Lessons on Persuasion from Jesus, Shakespeare, Lincoln, and Lady Gaga: a Book Review

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 16:46 GMT le 21 novembre 2012

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With a name like "Language Intelligence: Lessons on Persuasion from Jesus, Shakespeare, Lincoln, and Lady Gaga", a book with a title like that compels one to pick it up and see what the heck the author is talking about. And Joe Romm's new book on how to communicate doesn't disappoint--it's a thoughtful and compelling look at the techniques used by some of history's great communicators to help persuade. Joe Romm is author of the climateprogress.org blog, the most visited climate change blog on the Internet, and the main blog that I use to stay current on climate change and energy news. Romm defines Language Intelligence as "the ability to convince people of something both intellectually and emotionally, at both a conscious and unconscious level." He goes on to say, "If facts were sufficient to persuade people, then experts in science would rule the world. But facts are not, and scientists do not. We filter out all the facts that do not match our views." At the heart of great communication lies great story telling, and Romm give us these tips on how to tell a story people will want to read:

- Write a great headline: Newspaper readers read 56% of the headlines, but only 13% of the stories are at least half-read. Headlines are even more important on-line, since they are what show up on Google searches and tweets. An example of one the most re-tweeted headlines Romm used in 2011: "Mother Nature is Just Getting Warmed Up: June 2011 Heat Records Crushing Cold Records by 13 to 1" (Romm uses a pun and personification to help create an eye-catching headline.)

- Short words are the best words.

- Slogans sell.

- If you don't repeat, you can't compete. Repetition and rhyming help people remember your message.

- The golden rule of speech-making is: "Tell 'em what you're going to tell 'em; tell 'em; then tell 'em what you told 'em."

- Repeated distortions and smears are as effective as repeated truths, so beware of these sorts of attacks.

- If you want to de-bunk a myth, you need to focus on stating the truth, not repeating the myth.

- If you want to be more noticed and remembered, use more figures of speech (metaphors.) Examples of metaphors I've used include comparing our melting Arctic to the attic of a house that is on fire (Earth's attic is on fire: Arctic sea ice bottoms out at a new record low) and comparing the impact of global warming on extreme weather to the impact steroids have on a baseball slugger (Extreme events of 2011: climate change a major factor in some, but not all).

- Create an extended metaphor when you have a big task at hand. Countless books and articles underscore that extended metaphors are at the core of human thinking.



Video 1. National Center for Atmospheric Research scientist Dr. Jerry Meehl uses a metaphor to explain how climate change's impact on extreme weather is similar to how steroids affect a baseball slugger's ability to hit a ball out of the park.

At 183 pages, the book only took me about two hours to read, and I was very glad I did. It was very entertaining and informative, and anyone involved in public communication can learn from this book. I give it my highest rating: four stars out of four. Language Intelligence: Lessons on Persuasion from Jesus, Shakespeare, Lincoln, and Lady Gaga is $9.67 from Amazon.com.

Have a great Thanksgiving Holiday, everyone, and I'll have a new post for you on Friday.

Jeff Masters

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512. Minnemike
17:49 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting TomballTXPride:


Ah, Mike. I appreciate the kind words, Sir. But one little problem. Experience tells me that those who log on to make drive-by ad homenim comments about another's ability to make a case suggests they themselves are void of making any positive contributions to contradict what they don't enjoy to listen to.

Oh well. I suppose if you had at least attempted to chime in within the past hour or so to present your opinion without resorting to snide remarks, maybe then I would have taken you a bit more seriously.

Until then.....well, I'll leave that one up to you.
in keeping with your assumptions.. i have already stopped taking you seriously. you may observe your own means to an end as well ;)
Member Since: 31 juillet 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1320
511. RTSplayer
17:38 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting TomballTXPride:
491. Xandra 4:42 PM GMT on November 23, 2012

Ok. Since I see the same old baseless, frivolous nonsense that is completely void of any grounded evidence to support your claim that Fox lies to it's viewers and is not honest with regards to science, let's kick this around a bit. If that was really what Fox News was doing, that is, fabricating the truth (which they are not), what would be their intention of doing so? Why would they do this?


Fox News has an so-called "ultra-conservative" agenda. Ultra-conservatism relies on keeping the majority of it's supporters ignorant about just about as many things as possible in order to function.

