Nate makes landfall; Maria organizing, but pulling away from the islands
Tropical Storm Nate made landfall at 11 am EDT this morning just north of Barra de Nautla in the Mexican state of Veracruz, as a tropical storm with 45 mph winds. Satellite loops show that there is very little heavy thunderstorm activity associated with Nate, and the storm should not cause significant flooding or damage as it pushes inland and dissipates later today.
Figure 1. Visible satellite image of Nate as it made landfall in the Veracruz state of Mexico near 11 am EDT Sunday, September 11, 2011.
Tropical Storm Maria
Tropical Storm Maria has managed to organize in the face of the persistent moderate wind shear that has affected it, and now looks a little more like a tropical storm should. Though the center of circulation lies partially exposed to view, satellite imagery shows a large area of heavy thunderstorms lies to the northeast of Maria's center. These rains and the storm's strongest winds lie well away from the Lesser Antilles Islands, though one spiral band is bringing heavy rains to the islands, as seen on Martinique radar. A wind gust of 40 mph was reported on St. Martin at 11 am EDT, and one of 36 mph affected St. Kitts and Nevis at 9 am EDT during a rain squall. The trough of low pressure that is bringing hostile wind shear to Maria is predicted to slowly weaken over the next few days, which should allow the storm to grow to hurricane strength by Tuesday. On Wednesday, Maria will be making its closest approach to Bermuda, and the island could see sustained winds in the 20 - 40 mph range. Most of the models show that Maria will brush or strike Newfoundland, Canada on Friday or Saturday, and residents there should anticipate the possibility of tropical storm conditions late this week.
Figure 2. Morning satellite image of Tropical Storm Maria.
Extratropical Storm Katia
Hurricane Katia brushed by Newfoundland, Canada yesterday morning, and is now racing east-northeast at 50 - 60 mph across the open Atlantic. On Monday, the storm will pass very close to the northern British Isles, bringing winds of 50 - 60 mph to the offshore waters of Northern Ireland and Western Scotland. Ex-Katia will bring 2 - 4 inches of rain to the coast, and its strong winds will likely cause significant tree damage and power failures.
Figure 3. The center of Extratropical Storm Katia is predicted to pass just north of the British Isles on Monday, bringing a large area 45 - 50 knots (52 - 58 mph, red colors) to the coast. This wind forecast is from the 00Z (8 pm EDT) run of the GFS model made last night. To convert from knots to mph, multiply by 1.15.
Elsewhere in the tropics
Most of the models predict the development of a tropical depression or strong tropical disturbance 5 - 6 days from now off the coast of Africa.
I'll have an update Monday morning. Peace to all this September 11!
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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And as early as July.
What the US military is s'poseta be doing is making it unnecessary to go to war. The soldiers are s'poseta be mostly doing maintenance, training, and guard duty during peacetime.
These guys and gals, all volunteers, are doin' hard time far too often for far too long.
19.0n64.0w, 19.5n64.9w are now the most recent positions
Starting 10Sept_6pmGMT and ending 11Sept_6pmGMT
The 4 eastern line-segments represent TropicalStormMaria's path,
the westernmost line-segment is the straightline projection,
and the island blob at 30.136n81.349w-fd48 is the endpoint of straightline projection on the most
recent*previous*mapping connected to its nearest airport.
Using straightline projection of the travel-speed&heading derived from the
ATCF coordinates spanning the 6hours between 12pmGMT then 6pmGMT :
TS.Maria's travel-speed was 11.3mph(18.2k/h) on a heading of 300.5degrees(WNW)
TS.Maria was headed toward passage over SavannahSound,Eleuthera,Bahamas ~2days22hours from now
Copy&paste 30.136n81.349w-fd48, 17.5n62.0w-18.0n62.6w, 18.0n62.6w-18.6n63.3w, 18.6n63.3w-19.0n64.0w, 19.0n64.0w-19.5n64.9w, rsd, 19.0n64.0w-25.09n76.12w into the GreatCircleMapper for more info
The previous mapping (for 11Sept_12pmGMT)
* The alteration of the endpoint of a TropicalCyclone's previous path also changes its previous travel-speed&heading -- sometimes quite noticeably as in this case from NW to WNW -- and the endpoint of its previous straightline projection...
...but I'm choosing to preserve the historicity of the mappings.
fighting for you and me with there life so thankful for it though
I mounted mine on my pilings near my boat because I wanted to know the wind speeds in that location, if I want unobstructed winds on the chesapeake, there are plenty of buoys I can check. This way during storms I know what winds are hitting my boats in their protected slips. I registered the strongest gust at 68mph during Irene.
Wes
? did I miss something? invested? infested? Boy, what a crazy blog today!
How's Hatteras now? I was supposed to be coming down next weekend, but have cancelled since Irene. It's my favorite place on the outer banks!
cod zombies acension anyway gotta go but, maria looks to be weekening
IPAD TIME! LOL
L8R
That's kinda what I was getting at. Winds at 33ft are honestly useless to me cause I don't live at 33ft AGL, and those aren't the winds affecting my dwelling..
208 seafarer459 "Says Who? Right, Wrong, or Indifferent. The job of a soldier, is to follow orders. No more, No less. Nuremberg still applies."
Says the US military -- which you obviously haven't experienced -- and the Laws of the Land.
The job of a US soldier is to obey lawful orders to the extent that the nearby tactical situation allows. And to disobey all unlawful orders, as well as to modify tactical orders from above to the situation at hand.
US troops are expected to be the opposite of robots: to use their minds to choose&do what's Right.
Yeah, and I know this will change, but wondering when our next trough is going to change this setup and allow her to move NW?
Firstly... The Nuremberg thingy, shoulda gave ya a clue.
And any time you want to accompany me, to the VA, twice a month for treatment. Your welcome to.
if thats so we could see a new cone change from the nhc soon or she just might get on track by making that right turn the big ? is when
No it's not him....don't be gullible.
Oh man, had me going.
I thought storm was back. :(
nop
That's what it sounded like. I thought about all options, but in the end I waited to know the windspeed for the boats in storms, I'm usually calmed down by the thing because it's not blowing quite as strong where they are as it seems thanks to the houses and trees around, sure wonder what the boats looked like in a 68mph gust, but I wouldn't have been happy to watch, but we were under evacuation orders and didn't stick around to watch.
Using stormw's photo?
This is strange to say the least.
still 60 mph winds
when is this nw suppose to come in play ?
yup
huh? can someone make sense of this?
thats not him
look at his name its not stormW
Sorry taz when I see that pic, I automatically think stormw, sorry.
poor texas is dried up and burning. The air quality is no good and people with respiratory problems can't go outside.
Is there and chance of a TS arriving sometime this season?
nop this report him and he be gone
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