The bizarrely active hurricane season of 2012 draws to a close

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 16:50 GMT le 30 novembre 2012

Share this Blog
45
+

The long and highly destructive hurricane season of 2012 has finally drawn to a close. The hurricane season of 2012 will long be remembered for spawning Hurricane Sandy--a freakish storm that was the largest, most powerful, and second most destructive Atlantic hurricane on record. But this year's hurricane season had a number of unique attributes, making it one of the most bizarre seasons I've witnessed. Despite featuring a remarkable nineteen named storms--tied for the third highest total since record keeping began in 1851--this year's hurricane season had just one major hurricane. That storm was Hurricane Michael, which stayed at Category 3 strength for a scant six hours. This is the least number of major hurricanes in a season since the El Niño year of 1997, which had only Category 3 Hurricane Erika. There were no Category 4 or 5 hurricanes in 2012, for just the 3rd time since the active hurricane period we are in began in 1995. The only two other years since 1995 without a Category 4 or stronger hurricane were the El Niño years of 2006 and 1997. Both of those seasons had around half the number of named storms of 2012--nine in 2006, and eight in 1997. The relative lack of strong storms in 2012 helped keep the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) down to 128, about 30% above average.


Figure 1. Hurricane Sandy at 10:10 am EDT October 28, 2012. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.

A near-average year for number of tropical cyclones hitting the U.S.
Since the active hurricane period we've been in began in 1995, the U.S. has averaged getting hit by 4 named storms per year, with an average of 1.7 of these being hurricanes, and 0.6 being major Category 3 and stronger hurricanes. This year, we were hit by 3 named storms (Beryl, Debby, and Isaac). One of these was a hurricane (Isaac). Sandy didn't count as a hurricane strike on the U.S., since it transitioned to an extratropical cyclone a few hours before landfall. No major hurricanes hit the U.S., making 2012 the 7th consecutive year without a major hurricane strike. The only other time we've had a streak that long occurred between 1861 - 1868, during the decade of the Civil War.


Figure 2. Vertical instability over the tropical Atlantic in 2004 - 2012 (blue line) compared to average (black line.) The instability is plotted in °C, as a difference in temperature from near the surface to the upper atmosphere (note that the same scale is not used in all the plots, making the black climatological line appear different, when it is really the same for each plot.) Thunderstorms grow much more readily when vertical instability is high. Instability was near average during the August - October peak of hurricane season in 2004 - 2009, but was much lower than average during the hurricane seasons of 2010 - 2012. There was an unusual amount of dry, sinking air in the tropical Atlantic during 2010 - 2012, and the resulting low atmospheric instability reduced the proportion of tropical storms that have intensified into hurricanes. Vertical instability from 2004 - 2011 is taken from NOAA/RAMMB and for 2012 from NOAA/SSD.

Unusually stable air over the Tropical Atlantic in 2012
For the third consecutive hurricane season, 2012 featured an unusual amount of dry, sinking air over the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean Sea. Due to warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures and an active African Monsoon that generated plenty of African waves, a remarkably high number of tropical storms managed to form, but the unusually stable air in the hurricane genesis regions made it difficult for the storms to become strong. When we did see storms undergo significant intensification, it tended to occur outside of the tropics, north of 25°N, where there was not as much dry, sinking air (Sandy's intensification as it approached landfall in Cuba was an exception to this rule.) If we look at the last nine hurricane seasons (Figure 2), we can see that the hurricane seasons of 2010, 2011, and 2012 all featured similar levels of highly stable air over the tropical Atlantic. This is in marked contrast to what occurred the previous six years. The past three seasons all featured a near-record number of named storms (nineteen each year), but an unusually low ratio of strong hurricanes. Steering patterns the past three years also acted to keep most of the storms out to sea. Is this strange pattern something we'll see more of, due to climate change? Or is it mostly due to natural cycles in hurricane activity? I don't have any answers at this point, but the past three hurricane seasons have definitely been highly unusual in a historical context. I expect the steering currents to shift and bring more landfalling hurricanes to the U.S. at some point this decade, though.


