Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

April Fools weather humor; all-time March warmth in WY, NE
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 15:41 GMT le 01 avril 2012 +28
I don't have an April Fools blog post for you this year, but instead thought I share with you two of the funniest weather-related stories of the year. Firstly, it turns out that you don't need to be a human to enjoy a little snowboarding. The snowy conditions in Russia this winter gave the opportunity for an intrepid crow to take up the sport in this remarkable Youtube video. I found the video over at Andy Revkin's DotEarth blog at the New York Times. The bird is a hooded crow, and has evidently been doing quite a bit of snowboarding, judging by the multiple tracks on the rooftop. Too bad us humans can't use a flap-assist from our wings while snowboarding, it might cut down on injuries!


Video 1. A crow in Russia goes snowboarding on a snow-covered rooftop.

The most insane letter ever written by a child to a TV weatherman
I've done a lot of talks about the weather to schools, and have gotten hundreds of thank-you letters from the kids afterwards. But I've never gotten a letter quite like the one KVUE morning and midday meteorologist Albert Ramon in Austin, Texas recently received after talking at a local school. A sampling:

"Some day when I become supreme Ultra-Lord of the universe I will not make you a slave, you will live in my 200 story castle where unicorn servants will feed you doughnuts off their horns."

And this: "Thank you again for teaching us about meteoroligy, you're more awesome than a monkey wearing a tuxedo made out of bacon riding a cyborg unicorn with a lightsaber for the horn on the tip of a space shuttle closing in on Mars while ingulfed in flames."


Check out the letter here.

Finally, realclimate.org has a funny April Fool's blog post today called ‘Wrong sign paradox’ finally resolved?

All-time March warmth records in Wyoming, Nebraska
Most of Wyoming and much of Nebraska set or tied their record for all-time warmest March temperatures yesterday, no fooling. A strong ridge of high pressure that generated a strong flow of warm air from the southwest was responsible. Some of the records included:

Omaha, NE: 91°F
Lincoln, NE: 91°F
Casper, WY: 77°F
Lander, WY: 76°F
Rock Spring, WY: 72°F
Worland, WY: 81°F
Laramie, WY: 71°F
Rawlins, WY: 73°F
Chadron, WY: 83°F
Sidney, WY: 83°F

Jeff Masters
Categories: Humor Heat
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251. caneswatch 00:52 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Long time, no type canes. How are you doing?


Pretty good Geoff, being kept busy a lot. How're things with you?
Member Since: 8 octobre 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4473
252. SPLbeater 00:56 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting caneswatch:


Oh there's plenty I know of lol


if there is someone impersonating me, i would VERY much like to know about it. :)
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3955
253. GeoffreyWPB 00:59 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting caneswatch:


Pretty good Geoff, being kept busy a lot. How're things with you?


Doing good. Hoping this is not our year for a storm. But, we are overdue.
Member Since: 10 septembre 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 9127
254. HadesGodWyvern 01:00 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #39
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER PAKHAR (T1201)
9:00 AM JST April 2 2012
================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Pakhar (1004 hPa) located at 13.0N 107.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving northwest at 10 knots.

This is the final tropical cyclone advisory from the Japan Meteorological Agency..
Member Since: 24 mai 2006 Posts: 43 Comments: 36691
255. LargoFl 01:04 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
looks like that blob in the gulf is getting blown apart
Member Since: 6 août 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 22426
256. caneswatch 01:04 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Doing good. Hoping this is not our year for a storm. But, we are overdue.


Yeah we are. It's been a long while since i've had to put up shutters.
Member Since: 8 octobre 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4473
257. caneswatch 01:05 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting SPLbeater:


if there is someone impersonating me, i would VERY much like to know about it. :)


Palm Beach Atlantic University, West Palm Beach, FL. There's plenty of people like you there.
Member Since: 8 octobre 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4473
258. LargoFl 01:06 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA
743 PM CDT SUN APR 1 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...

THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...WASHINGTON...
HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES

THE PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...HANCOCK AND
PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH
ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS
WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF
RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN
AROUND AND DON`T DROWN.

A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV.

&&

LAC103-MSC045-109-030642-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PERL1.1.ER.120323T1755Z.120330T0645Z.000000T0000 Z.NO/
743 PM CDT SUN APR 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY FALL TO A STAGE NEAR
14.6 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING APRIL 6TH. THE RIVER IS THEN EXPECTED
TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON SUNDAY MORNING APRIL 8TH.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS TO THE RIVER AND THROUGHOUT
HONEY ISLAND SWAMP ARE INUNDATED. PROPERTY IN THE VICINITY OF THE
GAGE IS FLOODED THREATENING ABOUT 20 HOMES ALONG THE LEFT BANK.
Member Since: 6 août 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 22426
259. TropicalAnalystwx13 01:09 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
I'm just curious, but how would you guys describe my forecasting (tropical and severe) capabilities?

A. Wannabe forecaster
B. Amateur forecaster
C. Mediocre forecaster
D. Expert forecaster
Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25358
260. SPLbeater 01:14 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I'm just curious, but how would you guys describe my forecasting (tropical and severe) capabilities?

A. Wannabe forecaster
B. Amateur forecaster
C. Mediocre forecaster
D. Expert forecaster


somewhers between A and B.

i am going with A 1/2 lol
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3955
261. weatherh98 01:15 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I'm just curious, but how would you guys describe my forecasting (tropical and severe) capabilities?

A. Wannabe forecaster
B. Amateur forecaster
C. Mediocre forecaster
D. Expert forecaster


E) In between c and d
Member Since: 17 juin 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6095
262. weatherh98 01:15 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting SPLbeater:


somewhers between A and B.

i am going with A 1/2 lol


Did you see this guy during cane season, he balled on the forecasting
Member Since: 17 juin 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6095
263. WeatherNerdPR 01:18 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I'm just curious, but how would you guys describe my forecasting (tropical and severe) capabilities?

A. Wannabe forecaster
B. Amateur forecaster
C. Mediocre forecaster
D. Expert forecaster

B or C.
Member Since: 7 juillet 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5464
264. pottery 01:19 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
The UK Met. Office has advised that there could be snow tomorrow in Scotland.....

This after the warmest march in history....
Member Since: 24 octobre 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20721
265. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 01:19 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I'm just curious, but how would you guys describe my forecasting (tropical and severe) capabilities?

A. Wannabe forecaster
B. Amateur forecaster
C. Mediocre forecaster
D. Expert forecaster


how about ultra lord forecaster


do you have a unicorn in the backyard too
Member Since: 15 juillet 2006 Posts: 144 Comments: 40665
266. TropicalAnalystwx13 01:19 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


how about ultra lord forecaster


do you have a unicorn in the backyard too

Yes, and it feeds me doughnuts off its horn.
Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25358
267. CybrTeddy 01:20 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I'm just curious, but how would you guys describe my forecasting (tropical and severe) capabilities?

A. Wannabe forecaster
B. Amateur forecaster
C. Mediocre forecaster
D. Expert forecaster


A) 50% of the blog.
B) 30% of us.
C) 10% of us.
D) 2% of us.

The 8% are trolls.
Member Since: 8 juillet 2005 Posts: 253 Comments: 20280
268. TropicalAnalystwx13 01:21 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting CybrTeddy:


A) 50% of the blog.
B) 30% of us.
C) 10% of us.
D) 2% of us.

The 8% are trolls.

but what category do I fit in? lol.

I'm just asking because I've been getting a lot of private emails lately saying I suck at forecasting and I should just leave.
Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25358
269. WeatherNerdPR 01:22 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Yes, and it feeds me doughnuts off its horn.

