Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

12z ECMWF showing a sharply inverted tropical wave north of the Greater Antilles at 144 hours. Telling from that time-frame, that tropical wave could be the one currently off the coast of Africa or the one just behind it. This tropical wave continues WNW motion into S. FLA at 240 hours as a strong tropical wave or tropical depression. The ECMWF has been showing this since yesterday and should be watched if it continues to show it, but at this point take it with a grain of salt.

ECMWF 12z 144 hours



ECMWF 12z 240 hours

Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
12z ECMWF showing a sharply inverted tropical wave north of the Greater Antilles at 144 hours. Telling from that time-frame, that tropical wave could be the one currently off the coast of Africa or the one just behind it. This tropical wave continues WNW motion into S. FLA at 240 hours as a strong tropical wave or tropical depression. The ECMWF has been showing this since yesterday and should be watched if it continues to show it, but at this point take it with a grain of salt.

ECMWF 12z 144 hours



ECMWF 12z 240 hours

Here 09, look what I found. A nice globe view of the waves.

Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
12z ECMWF showing a sharply inverted tropical wave north of the Greater Antilles at 144 hours. Telling from that time-frame, that tropical wave could be the one currently off the coast of Africa or the one just behind it. This tropical wave continues WNW motion into S. FLA at 240 hours as a strong tropical wave or tropical depression. The ECMWF has been showing this since yesterday and should be watched if it continues to show it, but at this point take it with a grain of salt.

ECMWF 12z 144 hours



ECMWF 12z 240 hours

i get the popcorn out then you can put some salt on it for me

Quoting Grothar:


Here 09, look what I found. A nice globe view of the waves.

LOL!

the blog is dead

Quoting Tazmanian:
the blog is dead

the Atlantic is dead

Quoting Tazmanian:
the blog is dead

Long live the blog!

Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
12z ECMWF showing a sharply inverted tropical wave north of the Greater Antilles at 144 hours. Telling from that time-frame, that tropical wave could be the one currently off the coast of Africa or the one just behind it. This tropical wave continues WNW motion into S. FLA at 240 hours as a strong tropical wave or tropical depression. The ECMWF has been showing this since yesterday and should be watched if it continues to show it, but at this point take it with a grain of salt.

ECMWF 12z 144 hours



ECMWF 12z 240 hours

144 hours!!!! I may not even be around in 144 hours.

Have you noticed that usually, when there is only about 1-2 storms in June and July combined, we get a really active August, September, and October?

Quoting Grothar:


144 hours!!!! I may not even be around in 144 hours.

ROFL!!!

Quoting Grothar:


144 hours!!!! I may not even be around in 144 hours.

:o I'm sorry grothar, I wanted to see you hit 100!!!

Link

Looks like a setup to me!!

Quoting Grothar:


Here 09, look what I found. A nice globe view of the waves.

I am kind of interested in that one way back crossing the Red Sea, it is really far north. Most waves go through Addis Ababa, this one is wayy north of there into Sudan and southern Egypt near Aswan.

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Have you noticed that usually, when there is only about 1-2 storms in June and July combined, we get a really active August, September, and October?

Yes, unfortunately.

1695. BahaHurican

This graphic will give you an idea of the extent of the winds. The NHC was located in Coral Gables at that time.

Quoting gator23:

the Atlantic is dead

Last time I swam in it something bit me, so it's not dead yet. Give BP more time.

Quoting klaatuborada:


Long live the blog!

Yes...May the blog live until the year...93873587 A.D

Quoting hydrus:
Yes...May the blog live until the year...93873587 A.D

i think the earth dead by that time

Quoting hydrus:
Yes...May the blog live until the year...93873587 A.D

After dinner?

Quoting Grothar:


Yes, I have. We are on Coral Ridge, which is a very highest part of the island. Our road is about 10' above the Intracoastal level. Our house is in a mound about 25 feet above that. Believe it or not, we are not considered a flood zone. Even though I was able to get a separate policy.

Sorry to take so long to respond, Grothar - got called away unexpectedly...

This actually sounds like about the best one can expect in S Florida... u should be OK there. But a cat5 would still give me the heebiejeebies... I'd be more worried about roof damage, then. That's my biggest fear this year, the wind just peelin' back the tar-paper....

NEXRAD Radar
New Orleans, Base Reflectivity 0.50 Degree Elevation Range 124 NMI

Classic Gust Fronts this afternoon here.

