U.S. experiences warmest 12-month period on record--again
Thanks in part to the historic heat wave that demolished thousands of high temperature records at the end of June, temperatures in the contiguous U.S. were the warmest on record over the past twelve months and for the year-to-date period of January - June, said NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) on Monday. June 2012 was the 14th warmest June on record, so was not as extreme overall as March 2012 (first warmest March on record), April (third warmest April), or May (second warmest May.) However, temperatures were warm enough in June to set a new U.S. record for hottest 12-month period for the third straight month, narrowly eclipsing the record set just the previous month. The past thirteen months have featured America's 2nd warmest summer (in 2011), 4th warmest winter, and warmest spring on record. Twenty-six states were record warm for the 12-month period, and an additional sixteen states were top-ten warm. The year-to-date period of January - June was the warmest on record by an unusually large margin--1.2°F.
Figure 1. This time series shows the five warmest years that the contiguous U.S. has experienced, and how the year-to-date temperature evolved each month throughout those years. The time series also shows the 2012 year-to-date temperature through June, which was the warmest first half of any year on record for the lower 48. The 2012 data are still preliminary. Image credit: NOAA/NCDC.
Figure 2. Four of the top-ten warmest 12-month periods in the contiguous U.S. since 1895 have occurred since April 2011. Image credit: NOAA/NCDC.
Most extreme January - June period on record
NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI), which tracks the percentage area of the contiguous U.S. experiencing top-10% and bottom-10% extremes in temperature, precipitation, and drought, was 44% during the year-to-date January - June period. This is the highest value since CEI record-keeping began in 1910, and more than twice the average value. Remarkably, 83% of the contiguous U.S. had maximum temperatures that were in the warmest 10% historically during the first six months of 2012, and 70% of the U.S. of the U.S. had warm minimum temperatures in the top 10%. The percentage area of the U.S. experiencing top-10% drought conditions was 20%, which was the 14th greatest since 1910. Extremes in 1-day spring heavy precipitation events were near average.
Figure 3. NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI) for January - June shows that 2012 has had the most extreme first six months of the year on record, with 44% of the contiguous U.S. experiencing top-10% extreme weather.
Tuesday Webinar on the future of extreme weather impacts on business
I'm presenting a 12-minute Webinar talk on the future of weather-related disasters at 2 pm EDT Tuesday July 10. If you want to register (it's free) and listen in, visit the propertycasualty360.com web site. The title of the webinar is, "The Year-Round CAT Season: Is Your Business Prepared for Increasingly Frequent Severe Weather?"
"New McCarthyism" targets climate scientists
Bill Blakemore with ABC News has an interesting five-part interview with climate scientist Dr. Michael Mann, where Dr. Mann explains how a "New McCarthyism" is targeting climate scientists. I reviewed Dr. Mann's excellent book, "The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars", earlier this year.
A 1 in 1.6 million event?
I originally wrote in this post that "Each of the 13 months from June 2011 through June 2012 ranked among the warmest third of their historical distribution for the first time in the 1895 - present record. According to NCDC, the odds of this occurring randomly during any particular month are 1 in 1,594,323. Thus, we should only see one more 13-month period so warm between now and 124,652 AD--assuming the climate is staying the same as it did during the past 118 years."
It has been pointed out to me that the calculation of a 1 in 1.6 million chance of occurrence (based on taking the number 1/3 and raising it to the 13th power) would be true only if each month had no correlation to the next month. Since weather patterns tend to persist, they are not truly random from one month to the next. Thus, the odds of such an event occurring are greater than 1 in 1.6 million--but are still very rare. I appreciate hearing from those of you who wrote to point out a correction was needed.
