Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 14:36 GMT le 27 Mars 2012 | +33 |
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
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FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
606 PM AST TUE MAR 27 2012
PRC017-039-054-091-101-107-280400-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.W.0005.120327T2206Z-120328T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
BARCELONETA PR-CIALES PR-FLORIDA PR-MANATI PR-MOROVIS PR-OROCOVIS PR-
606 PM AST TUE MAR 27 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
BARCELONETA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
CIALES MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
FLORIDA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
MANATI MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
MOROVIS MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
OROCOVIS MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
* UNTIL MIDNIGHT AST
* AT 600 PM AST ALTHOUGH MOST OF SHOWERS HAVE DECREASED ACROSS THIS
REGION...LARGE AMOUNTS OF RUNOFF ARE REACHING THE RIO GRANDE DE
MANATI FROM OROCOVIS DOWNSTREAM TO THE MANATI COASTAL AREA. MINOR
FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR ALONG THE LOW LYING AREAS OF THE RIO
GRANDE DE MANATI...THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THIS FLOOD WARNING FOR
RIO GRANDE DE MANATI HAS REPLACED THE PREVIOUS URBAN AND SMALL
STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY.
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.
LAT...LON 1827 6653 1848 6654 1849 6652 1841 6648
1833 6644 1821 6640 1820 6649
$$
EM
We don' even have models that go out that far, and besides, anything beyond 10 days is useless anyways... All they could base it off of would be historical averages.
Agreed
Link
Thanks for the update of the situation there in Puerto Rico
Magnitude 4.3 - SOUTHERN QINGHAI, CHINA
2012 March 27 21:54:56 UTC
Earthquake Details
This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.
Magnitude 4.3
Date-Time
Tuesday, March 27, 2012 at 21:54:56 UTC
Wednesday, March 28, 2012 at 05:54:56 AM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location
33.271°N, 95.675°E
Depth
31.2 km (19.4 miles)
Region
SOUTHERN QINGHAI, CHINA
Distances
127 km (78 miles) WNW of Gyegu (Yushu), Qinghai, China
274 km (170 miles) NNW of Qamdo, Xizang (Tibet), China
317 km (196 miles) ESE of Tanggulashan, Qinghai, China
1989 km (1235 miles) WSW of BEIJING, Beijing, China
Location Uncertainty
horizontal +/- 22 km (13.7 miles); depth +/- 9.6 km (6.0 miles)
Parameters
NST= 37, Nph= 37, Dmin=586.7 km, Rmss=0.71 sec, Gp= 72°,
M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=3
Source
Magnitude: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Location: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID
usc0008r7j
Magnitude 4.8 - KEPULAUAN KAI, INDONESIA
2012 March 27 22:34:46 UTC
Earthquake Details
This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.
Magnitude 4.8
Date-Time
Tuesday, March 27, 2012 at 22:34:46 UTC
Wednesday, March 28, 2012 at 07:34:46 AM at epicenter
Location
5.157°S, 133.811°E
Depth
18.6 km (11.6 miles)
Region
KEPULAUAN KAI, INDONESIA
Distances
84 km (52 miles) NNW (328°) from Dobo, Aru Islands, Indonesia
316 km (196 miles) WSW (241°) from Enarotali, Irian Jaya, Indonesia
414 km (257 miles) NE (41°) from Saumlaki, Tanimbar Islands, Indonesia
647 km (402 miles) ESE (105°) from Ambon, Moluccas, Indonesia
985 km (612 miles) ENE (68°) from DILI, East Timor
Location Uncertainty
horizontal +/- 23.4 km (14.5 miles); depth +/- 9.4 km (5.8 miles)
Parameters
NST= 39, Nph= 41, Dmin=301.7 km, Rmss=1.13 sec, Gp=122°,
M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=4
Source
Magnitude: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Location: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID
usc0008r83
this is titled apocalyptic hurricane season lol
It appears the Euro wants to have us(Orlando) blustery in the 70's(even 60's) for highs next week(with full sunshine).
lol
Where are you located?
how about both
At 5 days if a forecast is remotely correct I would be shocked.
Adrian, I dont know if what you are looking for is here,but this is the link to the conference and maybe you can find what you want to see.
