Flooding Continues Along the Rio Grande

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 08:52 GMT le 10 juillet 2010

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Hi everybody, Dr. Rob Carver filling in for Jeff while he's on vacation.

Things have quieted down in the tropics. No invests are active, and the tropical waves at sea don't have many thunderstorms associated with them. However, the moisture associated with Alex and TD Two is still bring widespread showers to Mexico/Texas which is contributing to flooding alon the Rio Grande. Here are several videos documenting the troubles along the Rio Grande.









Finally, here's a story about relief efforts in northern Mexico for villages cutoff by flood damaged roads and bridges.


Next update
Jeff should be back on Monday. Have a good weekend.

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Quoting Jeff9641:


Forget that right now I would watch and area in the eastern Bahamas for developement as this trough that has been plaguing you may try to spin up a low.
I was looking at that. I'm still more worried about that trough acting like a cat3+ magnet when the CV season does get started. And despite the fact that pple are saying that current EATL wave won't amount to anything, I'm pretty concerned about it "hiding out" until it gets closer to our parts, then spinning up.
Member Since: 25 octobre 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 21646
2524. aquak9
Quoting IKE:


Is it "Lock 'N Load"?


ok, that'll work. I remember when someone had to explain ROFLMAO to me. Sigh....
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Morning all.

Well, it looks like Conson is strengthening more rapidly than expected already. I wonder how strong this will actually get. I'm going to say 105 mph.
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2522. IKE
Quoting aquak9:
Mark?? That's like the scene from monty python's holy grail, where they meet the great wizard and he says "you can call me.... Tim."

Sorry, it's goona be EDF or d'fly for me.

LNL???


Is it "Lock 'N Load"?
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2521. aquak9
Mark?? That's like the scene from monty python's holy grail, where they meet the great wizard and he says "you can call me.... Tim."

Sorry, it's goona be EDF or d'fly for me.

LNL???
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wow, blog died...
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Trolling..fishing casting bait to the quite waters of the blog.....
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Tropical Update w/ Video
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Quoting mfaria101:
OhForTheLoveOfGod-Caster??
Quoting aquak9:
anyone- what does LNL mean?

I'd rather spend my day being a shrimpnet-caster.

Thanks for the smile, earthlydragonfly. Whoa that is WAY too long to type- d'fly? EDF?

what do we call you?


Mark is fine. My kids came up with the handle 5 years ago.. My main internet handle is Shockpic since I take lightning photos... Wish I could change it.
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Quoting Jeff9641:


Also developes a low in the Bahamas and pushes it into S FL.
Telling from steering, anything forming in the Atlantic will be pushed towards the S.E US. Oh well, we'll see what happens. Be back this afternoon.
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2512. aquak9
anyone- what does LNL mean?

I'd rather spend my day being a shrimpnet-caster.

Thanks for the smile, earthlydragonfly. Whoa that is WAY too long to type- d'fly? EDF?

what do we call you?
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OhForTheLoveOfGod-Caster??
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I would begin to start looking into the SW Caribbean after the 132 hour time-frame.
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Quoting DestinJeff:
I can't believe they are opening a Wal*Mart in the middle of the Atlantic between the Antilles and Africa:



I thought it was a Target
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Quoting Jeff9641:
I would watch near the Bahamas over the next several days for possible developement as a trough is continuing to linger in that region. This trough could cause for something to spin up.


The NAM @ 4n hrs. shows some support for this supposition....

I know , it's the NAM, but got to have something to look at - LOL!!

Guess that makes me a NAMcaster!
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Quoting earthlydragonfly:
I guess the host of this blog would be MASTERCASTER... LOL

And everybodies favorite troll is the master baiter??
LNL
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What the CMC is showing in the 00z run is making sense to me. It develops a system in the SW Caribbean. Then this system get pushed to the north by a ridge placed over Honduras. This ridge is just prone to develop with the increasing heat and relaxation of trade winds. So from the looks of it, anything developing in the SW Caribbean will be headed into the Yucatan or the straights. Another thing to note is that the B/A high is beginning to set in. From what I see at 144 hours, any Cape Verde system will be steering towards the S.E. US.

PSU e-WALL forecasted steering - 144 hours
*Look all the way in the bottom left hand corner where it says "Shallow Layer Steering".



CMC 00z - 144 hours



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I guess the host of this blog would be MASTERCASTER... LOL
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Typecaster------ one who predicts the hurricane, TS, TD or even undeveloped L is going the same place any historical storm went... lol
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ITZAcaster?..lol
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2499. IKE
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON JUL 12 2010

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC...