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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In the Bahamas, performance would not be a deal... not that many places where you can hit more than 60mph in the first place... lol
Climate in Northern Europe Reconstructed for the Past 2,000 Years: Cooling Trend Calculated Precisely for the First Time
Very interesting...I still believe we are messing up our atmosphere and oceans with CO2 pollution and the ph of the ocean is proof of this and is the disappearance of the deep, dense cool waters of the oceans...now, this could really lead to some dramatic climate changes
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/05/1205 21104635.htm
Latest Southern Ocean Research Shows Continuing Deep Ocean Change
Shaking it is. I'd take an earthquake over a EF5/C5 tornado/hurricane any day.
I have asked that question several times on this blog and got nada..
from the internet..please do your part and help the environment by signing off but if that happen, they wouldnt be able to blog and spread their message?..how computers contribute to global warming..
A screen saver is not an energy saver. According to the U.S. Department of Energy, 75% of all the electricity consumed in the home is standby power used to keep electronics running when those TVs, DVRs, computers, monitors and stereos are "off." The average desktop computer, not including the monitor, consumes from 60 to 250 watts a day. Compared with a machine left on 24/7, a computer that is in use four hours a day and turned off the rest of the time would save you about $70 a year. The carbon impact would be even greater. Shutting it off would reduce the machine's CO2 emissions 83%, to just 63 kg a year.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE JUL 10 2012
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
000
AXNT20 KNHC 101710
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE JUL 10 2012
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1645 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 32W FROM 12N TO 22N.
RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FROM 10N TO 22N BETWEEN 30W AND 34W...
IN NEARBY LOW CLOUDS.
A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 25N70W
TO 18N70W IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR
28N68W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
FROM 25N TO 27N BETWEEN 66W AND 68W...SCATTERED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE IS FROM 20N TO 30N BETWEEN 66W AND 75W.
...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL BORDERS OF SENEGAL
AND GAMBIA NEAR 13N16W...TO 13N23W AND 8N40W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES
FROM 8N40W TO 6N50W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IS FROM 6N TO 10N BETWEEN 32W AND
41W...FROM 6N TO 7N WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 45W...AND
FROM LAND TO 10N BETWEEN 50W AND 56W...WIDELY SCATTERED TO
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N TO 10N BETWEEN AFRICA AND 23W.
...DISCUSSION...
THE GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STARTS NEAR 31N84W IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
TO A GULF OF MEXICO 25N85W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...
TOWARD THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
TO A 19N98W SOUTHERN MEXICO CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION COVERS
THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE AREA TO THE SOUTH OF 26N TO THE
EAST OF 85W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG COVERS THE BAHAMAS FROM CUBA TO 28N BETWEEN 74W AND
80W...ISOLATED MODERATE IS TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT
GOES FROM 22N97W TO 19N92W IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
AREA.
THE BASE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...THAT IS IN MISSISSIPPI AND
ALABAMA...REACHES LOUISIANA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER
OF THE AREA TO THE NORTH OF 26N TO THE WEST OF 88W.
BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE REST OF THE
GULF OF MEXICO...FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO COASTS OF LOUISIANA AND
TEXAS AND NORTHERN MEXICO TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.
A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 29N73W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
TO AN EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO 1017 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT
IS NEAR 27N84W...TOWARD THE LOWER TEXAS GULF OF MEXICO COAST.
NO 20 KNOT WINDS AND 8 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS ARE OBSERVED AND/OR
FORECAST FOR THE PRESENT TIME.
THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF
THE AREA...TO THE NORTH OF 15N TO THE WEST OF 79W. THE CYCLONIC
WIND FLOW IS RELATED TO THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS IN THE SAME AREA THAT IS TO THE
NORTH OF 15N TO THE WEST OF 79W. SOME OF THAT PRECIPITATION HAS
BEEN SHEARED DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS OR SO BY THE UPPER LEVEL
WIND FLOW. A CELL OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION HAS DEVELOPED OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF CUBA...
NEAR UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS AROUND THE PERIPHERY
OF THE LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS RELATED TO THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN 28N68W CYCLONIC CENTER.
THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 10N73W IN COLOMBIA...
TO 9N80W IN PANAMA...BEYOND 9N84W IN COSTA RICA. NUMEROUS
STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS TO THE SOUTH OF 11N
BETWEEN 80W ALONG THE PANAMA COAST AND 83W ALONG THE COSTA
RICA/NICARAGUA BORDER.
THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
10/1200 UTC FOR SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO WAS 0.58 OF AN INCH.
PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2...AND THE
OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3...FOR MORE DETAILS ABOUT
20 TO 25 KNOT WIND SPEEDS AND SEA HEIGHTS REACHING 11 FEET
FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 67W AND 81W. THE WIND SPEEDS ARE
FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 25 TO 30 KNOTS AT 48 HOURS FROM
11N TO 14N BETWEEN 72W AND 79W.
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 33N29W TO A 30N33W CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 26N35W...TO A 28N50W CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER...TO A 28N68W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...
TO A GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG IS FROM 25N TO 27N
BETWEEN 66W AND 68W...SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO
30N BETWEEN 66W AND 75W...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 23N TO
28N BETWEEN 51W AND 58W.
AN UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH IS ALONG 25N42W 19N43W 16N48W.
A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N58W...TO 29N73W...TO AN
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO 1017 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT
IS NEAR 27N84W...TOWARD THE LOWER TEXAS GULF OF MEXICO COAST.
PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2...AND THE
OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3...FOR MORE DETAILS ABOUT THREE
AREAS OF 20 KNOT WIND SPEEDS AND 8 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS. ONE
AREA IS TO THE SOUTH OF 22N BETWEEN 68W AND 74W. A SECOND
AREA IS FROM 20N TO 30N BETWEEN 35W AND 60W. A THIRD AREA
IS TO THE SOUTH OF 17N BETWEEN 50W AND 60W.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE
$$
MT
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
000
AXPZ20 KNHC 101536
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE JUL 10 2012
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
HURRICANE EMILIA CENTERED NEAR 13.7N 113.7W MOVING WNW AT 9 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 115 KT...GUSTS TO 140 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADER MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE
CENTER. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRI...WITH EMILIA
BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM AROUND FRI NIGHT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
MOTION IS EXPECTED. TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A CONTINUED WNW
TRACK THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH ONLY SLIGHT CHANGES IN FORWARD
SPEED.
TROPICAL STORM DANIEL CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 135.1W MOVING W AT 14
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT...GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADER MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC
FOR MORE DETAILS. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM
OF THE CENTER. DANIEL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT
MOVES WESTWARD OVER COOLER WATERS...AND BECOME A POST-TROPICAL
REMNANT LOW AROUND THU AFTER IT MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC.
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 11N100W IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WNW AND
GRADUALLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. CONDITIONS WILL
BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AFTER HURRICANE EMILIA IS
MORE THAN 600 NM AWAY FROM THE LOW. THERE IS A MEDIUM 40 PERCENT
CHANCE THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE
OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N100W
TO 13N110W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 07N119W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 83W AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 99W AND 102W.
...DISCUSSION...
1027 MB HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA NEAR 36N135W EXTENDS A RIDGE SE
TO NEAR 22N117W. THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND A TROUGH
IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS
W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
CROSS-EQUATORIAL SOUTHERLY SWELL AS WELL AS NE SWELL GENERATED
BY DANIEL AND EMILIA HAS RESULTED IN AN AREA OF ELEVATED SEAS OF
7-8 FT ROUGHLY S OF 10N W OF 110W. THE S SWELL COMPONENT WILL
STEADILY SUBSIDE...WHILE LONG PERIOD SWELL GENERATED BY THE
TROPICAL CYCLONES IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY CONSTANT ACROSS
THE EQUATORIAL REGION AT 6-7 FT THROUGH THU.
