Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

New USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map for gardeners shows a warming climate
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 14:17 GMT le 01 février 2012 +32
Wintertime minimum temperatures in the U.S. have risen so much in recent decades that the United States Department of Agriculture decided last week to update their Plant Hardiness Zone Map for gardeners for the first time since 1990. The Plant Hardiness Zone Map is the standard by which gardeners and growers can determine which plants are most likely to thrive at a location. The map is based on the average annual minimum winter temperature, divided into 10-degree F zones. Compared to the 1990 version, zone boundaries in the new 2012 edition of the map have generally shifted one 5-degree Fahrenheit half-zone warmer than the previous map throughout much of the United States. This is mostly a result of using temperature data from a longer and more recent time period. The old 1990 map was based on temperature data from only a 13-year period of 1974-1986, while the new map uses data from the 30-year period 1976-2005.


Figure 1. Comparison of the 1990 and 2012 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Maps. Image credit: USDA and Arbor Day Foundation

Northwards, ho!
While humans are generally not attuned enough to nature's rhythms to tell if the climate is changing, plants and animals know the climate is changing. Many species of animals, insects, and plants have shifted their ranges poleward and to higher elevations in recent decades because of global warming. The 2007 IPCC report stated that "numerous studies document a progressively earlier spring by about 2.3 to 5.2 days per decade in the last 30 years in response to climate warming. That report also documented over 400 species that have moved their ranges poleward or to higher elevations because of climate change. For example, conifer trees expanded northwards into former tundra areas at a rate of 12 km per year between 1982 - 2000 in portions of Canada (Fillol and Royer, 2003.) Holly plants moved northwards by several hundred kilometers in recent decades into coastal Norway, Northeast Germany, Denmark, and coastal Sweden in response to warming temperatures (Walther et al., 2005.) As the climate continues to warm, plant and animal species previously unknown in many regions will appear, and will disappear from places they used to inhabit.


Figure 2. Change in the boundary line between conifer forest (taiga) and tundra between 1982 (grey line) and 2000 (white line) over Canada. In the grey box marked "Transect", the rate of northwards migration was 12 km per year, or 228 km (142 miles) in nineteen years. Image credit: Fillol and Royer, 2003, "Variability analysis of the transitory climate regime as defined by the NDVI/Ts relationship derived from NOAA-AVHRR over Canada", Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, 2003. IGARSS '03. Proceedings. 2003 IEEE International.

Jeff Masters
Categories: Climate Change
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201. caneswatch 00:40 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting KoritheMan:


Sex, booze, and campfire stories.

Or at least I do.


I do as well, at least with the campfire stories.
Member Since: 8 octobre 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4479
203. sunlinepr 00:58 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Powerful energy release emanating from the Earth’s core recorded?

Posted on February 2, 2012
February 2, 2012 – TURKEY – The International Geodynamic Monitoring System, a part of GNFE (London, UK), has registered on November 15, 2011 a powerful energy release emanating from the Earth’s core. The intense three-dimensional gravitational anomaly was almost simultaneously recorded by all ATROPATENA geophysical stations separated by vast distances from each other in the following cities: Istanbul (Turkey), Kiev (Ukraine), Baku (Azerbaijan), Islamabad (Pakistan) and Yogyakarta (Indonesia). According to GNFE President Professor Elchin Khalilov, the detailed analysis of ATROPATENA station records indicates a powerful energy release emanating from the Earth’s core. According to the scientist, this fact may herald intensification of geodynamic processes in our planet and as a result, a higher number of strong earthquakes, volcanic eruptions and tsunamis. As GNFE President Professor Elchin Khalilov told WOSCO news agency, ATROPATENA earthquake forecasting stations record particular three-dimensional gravitational anomalies that occur, on average, 3-7 days before strong earthquakes. These anomalies are generated by the passing of tectonic waves (stress waves) under the stations; they are emitted by the focuses of imminent large earthquakes at the moment when the stresses in them reach critical values. These waves travel very slowly, their velocity ranging from an average of 30 km/h on the continents up to 120 km/h in the oceanic crust. The stress waves are of low frequency and their period ranges from several hours to two days on average, making it impossible for seismic stations to detect them. Of course, the ATROPATENA stations record the passing of these waves with a large time difference, which helps monitor their movement and, with quite high accuracy, calculate the location of the epicenter area of the expected earthquake. –Geochange Journal
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204. Patrap 01:03 GMT le 02 février 2012    
203. sunlinepr


If History of Earth's Volcanic and geological past is a indicator of what could happen..I'd pay close attention to her signals from deep inside that Molten Iron-Nickel core.

