Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

July 22, 2011: A day of records
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 16:56 GMT le 23 juillet 2011 +8
The crest of the extreme heat wave of July 2011 has passed, although temperatures are still going to be dangerously hot in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast today. New York City (Central Park) will reach 100° again, as well as Philadelphia and possibly Washington Dulles. Heat index values could surpass the 110° mark today, and excessive heat warnings are in effect from New York City to South Carolina, as well as a large portion of the Central United States. Yesterday, the heat index soared past 120° in Wilmington, DE (124), Easton, MD (125), Annapolis, MD (120) and Atlantic City, NJ (122), among others. A more complete list of Friday's heat index extremes can be found here.

Numerous records fell yesterday as far north as Maine. There were plenty of daily records to talk about, but here are some of the noteworthy all-time record high temperatures:

Newark, NJ: 108° (old record was 105° set in 2001)
Washington Dulles, DC: 105° (old record was 104° on multiple dates)
Bridgeport, CT: 103° (ties the old record set in 1957)
Hartford, CT: 103° (old record was 102° set on multiple dates)
New Haven, CT: 102° (old record was 101° set in 1926)

Baltimore hit 106°, one degree shy of their all-time high record which was set in 1936. New York City (Central Park) set a daily record of 104°, which was 2 degrees shy of their 106° all-time high record, which was also set in 1936. More on the record-setting year of 1936 in yesterday's blog from Jeff. Two notable all-time record high minimums were also set yesterday: 84° in New York (Central Park) and 86° in Newark, NJ.

Our weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, keeps track of 303 select stations in the U.S. with long standing record histories. So far this summer, seven of these have broken or tied their all-time maximum temperature records. Some of these were long-standing:

• Amarillo, TX 111° (1892)
• Dodge City, KS 110° (1874 tied)
• Newark, NJ 108° (1893)
• D.C. Dulles 105° (1962)
• Tallahassee, Fl 105° (1883)
• Hartford, CT 103° (1885)
• New Haven, CT 102° (1780)

The last summer to have more all-time high records than this year was 2002, which set 9. Christopher C. Burt estimates that yesterday probably rates in the top five hottest days on record for the mid-Atlantic states (Washington D.C. to Boston).

Invest 90L


Satellite imagery of NHC Invest 90L this morning.

Invest 90L is looking ragged on satellite as it makes its way across the Caribbean islands. While this wave looked ripe for eventual development earlier this week, it has really taken a turn for the worse as it moved across the Main Development Region of the North Atlantic. Today, low level circulation is could favorably be described as less than moderate, and almost nonexistent at higher levels. Today, not one of the global models I've looked at (ECMWF, NOGAPS, CMC, UKMET, or GFS) develop 90L, but they are coming into better agreement that the wave's track will be across the Caribbean islands and into the Gulf of Mexico, rather than up the east coast of Florida. This could be one of the reasons the models are not suggesting development—too much land interaction, not enough time over open warm waters. However, its hard to say that this wave will not show some signs of improvement when it reaches the Gulf. Water will be toasty, moisture will be relatively high, and wind shear will remain incredibly low. Today the National Hurricane Center is giving this wave a 20% chance of development over the next 48 hours. My forecast has been the same for the past two days, right around 20% chance of development over the lifetime of the wave.

Thanks to our weather historian Christopher C. Burt for some useful information on heat waves and yesterday's records. I'll have another blog on Monday.

Angela
Categories: Heat
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1003. weatherh98 12:23 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
It appears to me that 90l is relying on daily heating to provide the thunderstorms.... It can't yet sustain the thunderstorms
Member Since: 17 juin 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6290
1005. islander101010 12:24 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Quoting FLdewey:
So it is written.. so it shall be.

I feel a sudden urge to go shopping at Target.

Weird.
they got cute packages nowadays overpriced themselves
Member Since: 11 septembre 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3069
1007. Chicklit 12:24 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Well, hasn't Dr. Masters gone on vacation?!

Quoting FLdewey:
So it is written.. so it shall be.

I feel a sudden urge to go shopping at Target.

Weird.


I still have the new tarps I bought last year.
My house sitters blew through the canned tuna supply tho while I was on vaca. I think because they were overfeeding the cats! And overfed my fish too, unfortunately, who struggled with ammonia and now appear back on the mend...
Member Since: 11 juillet 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 10380
1008. TampaSpin 12:25 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Quoting DestinJeff:


It is a technical trick.... can always switch to 50 view in the event of an emergency.

Only the lucky few on now will ever know.


Excellent!