"Marvelis."
Member Since: 7 juillet 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5464
270. WxGeekVA 01:23 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I'm just curious, but how would you guys describe my forecasting (tropical and severe) capabilities?

A. Wannabe forecaster
B. Amateur forecaster
C. Mediocre forecaster
D. Expert forecaster


Better than C, but not quite D... I would humbly consider myself in between B and C.
Member Since: 3 septembre 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3323
271. MAweatherboy1 01:23 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

but what category do I fit in? lol.

I'm just asking because I've been getting a lot of private emails lately saying I suck at forecasting and I should just leave.

I'm guessing those e-mails are probably from trolls who are jealous of your ability... You're between B/C, better than most on here
Member Since: 11 février 2012 Posts: 67 Comments: 6379
272. weatherh98 01:23 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting CybrTeddy:


A) 50% of the blog.
B) 30% of us.
C) 10% of us.
D) 2% of us.

The 8% are trolls.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

but what category do I fit in? lol.

I'm just asking because I've been getting a lot of private emails lately saying I suck at forecasting and I should just leave.


Haha I'm an A, and a d is Levi.

It's prolly trolls don't worry about it...
Member Since: 17 juin 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6095
273. CybrTeddy 01:27 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

but what category do I fit in? lol.

I'm just asking because I've been getting a lot of private emails lately saying I suck at forecasting and I should just leave.


I get those too, a lot more than you'd think. I just ignore them and continue on tracking the storms because when it comes down to it, only a select few are trained in what they talk about - you and I, as well as everyone else just sit down and listen and make our own interpretations of those forecasts and what the models are generally saying.

We're armchair Meteorologists.
Member Since: 8 juillet 2005 Posts: 253 Comments: 20280
274. pottery 01:27 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/flash-wv.htm l
Member Since: 24 octobre 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20721
275. Articuno 01:28 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I'm just curious, but how would you guys describe my forecasting (tropical and severe) capabilities?

A. Wannabe forecaster
B. Amateur forecaster
C. Mediocre forecaster
D. Expert forecaster

Medioexpert
Member Since: 22 octobre 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1926
276. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 01:31 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
266. TropicalAnalystwx13 1:19 AM GMT on April 02, 2012 +1
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


how about ultra lord forecaster


do you have a unicorn in the backyard too


Yes, and it feeds me doughnuts off its horn.

Action: Quote | Ignore User
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 45 Comments: 13855


well as long as you are not wearing the bacon tuxedo you should be ok
Member Since: 15 juillet 2006 Posts: 144 Comments: 40665
277. PedleyCA 01:37 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
I wouldn't have used the term "mediocre for C. That doesn't sound like a term relative to the level of skill. Sounds more like an insult.
Member Since: 29 février 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2170
278. TropicalAnalystwx13 01:37 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting SPLbeater:


somewhers between A and B.

i am going with A 1/2 lol

Woah...Am I really that bad?
Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25358
279. SPLbeater 01:37 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

but what category do I fit in? lol.

I'm just asking because I've been getting a lot of private emails lately saying I suck at forecasting and I should just leave.


you arent lame at forecasting. your similar to me...but a percentage better(maybe 40-60% lol). You WANNA BE a forecaster, but not. And you have most, if not all qualities of an AMATURE forecaster IMO. you would be foolish to not pursue a weather career:)

thats why i said A 1/2 :D
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3955
280. TropicalAnalystwx13 01:38 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting PedleyCA:
I wouldn't have used the term "mediocre for C. That doesn't sound like a term relative to the level of skill. Sounds more like an insult.

