Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

New product allows you to explore record-setting extreme weather
Posted by: Angela Fritz, 18:14 GMT le 23 février 2012 +46
We've launched a new extreme weather product this week: Record Extremes. Recent, globally record-setting years have demanded a product that combines U.S. and international record extremes into one, easy to use interface. The Record Extremes page will give you the option to see U.S. and international records on a map and table. You can select any combination of record types at once, which, combined with the map, provides a interesting visual way to investigate record-setting events. The product uses data from three sources: (1) NOAA's National Climate Data Center, (2) Wunderground's U.S. records, and (3) Wunderground's International records.

The NCDC records begin in 1850 and include official NOAA record extreme events for ASOS and COOP weather stations in all 50 U.S. states as well as Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, and the Pacific Islands. In this database you can find records for maximum high temps, minimum high temps, maximum low temps, minimum high temps, snow, and precipitation on daily, monthly, and all-time scales.

The Wunderground extremes were compiled by our weather historian Christopher C. Burt. Chris monitors 300 stations across the U.S. for Record Extremes in maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation, and snow events. Most of these U.S. records go back to the end of the 19th century, though the oldest site in this database is Charleston, SC, where precipitation records started in 1737! Internationally, Chris monitors 150 countries worldwide for all-time record high temperatures and all-time record low temperatures. If you're interested in diving deeper into extreme weather in the U.S. and abroad, Chris's book Extreme Weather is an excellent resource.



Figure 1. All-time snow records broken during the Groundhog Day Blizzard of 2011. These records were found by selecting NCDC as the source, a start date of 2011-01-31, an end date of 2011-02-02, "maximum snowfall," and "all-time."


We built the Record Extremes product to make it easy to find specific records you're looking for, or just browse the records in general.

Check records that were set on a specific date
You can check on records that were set yesterday, for example, by setting the calendar to yesterday's date, and selecting all the record variables and types that you're interested in.

Explore all records set in a certain time range
2011 was a record-setting year for the U.S., and most of the records were high maximum temp and high minimum temps. To see all of these warm records that were set last year, select "NCDC" as the source, 2011-01-01 as the start date and 2011-12-31 as the end date. Select Maximum High Temp and Maximum Low Temp in weather variables, and select all-time in the record type.

View current standing international records in the Wunderground database
Select either the Wunderground International records, and instead of choosing a date range, select "Show current standing records." This will bring up all standing records in the database for whatever record variable and type you select. Whereas we've collected every record ever set or broken from NCDC, the Wunderground records are always the current, standing record, whenever it was set. As you move your map around the globe, you'll see each country's all-time maximum high temp and all-time maximum low temp.

Filter your table results
Looking for a specific location or record within your search results? Use the "Filter Results" option in the table to narrow down your search.

Let us know what you think!

Angela
Categories: Extreme Weather
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1401. TropicalAnalystwx13 03:06 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

As you guys know, I've touched on the prospects of Friday/Saturday's outbreak of Severe Weather over the past few days. The reason I posted this map is simple...Friday's Severe Weather setup looks almost identical to the Super Tuesday Outbreak in 2008, in which 131 tornadoes were reported. A meteorologist that I know and trust very well has already said that Friday could end like this day, and people across the Ohio Valley and South really need to start watching this.
Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25128
1402. SPLbeater 03:07 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting presslord:


'Mid Atlantic' is acceptable ;-)


:D good....of it wasnt i was going to resort to a much larger scale area, The SOutheast, of the Eastern Seaboard...or my favorite; CAROLINA ALLEY!!
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1403. Patrap 03:09 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244
1404. SPLbeater 03:09 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

As you guys know, I've touched on the prospects of Friday/Saturday's outbreak of Severe Weather over the past few days. The reason I posted this map is simple...Friday's Severe Weather setup looks almost identical to the Super Tuesday Outbreak in 2008, in which 131 tornadoes were reported. A meteorologist that I know and trust very well has already said that Friday could end like this day, and people across the Ohio Valley and South really need to start watching this.


YOU MEAN, the hours around 144 that i have watched with an empty skull for the last 15 minutes?

