U.S. experiences warmest 12-month period on record
The past twelve months were the warmest twelve months in U.S. history, said NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) on Tuesday, in their monthly "State of the Climate" report. Temperatures in the contiguous U.S. during May 2011 - April 2012 broke the previous record for warmest 12-month period, set November 1999 - October 2000, by 0.1°F. The past twelve months have featured America's 2nd warmest summer, 4th warmest winter, and warmest March on record. Twenty-two states were record warm for the 12-month period, and an additional nineteen states were top ten warm. NOAA said that the January - April 2012 period was also the warmest January - April period since record keeping began in 1895. The average temperature of 45.4°F during January - April 2012 was 5.4°F above the 20th century average for the period, and smashed the previous record set in 2006 by an unusually large margin--1.6°F.
Figure 1. The ten warmest 12-month periods in the contiguous U.S. since record keeping began in 1895. Image credit: NOAA/NCDC.
Figure 2. The average temperature of 45.4°F during January - April 2012 was the warmest on record: 5.4°F above the 20th century average for the period, and was 1.6°F above the previous record set in 2006. January - April temperatures have been rising at about 1.9°F per century since 1895. Image credit: NOAA/NCDC.
April 2012: 3rd warmest on record
April 2012 was the third warmest April in the contiguous U.S. since record keeping began in 1895. Ten states had a top-ten warmest April, and no states were cooler than average. But what's really remarkable about April was that eight states--Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia--had average April temperatures cooler than their March temperatures, even though their April temperatures were still above the long-term average for the month. These statistics show just how remarkably warm March 2012 was. Most extreme was Illinois, where April 2012 temperatures ranked in the top 20% for warmest Aprils, yet were cooler than March 2012 temperatures.
Figure 3. Temperature rankings for April 2012 in the Contiguous U.S. Ten states had a top-ten warmest April, and no states were cooler than average. Image credit: NOAA/NCDC.
Figure 4. NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI) for January - April shows that 2012 had the most extreme weather on record.
Most extreme January - April on record
NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI), an index that tracks the highest 10 percent and lowest 10 percent of extremes in temperature, precipitation, and drought, was 42% during the January-April period, over twice the average value, and the greatest on record. Remarkably, 82% of the contiguous U.S. had maximum temperatures that were in the warmest 10% historically, and 68% had warm minimum temperatures in the top 10%, with records going back to 1910. The previous records were 56% (2000) and 57% (1992) for maximum and minimum temperatures, respectively. The percentage area of the U.S. experiencing top-10% drought conditions during January - April was 19%, which was the 17th greatest since 1910. Extremes in precipitation as computed by the CEI were near average for the January - April period.
Jeff Masters
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Interesting. If you look closely at Hispaniola you can pretty much see the border between Haiti and the Dominican Republic colored by mortality risk. Same thing with Bangladesh and India. Orange/Red next to Yellow/orange or even green/yellow. Quite a sharp demarcation.
Goes to show that the strength/frequency of cyclonic storms is only one part of the equation when it comes to how much damage and death occurs.
On the flip side, Tokyo Metropolitan Area seems to be clearly defined as well in reds and oranges versus the rest of Japan.
May 10, 2012 - 14:45 UTC
Speaking of European weather, the BBC had a special one-time-only guest met today:
I find the psychology of conspiracy theorists fascinating... An overwhelming need to forge their own paths and believe in something others don't, perhaps? To believe in something so extraordinary that if it were true, it would shake the world. Or some form of paranoid mentality? When you are paranoid you only need tiny bits of information to make huge conclusions which in turn feeds this paranoia. Or just huge attention-seekers... By believing in these conspiracies they surely get a lot of attention from others.
Anyway, without an education I can only assume, but this is a field I'm heading into in the coming years. :)
What's up wunderkid...how's the recovery in Little Cayman and Cayman Brac following Paloma 2008?
Come on, you've been exposed to far too much information about the numerous ways global temperatures are measured to fall for that line of bull.
'Heat islands' was an interesting idea that's been researched and disproved.
You've got to know that.
That guy doing the weather report sounds just like to Grothar.
Very interesting indeed!
I suspect it to be political more than anything else.
If you belong to the 'team of the right' then you must support your team, declare that you've got the best quarterback ever even when the guy can't throw more than 20 yards.
To be a good team member you've got to deny climate change and, in general, say stupid things because that's your self-assigned role.
Facts presented by the other side must be dismissed and ignored. That's how the game is played.
Break out those eggs! How you doing, Jeffs?
Image of the Sargasso Sea thermal conditions.
Our shields cannot withstand model-cast of that magnitude!
But in all seriousness, this could very well happen, while probably not the strength/track, at least not exact, it's a classic mid-late May setup for our first named storm of the season. The formation appears to be monsoonal in nature, and that energy will be building up soon in the Western Caribbean, similar to the first named storms of the last two seasons.
this will be going to texas on a future run..watch!
Written by Mandy Calkins
Monday, 01 December 2008
Think of nature’s great migrations and you might imagine birds flying over continents or antelope crossing the African plains. But European eels make a journey that is even more incredible.
European eels are catadromous fish, which means they are born in the ocean and live as adults in fresh or brackish water. They hatch in the Sargasso Sea, a warm-water area of the North Atlantic Ocean, and begin their life cycle as flat, ribbon-like larvae called leptocephali. The Gulf Stream and North Atlantic Drift currents carry these larvae from their birthplace to coasts from Iceland to Europe and North Africa.
It's now gulf bound
Atlantis
The atlantic is warming quite steadily
Now I have to find a bunny suit. Dangit.
I'm doing more or less OK. Class (full-time nursing school) starts up again next week, and I'm still working full time. As long as I'm still above ground and breathing, I'm good.
You have much more to go, get ready
hey yeah i'm good
recovery well I haven't heard anything for a long time about it
some how I don't think that it will really be gulf bound for the past I don't know how may runs it has been ever so consistent with tracking it from Hon/Nic coast moves N turns NE to the Caymans then to W-Central Cuba the NW Bahamas
On the other hand, it actually RAINED here last night!!!! (Hey, it was for less than 10 minutes, but after the last six months' weather, that was GREAT!!)
You could be right, but lets see if the forecast pans out
in the same way water boarding can be said to be 'interesting'
This is day 10 and you can see what appears to be a cut off low developing.
As a result of the cut off that tropical moisture (maybe Alberto) comes north into the eastern Gulf.
RAISE THE DOOM CON!!!
BUY PLYWOOD, MILK, BREAD, AND WATER!!!
RESTOCK FRESCA!!!
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS!!!
SARCASM FLAG: ON
Nice.
Might also be a debris ball:
It's actually not the first time. One run yesterday had it going across S FL. I agree though expect lots of fluctuations over the coming days and heck this may never turn out. It could just be tropical rains streaming north toward the gulf and merge with this ULL over the C or E Gulf.
HIGH MOISTURE
VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE ERN CARIBBEAN AND
GRADUALLY SHIFT WWD OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
this is what will help the gfs system to to come to reallity
This is still 10-12 days out, so I won't get too hyped about these model runs yet. But, if some consistency with the model runs continue over the next 5 days or so, then my interest will start to get brewing for sure.
This is probably the wettest May on record in Trinidad,i have recorded over 10 inches of rain in the past 10 days.Just imagine the monthly average is just 4 inches.
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