Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Flooding Continues Along the Rio Grande

Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 08:52 GMT le 10 juillet 2010

Hi everybody, Dr. Rob Carver filling in for Jeff while he's on vacation.

Things have quieted down in the tropics. No invests are active, and the tropical waves at sea don't have many thunderstorms associated with them. However, the moisture associated with Alex and TD Two is still bring widespread showers to Mexico/Texas which is contributing to flooding alon the Rio Grande. Here are several videos documenting the troubles along the Rio Grande.

Finally, here's a story about relief efforts in northern Mexico for villages cutoff by flood damaged roads and bridges.

Next update
Jeff should be back on Monday. Have a good weekend.

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1302. TampaSpin 14:16 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
EVeryone have a good Day.....i'm OUT! Member Since: 2 septembre 2007 Posts: 175 Comments: 19747

1304. MiamiHurricanes09 14:17 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting DestinJeff: D'OH! Missed it by 1! LMAO! Member Since: 2 septembre 2009 Posts: 129 Comments: 19976

1305. Ossqss 14:17 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Member Since: 12 juin 2005 Posts: 6 Comments: 8154

1307. Ameister12 14:22 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Cool image of Hurricane Bertha (1996) 14 years ago today. Member Since: 9 août 2009 Posts: 9 Comments: 3517

1308. beell 14:24 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn: HPC's Tropical Desk labels it "Near Equatorial Trough" on their Caribbean Charts. Morning, nrt. That is a very cool chart, thank you. I had not seen that one before. But...where were you last night, LOL? After I had already "rolled over"? Member Since: 11 septembre 2007 Posts: 124 Comments: 12877

1309. Ameister12 14:25 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting DestinJeff: D'OH! Missed it by 1! Ha Ha! Member Since: 9 août 2009 Posts: 9 Comments: 3517

1310. beell 14:27 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting bappit: Those monsoonal troughs are everywhere! I think we had one over Texas last week! Member Since: 11 septembre 2007 Posts: 124 Comments: 12877

1311. Patrap 14:34 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
BP Live feeds from remotely operated vehicles (ROV) ROV footage - live stream Live video links from the ROVs monitoring the damaged riser. Please be aware, these are live streams and may freeze or be unavailable from time to time. Live feeds from Ocean Intervention III ROV 1 ROV 2 Live feeds from Viking Poseidon ROV 1 ROV 2 Live feeds from Boa Deep C ROV 1 ROV 2 Live feeds from Skandi ROV 1 ROV 2 Live feeds from Enterprise ROV 1 ROV 2 Live feeds from Q4000 ROV 1 ROV 2 Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111403

1312. Cavin Rawlins 14:35 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting weathermanwannabe: Nice observations there 456 and hope you and your Family are doing fine.....So, if I read some of your analysis correctly, is there also an "uptick" in the Walker Circulation, combined with the La Nina conditions, which also contributes to suppressing W-Pac activity at the moment? The Walker Circulation has been largely overshadowed. The normal state is upward in the WPAC and downward in the EPAC. It has been downward everywhere across the PAC due to an even larger scale longitudinal circulation that encompasses the Atlantic. Member Since: 24 juillet 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076

1313. nrtiwlnvragn 14:36 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting beell: Morning, nrt. That is a very cool chart, thank you. I had not seen that one before. But...where were you last night, LOL? After I had already "rolled over"? HPC International Desk Homepage The link I previously posted is under Tropical Desk -> Charts Member Since: 23 septembre 2005 Posts: 11 Comments: 8925

1314. Patrap 14:37 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Sealing Cap Installation Overview with Kent Wells - 9 July 2010 Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111403

1315. AussieStorm 14:38 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting Ameister12: How come? I will be going there in December to visit wife's family. I no right now they need rain but not by the typhoon load. Member Since: 30 septembre 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13325

1316. beell 14:40 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
GFS still showing a focus for development in the SW Caribbean next weekend. A gyre-induced monsoonal, typhoonal, near equatorial trough that will have us guessing on EPAC or ATL development as the vorts spin around this feature. Link Member Since: 11 septembre 2007 Posts: 124 Comments: 12877

1317. IKE 14:41 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO 1030 AM CDT SUN JUL 11 2010 .SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE WILL PERSIST ALONG 26N THROUGH TUE SHIFTING TO THE N ALONG 30N BY THU. SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 AM EDT SUN JUL 11 2010 .SYNOPSIS...A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 83W WILL MOVE INLAND OVER NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS AND INTO THE GULF OF HONDURAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THEN W OF THE AREA MON NIGHT. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 72W WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THEN ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN MON AND TUE MOVING INLAND WED. A THIRD TROPICAL WAVE WILL APPROACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THU. Member Since: 9 juin 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044

1318. Bordonaro 14:42 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting beell: I think we had one over Texas last week! Even normally dry North Central TX, Arlington-Dallas-Ft Worth has had between 4-6 inches of rain from 6-28 through 7-10. Some areas have had up to 10" Member Since: 25 août 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785

1319. IKE 14:42 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
SAL..... Member Since: 9 juin 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044

