An early start to hurricane season?
The Atlantic hurricane season officially begins on Wednesday, June 1, but the Caribbean is already showing signs of the change of seasons. Moisture and heavy thunderstorm activity have increased in the region between Central America and Jamaica in recent days, and rainfall amounts of 1 - 2 inches have been common over the past three days over Cuba, Hispaniola, and much of Central America. The subtropical jet stream has been bringing high wind shear of 30 - 50 knots over the Caribbean the past week, but this shear has fallen to 20 - 40 knots this morning, and is predicted to fall below 20 knots by Thursday. All of the computer models predict that an area of low pressure will form in the region between Jamaica and Honduras by Thursday. This low will have the potential to develop into a tropical depression late this week. There is some dry air over the Western Caribbean near Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula that may retard the process, but a surge of moisture accompanying a tropical wave currently passing through the Lesser Antilles may counteract this, when the wave arrives in the Western Caribbean on Thursday. Water temperatures in the Central Caribbean are about 1°C above average, 29°C, which is plenty warm enough to support development of a tropical storm. Some recent runs of the NOGPAS model have predicted development of a tropical depression by late this week, potentially affecting Jamaica and Eastern Cuba. The other models have not been as gung-ho, but have been showing the potential for a strong tropical disturbance with very heavy rains forming late this week. In any case, residents of Jamaica, Cuba, the Cayman Islands, Haiti, Honduras, and Nicaragua should anticipate the possibility that heavy rains of 2 - 4 inches may affect them Thursday through Saturday this week.

Figure 1. Total precipitable water (a measure of how much rain would fall if we condensed all the water vapor present) for May 31, 2011 at 7am EDT. Plentiful water vapor in the SW Caribbean would create about 2 inches of rain (50 mm, orange colors) if it were all condensed out. Image credit: University of Wisconsin CIMSS.
Receipt did not travel 525 miles from Joplin tornado
The May 22 EF-5 tornado that struck Joplin, Missouri did not set a new record for longest transport of debris by a tornado. According to MSNBC, a couple living in Royal Center, Indiana, in North Central Indiana, 525 miles from Joplin, found a receipt from the Joplin Tire store three days after the tornado hit Joplin. However, a press release from Purdue University clarified that the receipt did not arrive via the tornado, but had been left behind by a relative that had visited Joplin before the tornado. The longest distance recorded for debris from a storm was a cancelled check that traveled 210 miles after the 1915 tornado in Great Bend, Kansas.
The death toll from the May 22, 2011 tornado in Joplin, Missouri is 139, although there is still considerable uncertainty about this number. The Joplin tornado is the 8th deadliest in U.S. history, and the most deadly since the 1947 Woodward, Oklahoma twister that killed 181 people. The tornado season of 2011 now has approximately 520 deaths, which would make it the deadliest tornado season since 1936, according to statistics compiled by NOAA. In the 1936 tornado season 552 people died, mostly because of violent tornadoes that hit Tupelo Mississippi (216 killed), and Gainesville, Georgia (203 killed.)

Figure 2. Satellite image taken at 23:45 UTC (7:45pm EDT) May 22, 2011, showing the line of tornadic thunderstorms that spawned the Joplin tornado. Image credit: NOAA Visualization Laboratory.
Jeff Masters
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What's the symbol for big smile.
lol my bad
Best to tip though.
For the "Rum" effect
Yeah, strange that they'd just randomly change it like that. Every other year it has been 2 and 8 in the beginning, then 1 and 7 after the daylight saving time switch. This year we might just go 1 and 7 the whole way through?
I fixed it, I thought you said something else for a sec. :P
No problem, ;)
Where do you think Tlulips come from??
somewhere there is a photo of me with one at the 1980 Sugar Bowl...I think my mother keeps it hidden in my "Baby Book"
Met Service of Jamaica
NEWS RELEASE
May 30, 2011 at 5:00 p.m.
*** INCREASE IN RAINFALL EXPECTED TO MARK THE START OF THE 2011 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON ***
An Area of Low Pressure is developing over the Caribbean Sea, south of Jamaica. This system is expected to bring an increase in rainfall activity in the coming days with some increase in intensity as of Thursday.