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205. sunlinepr 01:07 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Link

More Than 70 Die In Egyptian Football Riot

12:21am UK, Thursday February 02, 2012
At least 74 people have been killed and 1,000 injured after a football pitch invasion in Egypt, according to reports.

Clashes are said to have broken out as fans flooded the field seconds after the game in the northern coastal city of Port Said finished.

There were reports of rocks, bottles, flares and fireworks being thrown as politicians in the country criticised a lack of security at the match.

Doctors treating the victims said some had been stabbed to death. One player caught up in the rioting described it as "a war".

Troops have now been deployed on the streets and dozens of people have been arrested.

Port Said, Egypt

One player likened the scenes in Port Said to 'war'

Witnesses said most of the deaths involved people who had been trampled in the crush of panicked crowds, or who fell from terraces.

Deputy health minister Hesham Sheiha told state television: "This is unfortunate and deeply saddening. It is the biggest disaster in Egypt's soccer history."

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206. TropicalAnalystwx13 01:12 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Day 2 Storm Prediction Center Categorical Outlook:



Day 2 Storm Prediction Center Probabilistic Outlook:



DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1123 AM CST WED FEB 01 2012

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...

...OK/TX...

SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN MID LEVEL FLOW WILL DEVELOP WITHIN THE BASE
OF TRANSITORY WRN U.S. TROUGH LATE TONIGHT. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS STRONG H5 FLOW...ON THE ORDER OF 60-70KT...WILL OVERSPREAD
NM/TX SOUTH PLAINS BY 02/12Z WITH MAIN CORE OF JET EXPECTED TO
EXTEND INTO WRN OK BY SUNSET. IN RESPONSE TO THIS FEATURE...LLJ
WILL FOCUS OVER NWRN TX INTO WRN OK...INCREASING MARKEDLY DURING THE
EVENING HOURS TO VALUES OF 50-60KT. NET RESULT WILL BE FOR NWD
EVOLVING WARM FRONT TO REPOSITION ITSELF NEAR THE RED RIVER...WWD TO
A WEAK SFC LOW OVER THE TX SOUTH PLAINS BY PEAK HEATING. THIS WILL
SERVE AS THE PRIMARY CORRIDOR FOR LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS 50S SFC DEW POINTS WILL SURGE NWWD AS
WARM FRONT RETURNS INTO SRN OK/NWRN TX...WITH NEAR 60 DEW POINTS
POSSIBLY RETURNING TO REGIONS WELL EAST OF DRYLINE PRIOR TO TSTM
ACTIVITY. 12Z NAM IN PARTICULAR SUGGESTS A NARROW ZONE OF STRONG
BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE TX SOUTH PLAINS INTO
PORTIONS OF NWRN TX. IF LAPSE RATES STEEPEN AS THE NAM SUGGESTS
THEN CONVECTIVE INHIBITION WILL BE REDUCED AND SFC PARCELS WILL
REACH THEIR CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES...WHICH APPEAR TO BE NEAR 70.
GIVEN THE LARGE SCALE FORCING/SHEAR EXPECTED IT WOULD SEEM
REASONABLE TO EXPECT ISOLATED SUPERCELLS TO INITIATE NEAR/JUST SOUTH
OF THE WARM FRONT ALONG THE ADVANCING DRYLINE AROUND 22-00Z. WITH
TIME WARM ADVECTION WILL ALSO DRIVE ELEVATED CONVECTION NORTH OF THE
WARM FRONT ACROSS THE ERN TX PANHANDLE INTO WRN/CNTRL OK. ALTHOUGH
SFC DEW POINTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY IN THE MID-UPPER 50S
WITHIN THE INITIATING ZONE...RELATIVELY LOW TEMP/DEW POINT SPREADS
SUGGEST CLOUD BASES WILL BE REASONABLY LOW AND ISOLATED TORNADOES
CAN NOT BE RULED OUT IF DISCRETE SUPERCELLS EVOLVE. HOWEVER...THE
PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE LARGE HAIL WITH UPWARD EVOLVING
THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS...ESPECIALLY ALONG/NORTH OF WARM FRONT. THIS
ACTIVITY WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF WRN/CNTRL OK BY 03/12Z.

..DARROW.. 02/01/2012

Day 3 Storm Prediction Center Categorical Outlook:



Day 3 Storm Prediction Center Probabilistic Outlook:



DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0218 AM CST WED FEB 01 2012

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SRN
PLAINS...

...SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE EWD INTO THE CNTRL HIGH
PLAINS FRIDAY AS A 60 TO 75 KT MID-LEVEL JET ROUNDS THE ERN SIDE OF
THE LOW INTO THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS. THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD ALONG AN AXIS OF INSTABILITY FROM NORTH
TX NWD INTO SRN KS. A MARGINAL HAIL THREAT COULD EXIST WITH STORMS
THAT HAVE ACCESS TO MODERATE INSTABILITY. DURING THE DAY...THE
MODELS MOVE THE CONVECTION EWD ACROSS KS AND INTO ECNTRL OK WITH A
SWD EXPANSION INTO CNTRL AND EAST TX. THE MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT CONCERNING THIS SCENARIO BUT THE MAIN UNCERTAINTIES
INCLUDE TIMING THE EWD PROGRESSION OF THE SYSTEM AND GAGING HOW FAR
NORTH STRONG STORMS WILL DEVELOP.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS FRIDAY AFTERNOON SUGGEST THE BEST ENVIRONMENT FOR
SEVERE STORMS WILL EXIST ACROSS NORTHEAST TX WHERE MLCAPE VALUES ARE
FORECAST IN THE 1200 TO 1500 J/KG RANGE WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR AROUND 50
KT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT DALLAS CONVECT USING SFC-BASED PARCELS
SUGGESTING A WIND DAMAGE THREAT MAY EXIST. AN ISOLATED LARGE HAIL
THREAT MAY ALSO BE PRESENT ESPECIALLY IF SUPERCELLS CAN ORGANIZE.
THE HAIL THREAT COULD EXTEND NNWWD ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS INTO
NCNTRL OK AND SRN KS WHERE COLD AIR ALOFT IS FORECAST IN THE CORE OF
THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW. HOWEVER...THE HAIL THREAT IN THE CNTRL PLAINS
SHOULD BE KEPT MARGINAL DUE TO WEAK INSTABILITY AND ONGOING
PRECIPITATION THROUGHOUT THE DAY. FURTHER TO THE SOUTH...CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE SHOULD DECREASE WITH SWD EXTENT IN AREAS SOUTH OF DALLAS
WHERE LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IS FORECAST TO THE LIMITED.

..BROYLES.. 02/01/2012
Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 92 Comments: 25957
207. wxmod 01:12 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting theamoeba:
When the president moves away from talking about climate change and talks more generally about energy, as he did in the State of the Union, calling for an all-out, all-of-the-above strategy that develops every available source of American energy, the impact is more than just political.

It just might get him re-elected. All talk about 'the left this' and 'the right that' discounts the fact that none of these folk elected themselves. If the discussion is moving in the "energy" direction, it's because that's where the discussion leaders think that the votes are. Our votes. That points the mirror, and the blame, squarely where they belong. At you and me.

I work at a lab where climate change and ocean acidification are major components of the work. The parking lot is full of cars, every day. I rest my case.


Powerful argument and it bodes not well for the world. The people who are working on turning the situation around are indeed part of the problem, as are all the rest of us. Thanks.
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208. sunlinepr 01:13 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Member Since: 2 août 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
210. hurricanehunter27 01:42 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting wxmod:


Powerful argument and it bodes not well for the world. The people who are working on turning the situation around are indeed part of the problem, as are all the rest of us. Thanks.
Nuclear energy. Solved.
Member Since: 22 juillet 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3673
211. SPLbeater 01:46 GMT le 02 février 2012    
My handheld anemometer came in today that was ordered for my birthday(last thursday) works GOOOOD. Guide says its VERY accurate at low to mid windspeeds, but too much time in high windspeeds will reduce accuracy.


I plan on taking this intrument up to the side of the road overlooking a highway by about 30 feet, no trees within 400 yards, and measure a bow echo. Guess i will have to get wet sometimes...lol.
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3961
212. SPLbeater 01:49 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Radar is also filling in quickly...hasnt rained yet.
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3961
213. sunlinepr 01:49 GMT le 02 février 2012    
NASA Mission Returns First Video from Moon's Far Side



South pole of the far side of the moon as seen from the GRAIL mission's Ebb spacecraft. (Credit: NASA/Caltech-JPL)

ScienceDaily (Feb. 1, 2012) — A camera aboard one of NASA's twin Gravity Recovery And Interior Laboratory (GRAIL) lunar spacecraft has returned its first unique view of the far side of the moon. MoonKAM, or Moon Knowledge Acquired by Middle school students, will be used by students nationwide to select lunar images for study.

GRAIL consists of two identical spacecraft, recently named Ebb and Flow, each of which is equipped with a MoonKAM. The images were taken as part of a test of Ebb's MoonKAM on Jan. 19. The GRAIL project plans to test the MoonKAM aboard Flow at a later date.

To view the 30-second video clip, visit: http://go.nasa.gov/zZXAPs .

In the video, the north pole of the moon is visible at the top of the screen as the spacecraft flies toward the lunar south pole. One of the first prominent geological features seen on the lower third of the moon is the Mare Orientale, a 560-mile-wide (900 kilometer) impact basin that straddles both the moon's near and far side.

