Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 13:41 GMT le 08 juin 2011 | +9 |
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
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It isn't JFV, so it's gotta be Stormtop.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
748 PM AST WED JUN 8 2011
LATEST GFS AND ECMWF MODELS HAVE A NICE DEPICTION OF AN AFRICAN
EASTERLY WAVE AND ASSOCIATED WIND SURGE PASSING ACROSS THE ERN
CARIB NEXT THU JUN 16. THIS SEEMS TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A CLUSTER
OF STRONG CONVECTION CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR 10N AND 20W. WEAKENING
MJO/NEGATIVE 200 MB VELOCITY POTENTIAL ANOMALIES ACROSS THE WRN
HEMISPHERE AND TIME OF THE YEAR DO NOT FAVOR ANY TC DEVELOPMENT.
ONE INTERESTING NOTE IS LACK OF SAHARAN DUST ACROSS THE TROP ATLC
AND WRN AFRICA ATTM WHICH TYPICALLY TENDS TO DOMINATE THIS AREA
DURING THE MONTH OF JUNE. NESDIS BLENDED TPW IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS
TROP ATLC WITH A HIGHER WATER VAPOR CONTENT THAN NORMAL PERHAPS A
HARBINGER OF THINGS TO COME LATER THIS HURRICANE SEASON.
He's not either of them, and I don't think he's a troll.
We share your pain here in Florida...
We always blame it on the night shift here, lol.
Time of Latest Forecast: 201106090000
Forecast Hour Latitude Longitude Intensity
0 13.6 258 70
12 14.4 256.8 85
24 15.1 255.7 100
36 15.6 254.6 105
48 16.1 253.4 100
72 17 251 85
96 17.5 249 60
120 18.5 246.5 35
Pretty soon, Florida will be getting rain every day. Seems like you Florida guys complain about being dry every spring, then summer rolls around and wham! Summer sea breezes every day with torrential rain. Not to mention you'll be extremely lucky to not be affected by a tropical system this year...
I feel soooo old.
Florida has more to deal with than just a normal dry season. It's more extreme than that this year.
Like I said, the summer will take care of most of it.
I'm out for now, guys. I'll probably be back tomorrow. Toodles.
I think ya'll might ease back into normal in 10-14 days as the sub-tropical ridge takes up its more usual place-nosing into the eastern GOM. Blame the monsoon on stealing all your moisture!
Let's hope.
Texas, on the other hand (especially West), could be in serious trouble for a while. Texas really needs the remnants of Adrian or some other tropical system in the Pacific to bring a lot of moisture to them. Other than that, Texas will continue to struggle rain-wise until the summer is over (if not until winter).
I don't read NWS watches, warnings, or outlooks very often since there really isn't much weather over here in San Diego, but our NWS guys San Diego are pretty formal.
must be the boring weather rubbing off on them
If he is a troll, it won't stop him from trolling and will only make him more likely to troll. And if he isn't a troll, then you will only further aggravate the situation.
The best choice is to either accept him as any other poster, or, if he truly offends you, simply add him to your ignore.
Florida's drought pales in comparison to Texas'. I guess everything really is bigger in Texas.
Beautiful.
Well, I understand what your saying, but keep in mind, for us weather geek who grew up here, we are comparing to how it used to be several years back. The rain normally gets cranking in late May and then comes in strong in June. South Florida is over 2 feet below normal rain. Its not just us complaining, its an extreme drought like none that has been seen for a long time. Please don't accuse me or anyone else here of complaining in this situation. You would probably be complaining a hell of a lot more if Mississippi had the kind of drought we do here.
*bangs head against wall* slow learners.
(for some)
Well yes but another 2 weeks of rain and a heck of a lot more fires could break out. One week without rain in Florida is a lot worse than most people think. Also, people here "dry season" well even Florida's dry season on average isn't really much drier than a lot of Mid Latitude climates, however, here 2 to 3 inches of rain in one month is dry. So it is the dry season.
Geepy, there are a lot of us older folks here...some as old as Grothar.....maybe..:)
Really??? My (--------) is bigger than your (------)! Really?!?!
Lol...Believe me. It's bad in South MS. Until the past two days, we were almost 2 feet below normal as well. We had 7 consecutive days of 100+ degree heat and that streak was broken today. It was able to get that hot because we had no moisture in the ground. You guys aren't the only ones. The CPC says you guys will lose your drought conditions, while ours is supposed to persist or worsen.
I wasn't really attacking you as much as I was poking fun at you because you know just as well as I do that the tropical season will help you a bunch.
I heard that!
Never had a desire to move to Texas. Nor the need.....
Gro doesn't miss much
LOL...knew that would wake ya......it's been a little cooler today....from a small shower...hoping for more, think we have a 40% tomorrow.
I know, isn't that silly, Everyone know the Florida drought is worse.
Happiness is a Georgia boy going east with a Floridian under each arm...
Well, yea!
See that really dark spot on the East Coast. I live exactly in the middle of that on the coast. IT IS DRY
Think there is anyway you can send some of those glaciers you all got up there down here.
Geezzz Swbammy....and I've always liked you....that hurt !!.....:)
If that were 1898, I would be more impressed. (How's my friend geepy doing?)
You have oceans surrounding the entire state. Desalinate the water and soak the state. :-)
No,just my memory.
No one will ever be able to LOL
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