Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

July 2011: Most extreme July on record for the U.S.
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 16:43 GMT le 09 août 2011 +20
According to the National Climatic Data Center's Climate Extremes Index, July 2011 was the most extreme July on record (since 1910) with a value of 37%. The Climate Extremes Index is created by merging the various climate indicators (drought, flood, extreme heat, extreme cold, etc.) into an index that can be tracked over time. This month's record CEI was due to extreme warm minimum temperatures across the country, wet northern Plains and Great Lakes, extreme warm maximum temperatures, and the severe drought across the South and Gulf Coast.

It was the fourth warmest July on record for the nation, and the fourth warmest month overall with an average temperature of 77°F. Extreme heat continued to bake the South, and Oklahoma and Texas both had their warmest months on record. Oklahoma's statewide average temperature was a remarkable 88.9°F in July, which is the warmest monthly statewide average for any state in any month. Dallas, Texas hit or exceeded 100°F on 30 out of the 31 days in July. For the entire South climate region, which comprises Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Louisiana, Arkansas, and Mississippi, July 2011 was the warmest month on record for any of the climate regions.

As we noted in a previous blog, an unprecedented area of exceptional drought covered the United States in July, the largest area in the history of the U.S. Drought Monitor. 75% of Texas was in an exceptional drought, and the entire state of Oklahoma was in moderate to exceptional drought in July. The NCDC estimates that it would take 20 inches of rain to end the drought in one month in the worst hit areas of Oklahoma and Texas.


Figure 1. Texas and Oklahoma had its hottest and the state of Washington had its 11th coolest July on record last month, according to the NCDC.


Figure 2. Texas had its second driest July on record, and Oklahoma had its 9th driest according to the NCDC. California continues to be wetter than average, and last month was its 8th wettest July on record.

Angela
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51. hydrus 17:49 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting StormJunkie:
Sorry Dr M, but I need a favor from the blog.

How many of you can pull up my site. www.stormjunkie.com

If you can quote and respond with a yes or now it would be a huge help. Having some troubles with my hosting company.

Sorry again Dr M; and thanks.
I have been trying to pull you sight up for over a month and could not..
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52. EYEStoSEA 17:49 GMT le 09 août 2011    
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53. Tropicsweatherpr 17:49 GMT le 09 août 2011    
12z CMC has a wave developing in Eastern Atlantic.

Link
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54. tulsahurrcane 17:50 GMT le 09 août 2011    
When it starts getting down near 100 in tulsa, we all plan outdoor parties to take advantage of those pleasant temps. Next year here will be a landscaper's dream as not much is surviving. Adopted an an old blind dog that we found dying in the heat. He's taken over the household so I doubt I'll be able to post much in the future...he's controlling....
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55. hydrus 17:51 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
12z CMC has a wave developing in Eastern Atlantic.

Link
And the expanding ridge north of it...
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56. CybrTeddy 17:52 GMT le 09 août 2011    
12z CMC & 12z GFS both show a tropical wave developing next week. Time to watch east.
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57. Parkay 17:52 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting StormJunkie:
Sorry Dr M, but I need a favor from the blog.

How many of you can pull up my site. www.stormjunkie.com

If you can quote and respond with a yes or now it would be a huge help. Having some troubles with my hosting company.

Sorry again Dr M; and thanks.


Your hosting company has jacked up their Plesk installation.
Member Since: 21 avril 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 27
58. WhereIsTheStorm 17:52 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting Thunderpig75:


Every time I open a can of paint, it rains in North Florida. I'm starting to think I might be a god of some sort.


They need you in Texas. Go open your paint cans there.
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59. StormJunkie 17:53 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Thanks y'all. It's a hosting company issue...You can still access it today by going to stormjunkie.com (no www)...But I'm likely going to shut it down for now. Sorry for the inconvenience and I may get it back up sometime. If I do, I'll let y'all know.
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61. wildheron 17:56 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting StormJunkie:
Sorry Dr M, but I need a favor from the blog.

How many of you can pull up my site. www.stormjunkie.com

If you can quote and respond with a yes or now it would be a huge help. Having some troubles with my hosting company.

Sorry again Dr M; and thanks.
nope
Member Since: 23 juillet 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 70
62. FSUCOOPman 17:56 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting StormJunkie:
Sorry Dr M, but I need a favor from the blog.

How many of you can pull up my site. www.stormjunkie.com

If you can quote and respond with a yes or now it would be a huge help. Having some troubles with my hosting company.