Figure 3. Sea water floods the Ground Zero construction site at the World Trade Center, Monday, Oct. 29, 2012, in New York City. Image credit: AP.

Most notable events of the Hurricane Season of 2012
Hurricane Sandy was truly astounding in its size and power. At its peak size, twenty hours before landfall, Sandy had tropical storm-force winds that covered an area nearly one-fifth the area of the contiguous United States. Since detailed records of hurricane size began in 1988, only one tropical storm (Olga of 2001) has had a larger area of tropical storm-force winds, and no hurricanes has. Sandy's area of ocean with twelve-foot seas peaked at 1.4 million square miles--nearly one-half the area of the contiguous United States, or 1% of Earth's total ocean area. Most incredibly, ten hours before landfall (9:30 am EDT October 30), the total energy of Sandy's winds of tropical storm-force and higher peaked at 329 terajoules--the highest value for any Atlantic hurricane since at least 1969. This is 2.7 times higher than Katrina's peak energy, and is equivalent to five Hiroshima-sized atomic bombs. At landfall, Sandy's tropical storm-force winds spanned 943 miles of the the U.S. coast. No hurricane on record has been wider; the previous record holder was Hurricane Igor of 2010, which was 863 miles in diameter. Sandy's huge size prompted high wind warnings to be posted from Chicago to Eastern Maine, and from Michigan's Upper Peninsula to Florida's Lake Okeechobee--an area home to 120 million people. Sandy's winds simultaneously caused damage to buildings on the shores of Lake Michigan at Indiana Dunes National Lake Shore, and toppled power lines in Nova Scotia, Canada--locations 1200 miles apart!


Figure 4. Hurricane Isaac lit up by moonlight as it spins towards the city of New Orleans, LA, on August 26, 2012. The Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (NPP) satellite captured these images with its Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS). The "day-night band" of VIIRS detects light in a range of wavelengths from green to near-infrared and uses light intensification to enable the detection of dim signals. Image Credit: NASA/NOAA, Earth Observatory.

Hurricane Isaac hit Louisiana as a Category 1 hurricane with 80 mph winds on August 28, but the storm's massive wind field brought a storm surge characteristic of a Category 2 hurricane to the coast. A storm surge of 11.1 feet was measured at Shell Beach, LA and higher surges were reported in portions of Louisiana. Fortunately, the new $14.5 billion upgrade to the New Orleans levee system kept the city dry. Isaac killed 9 people in the U.S., and 29 in the Caribbean.

Hurricane Ernesto hit Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula as a Category 1 hurricane with 85 mph winds on August 7. The storm killed 12 and did at least $250 million in damage.

Tropical Storm Debby formed on June 23, the earliest formation date on record for the season's 4th storm. The previous record was Dennis, on July 5, 2005. Debby killed seven and did over $300 million in damage, but helped relieve drought conditions over Northern Florida and Southern Georgia.

Tropical Storm Beryl, which made landfall on May 28 near Jacksonville Beach, FL with 70 mph winds, was the strongest tropical storm to make landfall in the U.S. prior to June 1. Beryl killed two but did minimal damage.

Nadine lasted for 21.75 days as a named storm, the 5th longest-lasting tropical storm in the Atlantic basin.

It was the 3rd year in a row with 19 named storms.

No named storms existed during the month of July and November, but we still managed big numbers.

Only 7 seasons have had more hurricanes than 2012.

The season had two named storm before the official June 1 start of hurricane season, only the 3rd time that has occurred.

Eight named storms formed in August, which tied 2004 for the most to form in that month.

Typhoon Bopha a threat to the Philippines
In the Western Pacific, where typhoon season commonly brings several storms in December, we have impressive Typhoon Bopha. Bopha is expected to head west-northwest and intensify over the weekend, potentially arriving in the Philippines on Tuesday as a powerful Category 3 typhoon. Bopha formed at an unusually low latitude for a tropical cyclone--near 4°N. Storms forming that close to the Equator don't get much help from the Earth's spin to get spinning, and it is rare to see a tropical cyclone forming southwards of 5°N.

The Colorado State University hurricane forecast team, led by Phil Klotzbach and Bill Gray, has a more in-depth summary of the 2012 hurricane season.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 1170 - 1120

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24Blog Index

1170. flcanes
00:11 GMT le 09 décembre 2012
Quoting RTSplayer:
OMG, this is bad.