For example, if the majority of people actually knew anything about taxes, they'd never vote for a Republican because Republican policies don't favor anyone who makes less than at least 200k to 250k per year. When Republicans speak of tax cuts, they don't mean for normal people, even when they claim they do. What they really mean is tax cuts for about 5 to 10% of people, and service cuts for the other 90 to 95% of people.

Fox News' agenda:
-Tax cuts for the very wealthy.*
-Salary increases or increased profits for the very wealthy.
-Wage cuts for everyone else (anti-minimum wage, etc).
-Tax increases for everyone else (Flat Tax).
-Service cuts for everyone else ("Entitlements").
-increased military spending.
-De-regulation! of the financial sector**


*It should be noted that many of the people on Fox News who are regular speakers or have their own shows have salaries or other income in excess of 500k per year.

**In spite of the fact de-regulation is a big part of what caused the bubble in the first place, due to the corruption that immediately comes in.


Where does climate change denial fit into this agenda?

Well, it fits in because many very wealthy people supported by Fox News are involved in oil and coal (energy) or manufacturing, and these things are regulated for pollution due to AGW and acid rains. So it is to Fox News contributors' benefits to deny these pollution issues as real problems. Further, it's to Fox News benefits to promote ignorance among the public in order to try to gain support for removal of all of these regulations in energy, manufacturing, and even financial sector.
Member Since: 25 janvier 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
510. hydrus
17:38 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting bappit:
"The prevailing theory holds that the Younger Dryas was caused by a significant reduction or shutdown of the North Atlantic "Conveyor", which circulates warm tropical waters northward, in response to a sudden influx of fresh water from Lake Agassiz and deglaciation in North America; however, geological evidence for such an event is thus far lacking."
Wikipedia cites Was the Younger Dryas Triggered by a Flood?
I know. I was trying to make a point to Nea,s post stomach cancer and losing weight.
Member Since: 27 septembre 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21854
509. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
17:36 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
508. hydrus
17:35 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
To far out, but would be quite a strange pattern.
Member Since: 27 septembre 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21854
507. bappit
17:32 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
"The prevailing theory holds that the Younger Dryas was caused by a significant reduction or shutdown of the North Atlantic "Conveyor", which circulates warm tropical waters northward, in response to a sudden influx of fresh water from Lake Agassiz and deglaciation in North America; however, geological evidence for such an event is thus far lacking."
Wikipedia cites Was the Younger Dryas Triggered by a Flood?
Member Since: 18 mai 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 6106
506. hydrus
17:26 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting Neapolitan:
Stomach cancer can cause an obese person to lose weight. By your logic, then, cancer isn't a bad thing, either. Good to know. Thanks!
Interesting analogy Nea, but if we were in fact heading into a brutal ice age, that would not be good either. Farmers would not be able to produce food supplies adequate enough to feed the needs of billions. Energy needs would skyrocket for billions as well.Commerce of every kind would be affected...Excerpt...Starting roughly 12,800 years ago, the Northern Hemisphere was gripped by a chill that lasted some 1,300 years. Known by scientists as the Younger Dryas and nicknamed the"Big Freeze," geological evidence suggests it was brought on when a vast pulse of fresh water %u2014 a greater volume than all of North America's Great Lakes combined %u2014 poured into the Atlantic and Arctic Oceans.

This abrupt influx, caused when the glacial Lake Agassiz in North America burst its banks, diluted the circulation of warmer water in the North Atlantic, bringing this "conveyer belt" to a halt. Without this warming influence, evidence shows that temperatures across the Northern Hemisphere plummeted.

No time to react
Previous evidence from Greenland ice samples had suggested this abrupt shift in climate happened over the span of a decade or so. Now researchers say it surprisingly may have taken place over the course of a few months, or a year or two at most.

"That the climate system can turn on and off that quickly is extremely important," said earth system scientist Henry Mullins at Syracuse University, who did not take part in this research. "Once the tipping point is reached, there would be essentially no opportunity for humans to react."

For two years, isotope biogeochemist William Patterson at the University of Saskatchewan in Canada and his colleagues investigated a mud core %u2014 a tube of mud %u2014 taken from the ancient lake Lough Monreach in Ireland. Because this sediment was deposited slowly over time, each layer from this core effectively represents a snapshot of history, with slices just a half-millimeter thick presenting one to three months.


