Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Quoting weaverwxman:
hey VA you should think a little bit before you write the USA offers humanitarian help all over the world when ask for. Puerto Rico even if it was not a US territory if they ask for help we would send help think of the poor people left in harms way by economics and all of the help we extend to people around the world.....

sending aid, and sending fema are way two different things

KOTG you'r taking lines from BIG BROTHER lmao

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2021
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0221 PM CDT WED OCT 27 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN/EASTERN VA AND EASTERN MD TO DE/SOUTHERN
NJ

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 733...

VALID 271921Z - 272015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 733 CONTINUES.

TORNADO WATCH 733 CONTINUES UNTIL 00Z...WITH CONTINUING POTENTIAL
FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS.

A COUPLE OF FAST MOVING MARGINAL SUPERCELLS/SMALL LINEAR SEGMENTS
CONTINUE TO STEADILY PROGRESS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN
MD SHORE/DE VICINITY AT MID AFTERNOON. WITH THIS ACTIVITY OCCURRING
IN WHAT IS NOW A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS...RATHER STRONG WIND
FIELDS...WITH 50+ KT AT 2-3 KM AND ABOVE PER THE DOVER AFB WSR-88D
VWP...WILL SUPPORT AT LEAST SOME SHORT TERM POTENTIAL FOR WIND
DAMAGE/BRIEF TORNADO PRIOR TO STORMS CLEARING THE COAST.

OTHERWISE...LATEST THINKING IS THAT STORMS SHOULD FURTHER INCREASE
THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON FROM THE NORTHERN NC PIEDMONT INTO
SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST VA. SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE NOW WARMED
INTO THE LOWER/MIDDLE 80S F...WHICH IS CONTRIBUTING TO AS MUCH AS
1000-1250 J/KG OF MLCAPE ON THE IMMEDIATE WARM SIDE OF THE
SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST ORIENTED FRONTAL ZONE. GIVEN THE MAGNITUDE OF
DEEP LAYER/LOW LEVEL SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION PER REGIONAL WSR-88D
VWP DATA...ANY SUSTAINED /ESPECIALLY CG LIGHTNING-YIELDING/ UPDRAFTS
SHOULD EASILY ATTAIN ROTATION AND/OR DEVELOP INTO SMALL BOWING
SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS/FEW TORNADOES.

..GUYER.. 10/27/2010


ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...

LAT...LON 39077630 39737487 39497429 37357606 36447803 36767927
37567855 38657716 39077630

whos big brother

91 has a chance to be the storm of 2010. doubt if it makes it west as far as the euro says but who knows.

a reality TV show big brother with Julie Chen

Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
whos big brother

\

Ever read 1984?

wait we have 91 L now ?

Quoting islander101010:
91 has a chance to be the storm of 2010. doubt if it makes it west as far as the euro says but who knows.

hope it does not interfer with the pro search surfing tournament near the nw shore of puerto rico starting oct 30

Neapolitan do you think that all the co2 that is being pumped out of the volcanic lakes in Africa (started in 2001 I think)have any contributing factors in the warming? Just a thought

Quoting 7544:
wait we have 91 L now ?

and 92l as well

Quoting 7544:
wait we have 91 L now ?

and 92L

Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


always expect the unexpected

Even the Spanish Inquisition?

NCC033-272015-
/O.CON.KRNK.TO.W.0024.000000T0000Z-101027T2015Z/
CASWELL NC-
336 PM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT FOR CASWELL
COUNTY...

AT 332 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CAMP SPRINGS...
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG AT...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4...WHEN YOU CAN
DO SO SAFELY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT WEDNESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3624 7939 3624 7953 3636 7952 3646 7952
3655 7921 3654 7914 3623 7916 3623 7939
TIME...MOT...LOC 1936Z 256DEG 36KT 3634 7939

Quoting weaverwxman:
a reality TV show big brother with Julie Chen

ok i don't watch that show and i did not read the book either grothar

Good Evening All. It's not your typical late October day today, lol.

I see the SFWMD has only been posted 10 times already, lol.

I'll delete.

Quoting pilotguy1:


They pay social security and medicare to the Federal Government and they have a income tax that is at a slightly different rate then what we pay on the mainland.

the pay income taxes, but those stay within puerto rico, and since they only pay medicare and SS no tax dollars they spend helps the greater good of the nation.

164. DontAnnoyMe 7:39 PM GMT on October 27, 2010
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


always expect the unexpected


Even the Spanish Inquisition?


maybe a Blog Inquisition

91L



92L

GFS has 90L trying to develop into Shary..

It defiantly has a lock on 92L..

and 91L once it gets into the Eastern Caribbean.

ECMWF does not develop 90L but develops 92L into a strong tropical storm by Friday. By 168 hours, long range, it begins to show 91L developing in the Caribbean.

The 12z CMC makes 92L into a Category 2 hurricane. Begins to develop 91L in the Caribbean by 144 hours.

UKMET is much weaker with 92L, but does develop it.

NOGAPS is similar to the UKMET.

Looks like the one we want to watch for Shary is 92L.

176. Edited, got 91L and 92L mixed up.

If you want to know why X-Richard has been keeping a small thunderstorm, look at the shear map..


It seems that some of the models were right on with the shear, just a bit too early and too late for Richard. It would have been possible for Richard to keep it's strength of the trough came near a bit earlier then it did. Anyways, the remnant low of Richard is under favorable conditions (5-10 knots). Too much damage to expect regeneration.

Quoting pilotguy1:


Is there anyone sane left on this blog?