The clip ends with rugged terrain just short of the lunar south pole. To the left of center, near the bottom of the screen, is the 93-mile-wide (149 kilometer) Drygalski crater with a distinctive star-shaped formation in the middle. The formation is a central peak, created many billions of years ago by a comet or asteroid impact.
Member Since: 2 août 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
214. Skyepony (Mod) 01:51 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Member Since: 10 août 2005 Posts: 145 Comments: 29957
215. sunlinepr 01:51 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Member Since: 2 août 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
216. Skyepony (Mod) 01:52 GMT le 02 février 2012    
95P is overland..
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217. sunlinepr 01:53 GMT le 02 février 2012    
NASA's GCPEx Mission: What We Don't Know About Snow

ScienceDaily (Feb. 1, 2012) — Predicting the future is always a tricky business -- just watch a TV weather report. Weather forecasts have come a long way, but almost every season there's a snowstorm that seems to come out of nowhere, or one that's forecast as 'the big one' that turns out to be a total bust.

In the last ten years, scientists have shown that it is possible to detect falling snow and measure surface snowpack information from the vantage point of space. But there remains much that is unknown about the fluffy white stuff.

"We're still figuring out how to measure snow from space," says Gail Skofronick-Jackson, a specialist in the remote sensing of snow at NASA's Goddard Space Fight Center, Greenbelt, Md. "We're where we were with measuring rain 40 years ago."

Link
Member Since: 2 août 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
218. TomTaylor 01:54 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting PensacolaDoug:



Hi Nea.
Are you really going to pull that one again?

It's the typical "Oh, I can't think of a good response, in fact, that response was so well though out that I'm just going to resort to simple and unintelligent tactics like accusing smart and passionate posters of having multiple accounts in a feeble attempt to undermine their credibility as a poster."

Xyrus isn't Nea. Furthermore, I respect people like Xyrus and Nea who actually take the time to think out what they are going to say, write in an easy-to-understand manner, and provide links to back themselves up. When you do what you just did here, Pensacola, you really only discourage well written posts, so please, do us all a favor and grow up.
Member Since: 24 août 2010 Posts: 18 Comments: 4053
219. marsHen 01:55 GMT le 02 février 2012    
10 years ago on the gulf coast of florida around the suwannee river delta, you would hardly ever find a red mangrove. this area was the northern-most limit of the black mangroves, which are common and more cold-tolerant than the red mangrove. now, there's young red mangroves all over the spartina marshes - some are even old enough to flower and drop propagules - even after some hard freezes two years ago, and the black mangroves are slowly moving past the mouth of the suwannee where you never saw them even 5 years ago. the mangroves are moving north.

Member Since: 5 septembre 2011 Posts: 605 Comments: 114
220. hurricanehunter27 01:58 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting TomTaylor:
Are you really going to pull that one again?

It's the typical "Oh, I can't think of a good response, in fact, that response was so well though out that I'm just going to resort to simple and unintelligent tactics like accusing smart and passionate posters of having multiple accounts in a feeble attempt to undermine their credibility as a poster."

Xyrus isn't Nea. Furthermore, I respect people like Xyrus and Nea who actually take the time to think out what they are going to say, write in a cohesive and understanding manner, and provide links to back themselves up. When you do what you just did here, Pensacola, you really only discourage well written posts, so please, do us all a favor and grow up.
Guess I'm on his ignore list, do not see the posts at all. Anyone want to ask him why for me?
Member Since: 22 juillet 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3673
221. SPLbeater 02:13 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Guess I'm on his ignore list do not sees these posts at all. Anyone want to ask him why for me?


(if u reffer 2 me)your not ignored. because you and some others, it takes alot more then simple arguement to put on ignore. because 96% of the time, you have good posts. others, LIKE TOMTAYLOR, dont.

And tom, you make yourself look reeeeal bad losing your temper like that. its not imature to use ignore. If it was, it wouldnt be there.
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3961
222. hydrus 02:23 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Nuclear energy. Solved.
Yeah baby..Fusion reactors by the year 2040. The oceans would provide millions of years worth of energy without the filth...Somethin like this, just a little bigger...he he..
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223. StormGoddess 02:25 GMT le 02 février 2012    
This morning right after dawn as the sun rose, to my dismay, there were mammatus clouds hanging along the edge of a large shelf cloud formation, the edge of which was right overhead. To the southwest clouds stacks were shooting up as if it were a spring afternoon. For several hours the sky was rolling with grey clouds and there appeared to be quite a lot of energy in the sky. If this had been March there probably would have been a lot of trouble today. This is not a good sign. It does not bode well for this year's tornado season, at all.

