Beryl dumping heavy rains; all-time May heat records set in MI, OH
Tropical Depression Beryl continues to bring heavy rains to Northern Florida and Southern Georgia, but has begun to move northeast, and will be spreading heavy rains over coastal South Carolina today and North Carolina on Wednesday. Rains of 5 - 8 inches have been common over Northern Florida. These rains have caused numerous problems with street flooding, but no serious damage. The heaviest rains from Beryl so far have been to the southwest of the center, over Lafayette County, Florida, where 12.65" was measured as of 6:30 am EDT Tuesday near Midway. Beryl spawned one tornado on Monday, near Florida's St. Lucie Medical Center. The twister damaged two roofs and brought down trees and power lines. One swimmer is missing from Folly Beach, South Carolina, and a 19 year old man is missing and presumed drowned from swimming in rough surf in Daytona Beach, Florida. Before becoming a tropical cyclone, Beryl produced heavy rainfall over Cuba, especially Sancti Spíritus Province, where meteorologists reported more than 20 in (510 mm) of precipitation. The rains caused mudslides and flash floods, destroying 47 houses and damaging 1,109 more. Two people died attempting to cross flooded rivers in Cuba.
Figure 1. True-color MODIS satellite image of Beryl taken at 12:05 pm EDT May 28, 2012 by NASA's Terra satellite. At the time, Beryl was a tropical depression with winds of 35 mph.
Forecast for Beryl
Beryl will continue to spin and dump copious rains as it treks through Southern Georgia today, and coastal South Carolina and North Carolina on Wednesday. These rains will generally not be heavy enough to cause damaging flooding, since the region is under moderate to severe drought. When Beryl pops off the coast near the North Carolina/South Carolina border on Wednesday, wind shear will be low enough and ocean temperatures warm enough to allow re-intensification to a tropical storm. However, tropical-storm-force winds will probably be limited to the right-front side, over the ocean, and the coast of North Carolina will see winds no greater than 35 mph.
Figure 2. Estimated rainfall from Beryl from the Valdosta, Georgia radar.
July-like heat wave brings hottest May temperatures on record to Michigan, Ohio
A strong high pressure system anchored over the central U.S. brought more record-smashing May heat to much of the country on Monday. The heat was most notable in Southern Lower Michigan and Northern Ohio, where Detroit (95°F), Flint (93°), Cleveland (92°F), and Toledo, Ohio (96°) tied or set records for their hottest temperature ever recorded in May. On Saturday, at least nine airports in the Midwest had their hottest May day on record, and 58 out of 456 U.S. airports set daily high temperature records. On Sunday, at least sixteen airports in the Midwest had their hottest May day on record, and 68 out of 456 U.S. airports set daily high temperature records. Eight airports in the Western U.S. set daily coldest temperature records on Sunday; no airports have set an all-time coldest May temperature record in the U.S. this month. Temperatures 5 - 10°F above average are expected over portions of New England today, but the May 2012 heat wave is pretty much over for the U.S.
Jeff Masters
Beryl's about 75 mi SSE from us and still off shore and on schedule to move over land sometime after mid night. We're getting steady 20-30 mph winds.
Reader Comments
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Yep. We have to watch for those trough splits and that is what occured early last year in the season. Trough splits spawned the development of Bret and Cindy off the SE US coast last season.
Started the day hot and humid here in Mid TN yesterday. About 3:00 clouds started gathering providing some nice shade while I mowed the yard, cell phone text message alert went off about time the first thunder happened.. Severe T-Storm alert... Starting pouring and blowing (maybe 30 not too bad) Cold though.. all that air rushing down from 30K feet.. I got thoroughly soaked riding the mower to the nearest tree for some cover. Sitting under the tree the lightning cracked overhead and thought I'd better get out from under the tree maybe.. so I headed for the truck.. Had to turn the heater on it got so cold where it had been in the mid 90's moments prior... Can't wait for Summer!
By calling you "kid" I don't think he was being disrespectful. It is in your handle.
GMAB
(give me a break)
Going under a tree while in a lightning storm is not smart. Your lucky you didn't get struck as we could have been hearing your demise on ther 6pm news.
I'm just about smack in the middle of the sight risk area for tomorrow, but they only got us a 20% chance of rain... We'll just have to wait to see how it unfolds.
A wu Birther scandal?
Hmmmmmm...........
This is the actual $5,000 cash wad that server Greg Rubar received Saturday.
/ HC
PDNH (Please Do Not Hype)
ADFS (another damn fish storm)
DFTT (dont feed the trolls)
ISYRM (I suggest you remove that)
ITAYGB (Im Telling And You're Getting Banned)
ROFLMDO to be used only by Grothar (rolling on floor laughing my dentures out)
KMAF (Kiss My A*& Fool)
Thats awesome!