Mediocre usually means of moderate quality, or average.
Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25358
281. PedleyCA 01:39 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
I'd give you a "C," but I wouldn't call you Mediocre in the same phrase.
Member Since: 29 février 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2170
282. TropicalAnalystwx13 01:39 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting SPLbeater:


you arent lame at forecasting. your similar to me...but a percentage better(maybe 40-60% lol). You WANNA BE a forecaster, but not. And you have most, if not all qualities of an AMATURE forecaster IMO. you would be foolish to not pursue a weather career:)

thats why i said A 1/2 :D

I mean wannabe in the sense that I cannot forecast at all and I just try to imitate other people's forecasts.
Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25358
283. JNCali 01:41 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
I'm pretty sure this is legit..
By Jim Forsyth

Sun Apr 1, 2012 7:27pm EDT

(Reuters) - The National Weather Service on Monday plans to begin a new initiative in Kansas and Missouri designed to make people in Tornado Alley sit up and take notice when potentially devastating twisters are headed their way. Under the new system, tornado warnings will be accompanied by stark language like, "mass devastation is highly likely, making the area unrecognizable to survivors," according to the National Weather Service. Or even: "This storm is not survivable." "We call this 'impact-based warning," Dan Hawblitzel, a National Weather Service meteorologist in Pleasant Hill, Missouri, said on Sunday. "The idea is to better convey the impact that a storm is likely to have on a community." Current National Weather Service tornado warnings generally cover portions of counties and urge people in the storm's path to take action. "There is quite a lot of over-warning going on; it's kind of the car-alarm syndrome," said Col Galyean, a meteorologist with The Weather Channel. "People who live in areas where tornadoes happen frequently, like Joplin, Missouri, for example, are kind of becoming desensitized to the warnings." A tornado slammed into Joplin last May, killing 161 people in the southwestern Missouri city and causing extensive damage. The new warnings will be tested in the two states through November 30. After that, a panel of social scientists and meteorologists will examine the responses and determine whether the system should be used nationwide, Hawblitzel said.

Messages such as, "Complete destruction of entire neighborhoods is likely" may get more people posting on social networking sites and taking instant action, Hawblitzel said.

Galyean and Hawblitzel say the more detailed warnings are largely made possible because of a new type of Doppler radar called dual polarization, which can measure both the horizontal and vertical properties of a storm system and can tell forecasters whether debris is being picked up by the storm, a sure sign of a destructive system.

"Right now it's tough to tell if a storm is actually causing damage," Galyean said. "This technology allows forecasters to actually see inside the storm, and see different parts of the same storm system, to better analyze its speed, direction, and destructive potential."

"This way we can be more sure that a tornado is heading straight for a heavily populated area," Hawblitzel said.

The warnings will go out to radio and television broadcasters who issue emergency warnings, to local emergency management personnel who activate sirens and dispatch emergency services, and to listeners of National Weather Service radio.

In the San Antonio area last month, many people who were caught in the path of a damaging flurry of tornadoes said they had heard the warnings, but that it was the sight of a tornado that prompted them to take action. "Forecasters do worry about that," Galyean said. "We can get the information to the public, but the key is to get the public to pay attention."
Member Since: 9 septembre 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 1032
284. Tropicsweatherpr 01:42 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
For a second day in a row,there were no flood advisories popping up in Puerto Rico as dry air has penetrated. This is causing the rivers to reach normal stage after last months abnormal rainfall.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
853 PM AST SUN APR 1 2012

.UPDATE...TODAY WAS A VERY DRY DAY ACROSS THE ENTIRE FA. NO
PRECIPITATION WAS DETECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND
SURROUNDING WATERS ON LATEST SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY THIS
EVENING. THE FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS DEVELOPED DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS OVER SOUTHWEST PUERTO RICO...DISSIPATED RAPIDLY DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ONLY A FEW PASSING
SHOWERS...IF ANY...ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN SECTIONS
OF PUERTO RICO. AN OVERALL DRY WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL ACROSS THE FA UNTIL AT LEAST TUESDAY. BY TUESDAY NIGHT OR
EARLY WEDNESDAY...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE
LOCAL ISLANDS...SLIGHTLY INCREASING THE CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT AGAIN FROM THE
NORTHEAST BY LATE TUESDAY. ONLY MINOR CHANGES WERE DONE TO THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGE.
Member Since: 29 avril 2009 Posts: 64 Comments: 8269
285. Neapolitan 01:44 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Member Since: 8 novembre 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 11175
286. JNCali 01:46 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
LInk to Reuters article in #283 Link
Member Since: 9 septembre 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 1032
287. JNCali 01:48 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I mean wannabe in the sense that I cannot forecast at all and I just try to imitate other people's forecasts.
Non comprendo, Esquela de casa
Member Since: 9 septembre 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 1032
288. TropicalAnalystwx13 01:49 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting JNCali:
I'm pretty sure this is legit..
By Jim Forsyth