Sounds like a GROUPIE thing............ROFLMAO
Member Since: 2 septembre 2007 Posts: 176 Comments: 19767
1009. aislinnpaps 12:26 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Good morning, everyone. Getting ready in a little bit to take my Golden down to the lake before people are there. The lake water is like getting into bath water, but it's wet. Anything new going on in the tropics?
Member Since: 22 août 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 2540
1010. islander101010 12:26 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Quoting weatherh98:
It appears to me that 90l is relying on daily heating to provide the thunderstorms.... It can't yet sustain the thunderstorms
seems as if the trades pick in the day up so does its convection trades back off in the evening it dies pre he is waiting for the gulf
Member Since: 11 septembre 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3069
1012. Chicklit 12:29 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
High temps, low shear, no ULLs crashing down on TWaves...but then again I'm usually wrong so just stick to posting official reports and stuff...

Quoting aislinnpaps:
Good morning, everyone. Getting ready in a little bit to take my Golden down to the lake before people are there. The lake water is like getting into bath water, but it's wet. Anything new going on in the tropics?


oh yeah and low SAL (african dust)
Member Since: 11 juillet 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 10380
1013. aislinnpaps 12:32 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
High temps is getting old! *G* But last night we sat out under the tree with the dogs and it was gorgeous. We don't get to do that much in Louisiana at this time of year, but the rain that was all around us appeared to cool us off even if it wouldn't give us the actual rain.

I saw that Florida has been taken off the extreme drought conditions. So glad they have been getting the rain they need.
Member Since: 22 août 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 2540
1014. Chicklit 12:33 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Yes, we're getting afternoon thunderstorms.
But we cannot sit under trees here in Fla.
The skeeters are swarming.
Member Since: 11 juillet 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 10380
1016. aislinnpaps 12:35 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Our state bird is the mosquito, but the drought conditions haven't left them anywhere to breed. It was kind of weird to be out there and not be bitten up alive. It's about the only thing positive I can say about the drought.
Member Since: 22 août 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 2540
1017. emcf30 12:35 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
For those of you who live in CFL. Channel 6 Local Met, Tom Sorrells is having a Hurricane season show on Flash Point right now talking about forecast, reasonong, and weather patterns and ect. If your interested.
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1019. Chicklit 12:37 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Thanks, emcf. I canceled my television this week!
Just felt like it because I'm sick of Brighthouse raising fees.
Member Since: 11 juillet 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 10380
1020. aquak9 12:38 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
g'morning ladies, gents, dew-eez...

Self serve on the b'fast, pick your own yogurt and some granola. Wheat toast on the side. A simple breakfast.

Nothing to add, tropics are boring, sun is shining, scattered whatevers. Nothing to raise an eyebrow about.
Member Since: 13 août 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25036
1021. HimacaneBrees 12:39 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Quoting aislinnpaps:
Our state bird is the mosquito, but the drought conditions haven't left them anywhere to breed. It was kind of weird to be out there and not be bitten up alive. It's about the only thing positive I can say about the drought.


Yeah I live just a little north of Baton Rouge, we've been getting some rain. We have mosquito's with ticks on them. They big yeah..
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1022. aislinnpaps 12:40 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Good morning, Aquak9. Yogurt sounds wonderful. Good morning for taking dogs to the lake or beach.
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1023. Chicklit 12:40 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
g'morning aquak. thanks for reminding me to eat!
Still on vaca buzz. have lost 4 lbs. in 5 days.
Want to hang on to the dislocation feeling a little longer... BTW Dr. Masters is now on vacation which prolly means the wave at 35W is going to develop into something :)
Member Since: 11 juillet 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 10380
1024. emcf30 12:41 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Quoting Chicklit:
Thanks, emcf. I canceled my television this week!
Just felt like it because I'm sick of Brighthouse raising fees.


I cancelled Brighthouse for the same reason. Switched to ATT Uverse and love it. Had it for over a year have not had any problems with the rates being raised yet. Keeping fingers crossed.

Member Since: 7 août 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1926
1026. Neapolitan 12:43 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
90L's pressure inexplicably (or mistakenly?) down 1 mb again:

AL, 90, 2011072412, , BEST, 0, 175N, 700W, 25, 1013, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
Member Since: 8 novembre 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 11302
1027. HimacaneBrees 12:43 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Quoting FLdewey:
Yes them skeeters are BAD this year... need some DEET flavored flip flops.



Choot em' god dangit Choot em' lizabeth
Member Since: 23 août 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 708
1028. TampaSpin 12:44 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Quoting emcf30:


I cancelled Brighthouse for the same reason. Switched to ATT Uverse and love it. Had it for over a year have not had any problems with the rates being raised yet. Keeping fingers crossed.