"Basically, I drive around in western Ireland looking for the right conditions %u2014 bedrock, vegetation and lake %u2014 to obtain the most complete record of climate," Patterson explained. By looking at isotopes of carbon in each slice, the researchers could deduce how productive the lake was. When plants grow in lakes, they prefer carbon-12 to make up their organic tissue %u2014 that is, carbon atoms that have 12 protons and neutrons in total in their nucleus. This leaves the lake water with relatively more carbon-13. At the same time, oxygen isotopes give a picture of temperature %u2014 when animals or plants produce calcium carbonate, the ratio of oxygen-16 and oxygen-18 isotopes within are related to temperature.

At the start of the Younger Dryas, Patterson and his colleagues discovered temperatures and lake productivity dropped over the course of just a few years.

"It would be like taking Ireland today and moving it up to above the Arctic Circle, creating icy conditions in a very short period of time," Patterson said.

Their findings also suggest that it may have taken 100 to 200 years before the lake and climate recovered, rather than the decade or so that Greenland ice cores had indicated.

"This makes sense because it would take time for the ocean and atmospheric circulation to turn on again," Patterson said.

The discrepancies between the evidence from the mud core and the ice cores might be due to disturbances in how material flowed within the ice. "Sometimes there's melting, and you have percolation of material between layers, which can blur the records," Patterson explained. "We found a core that had not been disturbed even on a millimeter by millimeter basis, so the sediment had been layered in order since it was deposited."

Chilly future
Looking ahead to the future, Patterson said there was no reason why a big freeze shouldn't happen again.

"If the Greenland ice sheet melted suddenly it would be catastrophic," he said.

This kind of scenario would not discount evidence pointing toward global warming %u2014 after all, it leans on the Greenland ice sheet melting.

"We could say that global warming could lead to a dramatic cooling," Patterson told LiveScience. "This should serve as a further warning rather than a pass."

"People assume that we're political, that we're either pro-global-warming or anti-global-warming, when it's really neither," Patterson added. "Our goal is just to understand climate."

Patterson and his colleagues detailed their findings at the European Science Foundation BOREAS conference on humans in the Arctic, in Rovaniemi, Finland. . -(I am not saying we shouldnt take action against pollution, but Earth will change her mood as she sees fit, and there will only be so much we can do about it.)
Member Since: 27 septembre 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21854
504. bappit
17:22 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting Neapolitan:
In fact, most scientists in the early 80s said that we would warm. It's true. Even thirty or forty years ago, the majority of climate scientists and peer-reviewed articles predicted warming. From Peterson (2008), here's a nice graph showing the results of papers on the subject published between 1965 and 1979. Note that by 1978, no papers at all called for cooling...

warming

The Golden Nature Guide to Weather published in 1964 discussed CO2 causing global warming. They cautioned it was speculative, but they did not have as much data--or as much CO2 in the air.
Member Since: 18 mai 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 6106
503. pcola57
17:19 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Forcasted Wave Heights

Link




Gale force winds expected Sat into Sat night
Baltimore Canyon To Hatteras Canyon Out To 36n 70w To 34n 71w
This Afternoon
E of 72w...N winds 20 to 30 kt...diminishing to NW 10 to 20 kt. Seas 14 to 18 ft subsiding to 9 to 13 ft. Highest winds and seas E. W of 72w...N winds 10 to 20 kt diminishing to W to SW 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft becoming 6 to 9 ft with E swell.
Tonight
Winds becoming W to NW 15 to 20 kt...then W of 72w increasing to NW 20 to 25 kt. Seas becoming 8 to 11 ft.
Sat
NW winds increasing to 25 to 35 kt...highest N. Seas building to 7 to 12 ft...highest NE.
Sat Night
NW winds diminishing to 15 to 25 kt. Seas becoming 5 to 8 ft...except E of 73w 8 to 12 ft...highest NE.
Sun
W to NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas subsiding to 4 to 6 ft... except E of 73w 6 to 8 ft.
Mon
W winds 15 to 20 kt diminishing to variable 10 kt or less. Seas subsiding to 2 to 4 ft...highest E.
Tue
Winds becoming SW and increasing to 20 to 25 kt...then over NW portion becoming NW late. Seas building to 6 to 9 ft.
Member Since: 13 août 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6893
502. Minnemike
17:18 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting TomballTXPride:

Incorrect on all accounts.
your opinion makes for a strong argument.. as always
Member Since: 31 juillet 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1320
500. pcola57
17:14 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
WU Aviation map..20,000ft

Member Since: 13 août 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6893
498. pcola57
17:04 GMT le 23 novembre 2012





Latest Solar News and Updates

Geomagnetic Storm Watch / Filament Eruption
11/23/2012 by Kevin VE3EN at 15:15 UTC

Updated 11/23/2012 @ 04:45 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Watch
Thanks to multiple eruptions on the Earth facing side of the Sun, two Coronal Mass Ejections appear to be somewhat Earth directed. The first CME impact is expected during the day on Friday. Minor to Moderate geomagnetic storming will be possible heading into Saturday when the 2nd impact is expected. Stay Tuned to SolarHam.com for the latest information.

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Nov 23: G1 (Minor) Nov 24: G2 (Moderate) Nov 25: None (Below G1)

Added 11/23/2012 @ 15:15 UTC
Filament Eruption
A large filament located in the southern hemisphere erupted on Friday morning and a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) was generated. Most of the plasma cloud is heading south, however a weak portion of the cloud may be Earth directed. More information to follow. Video of the eruption below.



Image credit: Solarham
Member Since: 13 août 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6893
497. Neapolitan
17:00 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting hydrus:
There were a few scientists in the early 80,s that said we would warm not cool..The names elude me now, but I will find them and post the material at a later date.
In fact, most scientists in the early 80s said that we would warm. It's true. Even thirty or forty years ago, the majority of climate scientists and peer-reviewed articles predicted warming. From Peterson (2008), here's a nice graph showing the results of papers on the subject published between 1965 and 1979. Note that by 1978, no papers at all called for cooling...

warming
Member Since: 8 novembre 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13625
496. Dakster
16:58 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
Not fair people in Michigan woke up to snow.And what do we get here in D.C low to mid-60's with oohber large amounts of sunshine.


You seem to want snow REALLY bad.

Might want to consider moving to an area that gets it. IIRC, DC is pretty close to some states that get snow - how about taking a nice drive to snow.

FWIW, I wish I could, but it takes longer than a weekend to get there and back and a ton of gas money.
Member Since: 10 Mars 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 10572
495. pcola57
16:57 GMT le 23 novembre 2012


Member Since: 13 août 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6893
494. washingtonian115
16:54 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Not fair people in Michigan woke up to snow.And what do we get here in D.C low to mid-60's with oohber large amounts of sunshine.
Member Since: 14 août 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17491
493. pcola57
16:53 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Alot of people on the move today..flightradar24.com
Member Since: 13 août 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6893
492. HurrMichaelOrl
16:51 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting Neapolitan:
Not many people know that the day after Thanksgiving--Black Friday--is also "Respond To Debunked Nonsense By Pretending You Didn't See It" Day. So you're off the hook!

Fun fact of the day: it was colder today in parts of Cuba than it was in parts of Norway.
Quoting Neapolitan:
Not many people know that the day after Thanksgiving--Black Friday--is also "Respond To Debunked Nonsense By Pretending You Didn't See It" Day. So you're off the hook!

Fun fact of the day: it was colder today in parts of Cuba than it was in parts of Norway.


48F in Havana, Cuba this morning. Very odd. Not only that, it stayed at that temperature for a number of hours.
Member Since: 13 juillet 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1147
491. Xandra
16:42 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Got Science? Not at News Corporation

Representations of climate science on Fox News Channel and in the Wall Street Journal opinion pages are overwhelmingly misleading

In 2007, News Corporation CEO Rupert Murdoch claimed coverage of climate change in his media outlets — which include Fox News Channel and the Wall Street Journal opinion pages — would improve over time.

Such improvement has not been achieved. A 2012 snapshot analysis shows that recent coverage of climate science in both outlets has been overwhelmingly misleading.