*cough* tell me more about this coming outbreak...:D
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3953
1405. Ameister12 03:12 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

As you guys know, I've touched on the prospects of Friday/Saturday's outbreak of Severe Weather over the past few days. The reason I posted this map is simple...Friday's Severe Weather setup looks almost identical to the Super Tuesday Outbreak in 2008, in which 131 tornadoes were reported. A meteorologist that I know and trust very well has already said that Friday could end like this day, and people across the Ohio Valley and South really need to start watching this.

It does sound like it could be a very bad outbreak, but it's still a week away, and things can certainly change in a week.
Member Since: 9 août 2009 Posts: 9 Comments: 3421
1406. TropicalAnalystwx13 03:12 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting SPLbeater:


YOU MEAN, the hours around 144 that i have watched with an empty skull for the last 15 minutes?

*cough* tell me more about this coming outbreak...:D

Well, for one, CAPE values extend far up into the Ohio Valley, meaning that instability wouldn't be a problem. Second, there is plenty of wind shear and forcing to support an outbreak. I'd post images, but they're from ProAccuWeather, and I'm not allowed to post those here.
Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25128
1407. SPLbeater 03:14 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Well, for one, look how far north the instability extends. Second, look at the similarities between Friday's 850 heights and the Super Tuesday 850 heights.

CAPE



Friday 850 heights vs. Super Tuesday 850 heights


0.o

are the caro-......is the Mid Atlantic involved?
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3953
1408. aspectre 03:16 GMT le 27 février 2012    
1375 CybrTeddy "Given the ENSO predictions, I've had to bump down my predictions significantly in time for my next predictions coming next week..."

How strong/moderate/weak an ElNino/LaNina/ElNinoModoki/neutral is dependent on how high above or how low below the average SeaSurfaceTemperatures are over various areas of the NorthPacific and NorthAtlantic.
Given that the NorthernHemisphere's average SSTs have been significantly increasing over the last couple of decades, how does one evaluate the significance of how high above or how low below the average SSTs are in an ever warmer ocean?

I find myself wondering if just when we've started to understand the causal relationships between the NAO & AO & ENSO & other Oscillations&MajorPlayers and the weather, GlobalWarming has kicked over the game table to set up a whole 'nother game.
Another case of you don't know what you've got 'til it's gone?
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1409. TropicalAnalystwx13 03:16 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting SPLbeater:


0.o

are the caro-......is the Mid Atlantic involved?

Looks like there could be a very minimal threat.
Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25128
1410. TropicalAnalystwx13 03:17 GMT le 27 février 2012    
I'm not trying to be an alarmist, as things could change, but I'm just posting what the models have been repeatedly showing over the past few days.
Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25128
1411. SPLbeater 03:20 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Looks like there could be a very minimal threat.


minimal....boring.

dernit...a very minimal threat....:(

i havnt the slightest hope for a bow echo in the next 7 days do i?
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3953
1412. TropicalAnalystwx13 03:21 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting SPLbeater:


minimal....boring.

dernit...a very minimal threat....:(

i havnt the slightest hope for a bow echo in the next 7 days do i?

You have hope, on Saturday. I'm just saying it's very minimal because there is a very large amount of uncertainty for that day. :P
Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25128
1413. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 03:23 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Member Since: 15 juillet 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40341
1414. SPLbeater 03:24 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

You have hope, on Saturday. I'm just saying it's very minimal because there is a very large amount of uncertainty for that day. :P


oh. YAY! UNCERTAINLY UNCERTAIN! uncertain we stand, certainly we fall lol.
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3953
1416. interstatelover7165 03:28 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting interstatelover7165:
...NHC BULLETIN...
FEB 26 2012 930 PM
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL


T.MINUS 95 DAYS TO JUNE FIRST...BEGINNING OF HURRICANE SEASON...



...THAT IS ALL...



FORECASTER AVILA
DID ANY OF YOU THINK that was real? IT wasn't. Plus there isn't any "NHC Bulletin". Plus would it really be on the NHC on February 26 nonetheless, mind 9:30 pm! lol lol
Member Since: 18 août 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 864
1417. SPLbeater 03:32 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting interstatelover7165:
DID ANY OF YOU THINK that was real? IT wasn't. Plus there isn't any "NHC Bulletin". Plus would it really be on the NHC on February 26 nonetheless, mind 9:30 pm! lol lol


i ddint buy it, even when you sweetened the deal to sell it. lol.