Link
Ok, cool
Thanks for asking! Family is doing ok but going through some rough times cause wife got laid off after 13 years at her job.
Princess
Oh, please don't even think along those lines, lol
Fontana, CA 10 miles 2.6 1:32 PM PDT 2012-03-27
Fontana, CA 10 miles 3.4 1:30 PM PDT 2012-03-27
Those are not San Bernardino, these are 10 miles North of here and still
didn't feel them. These are tiny. I 5.0 would be felt, maybe.
Been though a few 6.7's out here. Those you remember.
Hey thanks but i was actually looking for video coverage. Wanted to see norcross presentation on andrew.
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
712 PM AST TUE MAR 27 2012
PRC143-145-280100-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0066.120327T2312Z-120328T0100Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
VEGA ALTA PR-VEGA BAJA PR-
712 PM AST TUE MAR 27 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...
IN PUERTO RICO
VEGA ALTA AND VEGA BAJA
* UNTIL 900 PM AST
AT 705 PM...ROADS...URBAN...AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS CONTINUE TO BE
FLOODED DUE TO RUNOFF. EVEN THOUGH MOST OF THE RAIN HAS
DISSIPATED...THIS URBAN FLOODING MAY CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. THEREFORE THE FLOOD ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT UNTIL 900
PM AST.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 1843 6637 1846 6638 1849 6638 1848 6635
1846 6634 1840 6633 1841 6636
$$
EM
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
705 PM AST TUE MAR 27 2012
PRC143-145-280100-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0065.120327T2305Z-120328T0100Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
VEGA ALTA PR-VEGA BAJA PR-
705 PM AST TUE MAR 27 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...
IN PUERTO RICO
VEGA ALTA AND VEGA BAJA
* UNTIL 900 PM AST
ROADS...URBAN...AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS CONTINUE TO BE FLOODED DUE
TO RUNOFF. EVEN THOUGH MOST OF THE RAIN HAS DISSIPATED...THIS URBAN
FLOODING MAY CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. THEREFORE THE FLOOD
ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 900 PM AST.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
&&
LAT...LON 1843 6637 1846 6638 1849 6638 1848 6635
1846 6634 1840 6633 1841 6636
$$
EM
It's been a really bad afternoon and evening for central Puerto Rico.
am I the only one in here feeling nauseous?
Maybe I should make a new one with double the storms, huh? ;-)
I use Accuweather as well......I like there tropical updates
Shukks!
I feel so left out....
:):))
One word YIKES! No wonder we have had many flood advisories and warnings,with some rivers over banks and inundating towns.
Alright, just as soon as I get my own [.com] website.
I understand the sentiment completely.
The fact that Global Warming makes you feel to be sick is understandable.
It's real
Noboddy seems to care.
It's getting worse.
You have my Sympathies....
:):))
2.6 in SoCal? I bet no one even batted an eye. :)
When I lived out there if it wasn't above a 4 it didn't even make the news.
Magnitude 5.0 - NEPAL-INDIA BORDER REGION
2012 March 27 23:40:14 UTC
Earthquake Details
This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.
Magnitude 5.0
Date-Time
Tuesday, March 27, 2012 at 23:40:14 UTC
Wednesday, March 28, 2012 at 05:10:14 AM at epicenter
Location
26.093°N, 87.751°E
Depth
40 km (24.9 miles)
Region
NEPAL-INDIA BORDER REGION
Distances
61 km (38 miles) SE (130°) from Biratnagar, Nepal
96 km (60 miles) SW (225°) from Shiliguri, West Bengal, India
123 km (76 miles) NE (39°) from Bhagalpur, Bihar, India
255 km (158 miles) SW (232°) from THIMPHU, Bhutan
Location Uncertainty
horizontal +/- 18 km (11.2 miles); depth +/- 7.1 km (4.4 miles)
Parameters
NST=120, Nph=120, Dmin=>999 km, Rmss=0.67 sec, Gp= 43°,
M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=7
Source
Magnitude: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Location: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID
usc0008r97
The time range of models is controlled by input configuration parameters. There's really nothing stopping someone from running a GFS ensemble for 25 days or more, other than the fact that such results would be garbage.
But I guess Accuweather can do whatever they want really. :P
We Rattlin' and Rollin' all over the place......
And it's still March. Long way to go before the 'next' doomsday forecast.
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