Thats all we need is more dang accronyms!! LOL!! ;)
Im sorry. I got bored
Air temperature: 24.3 °C (76.3 °F)
Dewpoint temperature: 22.4 °C (72.8 °F)
Sea level pressure: 1002.6 hPa (29.6 in)
Significant wave height: 3.4 m (11.2 ft)
Water temperature: 24.2 °C (76.1 °F)
Wind gust speed: 20.0 m/s (38.9 kts)
Wind speed: 16.0 m/s (31.1 kts)
Last reported: 10:50 AM GMT 05/30/2012
5:50 AM EST 05/30/2012
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL NOW MOVING NORTHEAST ALONG THE COASTAL
PLAIN OF SOUTH CAROLINA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER PROGS MOVE
BERYL ENE ALONG THE COAST AT ABOUT 10 MPH...WITH THE CENTER MOVING
OVER WATER BY THE 12Z FORECAST POINT...WHICH WILL BE JUST SOUTH OF
GEORGETOWN SC. BERYL STRENGTHENS OVER WATER AND AGAIN BECOMES A
TROPICAL STORM...MOVING JUST SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS AT 8 PM.
RAINFALL RATES ASSOCIATED WITH BERYL NOT AS HIGH THUS FAR AS
ANTICIPATED. LATEST RADAR LOOPS HOW RAINFALL CONCENTRATED ON THE
NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF BERYL...WITH THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD NOW
COVERING ALL OUR SC COUNTIES. STORM ITSELF IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS
OF ELONGATION AND TILTING AND WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW DRY AIR
BECOMING ENTRAINED AROUND ITS SOUTHERN FLANK. HOWEVER...SURFACE
OBS DO SHOW SIGNIFICANT PRESSURE FALLS NEAR THE CENTER...AND A
MOVE OVER WARM COASTAL WATERS WILL ACT TO MAINTAIN AND THEN
STRENGTHEN THE SYSTEM.
ALTHOUGH RAIN RATES AT PRESENT DO NOT POSE A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
THREAT...THAT WILL LIKELY CHANGE AS BERYL REGAINS STRENGTH
AND...PERHAPS MORE SIGNIFICANTLY...INTERACTS WITH AN APPROACHING
SHORT WAVE DROPPING SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THE SYSTEM. WIDESPREAD HEAVY
RAIN IS THUS STILL A GOOD POSSIBILITY...SO WILL LEAVE PRESENT
FLOOD WATCH INTACT. ON A POSITIVE NOTE...THE ALREADY SMALL
TORNADO THREAT HAS DIMINISHED FURTHER WITH THE LATEST UPDATE FROM
SPC. WE ARE NO LONGER IN THE SLIGHT RISK AREA FOR SEVERE WEATHER.
ALTHOUGH BERYL WILL STRENGTHEN TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS AFTER IT
MOVES OVER WATER...THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE CONCENTRATED IN THE
SE QUADRANT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE THUS NOT ANTICIPATED
OVER LAND. HOWEVER...WE COULD SEE ISOLATED GUSTS IN THE 30 TO 40
KT RANGE IN STRONGER SHOWERS EMBEDDED WITHIN BERYLS RAIN BANDS.
VERY LITTLE LIGHTNING ASSOCIATED WITH BERYL AT PRESENT.
Its been over water? I thought the center is still on land?
From staff reports-Star News
Published: Wednesday, May 30, 2012 at 12:30 a.m.
Last Modified: Wednesday, May 30, 2012 at 6:01 a.m.
9:30 a.m. - Wreck near Memorial Bridge
There was a traffic accident Wednesday morning on the side of U.S. 74-76 near the Cape Fear Memorial Bridge just inside Brunswick County, according to Brunswick County dispatch.
It could not be determined immediately whether there were injuries as crews had just arrived on the scene.
9 a.m. - Water accumulates on U.S. 17
Water had accumulated on U.S. 17 near N.C. 87, and traffic was moving very slowly, the Brunswick County Sheriff's Office reported.
7:30 a.m. - Area could get 1 - 3 more inches of rain
The greatest rain totals in the Wilmington area Wednesday morning were 2 to 2.5 inches in northern New Hanover County, with reports of about 1.5 inches near Masonboro Island, said Rachel Zouzias, meteorologist at the National Weather Service in Wilmington.
The weather service predicted one to three more inches of rain for the Wilmington area Wednesday.
Highest winds were about 34 miles an hour right along the coast in Oak Island and Calabash, with 10 to 15 miles an hour and gusts to 20 mph inland across the area, she said.
Gusts to 39 miles an hour were reported at a buoy offshore.
The worst of the storm hit across the border in South Carolina, where three to four inches of rain were reported inland in Horry County, Zouzias said.
Actually the models are completely eliminating rain chances after Sunday as they have been very adamant for the past three days on this anomalous trough bringing a strong(for this time of year) late season cold front right on through even south Florida by early next week. It looks to me the dry season will pay us one last visit.
It's about 8hrs over water now. Kinda been riding up the coast. Radar can be deceiving since you see mid levels there too. Check out the link. Dvorak doesn't come up with much over land.
Typically by the end of May, the Bermuda high drops into a mean position. Obviously the position fluctuates as troughs come off the coast but for the most part, always returns to that general position. This is why timing is a key factor and steering is storm and time specific. General trends can be seen but finite steering absolutely not.
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