1320. hydrus 14:43 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting Ameister12: Cool image of Hurricane Bertha (1996) 14 years ago today. Looks rather benign in that image. Member Since: 27 septembre 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14287

1321. Bordonaro 14:45 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn: HPC International Desk Homepage The link I previously posted is under Tropical Desk -> Charts Very nice charting. Member Since: 25 août 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785

1322. Bordonaro 14:46 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting Dakster: Safe to say we hit 1300... How is our African Wave looking today? Like there is a war between it and the SAL. And the SAL appears to be winning :o(.. Member Since: 25 août 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785

1323. txag91met 14:48 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09: There have been several powerful Cape Verde-type hurricanes develop in July. 1. Allen (1980) 2. Bertha (1996) 3. Emily (2005) 4. Bertha (2008) And these are just major hurricanes, I'm sure that there have been many more tropical storms and hurricanes originating from the Cape Verde's in July. Allen really didn't get started until early August...formed July 31. Member Since: 30 janvier 2005 Posts: 6 Comments: 729

1324. SavannahStorm 14:48 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Wave looking good on MIMIC, lots of cyclonic turning. The MIMIC imagery has been going haywire the last few days, though. Is the solar activity to blame? Member Since: 22 septembre 2005 Posts: 18 Comments: 2135

1325. weathermanwannabe 14:50 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting Weather456: The Walker Circulation has been largely overshadowed. The normal state is upward in the WPAC and downward in the EPAC. It has been downward everywhere across the PAC due to an even larger scale longitudinal circulation that encompasses the Atlantic. Thank You. Member Since: 8 août 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 6691

1326. Bordonaro 14:51 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting TampaSpin: Lots of dry air to the North of the blob coming off of Africa as noted above: For sure going WEST..... Only 15-20 kts of Shear at the Max if that..... SST's are ok in the area but, just a little cooler to the WEst.... Overall and after looking at everything with the CV blob......i would give it a 30% chance of Convection and a LLC develop in the next 72hrs as Dry air as the truly only obstacle to overcome and slightly cooler SST's to the West! Something truly to watch! A major concern is the SST in the Mid-Atlantic/NorthEastern US Atlantic coastal waters. They are several degrees ABOVE normal, even warmer in many cases than in late August in a normal year. When the 2010 ATL Hurricane Season cranks up in Aug & Sept, any hurricane that crosses those waters will not weaken as quickly as they normally do. Considering there is 75 million people living in that are, they should be aware they are also at risk for being clobbered by a major hurricane. Member Since: 25 août 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785

1327. MiamiHurricanes09 14:57 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Blog Update! July 11, 2010 - 11:00 AM EDT - Tropics Inactive, But Will It Last? Member Since: 2 septembre 2009 Posts: 129 Comments: 19976

1328. Chicklit 14:57 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Good morning, Record Report Statement as of 4:15 PM EDT on July 10, 2010 ... Record high temperature tied at Daytona Beach... The high temperature this afternoon (Saturday) of 97 degrees equaled the record high at Daytona Beach today. The record for the date... July 10... was previously set in 1930. Member Since: 11 juillet 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 10254

1330. weathermanwannabe 14:59 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting Bordonaro: A major concern is the SST in the Mid-Atlantic/NorthEastern US Atlantic coastal waters. They are several degrees ABOVE normal, even warmer in many cases than in late August in a normal year. When the 2010 ATL Hurricane Season cranks up in Aug & Sept, any hurricane that crosses those waters will not weaken as quickly as they normally do. Considering there is 75 million people living in that are, they should be aware they are also at risk for being clobbered by a major hurricane. Reason I just stopped my Summer in-shore fishing trips arouind the Big Bend of Florida and gonna take the customay break until the Fall fronts (and mullet) start coming through again; the bite was real good in April and has gone downhill over the last several weeks.....Coastal waters just too damn hot right now along the Florida Gulf Coast too. Member Since: 8 août 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 6691

1331. MiamiHurricanes09 15:00 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting Baltimorebirds: From Sherly,our weather expert here in baltimore says she doesn't think nothing will form in the atlantic for the next 2-3 weeks. LOL, that's an unintelligent meteorologist, apparently she doesn't have much common sense. You would think she would know how spontaneous tropical development is. Member Since: 2 septembre 2009 Posts: 129 Comments: 19976

1332. weathermanwannabe 15:01 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09: LOL, that's an unintelligent meteorologist. You would think she would know how spontaneous tropical development is. Actually, log her comments; She may be right...... Member Since: 8 août 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 6691

1334. MiamiHurricanes09 15:04 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting weathermanwannabe: Actually, log her comments; She may be right...... There is no way that you could forecast tropical cyclogenesis 2 to 3 weeks out regardless of what global models predict. Think about it, you don't know if a tropical wave will be moving into favorable conditions in the Caribbean 3 weeks from now and exploding in strength. IMO, tropical cyclogenesis can't be forecasted passed the 5 day period. Member Since: 2 septembre 2009 Posts: 129 Comments: 19976

