Tropical Depression Seven forms
The latest in our unusual number of weak tropical cyclones this season, Tropical Depression Seven, has formed to the southeast of Bermuda. Unless you live in Bermuda, TD 7 is not going to be a concern. Radar out of Bermuda shows an area of rain on the northern side of TD 7 beginning to approach the island, and rain from the storm will likely affect the island tonight and on Monday. TD 7 is not well-organized, and has only limited heavy thunderstorms, as seen on visible satellite images. While wind shear is a low 5 - 10 knots, dry air surrounds TD 7, and is keeping the storm from intensifying. None of the computer models foresee that TD 7 will ever become more than a weak tropical storm.
Figure 1. Morning satellite image of TD 7.
92L
TD 7 isn't the only system Bermuda needs to watch, Invest 92L is a day behind it, and will follow a path very similar to TD 7's. The disturbance will pass close to Bermuda on Tuesday, bringing the island a second round of tropical rains. However, Invest 92L is very disorganized, as seen on recent visible satellite loops. Dry air and close proximity to TD 7 will likely keep 92L from showing significant development over the next two days, with NHC giving the system just a 30% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Tuesday morning.
Elsewhere in the tropics
The disturbance midway between the Lesser Antilles Islands and the coast of Africa we've been tracking over the past few days, Invest 93L, has fallen apart and is no longer a threat to develop. This system will need to be watched once it enters the Caribbean later this week, though. None of the reliable models for predicting tropical cyclone formation predict development of this system or any new disturbances over the coming week.
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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This one shows real promise...
Enjoy!!
Stillwaiting- Good Morning,Been doing good? so u think it's looking more like 2010 this yr? I kinda do to, the waves come off kind of strong with some good convection and a swirl with them and then becomes a dud. Like u said it looks like part2 too 2010.
Which that is wonderful to have another safe yr.
sheri
Severe thunderstorm causes minor damage near Orange...
Strong winds blew through parts of Orange County earlier Sunday evening knocking out the power at the Temple Inland Paper Mill on Highway 87. This area was under a severe thunderstorm warning for about 40 minutes Sunday afternoon.
A man got trapped inside and elevator for several minutes before he was rescued by emergency workers.
As always take with a pinch of salt.
I'm already starting to look at this years winter outlook. If you like cold weather you will love it.
Can't wait to hear the HAARP cpnspiracy casters to start their theories.
You might be right, but I don't want to hear it.
This season is actually worse so far than last year. At least last year there signs of hope.
Viewing: 1951 - 1975
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