Sorry again Dr M; and thanks.


Can't get it...gives a hosting error
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63. washingtonian115 17:56 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Guys I won't be on the next few days.I got word yesterday night that my grandmother had died.I'll be going to the funeral in N.C starting Wensday.Until then keep the peace on the blog.And no sly tricks while I'm gone.See you guys next week.
Member Since: 14 août 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 10597
64. klew136 17:57 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting StormJunkie:
Sorry Dr M, but I need a favor from the blog.

How many of you can pull up my site. www.stormjunkie.com

If you can quote and respond with a yes or now it would be a huge help. Having some troubles with my hosting company.

Sorry again Dr M; and thanks.


cannot open
Member Since: 5 septembre 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 130
66. OceanMoan 17:58 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting washingtonian115:
Guys I won't be on the next few days.I got word yesterday night that my grandmother had died.I'll be going to the funeral in N.C starting Wensday.Until then keep the peace on the blog.And no sly tricks while I'm gone.See you guys next week.


Sorry for your loss and I wish you safe travels.
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67. ncstorm 17:58 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Both the 12Z NOGAPS and GFS are seeing development of a TC and curving out to sea..another Emily?

also looks like home grown mischief (very weak though) as well in the GOM
Link
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68. weaverwxman 17:59 GMT le 09 août 2011    
No workie for me SJ
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69. EYEStoSEA 17:59 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting washingtonian115:
Guys I won't be on the next few days.I got word yesterday night that my grandmother had died.I'll be going to the funeral in N.C starting Wensday.Until then keep the peace on the blog.And no sly tricks while I'm gone.See you guys next week.


Sorry to hear that W115....take care :)
Member Since: 16 septembre 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1490
71. wxvoyeur 17:59 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting StormJunkie:
Sorry Dr M, but I need a favor from the blog.

How many of you can pull up my site. www.stormjunkie.com

If you can quote and respond with a yes or now it would be a huge help. Having some troubles with my hosting company.

Sorry again Dr M; and thanks.


Fails for me as well.
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72. ncstorm 18:00 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Looks like right now we have model support for development of a TC in the eastern atlantic..
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73. FtMyersgal 18:00 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting StormJunkie:
Sorry Dr M, but I need a favor from the blog.

How many of you can pull up my site. www.stormjunkie.com

If you can quote and respond with a yes or now it would be a huge help. Having some troubles with my hosting company.

Sorry again Dr M; and thanks.


I could not open it StormJ
Member Since: 16 septembre 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 980
74. MississippiWx 18:00 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting Patrap:
Expect a plethora of "OMG its a Climate Change entry again".

Its the weather,,not one mention of AGW or Climate Change here.

Expect the new norm to be the new norm,,as predicted.

and be-4 we get the first,,"I thought this was a Tropical Blog ?"..remember,,its the authors entry always,,


And this is usually what the pro-AGW people on here say. We both can play the whole cliche game.
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75. hunkerdown 18:01 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting StormJunkie:
Sorry Dr M, but I need a favor from the blog.

How many of you can pull up my site. www.stormjunkie.com

If you can quote and respond with a yes or now it would be a huge help. Having some troubles with my hosting company.

Sorry again Dr M; and thanks.
nope
Member Since: 15 août 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2514
76. weaverwxman 18:02 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting washingtonian115:
Guys I won't be on the next few days.I got word yesterday night that my grandmother had died.I'll be going to the funeral in N.C starting Wensday.Until then keep the peace on the blog.And no sly tricks while I'm gone.See you guys next week.

Condolences to you and your family stay safe and take care of your business see you when you return.
Member Since: 17 novembre 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 332
77. druseljic 18:02 GMT le 09 août 2011    
How many of you can pull up my site. www.stormjunkie.com

Worked after I removed the www as you suggested.
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78. bohonkweatherman 18:02 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting summerland:
Right now in San Antonio:
Temp: 93F
Heat Index: 101F
Last night's low: 79F
Pressure: 29.79
Humidity: 50% and falling
Dew Point: 73F (I haven't seen actual dew on the ground in years.)
Today's forecast high is 104F.