...SPL NOTICE...
270300Z
SUBJ / NOTHING / /
RMKS / /
1. THANK YOU FOR NOTICING THIS NOTICE. YOUR NOTICING HAS BEEN NOTICED.

THIS NOTICE WILL BE REISSUED BY WHENEVER SPL FEELS LIKE IT.
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3953
1418. SPLbeater 03:42 GMT le 27 février 2012    
where are you WxGeekVA....your here somewheres...
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3953
1419. WxGeekVA 03:44 GMT le 27 février 2012    
*DISCLAIMER* Not real....
000
WTNT42 KNHC 312039
TCDAT2

MAJOR HURRICANE CHUCK NORRIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 100
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1002011
1000 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

…...MAJOR HURRICANE CHUCK NORRIS IS THE MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE EVER TO FORM IN ANY BASIN..... MAX SUSTAINED WINDS ARE AT 500MPH....GUSTING TO 550MPH. PRESSURE HAS DROPPED TO 652MB..... ANYONE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM PREPARE TO BE ROUNDHOUSE KICKED BY THE MOST DESTRUCTIVE THING ON THE PLANET EVER...CHUCK NORRIS...........

....DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH AGENCIES REMAIN AT
495 MPH..BUT AMSU INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF
WISCONSIN CIMSS ARE A LITTLE HIGHER. THE INTENSITY IS SET AT 500 MPH
FOR THIS ADVISORY. NOTHING CAN STOP THIS INCREDIBLE STORM...SO CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST.......... NOTHING ANYWHERE NEAR CHUCK NORRIS CAN CAUSE AN INCREASE IN SHEAR.......AND AGAIN, NOTHING INHIBITS
INTENSIFICATION OF THIS MOSTER STORM............NOTHING CAN STOP CHUCK NORRIS EXCEPT ANOTHER CHUCK NORRIS......... ALL OF THE
GLOBAL COMPUTER FORECASTING MODELS...SUCH AS THE GFS AND NAM...HAVE REFUSED TO WORK BECAUSE MAJOR HURRICANE CHUCK NORRIS DEFIES ALL MODEL GUIDANCE............
THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS WHATEVER CHUCK NORRIS WANTS AND WE CANNOT DO ANYTHING ABOUT IT.....

THE STORM CONTINUES TO MOVE WHEREVER HE WANTS......... THE TRACK FORECAST AND REASONING ARE
ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED. MAJOR HURRICANE CHUCK NORRIS WILL MOVE SOMEWHERE ....AND THEN HEAD TOWARDS YOU IF YOU WANT HIM TO GO OUT TO SEA AND AWAY FROM YOU.......... THIS STORM WILL MAKE LANDFALL SOMEWHERE BETWEEN ANTARCTICA AND THE NORTH POLE.......WE JUST DON'T KNOW WHERE.........

......YOU CANNOT GET OUT OF THE PATH OF THIS STORM AS THERE IS NO RUNNING FROM CHUCK NORRIS...HE WILL FIND YOU......OUR BEST ADVICE IS TO STAY INSIDE....AND DRINK MOUNTAIN DEW......

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS:

INIT 31/2100Z ?N ?W 500 MPH
12H 01/0600Z ?N ?W 515 MPH
24H 01/1800Z ?N ?W 525 MPH
36H 02/0600Z ?N ?W 535 MPH
48H 02/1800Z ?N ?W 540 MPH
72H 03/1800Z ?N ?W 555 MPH
96H 04/1800Z ?N ?W 575 MPH
120H 05/1800Z ?N ?W 605 MPH



$$
FORECASTER WXGEEKVA

Member Since: 3 septembre 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3311
1420. SPLbeater 03:45 GMT le 27 février 2012    


Looky here boyz!
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3953
1421. SPLbeater 03:49 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3953
1422. WxGeekVA 03:50 GMT le 27 février 2012    
OMG google search Chuck Norris Hurricane images and the second image has a comment by me: Religion, Politics, Weather, and last but not least Chuck Norris.