Sun Apr 1, 2012 7:27pm EDT

(Reuters) - The National Weather Service on Monday plans to begin a new initiative in Kansas and Missouri designed to make people in Tornado Alley sit up and take notice when potentially devastating twisters are headed their way. Under the new system, tornado warnings will be accompanied by stark language like, "mass devastation is highly likely, making the area unrecognizable to survivors," according to the National Weather Service. Or even: "This storm is not survivable." "We call this 'impact-based warning," Dan Hawblitzel, a National Weather Service meteorologist in Pleasant Hill, Missouri, said on Sunday. "The idea is to better convey the impact that a storm is likely to have on a community." Current National Weather Service tornado warnings generally cover portions of counties and urge people in the storm's path to take action. "There is quite a lot of over-warning going on; it's kind of the car-alarm syndrome," said Col Galyean, a meteorologist with The Weather Channel. "People who live in areas where tornadoes happen frequently, like Joplin, Missouri, for example, are kind of becoming desensitized to the warnings." A tornado slammed into Joplin last May, killing 161 people in the southwestern Missouri city and causing extensive damage. The new warnings will be tested in the two states through November 30. After that, a panel of social scientists and meteorologists will examine the responses and determine whether the system should be used nationwide, Hawblitzel said.

Messages such as, "Complete destruction of entire neighborhoods is likely" may get more people posting on social networking sites and taking instant action, Hawblitzel said.

Galyean and Hawblitzel say the more detailed warnings are largely made possible because of a new type of Doppler radar called dual polarization, which can measure both the horizontal and vertical properties of a storm system and can tell forecasters whether debris is being picked up by the storm, a sure sign of a destructive system.

"Right now it's tough to tell if a storm is actually causing damage," Galyean said. "This technology allows forecasters to actually see inside the storm, and see different parts of the same storm system, to better analyze its speed, direction, and destructive potential."

"This way we can be more sure that a tornado is heading straight for a heavily populated area," Hawblitzel said.

The warnings will go out to radio and television broadcasters who issue emergency warnings, to local emergency management personnel who activate sirens and dispatch emergency services, and to listeners of National Weather Service radio.

In the San Antonio area last month, many people who were caught in the path of a damaging flurry of tornadoes said they had heard the warnings, but that it was the sight of a tornado that prompted them to take action. "Forecasters do worry about that," Galyean said. "We can get the information to the public, but the key is to get the public to pay attention."

Yes, this is real. I like the idea, but I'm also a little concerned about one issue that may arise. The first is the choice of wording. What if the phrase "unsurvivable above ground" is used, and somebody happens to survive. Then they will think they will survive every time a tornado comes (which I hope you only have to live through once if you even have to experience one). That will also continue the issue that NWS is "crying wolf".
Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25358
289. TropicalAnalystwx13 01:53 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting JNCali:
Non comprendo, Esquela de casa

I don't speak spanish, sorry. :P
Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25358
290. JNCali 01:54 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Yes, this is real. I like the idea, but I'm also a little concerned about one issue that may arise. The first is the choice of wording. What if the phrase "unsurvivable above ground" is used, and somebody happens to survive. Then they will think they will survive every time a tornado comes (which I hope you only have to live through once if you even have to experience one).
Yeah, there is no way to pull this off.. if you don't take cover when the siren is blaring you are rolling the dice.. and so many people do not have access to good protection anyway.. And remember Katrina? People had days to get outta the storm path...
Member Since: 9 septembre 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 1032
291. Ameister12 01:55 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I'm just curious, but how would you guys describe my forecasting (tropical and severe) capabilities?

