.


The actual call letters is WPLG.
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Quoting JLPR2:


but why? :\
I would help it create multiple accounts LOL!



lol
Member Since: 21 mai 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115454
Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
It's just that some people think he's a cute troll when he is really ugly. But cleaning up your blog is never a bad thing. Especially since you do a great job with your blog.

I really see nothing out in the tropics that is especially compelling.


Definitely. I remember as FIU2010 he would plagiarize and copy word for word reports done by experienced meteorologists. Not even a word changed! He also has a thing for cursing out children. I dunno why.
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1697. gator23
Quoting BahaHurican:
At the time Andrew went through, [I stand to be corrected] I think NHC was closer to downtown [according to wiki, it was just north of Kendall at the time].

However, I seriously would not describe NHC's current location as "rural". Suburban is the best u can get away with as a description.

Right, so I measured the distance from downtown Kendall to downtown Homestead in Google Earth and got less than 18 miles as the crow flies... how far out did Andrew's cat5 winds extend again? According to wikipedia "Category 5 conditions on land occurred only in a small region of southern Dade (now Miami-Dade) County, specifically close to the coast in Cutler Ridge". Cutler Ridge, now Cutler Bay, is only 6-7 miles south of downtown Kendal.

So I think we are pretty much splitting hairs with this storm when it comes to prepping for a cat 5. Kendall likely experienced strong cat4 winds, and southern Kendall was extremely close to the area of cat5 winds.

I also concur with pple who understand the metropolitan area concept; pple here say all the time "I am going to Miami" - and that can mean anywhere from Key West to Palm Beach! U have to ask, "Where u staying?" to find out it's Kendall or Hollywood or Boca....

Leo mean suburban he said it later. He was also confused between metro and city he thought metro meant city.
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1696. JLPR2
Quoting Tazmanian:
dran you SAL i wish i can put the SAL up on Ignore


but why? :\
I would help it create multiple accounts LOL!
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Quoting leo305:


How so? The NHC is in rural miami, homestead is south west of miami.
At the time Andrew went through, [I stand to be corrected] I think NHC was closer to downtown [according to wiki, it was just north of Kendall at the time].

However, I seriously would not describe NHC's current location as "rural". Suburban is the best u can get away with as a description.

Right, so I measured the distance from downtown Kendall to downtown Homestead in Google Earth and got less than 18 miles as the crow flies... how far out did Andrew's cat5 winds extend again? According to wikipedia "Category 5 conditions on land occurred only in a small region of southern Dade (now Miami-Dade) County, specifically close to the coast in Cutler Ridge". Cutler Ridge, now Cutler Bay, is only 6-7 miles south of downtown Kendal.

So I think we are pretty much splitting hairs with this storm when it comes to prepping for a cat 5. Kendall likely experienced strong cat4 winds, and southern Kendall was extremely close to the area of cat5 winds.

I also concur with pple who understand the metropolitan area concept; pple here say all the time "I am going to Miami" - and that can mean anywhere from Key West to Palm Beach! U have to ask, "Where u staying?" to find out it's Kendall or Hollywood or Boca....
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what are the be loveing mode runs showing today
Member Since: 21 mai 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115454
Quoting aquak9:


I saw that too!!! First ray of hope I've had in 80+ days!!!


Yup hooray for BP. Looking good so far ... now if the hurricanes will just continue to cooperate for a while. Amazing what they do with those ROVs.

WTO
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Quoting DestinJeff:


has anybody else noticed Max saying "hmmmm" a lot during broadcasts?


don't talk about max that way.....brian norcross had his eye thing.switch...
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1690. beell
Quoting weathersp:
Dakar, Senegal historical upper air plot, RH/winds.


No wave passage yet-thru 18Z
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dran you SAL i wish i can put the SAL up on Ignore
Member Since: 21 mai 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115454
Well, yesterday here on the Cape of Cod we FINALLY had rain, BUT it was what I call "Florida" rain. It rained for approx 10 minutes, a complete downpour, then stopped. I went to the fish store 3 miles away, and it was raining there; sun on one side, rain on the other. After 20 minutes the rain was gone and on top of the heat we were in the mugglies, or what we refer to as the fugglies, (use your imagination). To our North and West is where most of the rain went, so much so that there was flooding in Boston. This is going to be a very interesting summer.
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Dakar, Senegal historical upper air plot, RH/winds.
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I wouldn't go by the lack of activity so far as to judge if this will be an active season or not, this is the first June that we had a hurricane in quite a few years and nearly became a major one at that. In 2004 I think we had our first depression on July 31 and that was a very active year, after Ivan I stop counting because basically I didn't have any contact with outside world( only cell phone) til about 6 weeks after, by then the season was about over and what a one it was, one that I personally will never forget. Ithink come end of July to mid October we can reassess/revisit the predictions for this Season, til then sit back, we could still be in for a heck of a ride.
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Link

This wave isnt near as impresive as it was this morning is the SAL choking it out?
Member Since: 23 août 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1918
1683. beell
Interesting to ponder the role of the meteorologist's that promised the whole free world a weather window suitable to try and cap this well. Kinda like the D-Day mets.


Three cheers for the gulf coast ridge. In any other year we would be cursing the heat and lack of rain this coming week.

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1681. gator23
Quoting stormhank:
I dont understand why people want to act so ignorant on this blog..its a weather/ hurricane blog..for people to chat.learn and get info about tropical weather...geesh they need to sell their pc to a pawn shop and take intelligent lessons from somebody,,,hopefully they can get lessons on a lay a way plan lol

Did you just say... GEESH?
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1680. gator23
Quoting PensacolaDoug:


Who're yall talking about?

hey Doug, the guy we always talk about when its slow
JFV
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I dont understand why people want to act so ignorant on this blog..its a weather/ hurricane blog..for people to chat.learn and get info about tropical weather...geesh they need to sell their pc to a pawn shop and take intelligent lessons from somebody,,,hopefully they can get lessons on a lay a way plan lol
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Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
It's just that some people think he's a cute troll when he is really ugly. But cleaning up your blog is never a bad thing. Especially since you do a great job with your blog.

I really see nothing out in the tropics that is especially compelling.


Who're yall talking about?
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1677. Patrap
SAL and the Canaries,LARGE

Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129841
1676. Grothar
Quoting DestinJeff:


has anybody else noticed Max saying "hmmmm" a lot during broadcasts?


Some of us do that to keep our teeth from moving around too much.
Member Since: 17 juillet 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27208

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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