Even if you add the error bar of 15mb in the weak direction back to the estimated pressure, it's still a sub-900mb storm. Which means it's definitely way stronger than Andrew now, at least 20mb stronger than Andrew in fact, even if the estimate is wrong by the maximum error.

what storm
bopha? claudia.... lolol
Member Since: 20 août 2012 Posts: 13 Comments: 1254
1169. CaicosRetiredSailor
16:30 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Panel on New York%u2019s Future After Sandy
by Earth Institute | 12.3.2012 at 10:52am


In Hurricane Sandy%u2019s wake, debate is growing over how New York City and the region should rebuild and how best we can can adapt to climate change. The discussion continues this afternoon with a live webcast from Hunter College, where two Earth Institute scientists will join a panel on %u201CHurricane Sandy and Challenges to the NY Metropolitan Region.%u201D

What did the storm tell us about extreme storm events and future climate in our region? What did it tell us about our vulnerabilities to future extreme events? What are the key opportunities and challenges of potential adaptation strategies?
...

The event takes place today (Dec. 3) from 2-5 p.m. at Roosevelt House, Hunter College, 47-49 East 65th Street (west of Park Avenue). It is by invitation only, but you can watch it streamed live on the web here.

http://blogs.ei.columbia.edu/2012/12/03/panel-on- new-yorks-future-after-sandy/
Member Since: 12 juillet 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6064
1168. RTSplayer
15:45 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting AussieStorm:
Just issued....


Severe Weather Bulletin Number SIX
Tropical Cyclone Warning: Typhoon "PABLO" (BOPHA)
Issued at 11:00 p.m., Monday, 03 December 2012

Location of Center:
(as of 10:00 p.m.) 230 km Southeast of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur
Coordinates: 7.4N, 128.3E
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 175 kph near the center
and gustiness of up to 210 kph
???????
Movement: West at 26 kph
Forecast Positions/Outlook: Tuesday evening:
expected to be in the vicinity of Bacolod City
Wednesday evening:
180 km Northwest of Puerto Princesa City
Thursday evening:
670 km West of Metro Manila



That's just not right. this is a unit conversion error.

I know they probably using 10min sustained winds, which might actually be right, I don't know, but the gusts are clearly wrong and ridiculous.

A T-7.5/7.6 hurricane typically has gusts of over 200 Miles per hour, not kilometers per hour. In kph that is supposed to be more like 320kph for gusts...
Member Since: 25 janvier 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
1167. hydrus
15:43 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Member Since: 27 septembre 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21734
1166. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
15:41 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
1165. AussieStorm
15:40 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Just issued....


Severe Weather Bulletin Number SIX
Tropical Cyclone Warning: Typhoon "PABLO" (BOPHA)
Issued at 11:00 p.m., Monday, 03 December 2012

Location of Center:
(as of 10:00 p.m.) 230 km Southeast of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur
Coordinates:7.4N, 128.3E
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 175 kph near the center
and gustiness of up to 210 kph

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

What the Frogs


Movement: West at 26 kph
Forecast Positions/Outlook: Tuesday evening:
expected to be in the vicinity of Bacolod City
Wednesday evening:
180 km Northwest of Puerto Princesa City
Thursday evening:
670 km West of Metro Manila
Member Since: 30 septembre 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15961
1164. FtMyersgal
15:40 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Super Typhoon Bopha is really something to see. Does anyone know what time landfall is expected?
Member Since: 16 septembre 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1219
1163. AussieStorm
15:38 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting CybrTeddy:
Is there any webcams in the area of landfall? This is a beast, I feel so sorry for the people there.

Power would be a problem,,, it's very shaky at the best of times. Brown outs are common.
Member Since: 30 septembre 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15961
1162. AussieStorm
15:38 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting RTSplayer:


So was the previous pressure estimate of 884mb a mistake?

At 6pm Philippines time Bopha was at 933mb.


PAGASA.... Why have you not issued Signal #4 yet. Bopha/Pablo is a 140kt - 260km/h - 161mph Super Typhoon.