The U.S. Government classifies Puerto Rico as an independent taxation authority by Federal Law 48 U.S.C. § 734. Puerto Rico residents are required to pay U.S. federal taxes, import/export taxes,[79] federal commodity taxes,[80] social security taxes etc. Individuals working with the Federal Government pay federal income taxes while the rest of the residents are required to pay federal payroll taxes (Social Security[81] and Medicare),[82] as well as Commonwealth of Puerto Rico income taxes. All federal employees,[83] plus those who do business with the federal government,[84] in addition to Puerto Rico-based corporations that intend to send funds to the U.S.,[85] and some others[86] also pay federal income taxes. In 2009, Puerto Rico paid $3.742 billion into the US Treasury.[87]

Because residents of Puerto Rico pay into Social Security, they are eligible for Social Security benefits upon retirement, but are excluded from the Supplemental Security Income (SSI), and the island actually receives less than 15% of the Medicaid funding it would normally receive if it were a U.S. state.[88] Yet Medicare providers receive less-than-full state-like reimbursements for services rendered to beneficiaries in Puerto Rico, even though the latter paid fully into the system.[89]

I read this too, yes im sane the federal taxes are just SS and medicare, which come back to them later, therefore they do not help the great good of the nation

Y'all see old Tricky Dicky trying to blow a thunder cloud in all that dry air?

2 new invest today interesting

will they all go out to sea ?

whos said it was over lol

Quoting reedzone:
If you want to know why X-Richard has been keeping a small thunderstorm, look at the shear map..


It seems that some of the models were right on with the shear, just a bit too early and too late for Richard. It would have been possible for Richard to keep it's strength of the trough came near a bit earlier then it did. Anyways, the remnant low of Richard is under favorable conditions (5-10 knots). Too much damage to expect regeneration.

And here is the South American low in six days....

Quoting FFtrombi:


Link

I tried to find a link with it explained in the simplest way possible. Basically the earth's motion is not uniform, but affected by periodic wobbling. When the earth is closer to the sun, and tilted most towards the sun, it's hot, and vice versa. That is the major reason for ice ages and periods inbetween.

Please post if you don't understand this and I will find you more links.

They're called Milankovitch cycles

"...The Earth's axis completes one full cycle of precession approximately every 26,000 years. At the same time the elliptical orbit rotates more slowly. The combined effect of the two precessions leads to a 21,000-year period between the seasons and the orbit. In addition, the angle between Earth's rotational axis and the normal to the plane of its orbit, obliquity, moves from 22.1 degrees to 24.5 degrees and back again on a 41,000-year cycle; currently, this angle is 23.44 degrees and is decreasing..." wikipedia

Which can explain this:

"...The current ice age, the Pliocene-Quaternary glaciation, started about 2.58 million years ago during the late Pliocene when the spread of ice sheets in the Northern Hemisphere began. Since then, the world has seen cycles of glaciation with ice sheets advancing and retreating on 40,000- and 100,000-year time scales called glacial periods..." - also wikipedia

Good Night all. I may not be back until Friday. Tomorrow is Pretenders and there's a lot going on here. Watch those lows and don't let them sneak up on me :)

where pre 93l suppose to form ? tia

Quoting DontAnnoyMe:

system over se slides off into coastal west atlantic all the while poss system moves north from carb up over jamaica cuba and merges with system over coastal west atlantic moves up east coast as the first of the late fall nor'easters

Quoting pilotguy1:
I am permanently gone from this blog. The loonies of the last two days win.

Do not split because of the loonies on here PilotGuy..Some bloggers will be disappointed that you left, and the loonies will get off because you left on there account...

Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
system over se slides off into coastal west atlantic all the while poss system moves north from carb up over jamaica cuba and merges with system over coastal west atlantic moves up east coast as the first of the late fall nor'easters

Sounds plausible given the progged position of the big high out there.

what 3 invest is it still augest lol

Quoting jasoniscoolman2010xo:
WOW WE HAVE INVEST 90L AND 91L AND 92L AND A NEW INVEST 93L SOON..WOW!!!

93L ???
where and when ?

At least people are starting to become more honest about how they feel about climate change. Rather than pretending it isn't happening, amidst overwhelming evidence, let's actually sit down and talk about *why* you want to ignore the problem or actively make it worse. If we understand the real reasons for these desires, we can talk about them and maybe figure out a way to stop global warming without violating those interests.

I don't care much about hoarding more money than I need to live comfortably (admittedly more than most people in the world have... but my definition of 'comfortably' can be reached without as much money as most people seem to want). But if hoarding as much stuff as possible is so important, maybe we can figure out ways people can hoard stuff without harming others. If people are so opposed to government regulations, maybe rather than opposing doing ANYTHING about the problem, you can suggest some ways we could solve it without government regulations. Any ideas? If so, please do share them. We want to fix the problem, not to push some weird communist conspiracy.

Or that's how I feel anyway.

back to tropics alot happening today out of all the invest which one is the one to watch 91L ?

30 VAbeachhurricanes "Increased precip won't cause the actual sea water to freeze more"

Actually it does. Precipitation is composed of fresh water, sea water is a saline solution.
Increasing salinity (the amount of salt in a given volume of water) lowers the freezing point. Conversely decreasing the salinity increases the freezing point.
Precipitation dilutes the surface layer of sea water with fresh water, lowering salinity and thus increasing the temperature at which the surface layer freezes.

looks like 92l is moving nw at this hour might get further north and really develope imo