So, is there ANY chance of it raining here before September? Before Halloween? What does it take to bust an entrenched High like this?
Quoting sporteguy03:
Thanks Angela amazing to see how dry and hot Texas continues to be.
2 headed monster, heat and drought working off each other, I would say 95 percent of my days this year have been completely clear and just about every day since Jan. 1st has been above average or way above average with little to No rain, yes we did have a cold spell or 2 but they did not last long then it was above average around the cold spells. Say you live in a very wet state like Florida and you usually have 40 inches of rain by now if not more but you have only had 5 to 7 inches, that is the kind of drought we are in here in Texas. Where I live it started getting dry around last July and there has been no improvement since then so to me we are in like the 14th month of this drought, now some sections of Texas like the North did not start getting dry until recently but in South Central Texas is has been going on for some time. The 50's were several years of below average rainfall but never has Texas has a 1 year drought like this year. I hope I never see one again but no one knows when this drought will improve or end but with La Nina coming again that is not a good sign for Texas. In the last 3 years where I live if it wasnt for tropical rains during a couple of Summers I would be going thru a 3 year plus drought.
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79. Seawall 18:02 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting StormJunkie:
Sorry Dr M, but I need a favor from the blog.

How many of you can pull up my site. www.stormjunkie.com

If you can quote and respond with a yes or now it would be a huge help. Having some troubles with my hosting company.

Sorry again Dr M; and thanks.


Opens up to a page - Parallels Plesk Page.
Member Since: 8 septembre 2001 Posts: 1 Comments: 401
80. SAINTHURRIFAN 18:03 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Washtonian.So sorry for your loss,my thoughts and prayers are with you.May God bless you and your family in this difficult time.
Member Since: 20 août 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 668
81. MississippiWx 18:04 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting washingtonian115:
Guys I won't be on the next few days.I got word yesterday night that my grandmother had died.I'll be going to the funeral in N.C starting Wensday.Until then keep the peace on the blog.And no sly tricks while I'm gone.See you guys next week.


Sorry for your loss. Be safe.
Member Since: 15 juillet 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 8507
82. ncstorm 18:05 GMT le 09 août 2011    
JMA also predicting development for the GOM

Link
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83. ncstorm 18:06 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting bohonkweatherman:
2 headed monster, heat and drought working off each other, I would say 95 percent of my days this year have been completely clear and just about every day since Jan. 1st has been above average or way above average with little to No rain, yes we did have a cold spell or 2 but they did not last long then it was above average around the cold spells. Say you live in a very wet state like Florida and you usually have 40 inches of rain by now if not more but you have only had 5 to 7 inches, that is the kind of drought we are in here in Texas. Where I live it started getting dry around last July and there has been no improvement since then so to me we are in like the 14th month of this drought, now some sections of Texas like the North did not start getting dry until recently but in South Central Texas is has been going on for some time. The 50's were several years of below average rainfall but never has Texas has a 1 year drought like this year. I hope I never see one again but no one knows when this drought will improve or end but with La Nina coming again that is not a good sign for Texas. In the last 3 years where I live if it wasnt for tropical rains during a couple of Summers I would be going thru a 3 year plus drought.


La Nina is like the knife in the back for Texas..something gotta give shortly and it just might be a TC..
Member Since: 19 août 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8324
84. VAbeachhurricanes 18:07 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting StormJunkie:
Sorry Dr M, but I need a favor from the blog.

How many of you can pull up my site. www.stormjunkie.com

If you can quote and respond with a yes or now it would be a huge help. Having some troubles with my hosting company.

Sorry again Dr M; and thanks.


nope, last time you were on I said that it was gone, guess you didnt see it :(
Member Since: 6 septembre 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4797
85. Neapolitan 18:08 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting bohonkweatherman:
2 headed monster, heat and drought working off each other, I would say 95 percent of my days this year have been completely clear and just about every day since Jan. 1st has been above average or way above average with little to No rain, yes we did have a cold spell or 2 but they did not last long then it was above average around the cold spells. Say you live in a very wet state like Florida and you usually have 40 inches of rain by now if not more but you have only had 5 to 7 inches, that is the kind of drought we are in here in Texas. Where I live it started getting dry around last July and there has been no improvement since then so to me we are in like the 14th month of this drought, now some sections of Texas like the North did not start getting dry until recently but in South Central Texas is has been going on for some time. The 50's were several years of below average rainfall but never has Texas has a 1 year drought like this year. I hope I never see one again but no one knows when this drought will improve or end but with La Nina coming again that is not a good sign for Texas. In the last 3 years where I live if it wasnt for tropical rains during a couple of Summers I would be going thru a 3 year plus drought.