Signal No.3
(101-185 kph winds)

Signal No.4
(more than 185 kph)
Member Since: 30 septembre 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15961
1161. Skyepony (Mod)
15:36 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting RTSplayer:


So was the previous pressure estimate of 884mb a mistake?


One is from CIMSS the lower one from NOAA.
Member Since: 10 août 2005 Posts: 191 Comments: 38624
1160. CybrTeddy
15:32 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Is there any webcams in the area of landfall? This is a beast, I feel so sorry for the people there.
Member Since: 8 juillet 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24458
1159. RTSplayer
15:31 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting AussieStorm:
Current Intensity Analysis



UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.1.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 03 DEC 2012 Time : 143000 UTC
Lat : 7:25:02 N Lon : 127:58:04 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.5 / 911.3mb/155.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
7.5 7.6 7.6

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR :N/A km

Center Temp : +11.6C Cloud Region Temp : -81.1C

Scene Type : EYE

Positioning Method : RING/SPIRAL COMBINATION

Ocean Basin : WEST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : 107km
- Environmental MSLP : 1010mb

Satellite Viewing Angle : 16.5 degrees


So was the previous pressure estimate of 884mb a mistake?
Member Since: 25 janvier 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
1158. 1900hurricane
15:31 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
One strange thing I have noticed with Bopha is that since the last eyewall replacement cycle, the eye has been relatively cool for a storm of this intensity. If you look at the water vapor loop I have below, notice the eye doesn't really have the black or brownish color that the most intense tropical cyclones do. I wonder if this may be holding back the intensity a bit. However, with the appearance of Bopha at the moment, I'm afraid that any detriment that the coolish eye has on the system is somewhat minor and remains extremely powerful. It also appears that the eye is trending towards warming a bit, which may mean continued intensification.

Member Since: 2 août 2006 Posts: 46 Comments: 11683
1157. AussieStorm
15:29 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Current Intensity Analysis



UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.1.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 03 DEC 2012 Time : 143000 UTC
Lat : 7:25:02 N Lon : 127:58:04 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.5 / 911.3mb/155.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
7.5 7.6 7.6

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR :N/A km

Center Temp : +11.6C Cloud Region Temp : -81.1C

Scene Type : EYE

Positioning Method : RING/SPIRAL COMBINATION

Ocean Basin : WEST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : 107km
- Environmental MSLP : 1010mb

Satellite Viewing Angle : 16.5 degrees
Member Since: 30 septembre 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15961
1156. ILwthrfan
15:26 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting RTSplayer:
OMG, this is bad.

Even if you add the error bar of 15mb in the weak direction back to the estimated pressure, it's still a sub-900mb storm. Which means it's definitely way stronger than Andrew now, at least 20mb stronger than Andrew in fact, even if the estimate is wrong by the maximum error.


She is moving at a fast clip too, making an eye wall replacement cycle before landfall probably unlikely at this time.
Member Since: 2 février 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1535
1154. Grothar
15:24 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Member Since: 17 juillet 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26815
1153. ILwthrfan
15:24 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Starting to look like 8 degrees North may be point of landfall on Mindanao...


Member Since: 2 février 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1535
1152. PalmBeachWeather
15:22 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting TomballTXPride:


Me Three. And the Stones.
And Kinks, Dave Clark 5, Searchers,Leon Russell, Joe Cocker, Janis, Jimi,CSNY
Member Since: 3 octobre 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 5927
1151. RTSplayer
15:22 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
OMG, this is bad.

Even if you add the error bar of 15mb in the weak direction back to the estimated pressure, it's still a sub-900mb storm. Which means it's definitely way stronger than Andrew now, at least 20mb stronger than Andrew in fact, even if the estimate is wrong by the maximum error.
Member Since: 25 janvier 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
1150. ILwthrfan
15:21 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting TomballTXPride:


Skye ~ It looks like timing was the ultimate detriment for this system. Not the system itself per say, but the impact on land.

This system strengthened, weakened (with the EWRC), and then re-strengthened at the wrong time. Had the EWRC occurred before Bopha's approach to Palou, perhaps she would have re-strengthened and then ran into another EWRC heading into land now.