FRESH E WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO FUNNEL THROUGH SOUTHERN NICARAGUA
INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. LATEST SCATTEROMETER WINDS SHOW 15-20
KT ENE WINDS W OF PAPAGAYO. WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS COMBINED
LESS THAN 8 FT...EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE TO 6-7 FT THROUGH THU AS
CROSS-EQUATORIAL SOUTHERLY SWELL DIMINISHES.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT N OF EMILIA IS EXPECTED TO TIGHTEN AS THE
HURRICANE MOVES S OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH...INCREASING N-NE WINDS
TO NEAR 20 KT...WITH SEAS BUILDING TO AROUND 8 FT N OF 27N
BETWEEN 125W AND 133W BY WED NIGHT OR THU MORNING.
$$
MUNDELL
I put nearly 7000 miles on my bike commuting to work last year. I'm on the planning board for our town, basically trying to get better sidewalks, crosswalks, bus stops, and bike paths, as well as trying to get traffic lights set to better accommodate local traffic (rather than giving ultra-long greens to the long-distance traffic only), so that people can get around our town better by whatever means they choose.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE JUL 10 2012
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM DANIEL...LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS...AND ON HURRICANE EMILIA...LOCATED ABOUT 685 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO.
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
CONTINUE TO SHOW LITTLE CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION. HOWEVER...
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
DISTURBANCE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
NEAR 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
How can that be at 50? someone
They have high confidence it will become a tropical cyclone eventually, whether or not it looks good right now.
Light Rain
73°F
23°C
Humidity100%
Wind SpeedS 7 mph
Barometer29.98 in
Dewpoint73°F (23°C)
Visibility4.00 mi
I guess it's the waiting game then, haha.
From Wiki -
"The NiMH batteries, rated at 77 amp-hours (26.4 kWh) at 343 volts, gave the cars a range of 160 miles (257 km) per charge, more than twice what the original Gen I cars could muster."
The EV1 was very aerodynamic. It got a lot more mileage from its 26.4kWh batteries than the Leaf gets from its 24kWh batteries. I would guess that Nissan thought a more aerodynamic car wouldn't sell as well, but that's just a guess.
Absolutely. I thought the economic development potential was off the charts. Our local economic development director thought the same thing. Our visitor and convention bureau people were excited by it as well. The amount of intrastate tourism that would have provided to Disney and Busch Gardens alone would have been worth it.
Alas, it was not to be because of governor buzzkill.
how about this...I experienced a cat 1 hurricane, and a 7.5 quake
We post the same images of our own weather as does Patrap show everything that pertains to New Orleans. It's ashame he (Patrap) would call us out from FL for posted our local weather conditions.
Issued: Jul 10, 2012 8:00 am HST
For the central north Pacific, between 140°W and 180.
1. The National Hurricane Center in Miami Florida is issuing advisories on tropical storm Daniel, located 1330 miles east southeast of Hilo Hawaii, under AWIPS header TCMEP4 and WMO header WTPZ24. Daniel is expected to cross 140°W into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center area late tonight.
Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected through Thursday morning.
DONALDSON
Recycling ..thats what I do a lot of
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
525 AM EDT TUE JUL 10 2012
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830 -850-853-856-870-
873-876-102130-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTT E-LEE-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
525 AM EDT TUE JUL 10 2012
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS MORNING...
WITH THE MAJORITY OF THE ACTIVITY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...WITH NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH
OF THE TAMPA AREA. A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50
MPH...HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. A PULSE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO POSSIBLE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
AS EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE REGION...
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE ENHANCED ALONG THE WEST COAST SEA
BREEZE BOUNDARY DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON OVER THE COASTAL
COUNTIES WHERE THE GREATEST AREAL COVERAGE WILL OCCUR. THE
STRONGER STORMS WILL PRODUCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...HAIL...AND
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. A FEW PULSE SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.
$$
OGLESBY
Back in April 1991. It was in an afternoon after I came from school. I almost die.
BTW it was in Costa Rica
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