Member Since: 3 septembre 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3311
1423. SPLbeater 03:57 GMT le 27 février 2012    
holy mackerel...i searched SPLbeater. all over google are my blogs, comments and everything!

dudes...we can be googled! :D:D:D
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3953
1424. SPLbeater 03:59 GMT le 27 février 2012    
night all. be good :D be back tomorow moOoOoOorning!
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3953
1425. Jedkins01 04:04 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting WxGeekVA:
*DISCLAIMER* Not real....
000
WTNT42 KNHC 312039
TCDAT2

MAJOR HURRICANE CHUCK NORRIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 100
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1002011
1000 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

…...MAJOR HURRICANE CHUCK NORRIS IS THE MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE EVER TO FORM IN ANY BASIN..... MAX SUSTAINED WINDS ARE AT 500MPH....GUSTING TO 550MPH. PRESSURE HAS DROPPED TO 652MB..... ANYONE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM PREPARE TO BE ROUNDHOUSE KICKED BY THE MOST DESTRUCTIVE THING ON THE PLANET EVER...CHUCK NORRIS...........

....DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH AGENCIES REMAIN AT
495 MPH..BUT AMSU INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF
WISCONSIN CIMSS ARE A LITTLE HIGHER. THE INTENSITY IS SET AT 500 MPH
FOR THIS ADVISORY. NOTHING CAN STOP THIS INCREDIBLE STORM...SO CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST.......... NOTHING ANYWHERE NEAR CHUCK NORRIS CAN CAUSE AN INCREASE IN SHEAR.......AND AGAIN, NOTHING INHIBITS
INTENSIFICATION OF THIS MOSTER STORM............NOTHING CAN STOP CHUCK NORRIS EXCEPT ANOTHER CHUCK NORRIS......... ALL OF THE
GLOBAL COMPUTER FORECASTING MODELS...SUCH AS THE GFS AND NAM...HAVE REFUSED TO WORK BECAUSE MAJOR HURRICANE CHUCK NORRIS DEFIES ALL MODEL GUIDANCE............
THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS WHATEVER CHUCK NORRIS WANTS AND WE CANNOT DO ANYTHING ABOUT IT.....

THE STORM CONTINUES TO MOVE WHEREVER HE WANTS......... THE TRACK FORECAST AND REASONING ARE
ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED. MAJOR HURRICANE CHUCK NORRIS WILL MOVE SOMEWHERE ....AND THEN HEAD TOWARDS YOU IF YOU WANT HIM TO GO OUT TO SEA AND AWAY FROM YOU.......... THIS STORM WILL MAKE LANDFALL SOMEWHERE BETWEEN ANTARCTICA AND THE NORTH POLE.......WE JUST DON'T KNOW WHERE.........

......YOU CANNOT GET OUT OF THE PATH OF THIS STORM AS THERE IS NO RUNNING FROM CHUCK NORRIS...HE WILL FIND YOU......OUR BEST ADVICE IS TO STAY INSIDE....AND DRINK MOUNTAIN DEW......

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS:

INIT 31/2100Z ?N ?W 500 MPH
12H 01/0600Z ?N ?W 515 MPH
24H 01/1800Z ?N ?W 525 MPH
36H 02/0600Z ?N ?W 535 MPH
48H 02/1800Z ?N ?W 540 MPH
72H 03/1800Z ?N ?W 555 MPH
96H 04/1800Z ?N ?W 575 MPH
120H 05/1800Z ?N ?W 605 MPH



$$
FORECASTER WXGEEKVA




This is probably hands down the best post I've ever read on this blog, big props bro lololololol
Member Since: 21 août 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 5321
1426. TemplesOfSyrinxC4 04:23 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Distrust but verify, check out this website and make sure to look at all of the links on this page as well of scholarly research that has been done on the topic, backing up their claims. Former Navy Physicist Ben Livingston, the father of weather weaponry, says scalar weather modification has been going on for several decades.

http://www.agriculturedefensecoalition.org/conten t/alaska-arctic-issues


The Arctic and Alaska have been warming over the last several years. The melting of the glaciers is taking place at an alarming rate. (It appears that this warming trend is hitting not only Alaska and the Arctic but other areas where frozen oceans and land areas have prevented the exploitation of natural gas, oil, and other natural resources by various countries and private oil corporations, like Shell Oil.)

