July 2011: Most extreme July on record for the U.S.
According to the National Climatic Data Center's Climate Extremes Index, July 2011 was the most extreme July on record (since 1910) with a value of 37%. The Climate Extremes Index is created by merging the various climate indicators (drought, flood, extreme heat, extreme cold, etc.) into an index that can be tracked over time. This month's record CEI was due to extreme warm minimum temperatures across the country, wet northern Plains and Great Lakes, extreme warm maximum temperatures, and the severe drought across the South and Gulf Coast.
It was the fourth warmest July on record for the nation, and the fourth warmest month overall with an average temperature of 77°F. Extreme heat continued to bake the South, and Oklahoma and Texas both had their warmest months on record. Oklahoma's statewide average temperature was a remarkable 88.9°F in July, which is the warmest monthly statewide average for any state in any month. Dallas, Texas hit or exceeded 100°F on 30 out of the 31 days in July. For the entire South climate region, which comprises Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Louisiana, Arkansas, and Mississippi, July 2011 was the warmest month on record for any of the climate regions.
As we noted in a previous blog, an unprecedented area of exceptional drought covered the United States in July, the largest area in the history of the U.S. Drought Monitor. 75% of Texas was in an exceptional drought, and the entire state of Oklahoma was in moderate to exceptional drought in July. The NCDC estimates that it would take 20 inches of rain to end the drought in one month in the worst hit areas of Oklahoma and Texas.
Figure 1. Texas and Oklahoma had its hottest and the state of Washington had its 11th coolest July on record last month, according to the NCDC.
Figure 2. Texas had its second driest July on record, and Oklahoma had its 9th driest according to the NCDC. California continues to be wetter than average, and last month was its 8th wettest July on record.
Angela
Reader Comments
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Just north, in Rocky Point.
The name Franklin sounds harmless, I agree. Ida, Fran sound ugly.
Anyway, we could have TD 6 on our hands in as early as 24 hours from now, based on the given conditions.
It probably won't be that early, I'd give it 4-6 days from now. However, it is not a guarantee that this system will even develop.
Wow, that's a lot of blue...
FULL
LOL. Having trouble with a particular link
if models hold true, looks like an isabel track (2003) what a storm she was before landfall, my favorite satellite image of a hurricane!!!
Fish! XD
haha, but you know, you can never judge a book by its cover...or, a tropical cyclone by its name.
..seriously, its a little far out to make the call of any proposed path let alone if and or when it develops.
Hey, there is nothing wrong with a little long range forecasting. ;)
Evacuate the Katy Prairie! Everyone, To the freeway!
Exactly.
Only models run were the BAM suite.
Morgans Point, TX 88.9
Port Aransas, TX 90.1
Port Mansfield, TX 90.0
Rockport, TX 93.7
Sabine Pass 89.1
(08/10/2011 00:48 UTC)
I have it doing three loops then heading to florida lol.
Not the most terrifying of names.
HA. I was just thinking about that turtle.
But in all seriousness, it's a bit too early to say if 92L will be a hurricane or not.
Another something to watch.
This is how I see 92L playing out if it develops:
It'll choose to defy the models and tick us all off for a week. All the while we'll go about screaming: "He's going west!! No, it'll recurve!" but just to spite us, he'll head south, and then east, in a move that would generally be regarded as not very likely. Then by the time it heads towards land, wherever that may be, it'll go 'poof.'
so we should wait until the storm is near a land mass before we start predicting..lets just throw the models out and point a finger in the wind and check if east winds are blowing? its nothing wrong in thinking where a potential storm might go..
ECMWF @ 120 hours:
GFS @ 120 hours:
NGP @ 120 hours:
And Fran sounds like someone's name in a 90's sitcom. Oh wait...
You have mail.
Still a long way from being a TD.
Definitely.
it still a threat to mariners and islanders along the path to the CONUS (if it makes it that far) its an AOI on the NHC site..its on the Navy site..it has model support..a lot of potential I would think for TC development, I dont see anything wrong in discussing long range tracks..even short range gets it wrong
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