Expect periods of showers and thunderstorms, which could be heavy at times, to affect most parishes starting on Thursday and continuing through the weekend.
There is a possibility that this system could result in some flash flooding, however, the Meteorological Service will continue to monitor the progress of this system.
kjg
Orange Co. Smartphone App Is Lifeline During Storms
Posted: 4:41 pm EDT May 31, 2011Updated: 5:04 pm EDT May 31, 2011
ORANGE COUNTY, Fla. -- Orange County is hoping iPhones and iPads will protect and help its residents in the event of a hurricane in the Summer of 2011.
WFTV learned that Orange County is the first government in the nation to design an application (app) for natural disasters. So, when your power goes out and the weather radio isn’t working, Mayor Teresa Jacobs said the free app will be your lifeline during a storm. Officials confirmed that when hurricanes Charlie, Jean and Frances hit Orange County in 2004, some people didn't have power for weeks. Officials said that made it difficult to get vital information to the public.
Link
Brown Liquor = Captain Morgan
Clear = Belvidere
Beer = Yuengling
Just sayin !! LOL !!
make that '81
May 31, 2011 at 4:00 p.m.
LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST
SIGNIFICANT FEATURE… Tropical wave passing south of Jamaica will interact with Low pressure over southwestern Caribbean.
Comment
An Area of Low Pressure is developing over the southwestern
Caribbean Sea, south of Jamaica.This system will continue
to produce rainfall activity in the coming days but
especially on Thursday.
24-HOUR FORECAST
Tonight… Lingering showers especially across eastern parishes.
Tomorrow… Cloudy with periods of showers and isolated
thunderstorms across most parishes.
3-DAY FORECAST (after tomorrow)
Thu/Fri… outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms across
most parishes.
Sat...Partly cloudy, afternoon showers and thunderstorms
across much of the island
Regionally… Area of Low Pressure over the southwestern Caribbean.
High Pressure ridge north of the Caribbean.
pef
ya...we beat some Catholic school from Indiana...
Our AOI seems to be getting better defined as well.
Only time will tell how things will play out.
Date: 6:00 PM EDT Tuesday 31 May 2011
Condition: Partly Cloudy
Pressure: 30.04 inches
Tendency: falling
Visibility: 15 miles
Air Quality Health Index: 6
Temperature: 84.4°F
Dewpoint: 69.8°F
Humidity: 62 %
Wind: S 11 gust 17 mph
Humidex: 100
possibly
it's never really 'gone'
Wouldnt serve with Grothar till 84 though..they kept us 2 seperated by continents still back then.
These are about the best one I can come up with on the standard keyboard:-
:} :] :)
Any other ideas please post for the interest meter.
That blog? There's a blob on water? I wanna see!
Maybe it isn't gone then?
blahahahahahahaha
Now thats "Funny"
Taco :o)
that's Ok, dude...I had the 'drinkin' in NOLA' covered for ya...
Not if you keep being as rude and disrespectful as you are now.
I'd put you on ignore but it wouldn't do any good, because you'd just get banned and make a new handle tomorrow.
The tough task of guessing what hurricane season will look like could be even more difficult this year for forecasters.
MARK
13.01N/80.03W
2011 Storms
All Active Year
Atlantic
East Pacific
Central Pacific
West Pacific
91W.INVEST
90W.INVEST
Indian Ocean
Southern Hemisphere
Fleet Weather Center Norfolk Tropical Feed
No Active Tropical Warnings in the Atlantic, Caribbean, or Gulf of Mexico
By Maritime.CDO@navy.mil (FWC-N CDO) from Fleet Weather Center Norfolk Virginia. Published on Tue, May 31, 2011.
As of Tue, 31 May 2011 23:31:01 GMT
naw...he always keeps about three new handles on hand. Honest. I've seen'm use three handles in one day- bam bam bam- just like that.
Just like Whack-a-Mole.
All ya ever hear about is youth in Asia!!! What about the youth in this country?!?!?!
The BLOB, according to Tom Terry, WFTV Met, states this feature will be off the coast in the Area of Palm Coast, Fl in the morning as a weaking low in the morning. Should bring some rain to the area. Like he said, looks like a little cotton ball
Thanks!
93L
Thanks, Plaza
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