Recent Research by the ADC has led to some interesting findings with regard to both Alaska and the Arctic areas. It appears that many government agencies and leaders in the United States have discussed how the natural resources of these areas could be exploited if these areas were artificially warmed.

Missing in all recent discussions of climate change and global warming are the impacts of aviation induced water vapor (a highly potent greenhouse gas), into the atmosphere through jet engine combustion. New NASA and university studies, some of which are presented below, show that aviation has a huge warming impact on all parts of the Earth most prominently having a negative impact in the Alaska and Arctic areas by artificially warming these areas.

This has led to many countries staking out claims to these warming areas in Alaska and the Arctic. Oil and gas companies are applying for permits to drill in these areas (the U.S. has already given Shell Oil permits to drill and in 2012, have approved questionable oil spill mitigation measures). Many countries are competing with each other for the monetary prize, military advantage, and other benefits from the warming of these areas.



The ADC has worked to document these various interests, the financial rewards of exploiting these areas, the ecological hazards, military advantages, advantages to shipping commerce, and other interests.

We hear the climate change/global warming manta all the time with crisis warnings day-in and day-out without closely examining the water vapor/aviation impact issues. These dire warnings are designed to drive the impetus for a new carbon tax and for a multitude of climate remediation or geoengineering schemes to be implemented which could make the situation much worse.

Instead of working with Boeing and other corporations, along with the military to reduce the amount of water vapor and toxic emissions produced by rockets and jet engines, a major source of warming over these cold areas, geoengineers like David Keith and Ken Caldeira, are working to add additional water vapor into the atmosphere to produce aluminum oxide or sulfur particles in the atmosphere. (This process happens when the water vapor is mixed with various gases like aluminum oxide gas.)

Some areas in the world are turning colder or freezing while those areas where there are natural resources to be tapped for $Billions in profits are warming. Jets producing excessive water vapor could be used to continually warm these area...and we may be seeing their impact on an almost daily basis as they criss-cross our skies releasing excessive water vapor and producing man-made clouds.

The information presented below and videos is for your own research into this topic. It should be noted that many studies are showing that aviation and rockets emissions are having an enormous impact on the Earth's Atmosphere along with the water vapor (a powerful greenhouse gas), that they produce.
Member Since: 5 février 2012 Posts: 11 Comments: 271
1427. KoritheMan 04:37 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting washingtonian115:
It would be funny if we go 10 years without a major hurricane XD.The U.S has got the Vodoo for you hurricanes.I think their is a chance we can...


That would be fascinating from a meteorological standpoint, and quite possibly the subject of a thesis.
Member Since: 7 Mars 2007 Posts: 408 Comments: 15417
1428. allancalderini 04:39 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Now that we are entering el Niño again in the same list of names people that don`t like hurricanes would probably make the government to approve a law that this list should be put every year so we don`t have a lot TC.
Member Since: 15 octobre 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2016
1429. bappit 04:46 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting presslord:


'Mid Atlantic' is acceptable ;-)

The mid-Atlantic states are north of the Carolinas. Sorry.
Member Since: 18 mai 2006 Posts: 3 Comments: 4353
1430. KoritheMan 04:49 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting allancalderini:
Now that we are entering el Niño again in the same list of names people that don`t like hurricanes would probably make the government to approve a law that this list should be put every year so we don`t have a lot TC.


1988 and 2000 were very active years.
Member Since: 7 Mars 2007 Posts: 408 Comments: 15417
1431. bappit 04:49 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting KeyWestSun:

I'm thinking it was God help those people up there. :)
Member Since: 18 mai 2006 Posts: 3 Comments: 4353
1432. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 06:19 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Member Since: 15 juillet 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40341
1433. HadesGodWyvern 07:23 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Seychelles Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
DEPRESSION SUR TERRE, FORMER IRINA (11-20112012)
10:00 AM RET February 27 2012
=====================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Overland Depression, Former Irina (unknown presure) located at 15.3S 46.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 20 knots with gusts of 35 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west southwest at 14 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: OVERLAND