BP Live feeds from remotely operated vehicles (ROV)

ROV footage - live stream
Live video links from the ROVs monitoring the damaged riser.
Please be aware, these are live streams and may freeze or be unavailable from time to time.
Live feeds from Ocean Intervention III

ROV 1
ROV 2
Live feeds from Viking Poseidon
ROV 1
ROV 2
Live feeds from Boa Deep C
ROV 1
ROV 2
Live feeds from Skandi
ROV 1
ROV 2
Live feeds from Enterprise
ROV 1
ROV 2
Live feeds from Q4000
ROV 1
ROV 2

Quoting hydrus:
Yes...May the blog live until the year...93873587 A.D

Didn't you know, you're not allowed to use AD anymore. My daughter in public school informed me that the use of Anno Domini is no longer to be used because of it's religious implications.

Quoting Tazmanian:



i think the earth dead by that time

It is my harmless opinion when I say the Earth will be doing just fine in 94,000,000 years..There will be changes though... Us humans probably wont be here, but if they are, they will look a lot different than they do today.

Sure am glad I'm not in Lake Pont. during that,
looks like it might have been some choppy waters out their.

Quoting klaatuborada:
Well, yesterday here on the Cape of Cod we FINALLY had rain, BUT it was what I call "Florida" rain. It rained for approx 10 minutes, a complete downpour, then stopped. I went to the fish store 3 miles away, and it was raining there; sun on one side, rain on the other. After 20 minutes the rain was gone and on top of the heat we were in the mugglies, or what we refer to as the fugglies, (use your imagination). To our North and West is where most of the rain went, so much so that there was flooding in Boston. This is going to be a very interesting summer.

So that photo I posted earlier would look familiar to you... lol

At least u got a couple of minutes, which is better than none. I actually went and looked at the sat loop to see if any of the convection brushed u guys.

Maybe u will get another 20 minutes today... little drips, I know, but better than no drops at all...

Quoting jasoniscoolman2010x:
wow

Wow. Getting bigger...

Quoting klaatuborada:


Didn't you know, you're not allowed to use AD anymore. My daughter in public school informed me that the use of Anno Domini is no longer to be used because of it's religious implications.

No, they still use the word Anno Domini to describe A.D. They might not use it in school because of religious implications though.

Quoting BahaHurican:
So that photo I posted earlier would look familiar to you... lol

At least u got a couple of minutes, which is better than none. I actually went and looked at the sat loop to see if any of the convection brushed u guys.

Maybe u will get another 20 minutes today... little drips, I know, but better than no drops at all...

No, no more rain until Thurs or Friday, (of course when I have to move!) and then only thunderstorms, so I figure downpours and out, but they may miss us as before.

Quoting Grothar:


Funny thing with Andrew though. It was supposed to come in between the Dade-Broward line (That is between Miami and Ft. Lauderdale for those still arguing, LOL) Many people from Broward went South in South Dade. When Andrew made that little dip, many, fortunatly evacuated from South Dade. However, there were people who actually ran directly into harms way. It took the traffic more than 10 hours to get from here to Orlando. It would be worse today.

When evacuating or doing last minute preparations, be sure to drink lots of water. (Beer dehydrates you, by the way.) People died from heat related illness with Rita.

Today is July 11,2010 A.D.



Sealing Cap Installation Overview with Kent Wells - 9 July 2010

Kent Wells provides a technical update on the installation sequence of the new sealing cap and briefly discusses the status of the Helix Producer containment option and relief well progress.

Installing the sealing cap involves a multiple stage process with several vessels and remotely operated vehicles over an approximate 4-7 day period. The sealing cap has the potential to increase oil and gas collection capacity and should improve collection efficiency during hurricane season by allowing shorter disconnect and reconnect times. The new cap assembly should have a positive impact on future well kill and cementing procedures that will be part of the relief well operations. In addition, the new cap should enable testing of well integrity and, depending on pressure measurements, may be used to shut in the well.

Quoting blsealevel:
Sure am glad I'm not in Lake Pont. during that,
looks like it might have been some choppy waters out their.

U betcha..specially in a 12 ft Flatboat.

Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:
1695. BahaHurican

This graphic will give you an idea of the extent of the winds. The NHC was located in Coral Gables at that time.

I did a driving tour of Miami-Dade in December after Andrew installing network gear at the MDCC libraries. The area north of the Tamiami trail look like the land scapeing had been trimmed real well in August. South of the trail was a war zone all the way to Homestead. The difference was strikeing.
LNL

Quoting klaatuborada:


Didn't you know, you're not allowed to use AD anymore. My daughter in public school informed me that the use of Anno Domini is no longer to be used because of it's religious implications.

I keep wondering if the pple who are banning anno domino are afraid they will get "saved" by saying it once too often.... if u want to go that far, let's be like the French after the Revolution and cut out all the religous calender names, including "SUNday, MOONday, WODENsday, THORsday, FRIAsday, SATURNsday, Janus'month, Julius'month, and Augustus'month.... sheesh.