I have Verizon and with a $200 a month bill.........its out of control. Outside of my sports on TV....i could do without it!
Member Since: 2 septembre 2007 Posts: 176 Comments: 19767
1029. emcf30 12:44 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Quoting aquak9:
g'morning ladies, gents, dew-eez.


Good morning back at ya aquak
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1030. CybrTeddy 12:47 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
EDIT - nvm. Wrong model run lol.
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1032. CybrTeddy 12:50 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
The NOGAPS is showing a tropical storm approaching the islands.
Link
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1033. Chicklit 12:50 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Quoting TampaSpin:


I have Verizon and with a $200 a month bill.........its out of control. Outside of my sports on TV....i could do without it!


Tampa, I know what you mean.
I was keeping for Grand Slam Tennis.
Will cross that bridge when I come to it.
In the meantime, I don't know why Internet technology cannot provide tv and cell phone.
Anyway, this is a weather blog.
Sorry to digress!
Member Since: 11 juillet 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 10380
1034. aquak9 12:50 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
hi ya'l..glad a simple b'fast was giid eniugh.

confounded new keyboard

ecmf- tell me about your day at the beach. are you still here in jax, or back home yet?
Member Since: 13 août 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25036
1035. Chicklit 12:52 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Quoting CybrTeddy:
The NOGAPS is showing a tropical storm approaching the islands.
Link


This must be the wave at 35W, right?!
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1036. TampaSpin 12:55 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Ok i am out gang! Everyone have a Blessed Day!
Member Since: 2 septembre 2007 Posts: 176 Comments: 19767
1037. weathermanwannabe 12:55 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Good Morning....Hispanola saves the US again....... :)
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1038. BLee2333 12:56 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
For those of you that think it's hot in the US, I'll trade you!

Click for Al Sahra, Iraq Forecast
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1039. aislinnpaps 12:58 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
I understand, BLee. My oldest is in Afghanistan and tells me the same thing about the heat there.
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1040. aquak9 12:58 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Looks like folks are gonna take a breather, n enjoy a beautiful day. Or at least try to. (am I the only one who listens to STS9?)

Be nice.
Member Since: 13 août 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25036
1041. aislinnpaps 13:00 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
What is STS9?
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1042. Tropicsweatherpr 13:01 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
ATCF has a new position at 12z,but still no tropical models since 18z of yesterday.

AL, 90, 2011072412, , BEST, 0, 175N, 700W, 25, 1013, DB
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1043. Chicklit 13:04 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
90L is dead, Fred.

LinkWVLoop
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1044. emcf30 13:04 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Quoting aquak9:
hi ya'l..glad a simple b'fast was giid eniugh.

confounded new keyboard

ecmf- tell me about your day at the beach. are you still here in jax, or back home yet?


I am back in Orlando now. We never made it to the beach yesterday. My sister and oldest daughter had a tad to much to drink. You can say they did not fell like sitting in the heat. Oh well. But go figure, every one felt good enough to spend a few hours shopping off of Duval and 95 were Gander Mountain is and had lunch at a place called Boston something or another.
Member Since: 7 août 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1926
1045. WeatherNerdPR 13:07 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Quoting CybrTeddy:
The NOGAPS is showing a tropical storm approaching the islands.
Link

Umm, as much as I should be focused on that TS approaching the Antilles that model shows, what the heck is that thing near the Azores the model shows for like half of the run?
Member Since: 7 juillet 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5490
1046. aquak9 13:08 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Quoting emcf30:


I am back in Orlando now. We never made it to the beach yesterday. My sister and oldest daughter had a tad to much to drink. You can say they did not fell like sitting in the heat. Oh well. But go figure, every one felt good enough to spend a few hours shopping off of Duval and 95 were Gander Mountain is and had lunch at a place called Boston something or another.


ewww...hangover? shopping? I'd rather lay sod. And I HATE laying sod.

Well, glad ya'll had a safe trip, n it's over.

aisnnlps- google "sts9 be nice" give it a few minutes to start. Either ya like it, or not.
Member Since: 13 août 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25036
1047. aislinnpaps 13:14 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Thanks, Aqua. I listened to several songs. Never heard of them before.
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1048. Dakster 13:21 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Here is hoping that 90L will be too far gone to regenerate in the GOM...

Skeeters are bad in South Florida too. Now I have skeeters, dead grass, and high heat...

Blee, is that 111F a dry heat?
Member Since: 10 Mars 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 5266
1049. stormwatcherCI 13:21 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    

90L "coc" is south of the DR. It is easy to spot but lacks convection.


Trying to post the satellite pic but it won't come up.
Sorry.
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1050. emcf30 13:23 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
Heat index in Cocoa Beach already at 109 at 9 am. Muggy for sure.
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1051. stormwatcherCI 13:24 GMT le 24 juillet 2011    
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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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