Everyone needs to have a plan. Getting into a bathtub is not going to cut it, anymore. Our atmosphere is currently too volatile to take this lightly any longer and wait until the last second to think about it. Even in places where you normally don't ever have to worry about tornadoes. Please have arrangements for a shelter located somewhere nearby that is ready to go to, even if it is just a small 'root cellar' that you dug out yourself. Yes that is correct something that you dug out yourself with a sturdy roof covering on it that is strong and secure (concrete). There are quite a large number of cellars like this in the midwest and this is what most people have out here. Instructions on how to make a cellar are easy to find. Being underground is the safest place to be. One time I survived a tornado that was right overhead, because I was hiding a few feet below ground in an open drainage ditch by the side of the road. Above me the tall grass lay flat on the ground from the wind, but inside the shallow hole in the ground it was very calm with almost no wind. A large tree located about forty feet away from me came crashing down as the wind growled. Later I saw that all of its' roots were sticking up out of the ground like the wind almost ripped it out completely by the root.

Everybody is going to have to take it unto themselves to protect their families from violent storms. Have a plan in place for exactly what you and your family will do.

Have a good night all. :)
Member Since: 10 juin 2010 Posts: 6 Comments: 574
224. PensacolaDoug 02:27 GMT le 02 février 2012    
I just logged on and the 1st thing I see is some kid telling me to grow up. For the record, I think Nea has more than one account. I can't prove it. I do know he has a lot of fans here and they enjoy piling onto me when I post. That's just the way it is. So Tom, if you don't like what I have to say, you know what to do.
Member Since: 25 juillet 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 4831
225. TomTaylor 02:27 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting SPLbeater:


(if u reffer 2 me)your not ignored. because you and some others, it takes alot more then simple arguement to put on ignore. because 96% of the time, you have good posts. others, LIKE TOMTAYLOR, dont.

And tom, you make yourself look reeeeal bad losing your temper like that. its not imature to use ignore. If it was, it wouldnt be there.
I didn't lose my temper. There is a difference between expressing your feelings and losing your temper, in case you were unaware.

Maybe I look really bad to you, but judging by the little "+10" next to my comment, I think it's safe to say most of the people liked the comment.

Not sure why you think I think ignoring someone is immature. Personally, I like seeing what everyone has to say (even trolls are amusing) and I can usually do a good job of mentally ignore people so I have no use for an ignore list.


P.S. When are you going to start your spelling and grammar lessons?
Member Since: 24 août 2010 Posts: 18 Comments: 4053
226. Patrap 02:31 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Thursday, February 2, 2012OP-ED

Praful Bidwai Column

Japan's unending nuclear nightmare


It's generally assumed that highly developed Japan would handle a catastrophic accident far more competently than callous, hierarchical, and class-polarised societies with a poor infrastructure and safety culture like India or Bangladesh.

Japan was also expected to do better than backward Ukraine, which suffered the world's previous nuclear core meltdown at Chernobyl in 1986 -- especially as regards large-scale evacuation given Japan's experience with earthquakes and tsunamis.

Alas, Japan has abjectly failed to provide relief to those affected by the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident. Needless to say, India or Bangladesh would have done infinitely worse.

A majority of the victims of the three Fukushima reactor meltdowns continue to be exposed to high levels of radiation from atmospheric fallout and contaminated food and water. The radiation "exclusion zone" only covers a 20-km radius. But radiation levels are high 60 or even 200 km away.

Radiation meters show high gamma radiation readings such as 20 microsieverts an hour. Within roughly 40 days, these would deliver a dose equalling the maximum annual limit set by the Japanese government. This limit is itself 20 times higher than the internationally prevalent annual norm of 1 millisievert (mSv)! People's radiation exposure hasn't been systematically estimated or monitored by the government or plant operator Tokyo Electric Power Co (Tepco).

Had the authorities followed the Chernobyl norm for triggering evacuation (5 mSv), they would have had to evacuate five times more people and impose restrictions on food grown in an area 30 times the size of Fukushima's evacuation zone. Japan's public health response was thus worse than poor Ukraine's despite its greater technological sophistication and financial capacity.

What explains this is the inability of government and industry to act in nuclear crises, mutual collusion between them, and suppression of critical safety-related information. An official committee's report released three weeks ago shows that bumbling nuclear industry executives and confused government officials mishandled the crisis from the beginning. The 507-page interim report found that tsunami risks were grossly underestimated.

Tepco workers weren't trained to handle emergencies like the station blackout caused by the tsunami, leading to the overheating of reactor cores and their meltdown. They had no manual to follow and didn't communicate properly even among themselves.