Forecast and Intensity
========================

12 HRS: 16.1S 45.4E - 15 knots (Depression sur Terre)
24 HRS: 17.0S 43.6E - 20 knots (Perturbation Tropicale)
48 HRS: 17.3S 42.5E - 25 knots (Perturbation Tropicale)
72 HRS: 17.0S 41.7E - 35 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)

Additional Information
=======================

Low level circulation center remains very difficult to localize. Current position is estimated thanks to 0300 AM UTC Malagasy observations (Nosy-be, Atsohily and Majunga). Within the next 48 hours, available numerical weather prediction models are in good agreement. System is expected to keep on tracking west southwestwards and on slowing down gradually on the northern edge of subtropical ridge existing in the south. On this forecast track, as it shifts along the northwestern Malagasy coastline, it is expected to undergo a moderate easterly wind shear. This conditions might limit system intensification. Associated heavy rainfalls might affect the northwestern areas of Madagascar an the eastern Mozambique coastline (between 14s and 18s) and should temporarily occur over Mayotte and Comoros archipelago.

Wednesday and Thursday, system is expected to undergo two opposite steering influences. The first one associated with an equatorial ridge located northward (inducing an eastward motion) and the other one associated with the subtropical ridge located southward (inducing a westward motion). System could therefore remains globally quasi-stationary and slowly intensify (weakening wind-shear, favorable sea surface temperature on the middle of Mozambique channel).

Beyond, subtropical ridge might become back the main steering flow and system should take back a west-southwestward track by continuing to intensify. Uncertainty is poor for the track at medium range. Available numerical weather prediction models forecast a more or less early landfall on Mozambique (track is more or less north). Members of the ECMWF ensemble system is also located northern than the deterministic track. RSMC official forecast track is a compromise of these options. Forecast intensity has been downgraded compare to previous forecast.

Inhabitants of the northern channel area (including Comoros archipelago, north-western coasts of Madagascar and Mozambique coasts) should closely monitor the evolution of this system.

Current intensity does not justify issuance of regular warning. It remains however closely monitored in relationship with its potential for intensification. For further information about this system when no tropical cyclone forecast advisory (WTIO30) is issued, refer to bulletin awio20 for cyclonic activity and significant tropical weather in the southwest Indian ocean issued by the RMSC daily at 1200 PM UTC.
Member Since: 24 mai 2006 Posts: 43 Comments: 36682
1434. trunkmonkey 10:57 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

You have hope, on Saturday. I'm just saying it's very minimal because there is a very large amount of uncertainty for that day. :P


Thank you very much for your post, It's nice to see real weather post in here, well for the exception of
chuck Norris, he, he,

Weather is an important factor for the work I do, I come in here and see what's going on.

I also depend on NWS chat, which is restricted.

Again, Thank You, Trunkmonkey!
Member Since: 18 août 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 463
1435. uncwhurricane85 11:03 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting bappit:

The mid-Atlantic states are north of the Carolinas. Sorry.


i agree, southeast is N.C. to Florida and west to Louisiana
Member Since: 4 août 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 559
1436. Ameister12 12:24 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Tomorrow, most of Arkansas, eastern Oklahoma, extreme southern Missouri, and extreme northeast Texas will have the biggest threat of severe weather. We should see tornadoes, maybe a couple strong tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds. Nebraska and Colorado should see some strong to severe storms too.


Wednesday, I'm under the highest chance (30%) for severe weather! Damaging winds will be the main threat, but there is a chance for some tornadoes and hail. A large area, including the Ohio Valley, the Mississippi Valley,and Alabama are under the highest chance and Georgia and the Carolinas should get some strong storms too.
Member Since: 9 août 2009 Posts: 9 Comments: 3421
1437. StormTracker2K 12:33 GMT le 27 février 2012    
No Daytona 500 again today infact strong thunderstorms expected this afternoon as temps push near 80 with -12 degree Celcius temps aloft.

Member Since: 26 octobre 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
1438. StormTracker2K 12:41 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Funny yesterday Reedzone said on here that there was sun by him near Daytona well I can tell you that was not true as all of C FL was socked in by think cloud cover with rain in some areas. I picked up .40 yesterday evening.