The analysis finds that the misleading citations include broad dismissals of human-caused climate change, rejections of climate science as a body of knowledge, and disparaging comments about individual scientists. Furthermore, much of this coverage denigrated climate science by either promoting distrust in scientists and scientific institutions or placing acceptance of climate change in an ideological, rather than fact-based, context.

Fox News Channel Coverage of Climate Science

Millions of Americans get information about climate science from the Fox News Channel. In 2011, it was the most popular cable news channel in the United States. During prime time, a median of more than 1.9 million people watched it.

• Ninety-three percent of Fox News Channel's representations of climate science were misleading from February 2012 to July 2012 (37 out of 40 references).

• The most common form of criticism regarding climate science was to broadly dismiss the scientific consensus that climate change is occurring or human-induced.

• Misleading representations also included 10 instances in which a panel member expressed acceptance of climate science findings, but was drowned out by hosts or other panel members responding with multiple misleading claims.

Wall Street Journal Opinion Page Coverage of Climate Science

The Wall Street Journal has a broad readership and enjoys the largest circulation among American newspapers — more than 2 million daily readers. Within the Journal, the opinion section operates separately from the news section.

• Eighty-one percent of letters, op-eds, columns, and editorials in the Wall Street Journal's opinion page were misleading on climate science from August 2011 to July 2012 (39 of 48 references).

• Most of the misleading editorials, op-eds, columns, and letters attempted to broadly undermine the major conclusions of climate science. Instances of attacks on individual scientists, mocking the science, and cherry picking data were all equally common.

• Denigration of climate science was routine. Instances included accusations that scientists were fudging data and claims that they are motivated by financial self-interest.

Examples of Misleading References to Climate Science

“The green energy stuff—I mean, that’s—that’s all a hoax and a fraud based on another hoax and fraud, global warming.” (Fox News Channel, 3/23/12)

“We are in the middle of what you might call a global warming bubble. It is a failure of the global warming theory itself and of the credibility of its advocates…” (Wall Street Journal column, 3/9/2012)

“The lack of any statistically significant warming for over a decade…” (Wall Street Journal op-ed, 5/27/12)

“I thought we were getting warmer. But in the ‘70s, it was, look out, we’re all going to freeze.” (Fox News Channel, 4/11/12)


Coverage of Climate Action Also Overwhelmingly Negative

• Although the analysis focused primarily on representations of climate science, it also found that both outlets placed heavy emphasis on negative coverage of climate action aimed at reducing global warming emissions, including personal lifestyle decisions as well as government policies.



Source: The Union of Concerned Scientists
Member Since: 22 novembre 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1281
490. Neapolitan
16:34 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting ColdInFL:
Climate change not a bad thing:

Link
Stomach cancer can cause an obese person to lose weight. By your logic, then, cancer isn't a bad thing, either. Good to know. Thanks!
Member Since: 8 novembre 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13625
489. pcola57
15:59 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Good Mornin' All..
Happy day after Thanksgiving and currently Black Friday..
I survived T'Day by balancing food with football..
Some very un-usual (football) calls I must say.. :)

Here is my current WU weather

1 KM Visible Satellite for Florida


1 KM Visible Satellite for Southern Florida




Member Since: 13 août 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6893
488. hydrus
15:59 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
It is a long way out, but severe weather for late next week is looking more and more likely.
Member Since: 27 septembre 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21854
487. lilElla
15:56 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting 47n91w:


Hey, lilElla! Nice to see you here again this winter :) This does seem like it will be the beginning of our snowpack, and we're certainly off to a good start!

What I woke up to this morning. The initial forecast was 1-3".




Looks like the lake snows kicked in! And hi back at yah :)
Member Since: 5 décembre 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 273
486. hydrus
15:47 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting ColdInFL:
Climate change not a bad thing:

Link
Low tornadoes here in the U.S., and record number of tornadoes for parts of Europe. If we dont get the bad stuff, someone else does it seems..Good post.
Member Since: 27 septembre 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21854
484. hydrus
15:41 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting RTSplayer:


That's actually NOT the case.