Cooling of the reactors was delayed because of the mishandling of an emergency cooling system. Workers assumed it was working, despite signs that it had failed. A better response might have reduced radiation leaks and averted hydrogen explosions at Reactors 1, 3 and 4, which sent out huge radiation plumes. The radiation load wasn't even measured.

Regulatory agencies failed to impose tough safety standards on Tepco, which was too slow to gather information on radiation and relay it.

The report documents Tepco's misjudgment of the reactors' operational situation, its poor handling of water injection, and its failure to prevent damage magnification. It also exposes the government's inadequate responses as regards initial radiation monitoring, emergency evacuation, and failure to provide truthful information to the public.

Japan's Nuclear Industrial and Safety Agency failed to correct these errors. The government didn't make the extent of radiation spread and doses public. Many people were wrongly moved from low-radiation areas to high-radiation ones! The government lied through its teeth. It knew within a day that there had been a meltdown, yet didn't disclose that for weeks.

Media reports have just revealed that the Japanese government suppressed a worst-case scenario for the crisis soon after it began and kept it under wraps until December. After the document was shown to a select group of senior officials in late March, the government decided to quietly bury it. "The content was so shocking that we decided to treat it as if it didn't exist," a senior official is quoted as saying.

The document forecast that in a worst-case scenario, the reactors would release massive quantities of radioactivity for about a year. The projection was based on the premise that a hydrogen explosion would tear through the first reactor's containment vessel, forcing station workers to evacuate because of lethal radiation levels.

In that event, 40 million residents within a radius of 170 km of the station would be forced to evacuate. Those living within a radius of between 170 and 250 km, including Tokyo, could choose to evacuate voluntarily.

Logically, this scenario may already have materialised. After all, hydrogen explosions ripped through not one, but three, Fukushima reactors. Many people expect yet more disclosures from an independent bipartisan inquiry commission just set up by Parliament, with the power to summon witnesses.

This culture of covering up and inadequate cleanup efforts have left the Japanese people exposed to unconscionable health risks. The mainstream media played a pernicious role in the cover-up, led by its dependence on Japan's power-supply industry, its biggest advertiser. Tepco's advertising budget alone is roughly half what a global corporation like Toyota spends annually.

The Japanese people, I discovered, feel betrayed by their traditionally paternalistic state, which is not taking responsibility for the terrible effects of its policy to promote nuclear power. Lakhs continue to suffer as their generations-old occupations, including agriculture and dairy farming, become unviable.

People are resorting to community radiation monitoring, self-protection, and organic food cooperatives, to cope with the crisis. But the crisis has had one positive effect. All but five of Japan's 54 nuclear reactors lie closed -- and the country is none the worse for it.

At a two-day global conference in Yokohama, which I attended with 11,500 others, speakers emphasised the imperative of phasing out nuclear power. It's far too dirty, too expensive, too centralised, too bound-up with secrecy and deception, and above all, too dangerous. They also underscored the rising relevance and economic viability of low-carbon renewable energy.

Fukushima's tragedy can only be redeemed if the world -- including South Asia -- abolishes nuclear power, and promotes new energy systems and smart grids based on safe, environmentally benign, renewables which are relevant to people's needs, not the nuclear industry's greed.

The writer is an eminent Indian columnist.

E-mail: bidwai@bol.net.in
Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 112968
227. TomTaylor 02:32 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
I just logged on and the 1st thing I see is some kid telling me to grow up. For the record, I think Nea has more than one account. I can't prove it. I do know he has a lot of fans here and they enjoy piling onto me when I post. That's just the way it is. So Tom, if you don't like what i have to say, you know what to do.
Yep, some kid. Pretty bad when a kid has to tell you to grow up, don't ya think?

That aside, have you ever considered the fact that there are other people on the blog capable of delivering cohesive, well though out, intelligent posts? Have you also considered that it's not Nea's fans piling on to you, it's just people who disagree with you. In other words, Nea isn't some WeatherUnderground blog leader that people follow. He takes the time to write up good posts, so people respect and support him...especially when he gets called out by immature posts like yours trying to undermine his credibility.


Also, I will ignore your posts when I feel necessary, but I will also jump on the opportunity to exercise my right to comment on your posts if I see fit.
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228. PensacolaDoug 02:34 GMT le 02 février 2012    
You feel better now?


Good. Have a nice evening.
Member Since: 25 juillet 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 4831
229. BahaHurican 02:35 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Evening all.

I think we'd do better with solar / wind. Our problem isn't a lack of clean energy sources, but a lack of will to develop ways to exploit them.

