Flooding Continues Along the Rio Grande

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 08:52 GMT le 10 juillet 2010

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Hi everybody, Dr. Rob Carver filling in for Jeff while he's on vacation.

Things have quieted down in the tropics. No invests are active, and the tropical waves at sea don't have many thunderstorms associated with them. However, the moisture associated with Alex and TD Two is still bring widespread showers to Mexico/Texas which is contributing to flooding alon the Rio Grande. Here are several videos documenting the troubles along the Rio Grande.









Finally, here's a story about relief efforts in northern Mexico for villages cutoff by flood damaged roads and bridges.


Next update
Jeff should be back on Monday. Have a good weekend.

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Quoting LPstormspotter2:


ok prolly a dumb question but.. i would like to know. Independence from who?
Quoting earthlydragonfly:


LOL I was thinking the same thing ... probably the spanish or english..
Same as u guys, only 200 years later... U know, I started to put it in, but didn't... lol
Member Since: 25 octobre 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22318
225. 7544
so far the gfs kills it prob due to sal
Link
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at the moment pre-97L will go well if this pattern continues we could be looking at a Ivan the terible track storm
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221. JRRP
Link
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Wind shear won't be a problem.

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Quoting LPstormspotter2:


ok prolly a dumb question but.. i would like to know. Independence from who?


LOL I was thinking the same thing ... probably the spanish or english..
Member Since: 1 juillet 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 1683


AOI

AOI

AOI

AOI

TS BUSTED FORECAST ALIBI
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Quoting BahaHurican:
BTW, before I forget...

HAPPY INDEPENDENCE, BAHAMAS!!!!



Celebrating 37 years of independence.



Haven't had these yet....



Independence Day Weather.... haven't had a day this rainy and overcast in the capital in literally years...



ok prolly a dumb question but.. i would like to know. Independence from who?
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Quoting StormW:
SAL SATELLITE ANALYSIS



So Storm, do you think the SAL is going to keep the new wave from developing or just a challenge?
Member Since: 1 juillet 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 1683
a good day for you baha
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BTW, before I forget...

HAPPY INDEPENDENCE, BAHAMAS!!!!



Celebrating 37 years of independence.



Haven't had these yet....



Independence Day Weather.... haven't had a day this rainy and overcast in the capital in literally years...

Member Since: 25 octobre 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22318
SAL shouldn't have an affect on this tropical wave unless it begins to venture off out of the ITCZ.

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Quoting WeatherNerdPR:
Good Morning.
:o That's an Impressive Wave!
yep at the right place and right time its to get even nicer
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GOES-15... Link
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Quoting Bordonaro:

Thank God, we had a very, very tame Severe Weather Season this year. We did have a decent microburst earlier this week in N Arlington, TX, near I-30 & Six Flags Drive. Moderate wind damage from 60-70MPH straight line winds.

But we will pay for the quiet 2010 Severe Weather Season, either this fall or early next year.

Actually caught up to average on nados, almost. And that average is a 5 year average, skewed by 2008's numbers.



Actually very near the 50th percentile when considering a longer term record and excluding 2008:
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207. 7544
gota agree jason might get taged solon as 97l but where will it go ?
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Very impressive...

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Is the ITCZ being farther south than usual have any impact/correlation to how far south the waves are coming off Africa?
Member Since: 10 septembre 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 17

GOES-12 Atmospheric Imagery



These images are primarily for use in tropical storm monitoring. There are several areas to choose from providing a large-scale view of the Atlantic, down to the Gulf of Mexico. During hurricane season, the hurricanes page provides a variety of GOES atmospheric products to help monitor the active storms.

* Hurricane Monitoring
* Animated GOES Imagery
* SRCC Compilation of Satellite Imagery
* Ocean and Atmospheric Products



Atlantic WV GOES-12 Image
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GFS 12z suggests this is possible. Though the reason why it shows cyclolosis maybe the eventual influx of the SAL as the systems circulation becomes better defined.

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WV loop with Dry Air Shaded

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If the wave can hold together like this for another 12 hours or so we may actually have something to focus on.
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Good Morning.
Quoting Drakoen:

:o That's an Impressive Wave!
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Quoting CybrTeddy:
I think this is a recent pass.. or yesterdays.

Today's pass at 1500UTC or 10AM CDT/11AM EDT.
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I think this is a recent pass.. or yesterdays.

Member Since: 8 juillet 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24166
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


We did not have a good Severe Weather Season this March-May did we? The only time I remember this season was getting hit with 1.00 inch hail.

Thank God, we had a very, very tame Severe Weather Season this year. We did have a decent microburst earlier this week in N Arlington, TX, near I-30 & Six Flags Drive. Moderate wind damage from 60-70MPH straight line winds.

But we will pay for the quiet 2010 Severe Weather Season, either this fall or early next year.
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Quoting StormW:


Ya know, I really respect your work on here.


Thank You. Everything is a nice collective effort ultimately.
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Quoting Bordonaro:

Hopefully a hurricane will not strike your area. However, it would be wise to make every hurricane preparation possible.

I live in "tornado alley", Arlington (Dallas-Ft Worth) Texas, 250 miles inland off the Gulf of Mexico. You may want to check out "Satrap's" weather blog, he has an AWESOME hurricane preparedness blog :o)


We did not have a good Severe Weather Season this March-May did we? The only time I remember this season was getting hit with 1.00 inch hail.
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Is there a large ULL in the central Atlantic that will prevent any TC developement, for at least 7 to 10 days?
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If the Oil Spill is not important to tropical storms why does Link the NHC have this on their main page?
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Morning Guys...Been reading back some. I see we may actually have two waves to watch for CV development...
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NHC surface analysis have yet to even recognize the wave.
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Quoting Chicklit:
Please feel free to ask questions or to make a comment. We are like a big "honking" weather family! Sorry Chicklet :o)!

Yeah, fights n all. (Keeper, Skyepony, PressLord, Taz, good grief!...thinking of all the people on here that contribute so much reminds me of when I was a kid and saying my prayers, the list would just go on and on ...)


I wanted to let you know I was looking for a "Honking Tropical Wave GIF" on Google, but I could not find one.
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Quoting StormW:


Yea...ya know Drak, I think with conditions the way they are this season, it's probably going to be better for the most part, at least my thinking, to go with forecast conditions such as shear, and looking at things like you have pointed out this morning, as far a predicting development. Thoughts? I mean, I know models give us a hint and areas to look at.


I was thinking that too.
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Quoting Drakoen:


I'd say we have 97L by tonight by looking at that.
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Quoting SarasotaRepub:


Thank you much. Been getting the new house hurricane ready. It came with PGT hurricane windows but we still need a new rated gargage door and a couple of doors covered with acordions but they are on order. Generator is the next item!

Hopefully a hurricane will not strike your area. However, it would be wise to make every hurricane preparation possible.

I live in "tornado alley", Arlington (Dallas-Ft Worth) Texas, 250 miles inland off the Gulf of Mexico. I know my what to do to stay safe is a severe thunderstorm/severe weather situation. No hurricanes up here!

You may want to check out "Satrap's" weather blog, he has an AWESOME hurricane preparedness blog :o)
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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