I'm a nervous wreck LOL! Spain won the FIFA world cup Hurray! :)

Ok, now I'm back LOL XD

Quoting 2ndGenHunter:


I did a driving tour of Miami-Dade in December after Andrew installing network gear at the MDCC libraries. The area north of the Tamiami trail look like the land scapeing had been trimmed real well in August. South of the trail was a war zone all the way to Homestead. The difference was strikeing.
LNL

I didn't get much of a chance to view areas outside of my general location untill about 6 months later. Never saw any of the news coverage untill many years later when clips started showing up on utube.

Quoting 2ndGenHunter:


I did a driving tour of Miami-Dade in December after Andrew installing network gear at the MDCC libraries. The area north of the Tamiami trail look like the land scapeing had been trimmed real well in August. South of the trail was a war zone all the way to Homestead. The difference was strikeing.
LNL

Hey, thanks, NRTI for the link. Kendall is well within the bounds of the higher winds based on that map...

And LNL, not surprise to here ur comments. I think Andrew was a wrapup of mesovortices, and anybody within the eyewall area got the twisties... the other storm I think about like this is Ivan.

Quoting BahaHurican:
I always smile when I see stuff like this posted by pple who live on large chunks of land.... In places like the US, MX, even Belize and other Central American countries, OK I see your point. In places like The Bahamas, Grenada, Antigua, not so much. Bahamians have to stay on their islands for the most part even in a cat 5 situation. Keeping in mind that the bulk of the archipelago is under 150 ft above sea level, there has to be a different approach to storm safety. Here the idea is to get to a location that is above maximum expected storm surge (here I would put worst case scenario with waves etc at 50 ft) and that is also SECURE FROM WINDS. The problem on small islands is to get everyone away from storm-surge susceptible coastlines but also into sturdy buildings that are more likely to withstand cat 5 winds.

I think SE FL is trying to take this approach and, rather than encouraging its residents to flee north or south, it's trying to get residents away from flood prone areas and as far as possible into sturdy buildings along what passes for a coastal ridge [there's not much of it, frankly].

If u know your building is not strong, u better have a very good idea where your nearest and strongest shelters are. If u plan to flee, keep in mind the example of 2004 FL coasters who fled to Orlando, which then promptly got hit by Charley, Frances, and Jeanne....

In the pre-season drills, news stories in Houston mentioned that if people were only concerned about losing electrical power they advised residents to evacuate after the storm had passed.

That certainly would make the going easier for those people leaving to protect life. Priorities, you know.

Quoting JLPR2:
I'm a nervous wreck LOL! Spain won the FIFA world cup Hurray! :)

Ok, now I'm back LOL XD

YEAH! LOL, back to normal.

Quoting 2ndGenHunter:


I did a driving tour of Miami-Dade in December after Andrew installing network gear at the MDCC libraries. The area north of the Tamiami trail look like the land scapeing had been trimmed real well in August. South of the trail was a war zone all the way to Homestead. The difference was strikeing.
LNL

It was like that in extreme N Broward / S Palm Beach after Wilma. I stayed in the Boca / Hillsboro area about 6 - 8 months later and EVERYthing was still stripped and burned from the storm... even lowlying bushes were just starting to make a comeback from being upright bundles of twigs...

Congrats to Spain in winning the world cup.

:D

So what happened to our huge and nice wave?


Was it SAL or did it just gave up?

I'll be posting the following part every 10 minutes.

Hurricane Andrew 1992 As It Happened! Part-1

Quoting BahaHurican:
I keep wondering if the pple who are banning anno domino are afraid they will get "saved" by saying it once too often.... if u want to go that far, let's be like the French after the Revolution and cut out all the religous calender names, including "SUNday, MOONday, WODENsday, THORsday, FRIAsday, SATURNsday, Janus'month, Julius'month, and Augustus'month.... sheesh.

silly... LOL! Academics have to deal with folks from all over the world. Not everyone in the world is Christian or even Western. BCE or CE are the terms generally used academically. 'Before Common Era' or 'Common Era'. You can google it or look it up on Wikipedia if you really need more edjamakation about it...

Quoting JLPR2:
So what happened to our huge and nice wave?


Was it SAL or did it just gave up?

Play taps, give it a proper funeral:o)!!

Quoting Bordonaro:

Play taps, give it a proper funeral:o)!!

It had about 200 images of it put on here yesterday and it succumbed to the anticipation.

Oh snap, it's time to go unplug stuff before that line of storms comes through DeLand FL. Nothing unusual, just the normal afternoon routine!

oh well there be more