I'm looking forward to see what the newest generation of young scientists will come up with. I seriously doubt we'll still see fossil fuels as THE energy source 50 years from now. Somebody'll find a way to make $$ off of an alternative.
Member Since: 25 octobre 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17961
230. WxGeekVA 02:38 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting SPLbeater:


(if u reffer 2 me)your not ignored. because you and some others, it takes alot more then simple arguement to put on ignore. because 96% of the time, you have good posts. others, LIKE TOMTAYLOR, dont.

And tom, you make yourself look reeeeal bad losing your temper like that. its not imature to use ignore. If it was, it wouldnt be there.


I have nobody on my ignore list. Shocked? Here's why: By the time someone goes far enough to get on my ignore list, they end up getting banned or just leave the site altogether. I have a very high tolerance for nonsense, but I honestly sometimes get very close when people constantly attack one or two people because they are different.

Grow up everyone, not everyone on here is exactly like you, be a little more accepting of each others differences. Seriously.
Member Since: 3 septembre 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3351
231. caneswatch 02:38 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
You feel better now?


Good. Have a nice evening.


You're just proving Tom's point even more.
Member Since: 8 octobre 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4479
232. caneswatch 02:38 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting WxGeekVA:


I have nobody on my ignore list. Shocked? Here's why: By the time someone goes far enough to get on my ignore list, they end up getting banned or just leave the site altogether. I have a very high tolerance for nonsense, but I honestly sometimes get very close when people constantly attack one or two people because they are different.

Grow up everyone, not everyone on here is exactly like you, be a little more accepting of each others differences. Seriously.


Word. +10000
Member Since: 8 octobre 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4479
233. TropicalAnalystwx13 02:39 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
You feel better now?


Good. Have a nice evening.

Yes, that is really helping your image...
Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 92 Comments: 25957
234. sunlinepr 02:41 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Less Summer Arctic Sea Ice Cover Means Colder, Snowier Winters in Central Europe

2012) — Even if the current weather situation may seem to speak against it, the probability of cold winters with much snow in Central Europe rises when the Arctic is covered by less sea ice in summer. Scientists of the Research Unit Potsdam of the Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research in the Helmholtz Association have decrypted a mechanism in which a shrinking summertime sea ice cover changes the air pressure zones in the Arctic atmosphere and impacts our European winter weather....................

Link
Member Since: 2 août 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
235. BahaHurican 02:43 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
I just logged on and the 1st thing I see is some kid telling me to grow up. For the record, I think Nea has more than one account. I can't prove it. I do know he has a lot of fans here and they enjoy piling onto me when I post. That's just the way it is. So Tom, if you don't like what I have to say, you know what to do.
I doubt Xyrus is Nea, though. And isn't it slandel or liber or some such if you don't have proof but publically malign someone's reputation? Either way, 1) innocent until proven guilty, and 2) I can't imagine needing to be on this blog so much that you have to make 2 of yourself... I barely have time to be one of me...[lol]

BTW, did u guys get rain with that frontal passage? It rained for almost an hour, at times heavily, as it went through this morning. Felt kinda weird for Feb 1.


Member Since: 25 octobre 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17961
236. washingtonian115 02:48 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Ahhhh the late shift.The most interesting shift of them all besides hurricane season.And I'm just sitting back in the shadows enjoying it.
Member Since: 14 août 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 11185
237. Patrap 02:49 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 112968
238. PensacolaDoug 02:51 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Put me on ignore fellas. I'll survive it somehow.
Member Since: 25 juillet 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 4831
239. BahaHurican 02:51 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Just as a general observation, can we lay off the nitpicky spelling and grammer type comments? I figure if you want to be understood you'll make an effort. Only one or maybe two people in here with grammar so bad they're hard to understand.

Just make sure you spell the weather-related words right....

Shear....

Member Since: 25 octobre 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17961
240. BahaHurican 02:58 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting washingtonian115:
Ahhhh the late shift.The most interesting shift of them all besides hurricane season.And I'm just sitting back in the shadows enjoying it.
LOL.... I'm so beat I'm whipped [loooong day].... but the late show is the best show.... lol
Member Since: 25 octobre 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17961
241. TomTaylor 02:59 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting WxGeekVA:


I have nobody on my ignore list. Shocked? Here's why: By the time someone goes far enough to get on my ignore list, they end up getting banned or just leave the site altogether. I have a very high tolerance for nonsense, but I honestly sometimes get very close when people constantly attack one or two people because they are different.

Grow up everyone, not everyone on here is exactly like you, be a little more accepting of each others differences. Seriously.
yep, nice post
Member Since: 24 août 2010 Posts: 18 Comments: 4053
242. TomTaylor 03:04 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
You feel better now?


Good. Have a nice evening.
I'm not trying to make you mad or make you look bad, I'm just trying to get you to stop accusing Nea (or anyone) of things that aren't true. Unless you can prove it, don't state it like it's the truth.