Both Tesla and Edison predicted AGW due to man-made pollutants, and lamented not having a practical solution at that time. James Hansen actually drew a graph, in the 80's, forecasting the progression of Global Warming (not cooling) and it turns out that he was not off by much.
There were a few scientists in the early 80,s that said we would warm not cool..The names elude me now, but I will find them and post the material at a later date.
Member Since: 27 septembre 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21854
483. 47n91w
15:39 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting lilElla:


Trailer up (snowmobiles),is what we say in S. WI, when we see this :) Just wear lots of orange clothing! Snow flurries in our neck of the woods, with temp holding at 26 w/gusts around 25mph.


Hey, lilElla! Nice to see you here again this winter :) This does seem like it will be the beginning of our snowpack, and we're certainly off to a good start!

What I woke up to this morning. The initial forecast was 1-3".


Member Since: 13 août 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 312
482. lilElla
15:28 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting AussieStorm:




Trailer up (snowmobiles),is what we say in S. WI, when we see this :) Just wear lots of orange clothing! Snow flurries in our neck of the woods, with temp holding at 26 w/gusts around 25mph.
Member Since: 5 décembre 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 273
481. kwgirl
15:23 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Good morning everyone. Hope everyone had a Happy Thanksgiving/Thursday :) The weather has just been gorgeous here in the keys. Cool temps in the mid to upper 60's at night and mid 70's in the day or there abouts. Sweater weather for me. Lots of bright sunshine, so if you are in the sun, in the lee of a building it is just fantastic.

I had a rough ride on Thursday, driving up to Big Pine Key. The wind must of been blowing close to 25 mph from the north. The wind has laid down some today, so should be good for whatever boating you want to do.

I am working today as I have done every year of my adult life. Never participated in Black Friday sales and from what I see, I never will. Good luck to all those brave souls looking for a bargain. Have a good day and weekend everyone.
Member Since: 28 Mars 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1532
480. LostInUtah
15:19 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Wow, feel bad about the flooding in England and Wales. We sure could use some of that water out here in SE Utah - extreme drought. It's nice weather, though, gonna be in the 60s all week and feels more like October here.
Member Since: 9 novembre 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 20
479. etxwx
15:11 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Good morning all. For a while there were these strange tiny little moist droplets coming down from the sky here in East Texas....hmmm, been a while....can't think what this is called. Oh well, it's gone now.

On the topic of Dr. M's blog, for me this is a good example of a headline that "brings it home" so to speak. My youngest daughter is about this age:

If you’re 27 or younger, you’ve never experienced a colder-than-average month
Member Since: 4 septembre 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1519
478. yoboi
15:10 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting Neapolitan:
Not many people know that the day after Thanksgiving--Black Friday--is also "Respond To Debunked Nonsense By Pretending You Didn't See It" Day. So you're off the hook!

Fun fact of the day: it was colder today in parts of Cuba than it was in parts of Norway.



and
Member Since: 25 août 2010 Posts: 7 Comments: 2436
477. bappit
15:10 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Plus people will think you are a nice guy!
Member Since: 18 mai 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 6106
476. wxchaser97
14:43 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Good morning everyone, the cold front is coming through. The winds are getting stronger and the temps should begin to drop soon. I could get some lake effect snow showers in the afternoon. The NWS has now mentioned the possibility of accumulating snow next week in SE MI, from the same system the GFS has shown.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY COULD BRING
ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. AT THIS
TIME THE BEST CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE SOUTH OF
M-59...HOWEVER FUTURE FORECASTS WILL BE ABLE TO BETTER DEFINE THIS
AREA AS WELL AS SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

Member Since: 16 Mars 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7961
475. beell
14:18 GMT le 23 novembre 2012


xkcd - A webcomic of romance, sarcasm, math, and language.
Member Since: 11 septembre 2007 Posts: 144 Comments: 16895
474. RTSplayer
14:12 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Just 30 years ago, we were supposed to be 2 degrees C cooler, and possibly on the way to an ice age down the road. Now, they are blowing the horn about being 2 degrees C warmer. The Earth's global climate is far more complex than just the data we have been able to muster over the years.


That's actually NOT the case.

Both Tesla and Edison predicted AGW due to man-made pollutants, and lamented not having a practical solution at that time. James Hansen actually drew a graph, in the 80's, forecasting the progression of Global Warming (not cooling) and it turns out that he was not off by much.
Member Since: 25 janvier 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
473. yqt1001
14:05 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
It's winter outside for sure, was 10C yesterday, hottest day in all of November, today though windchills are down to -13C.