A. Wannabe forecaster
B. Amateur forecaster
C. Mediocre forecaster
D. Expert forecaster

Probably B or C.
Member Since: 9 août 2009 Posts: 9 Comments: 3518
292. GeoffreyWPB 01:55 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting caneswatch:


Yeah we are. It's been a long while since i've had to put up shutters.


You help me and I will help you.
Member Since: 10 septembre 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 9127
293. JNCali 01:56 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I don't speak spanish, sorry. :P
WU Mail
Member Since: 9 septembre 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 1032
294. SPLbeater 01:57 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I mean wannabe in the sense that I cannot forecast at all and I just try to imitate other people's forecasts.


oh. well in that case, B 1/3 lol
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3955
295. Ameister12 01:58 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
I could be under a Severe Thunderstorm watch pretty soon. Severe storms have already formed in central Indiana.

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0408
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0823 PM CDT SUN APR 01 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...E-CNTRL/SERN IND...SWRN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 020123Z - 020230Z

THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL APPEARS TO HAVE COMMENCED WITH
SCATTERED DISCRETE CELLS FORMING ALONG A SWD-MOVING COLD FRONT. THE
PROBABILITY OF A SEVERE TSTM WATCH ISSUANCE IS 40 PERCENT.

01Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACED A COLD FRONT FROM AROUND 30 S CMH TO 35
N IND...WITH SEVERAL CELLS FORMING IN THE PAST 45 MINUTES ALONG THE
BOUNDARY. EVEN THOUGH SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAD FALLEN INTO THE
MIDDLE 60S TO LOWER 70S IN THE WARM SECTOR...CONVECTION MAY REMAIN
NEAR SURFACE-BASED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. 700-500 MB LAPSE
RATES AROUND 7.5 DEG C/KM AS SAMPLED BY THE 00Z ILN RAOB ALONG WITH
EFFECTIVE SHEAR AROUND 40 KT WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR UPDRAFT
ROTATION. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE UNDERCUTTING NATURE OF THE COLD
FRONT...SUPERCELL STRUCTURES MAY BE DIFFICULT TO SUSTAIN WITH THE
PRIMARY RISK BEING ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

..GRAMS.. 04/02/2012


ATTN...WFO...RLX...ILN...IND...

LAT...LON 40128492 39708306 39288252 38908259 38688289 38608319
38748420 39028502 39508597 40068617 40298599 40128492
Member Since: 9 août 2009 Posts: 9 Comments: 3518
296. BaltimoreBrian 02:00 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Tomorrow evening Venus will be in the Pleiades.

Member Since: 9 août 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 3361
297. TropicalAnalystwx13 02:01 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting JNCali:
WU Mail

Oh, I gotcha ;)
Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25358
298. TropicalAnalystwx13 02:04 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
I found it interesting to see the location of the jet-stream using infrared satellite imagery.



Also...new Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued.

Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25358
299. SPLbeater 02:05 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I found it interesting to see the location of the jet-stream using infrared satellite imagery.



Also...new Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued.



since i havnt been here long and really dont have a good judgment on your foracasting abilities, would you accept a test from me?
Member Since: 4 août 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3955
300. GeoffreyWPB 02:07 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
Tomorrow evening Venus will be in the Pleiades.



Member Since: 10 septembre 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 9127
301. TropicalAnalystwx13 02:07 GMT le 02 avril 2012    
Quoting SPLbeater:


since i havnt been here long and really dont have a good judgment on your foracasting abilities, would you accept a test from me?

What kind of test?
Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25358

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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