Neapolitan, Xyrus, and many others on here actually put a good amount of time into crafting mature, well written posts. It kills me to see someone try to completely destroy their credibility as a poster by accusing them of something they didn't even do. If you don't like what they have to say, you can ignore them or reply with a reasonable response, but saying things like "Hi Nea" will only cause trouble.
Member Since: 24 août 2010 Posts: 18 Comments: 4053
243. BahaHurican 03:05 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
Put me on ignore fellas. I'll survive it somehow.
No can do, Doug... if I put u on ignore, who will there be to argue with.... lol

Seriously, I don't use ignore very much. I think I put somebody on my list last year because they kept posting videos that screwed up the blog for me. The worst offenders otherwise usually, eventually, get caught up in the natural ebb and flow of the blog.

I don't have to agree with everything you say or think to respect your right to say them / think them. What I can't take on the blog is profanity and personal attacks / bickering. At this time of the year the latter doesn't seem so bad, but engaging in too much of it during the slow season is habit forming, and a real nuisance when there's real weather to discuss. I guess what I mean is, live and let live.

Member Since: 25 octobre 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17961
244. BahaHurican 03:09 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Man, u guys are trying to drag me into some kinda philosophical argument here... MUCH too exhausted for that... lol

Anyway, Feb came in with rain in Nassau... I'm hoping it's not too rainy the rest of the month. Usually Feb is a fab month wx-wise: cool, breezy, and sunny. Here's hoping today's nasty weather is the last of it for a few weeks.

I'm gone, ya'll. I need to go to bed....

Member Since: 25 octobre 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17961
245. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 03:11 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting BahaHurican:
I doubt Xyrus is Nea, though. And isn't it slandel or liber or some such if you don't have proof but publically malign someone's reputation? Either way, 1) innocent until proven guilty, and 2) I can't imagine needing to be on this blog so much that you have to make 2 of yourself... I barely have time to be one of me...[lol]

BTW, did u guys get rain with that frontal passage? It rained for almost an hour, at times heavily, as it went through this morning. Felt kinda weird for Feb 1.


its to get a lot weirder there may be a system coming from the west of ya
Member Since: 15 juillet 2006 Posts: 147 Comments: 41318
246. sunlinepr 03:15 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting Patrap:


Japan's unending nuclear nightmare.


The problem with this unending nightmare is that it is affecting us.... and we don't know to what extend.... Global corruption and a troubled economy contribute to hiding or minimizing the truth....
Where is the real data about the effects that the radioactive plume and sea currents are having on US citizens in Hawaii and Alaska and other territories in the Pacific? What about other countries? Can we trust the food we are buying in the supermarket? The only way to know is to have a GCounter and check out groceries when we buy....
Member Since: 2 août 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8466
247. opsman27N82W 03:16 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
Put me on ignore fellas. I'll survive it somehow.


From a silent reader...hang in there!
Member Since: 11 novembre 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 30
248. SPLbeater 03:17 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
I just logged on and the 1st thing I see is some kid telling me to grow up. For the record, I think Nea has more than one account. I can't prove it. I do know he has a lot of fans here and they enjoy piling onto me when I post. That's just the way it is. So Tom, if you don't like what I have to say, you know what to do.


wow, i am not alone lol. Good point though. if you dont like somebodys posts, then hit the button saying 'Ignore user'
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3961
249. HurrikanEB 03:17 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Does anyone know what the arctic oscillation/el nino situation was during the winter of 2007? Or where i might be able to find out.. was searching on google and didnt seem to find anything.

Winter 2006-2007 had even less snow to date here in new york than this winter has. Wondering if there was a correlation.
Member Since: 2 mai 2008 Posts: 12 Comments: 1273
250. SPLbeater 03:20 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting WxGeekVA:


I have nobody on my ignore list. Shocked? Here's why: By the time someone goes far enough to get on my ignore list, they end up getting banned or just leave the site altogether. I have a very high tolerance for nonsense, but I honestly sometimes get very close when people constantly attack one or two people because they are different.

Grow up everyone, not everyone on here is exactly like you, be a little more accepting of each others differences. Seriously.


I am shocked. I guess its because i dont tolerate near as much as you mentioned...


I need to seriously learn to leave when conversations leave stuff around the topic of weather...to tropics chat, i go!!
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3961
251. presslord 03:22 GMT le 02 février 2012    
Quoting BahaHurican:
Just as a general observation, can we lay off the nitpicky spelling and grammer type comments? I figure if you want to be understood you'll make an effort. Only one or maybe two people in here with grammar so bad they're hard to understand.

Just make sure you spell the weather-related words right....

Shear....



your right....it has a bad affect....its' not very nice...
Member Since: 13 août 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10405

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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