1335. MiamiHurricanes09 15:06 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting Baltimorebirds: She was pointing out the sal,and sinking air,and said that won't go away anytime soon.I think we may see development before that time frame though. Sinking air? I doubt we'll even be a week with downward motion this month. Member Since: 2 septembre 2009 Posts: 129 Comments: 19976

1336. AussieStorm 15:07 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting Chicklit: Good morning, Record Report Statement as of 4:15 PM EDT on July 10, 2010 ... Record high temperature tied at Daytona Beach... The high temperature this afternoon (Saturday) of 97 degrees equaled the record high at Daytona Beach today. The record for the date... July 10... was previously set in 1930. I saw on TWC Australia, that Baghdad Iraq was meant to hit 51C(123F) today. now that's hot. Member Since: 30 septembre 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13325

1337. Chicklit 15:07 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Eastern U. S. - Rainbow Loop Rutgers Univ SSTs Member Since: 11 juillet 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 10254

1338. beell 15:09 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09: Sinking air? I doubt we'll even be a week with downward motion this month. TUTT induced sinking air. Member Since: 11 septembre 2007 Posts: 124 Comments: 12877

1339. TropicalAnalystwx13 15:10 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25292

1340. Bordonaro 15:10 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting weathermanwannabe: Reason I just stopped my Summer in-shore fishing trips arouind the Big Bend of Florida and gonna take the customay break until the Fall fronts (and mullet) start coming through again; the bite was real good in April and has gone downhill over the last several weeks.....Coastal waters just too damn hot right now along the Florida Gulf Coast too. SST's in the Gulf of Mexico and eastern Atlantic off FL are between 82-88F. Just think, a piece of the Bermuda High is going to nose in over most of the eastern GOM this week. The sun will add more fuel to the fire. I feel by 8-10-2010, things will become very busy in the Tropical Atlantic. Enjoy the brief break!! Member Since: 25 août 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785

1341. MiamiHurricanes09 15:11 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting beell: TUTT induced sinking air. Ahhh, I see. When she said sinking air I just immediately thought MJO. Member Since: 2 septembre 2009 Posts: 129 Comments: 19976

1342. beell 15:11 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting beell: TUTT induced sinking air. Quite independent of the MJO. Member Since: 11 septembre 2007 Posts: 124 Comments: 12877

1345. Chicklit 15:12 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
I am very happy that weather conditions will not prevent work on containing the DeepWater spill. Hi Aussie, saw some pretty brutal dust storms over in the Middle East not long ago too. Those record setting temps plus the flooding in China and the heatwave up in the northeast and the oil spill in the Gulf will hopefully provide incentive to get a realizable, global energy policy going for the 21st Century. Not trying to start a political battle here, just talking about the weather. ;) Member Since: 11 juillet 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 10254

1346. CybrTeddy 15:14 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09: Sinking air? I doubt we'll even be a week with downward motion this month. That probably explains the inactive in the WPAC as well. MJO is stuck in our basin as said before due to the fact all the heat is bundled up in the Atlantic and MJO tends to stick with where heat is the most abundant. MJO has constantly been refusing forecasts.. we should have been in a Downward motion weeks ago and again now and we have not. We got neutral MJO briefly, then returned to upward pulse whenever Alex formed. Member Since: 8 juillet 2005 Posts: 253 Comments: 20240

1347. Bordonaro 15:15 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting Baltimorebirds: And I thought we had it bad in baltimore with humidity levels.Guess not. In the Bahrain & United Arab Emeriates, they have 110F air temps, with high humidity & heat indices between 130-140F. Try to deal with that for 3-4 mos/yr!! In North TX the highest heat indices are near 100-105F for about 1-2 months every summer. Rarely we see them at 110-115F That is when you walk out of a cool air conditioned house and are sweating in less than 10 seconds. Member Since: 25 août 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785

1348. AussieStorm 15:15 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting Baltimorebirds: And I thought we had it bad in baltimore with humidity levels.Guess not. Member Since: 30 septembre 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13325

1349. Chicklit 15:16 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
No flippin kiddin' Bordonaro. We've bought some time (sigh of relief...!!!) We're still in the preview stage of the big show that is Hurricane Season 2010. Just looking at that monster wave coming off CV should be enough of a warning. Develop or not, it's there and it looks like Dogzilla. Member Since: 11 juillet 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 10254

1350. weathermanwannabe 15:16 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Quoting Bordonaro: SST's in the Gulf of Mexico and eastern Atlantic off FL are between 82-88F. Just think, a piece of the Bermuda High is going to nose in over most of the eastern GOM this week. The sun will add more fuel to the fire. I feel by 8-10-2010, things will become very busy in the Tropical Atlantic. Enjoy the brief break!! I don't know what the long-term H-Season will bring but the short term high pressure ridging will make the next few weeks miserably hot in Florida and along the Gulf Coast for sure....I actually just bought a few hundred dollars worth of thermal window treatments yesterday to install next weekend to try and keep the heat out (and the AC bills down) in anticipation. Member Since: 8 août 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 6691

1351. AussieStorm 15:20 GMT le 11 juillet 2010
Look at the pressure reading. Member Since: 30 septembre 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13325

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