I read an article yesterday--and actually posted a link to it--that said it will take ten years for Texas' agriculture and livestock to recover from the current drought--and that's assuming 1) the drought ends PDQ, and 2) no other droughts occur over the next decade.
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86. MississippiWx 18:09 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Hopefully Texas isn't becoming an expansion of the desert.
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87. CybrTeddy 18:10 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting washingtonian115:
Guys I won't be on the next few days.I got word yesterday night that my grandmother had died.I'll be going to the funeral in N.C starting Wensday.Until then keep the peace on the blog.And no sly tricks while I'm gone.See you guys next week.


Lost my grandmother in December, very painful thing to go through. My deepest condolences to you and your family.
Member Since: 8 juillet 2005 Posts: 253 Comments: 20179
89. ncstorm 18:13 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting MississippiWx:


And this is usually what the pro-AGW people on here say. We both can play the whole cliche game.


broke my keyboard + this one!
Member Since: 19 août 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8324
90. gordydunnot 18:13 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Anybody know the closing price on a barrel of water. May start to pay to live in S. Fl..
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91. hydrus 18:15 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting ncstorm:
Both the 12Z NOGAPS and GFS are seeing development of a TC and curving out to sea..another Emily?

also looks like home grown mischief (very weak though) as well in the GOM
Link
And the S.W.Caribbean..
Member Since: 27 septembre 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14238
92. K8eCane 18:16 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting StormJunkie:
Thanks y'all. It's a hosting company issue...You can still access it today by going to stormjunkie.com (no www)...But I'm likely going to shut it down for now. Sorry for the inconvenience and I may get it back up sometime. If I do, I'll let y'all know.



I could not get it
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93. JRRP 18:17 GMT le 09 août 2011    
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94. ncstorm 18:18 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting hydrus:
And the S.W.Caribbean..


sure is..hope they ALL dont pan out..
Member Since: 19 août 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8324
95. summerland 18:18 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting MississippiWx:
Hopefully Texas isn't becoming an expansion of the desert.


Oh, that's already happening. The West Texas desert is spreading east. There are towns northwest of San Antonio that are on the brink of losing their water supplies completely. The lakes have gone dry. Severe water restrictions have been in force for ages, but are of little use when there's no rain to refill the lakes and reservoirs.

At least around here, this year's crops are simply gone -- I've seen so many fields of two-foot high corn plants burned to a dead brown husk -- and produce prices at the grocery store are higher than I've ever seen them. I have to wonder how far away Dust Bowl conditions are -- quite a ways off, I hope, but it makes me wonder how much worse things were during that level of historic drought.
Member Since: 30 août 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 83
96. CatfishJones 18:19 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting GiovannaDatoli:

Cooling?


There may be a mis-communication somewhere in there. There are some geologists who believe the Earth's core is cooling. From Wiki: "J. A. Jacobs was the first to suggest that the inner core is freezing and growing out of the liquid outer core due to the gradual cooling of Earth's interior (about 100 degrees Celsius per billion years)."

On another note, interesting weather in Florida. Palm Beach has shown a few vortex signatures off and on, but I didn't see much on Radial Velocity (.20, 1.00, 2.10) so it's probably nothing serious.
Member Since: 30 mai 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 233
97. transitzone 18:20 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting ncstorm:


La Nina is like the knife in the back for Texas..something gotta give shortly and it just might be a TC..


We tried that once this season already. Don didn't really survive to make landfall
Member Since: 22 Mars 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 55
98. ncstorm 18:21 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting transitzone:


We tried that once this season already. Don didn't really survive to make landfall


still got over half of the season left..
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99. MississippiWx 18:22 GMT le 09 août 2011    
Quoting summerland:


Oh, that's already happening. The West Texas desert is spreading east. There are towns northwest of San Antonio that are on the brink of losing their water supplies completely. The lakes have gone dry. Severe water restrictions have been in force for ages, but are of little use when there's no rain to refill the lakes and reservoirs.

At least around here, this year's crops are simply gone -- I've seen so many fields of two-foot high corn plants burned to a dead brown husk -- and produce prices at the grocery store are higher than I've ever seen them. I have to wonder how far away Dust Bowl conditions are -- quite a ways off, I hope, but it makes me wonder how much worse things were during that level of historic drought.


That is really saddening to read. Hopefully this upcoming La Nina won't pan out during the winter and Texas can have the benefit of more passing storms.
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100. FLWeatherFreak91 18:22 GMT le 09 août 2011    
I'm pushing 6" of rainfall today here in Odessa in northern Hillsborough co, fl.

Almost a foot this month so far
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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