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N23W TO 8N22W MOVING W 15-20 KT.
WAVE IS POSITIONED FARTHER WWD THAN EXPECTED DUE TO SURFACE WIND
OBSERVATIONS FROM SAL CAPE VERDE ISLANDS INDICATING THAT THE
WAVE HAD JUST PASSED. THE WAVE LIES AHEAD OF A MAXIMUM IN DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE. BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW IS ALSO SEEN IN THE FIRST
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES OF THE DAY. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 16W-21W...FROM 12N-14N
BETWEEN 19W-22W...AND FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 21W-25W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N42W TO 4N44W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT.
WAVE COINCIDES WITH A DEEP LAYER MOISTURE MAXIMUM EVIDENT IN
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. DUE TO A DRY SAHARAN AIR LAYER
AND ASSOCIATED DUST...CONVECTION IS LIMITED NEAR THE WAVE.
ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE
OF THE AXIS S OF 10N.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 20N79W TO 7N81W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT.
WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE THAT
COVERS MUCH OF THE WRN CARIBBEAN INDICATED BY TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER IMAGERY. THE WAVE ALSO LIES AHEAD OF A DRY SAHARAN AIR
LAYER AND A LARGE AREA OF DUST ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLC AND INTO
THE ERN CARIBBEAN. HOWEVER...DUE TO A DIFFLUENT ZONE ALOFT
NUMEROUS MODERATE/SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS ACROSS THE SW
CARIBBEAN FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 74W-83W.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N87W ACROSS HONDURAS INTO THE E
PACIFIC TO NEAR 7N88W MOVING W 15-20 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN
A BROAD AREA OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE THAT COVERS MUCH OF THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN EVIDENT IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 15N-18N
BETWEEN 83W-88W. MORE CONVECTION IS IN THE EPAC. SEE TWDEP FOR
MORE DETAILS.
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2497. IKE
doom-caster.
wish-caster.
fish-caster.
bust-caster.
awhile-caster.
quiet-caster.
it's-too-late-caster.
delaying-the-inevitable-caster.
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Top of the morning to you all.....

And how is our easterly wave this a.m.? It that low still up near 20N???

Member Since: 25 octobre 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 21646
However I do like the term... Africaster...

I guess Capecaster would also need to be added. LOL
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Quoting aquak9:
Looks like that wave off africa is gaining a bit of convection

did someone already add Africaster to the list?


now now.... I didnt say it will be a cat 5 by the next two or anything.. Just some convection...

LOL morning aquak
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2491. aquak9
Looks like that wave off africa is gaining a bit of convection

did someone already add Africaster to the list?
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2490. aquak9
Quoting IKE:


And I had 5.23 inches yesterday in a two-hour time period.


that's a lot. I'd be glad for all that here.
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Quoting IKE:


Should be this morning w/a new blog.


Thanks Ike

Looks like that wave off africa is gaining a bit of convection
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2487. IKE
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON JUL 12 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/LANDSEA
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2486. IKE
Quoting earthlydragonfly:
Anyone have an idea when Dr. Masters is coming back from vacation?


Should be this morning w/a new blog.
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Anyone have an idea when Dr. Masters is coming back from vacation?
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Good Morning/Evening

Thanks Dr. Carver, for filling in.
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2483. IKE
Quoting aquak9:
g'morning WU-BLoggers worldwide.

Ike- after 60% on saturday, 80% on sunday- heavy rains predicted, I might add- I ended up with 0.12 inches of rain.

grumble, grumble....


And I had 5.23 inches yesterday in a two-hour time period.
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2482. aquak9
g'morning WU-BLoggers worldwide.

Ike- after 60% on saturday, 80% on sunday- heavy rains predicted, I might add- I ended up with 0.12 inches of rain.

grumble, grumble....
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Morning everyone... Thanks to Grothar I know how to post an image... any know how to post a loop? you can wunder email to me.. if you dont mind. Thanks
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Good Morning All

I see the models are teasing us with the possibility something new to watch! It's already cloudy here, so no beach trip for me today, although I can swim through the humidity in the yard. Even the dogs don't want to say out this morning.
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2478. IKE
Quoting bassis:
Morning Ike, Hope you have a great day, heading to Cape Cod today, will check back tonight


Hope you have a great day too....and good morning msgambler.
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2477. bassis
Morning Ike, Hope you have a great day, heading to Cape Cod today, will check back tonight
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Quoting IKE:
Atlantic Remains Tranquil
Jul 12, 2010 4:47 AM

The combination of strong wind shear along with a large expanse of African Dust mixed in with the air over the Atlantic is keeping any areas from organizing or developing.

A very weak wave near 38 west between 8 north and 15 north is moving east around 15 mph. Another wave is pushing into Central America near 86 west between 17 north and 11 north. Neither of these areas show any organization as they are both lacking low-level circulation and favorable environmental conditions. Otherwise, the remainder of the tropical Atlantic is very quiet and will be into midweek.

Story by AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Justin Povick




goodd morning. off to work now, check back at 6:00 since nothing tropical going on, yet.....
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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