Member Since: 26 octobre 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
1439. BahaHurican 13:09 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting StormTracker2K:
Funny yesterday Reedzone said on here that there was sun by him near Daytona well I can tell you that was not true as all of C FL was socked in by think cloud cover with rain in some areas. I picked up .40 yesterday evening.

Actually at the time he said it, it was really only raining over Daytona. That was in between the two slugs of showers.

Member Since: 25 octobre 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17588
1440. BahaHurican 13:11 GMT le 27 février 2012    


Gotta run, ya'll. Have a good one.
Member Since: 25 octobre 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17588
1441. TemplesOfSyrinxC4 13:24 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


you have to obey the law of man if not then you face imprisonment to a life of sock washing and other select duties.


remember you are only free as long as you do what you are told
once you do not do what you are told
you are
no longer free


Unless, of course, you're big time enough and have enough dirt on other corrupt people in high places, then your power can never be checked and you'll be untouchable and be able to do whatever you please with impunity.

The prison-industrial-complex slave labor is just for the little people, the majority of which are non-violent offenders to be profited off of in the private prisons. How many Americans have lost jobs to prison labor?

Member Since: 5 février 2012 Posts: 11 Comments: 271
1442. MahFL 13:25 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Yesterday I got .27 inches of rain in NE FL. Our NWS said a lot of rain never made it to the ground as the air was still too dry. Today it says the air is now moist and rain is GO !
Member Since: 9 juin 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 2417
1443. ILwthrfan 13:45 GMT le 27 février 2012    

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


I remember that storm very well. ha ha, in fact we had the (green dot)  hail report there in east central Illinois ...lol.  We had close to 4 inches of rain in a 24 hr. period that day/night.  Big powerful storm, had a tremendous amount of moisture with it.


Member Since: 2 février 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1006
1444. Xyrus2000 14:03 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting wxmod:


How stupid of me. Gee. I never thought about this...
The seeding material is salt for the whitening projects, not silver iodide. The intention is to reflect the sun and make a change in temperature and density in the atmosphere, not seed clouds. Seeding for temperature and density is totally doable, as you can see from satellite photos if you would just look. Yes the liability is great but the rewards are total control of the weather universe and probably the human planet Earth. If I wasn't concerned about it, I wouldn't be here.


I did not mention silver iodide. That is only one particular method. There is also dry ice, various salts, etc. depending on whether or not your aiming for precipitation or just cloud nucleation, and depending on whether your going after ice or water deposition.

No matter whether you are seeding for temperature and density or precipitation, the results are the same. It is far from a guaranteed method. Regardless of what method you are using, the atmosphere has to be able to support it. And even at the local level the results of such activities are difficult to predict, let alone altering synoptic weather patterns.

There is no total control of the weather universe, as the weather involves a lot more than just clouds. You'd need to be able to reasonably control all aspects of the atmosphere, and we are a long ways from doing anything remotely that complex.

Again, with no legitimate science backing your claims it really is silly to claim that we have the capabilities your claiming. And even if we did, we sure as hell shouldn't be conducting large scale weather experiments without a serious science discussion on the ramifications of performing such actions before carrying them out. Or shall I remind you how our latest climate/weather experiments are going?
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1445. islander101010 14:16 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting MahFL:
Yesterday I got .27 inches of rain in NE FL. Our NWS said a lot of rain never made it to the ground as the air was still too dry. Today it says the air is now moist and rain is GO !
seems daytona got a x on it for showers this system
Member Since: 11 septembre 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2963
1446. TemplesOfSyrinxC4 14:21 GMT le 27 février 2012    
There have been serious discussions on the ramifications of it, in this age of technocratic rule, when the experts have no desire in sharing the results with the general public- the fact they're not advertising in neon lights and letting the plebs in on the discourse doesn't mean it's not happening. Check out all the PDF links of scholarly research that has been conducted on it, the Stanford/NASA white paper is the smoking gun admitting that contrary to popular belief, the contrails are actually being used to warm the atmosphere.
http://www.agriculturedefensecoalition.org/?q=geo engineering