Nice amount of snow covering everything.



Won't see the ground again for 5 months atleast.
Member Since: 19 novembre 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1286
472. AussieStorm
14:00 GMT le 23 novembre 2012


Member Since: 30 septembre 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15962
471. RTSplayer
14:00 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting necanicumwoman:
Hmm. Thanks for the tip on re this book, but didn't Shakespeare use some long words?

And doesn't good story-telling involve in keeping the listener on the edge of their seat" - building some ambiguity and making them want to find out what happens? I think there is a difference between expository writing and story-telling. Oops! Sorry, I used some long words there.


I think he's addressing the superfluous word issue. The media are actually bad communicators, because they love to use obscure or long words, often just because they can. If the audience must stop and think about the meaning of a word they just heard, because they only encounter it once every year or two, then they aren't listening to the next sentence, so the speaker hasn't actually communicated anything.
Member Since: 25 janvier 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
469. Neapolitan
13:43 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting TomballTXPride:

No, the science hasn't been around long enough to put much credibility in the Earth's Global Patterns. It's been changed many times, and likely will be changed many times more. Just 30 years ago, we were supposed to be 2 degrees C cooler, and possibly on the way to an ice age down the road. Now, they are blowing the horn about being 2 degrees C warmer. The Earth's global climate is far more complex than just the data we have been able to muster over the years.
Not many people know that the day after Thanksgiving--Black Friday--is also "Respond To Debunked Nonsense By Pretending You Didn't See It" Day. So you're off the hook!

Fun fact of the day: it was colder today in parts of Cuba than it was in parts of Norway.
Member Since: 8 novembre 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13625
468. 47n91w
13:32 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Winter came to the western Great Lakes last night. Highest reported snow total so far is 9.0" on Madeline Island, Wisconsin. I had 6.5" this morning, a few miles south of that. A picture of my back deck last night:



Member Since: 13 août 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 312
467. PensacolaDoug
12:54 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Good morning all, btw. Happy Friday and to those with moola to burn, happy Black Friday....




Good morning folks.

As for those with moola, don't be greedy! Give away at least half and make Nea proud!
Member Since: 25 juillet 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 595
466. yqt1001
12:49 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
First snow day of the year for me today.

Very unexpected, we were only supposed to get 5cm of snow, not 20cm.
Member Since: 19 novembre 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1286
465. BahaHurican
12:40 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Quoting necanicumwoman:
Hmm. Thanks for the tip on re this book, but didn't Shakespeare use some long words?

And doesn't good story-telling involve in keeping the listener on the edge of their seat" - building some ambiguity and making them want to find out what happens? I think there is a difference between expository writing and story-telling. Oops! Sorry, I used some long words there.
I thought the focus of the book was on persuasive writing and speaking. I do know I wouldn't use the same approach for telling a story as I would for explaining something.

Good morning all, btw. Happy Friday and to those with moola to burn, happy Black Friday....



Member Since: 25 octobre 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22592
463. LargoFl
10:59 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
Member Since: 6 août 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41124
462. LargoFl
10:57 GMT le 23 novembre 2012
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
316 AM EST FRI NOV 23 2012


FLZ022-023-030-031-035-036-GAZ134>136-150>152-164 -231300-
/O.NEW.KJAX.FZ.W.0009.121123T0816Z-121123T1300Z/
COLUMBIA-BAKER-UNION-BRADFORD-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-B ACON-APPLING-
WAYNE-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKE CITY...MACCLENNY...LAKE BUTLER...
STARKE...TRENTON...GAINESVILLE...ALMA...BAXLEY... JESUP...
WAYCROSS...BLACKSHEAR...NAHUNTA...FOLKSTON
316 AM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING.

* TEMPERATURE...READINGS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR FREEZING
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...THEN RISE ABOVE FREEZING BY 8 AM.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION WILL BE POSSIBLE. ACTIONS
SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT THOSE VULNERABLE TO THE COLD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST 2 HOURS. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE
TAKEN TO ENSURE TENDER VEGETATION AND OUTDOOR PETS HAVE ADEQUATE
PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE
ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD.
TAKE MEASURES TO PROTECT THEM.

&&

$$
Member Since: 6 août 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41124

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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