Professor Benford (U.C. Irvine, CA), wrote the following regarding the public in a Reason.com article in 1997: %u201C%u2026But perhaps the greatest unknown is social: How will the politically aware public react--those who vote, anyway? If geoengineers are painted early and often as Dr. Strangeloves of the air, they will fail. Properly portrayed as allies of science--and true environmentalism--they could become heroes%u2026 A major factor here will be whether mitigation looks like yet another top-down contrivance, another set of orders from the elite. Draconian policing of fuel burning will certainly look that way, a frowning Aunt Bessie elbowing into daily details...In contrast, mitigation does not have to push a new camel's nose into our tents... Technical solutions can play out far from people's lives, on the sea or high in the air. "Once we become caretakers, we cannot stop...(they) must be carried forward in the shadow of our stewardship""
Member Since: 5 février 2012 Posts: 11 Comments: 271
1447. ScottLincoln 14:34 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting TemplesOfSyrinxC4:
There have been serious discussions on the ramifications of it, in this age of technocratic rule, when the experts have no desire in sharing the results with the general public- the fact they're not advertising in neon lights and letting the plebs in on the discourse doesn't mean it's not happening. Check out all the PDF links of scholarly research that has been conducted on it, the Stanford/NASA white paper is the smoking gun admitting that contrary to popular belief, the contrails are actually being used to warm the atmosphere.
http://www.agriculturedefensecoalition.org/conten t/alaska-arctic-issues


Contrails are not being "used" for anything. They are a bi-product of air travel and any affect on weather/climate is a consequence of demand for that service. Effect of contrails on climate has substantial error bars - some papers have suggested a net warming effect, while others have suggested a cooling effect. A commonly-held understanding of high clouds is that they tend to produce a net cooling effect, while low clouds tend to produce a net warming effect. See "global dimming."
Member Since: 28 septembre 2002 Posts: 3 Comments: 1480
1448. Chicklit 14:44 GMT le 27 février 2012    
One product issued by NWS for: Daytona Beach FL
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------

Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
508 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054 -058-059-064-141-144-147-271715-COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
508 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE EAST GULF OF MEXICO WILL PUSH ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY...BRINGING HIGH RAIN CHANCES AND AS WELL AS A CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. THE PRIMARY
THREAT FROM ANY STORMS THAT FORM WOULD BE CLOUD-T0-GROUND LIGHTNING. REMEMBER...IF THUNDER CAN BE HEARD THEN LIGHTNING IS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE. SUSPEND OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES AND SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. DO NOT RESUME OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES UNTIL THUNDER HAS BEEN SILENT FOR 30 MINUTES.

.DENSE FOG/SMOKE IMPACT...
SKIES WILL CLEAR LATE TONIGHT AND WINDS WILL DIMINISH A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WEAKENS AND MOVES INTO THE ATLANTIC. AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED TO FORM LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE FOG MAY BECOME DENSE IN AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT RECEIVE RAIN TODAY.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON. ANY STORMS THAT DO FORM WOULD MOVE NORTHEAST AROUND 15 KNOTS. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY AS THEY APPROACH THE COAST AND MOVE OFFSHORE. THESE STORMS WOULD BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SURFACE WIND GUSTS AROUND 34 KNOTS.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
A MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZE WILL GENERATE CHOPPY 4 TO 6 FOOT SEAS WITH DOMINANT PERIODS 7 SECONDS OR LESS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN VENTURING INTO THE OPEN ATLANTIC
TODAY DUE TO THE ROUGH CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED.

$$
Noon start time for Daytona 500 is currently doubtful.
Probably many are hoping for a start this evening.
Link
Member Since: 11 juillet 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 10226
1449. LargoFl 14:45 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Good Morning everyone! 73 here this morning, going up to 80 with beautiful, clear skies, possible showers in the afternoon, but right now a Beautiful sunny Florida morning here on the gulf coast!!..have a great day folks
Member Since: 6 août 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 22400
1450. Jax82 14:46 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Looks like they better install some wind shield wipers and put on some slicks on those stock cars, thats the only way they'll race today.
Member Since: 2 septembre 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 1261
1451. Chicklit 14:50 GMT le 27 février 2012    
Quoting Jax82:
Looks like they better install some wind shield wipers and put on some slicks on those stock cars, thats the only way they'll race today.

It's pretty wet throughout the region now and still dripping. For the sake of the working people who are race fans, I hope they have an early evening start.
Member Since: 11 juillet 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 10226

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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