That's not the case here. It appears this will head into there full steam like Megi in 2010 did.


We could still see a another eye wall replacement cycle if we are lucky, but time is running out. You are very much correct though about the timing...
Member Since: 2 février 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1535
1149. AussieStorm
15:20 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
TXPQ27 KNES 031506
TCSWNP

A. 26W (BOPHA)

B. 03/1430Z

C. 7.5N

D. 128.0E

E. ONE/MTSAT

F. T7.5/7.5/D1.0/12HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS...WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY AND EMBEDDED IN CMG YIELDS A DT OF
7.5. MET = 7.0. PT = 7.5 FT IS BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...GUILLOT

Strange cloud formations around the top of Bopha.
Member Since: 30 septembre 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15961
1146. PalmBeachWeather
15:17 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting SuzK:


Not especially, more of a Beatles girl :)
Me too
Member Since: 3 octobre 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 5927
1145. washingtonian115
15:16 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting TomballTXPride:

Why cheerleading isn't good, Wash.
Cheerleading?.Cheerleading for the storm to weaken and die? yes.
Member Since: 14 août 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17475
1144. RTSplayer
15:16 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting Skyepony:
Bopha~ CI=7.5, raw is 7.5, it's 884.1mb with coldest cloud tops -81.74º.

That is insanely strong for approaching landfall.


That's almost as strong as Wilma's peak intensity over water, and it's actually stronger than the Labor Day 1935 hurricane's landfall intensity, which is currently the world record landfall intensity (as far as I know).

It's still about 6 to 8 hours out though, so maybe land interaction starts to weaken it some. We'll see.
Member Since: 25 janvier 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
1140. RTSplayer
15:12 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting Skyepony:
WOW, Bophia still strengthening..getting close to maxing out dvorak..



In this case, it really sucks to be right.
Member Since: 25 janvier 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
1139. AussieStorm
15:11 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting barbamz:
I just saw this tweet:

TeleTech Pilipinas ‏@TeleTechPinas
A weather disturbance will affect the Philippines – Typhoon ‘Pablo’ (Bopha) was located based on satellite ...

Weather disturbance??? And I don't add a "lol" ...

I am wondering why no Signal #4 yet.... Bopha is now within 12hrs of landfall.

National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council
NDRRMC Update Sitrep No. 03 Preparedness Measures for Typhoon "Pablo" (pdf)
Member Since: 30 septembre 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15961
1138. Skyepony (Mod)
15:11 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting TomballTXPride:

Skye ~ It looks like timing was the ultimate detriment for this system. This system strengthened, weakened (with the EWRC), and then re-strengthened at the wrong time. Had the EWRC occurred before Bopha's approach to Palou, perhaps she would have re-strengthened and then ran into another EWRC heading into land now.

That's not the case here. It appears this will head into there full steam like Megi in 2010 did.



I'm not hoping initial land friction would tighten it up to an 8 but I'll give it an outside chance..
Member Since: 10 août 2005 Posts: 191 Comments: 38624
1137. washingtonian115
15:10 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting stormchaser19:
I feel bad, the disaster is imminent in philippine :(
This is disgusting to see right here...I haven't had nerves like this for a storm since Ike was headed for Galveston.
Member Since: 14 août 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17475
1136. Skyepony (Mod)
15:10 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Bopha~ CI=7.5, raw is 7.5, it's 884.1mb with coldest cloud tops -81.74º.

That is insanely strong for approaching landfall.
Member Since: 10 août 2005 Posts: 191 Comments: 38624
1135. RTSplayer
15:10 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
It looks to me like the storm will probably go in at Hinatuan Bay. Has one town at the back of the bay, and probably some other residences too fuzzy to see on Google Earth at other locations. It looks like a fishing and port town, and then to the north there are several farms, all of this on various channels of the Mouth of a River. So not a good place to get hit by a category 4 or 5 landfall at all. Water will get funneled in there and trapped.

I hope they have been sufficiently warned and evacuated.

It's hard to say though. Could be farther north near Lianga Bay, or to the south near Bislig.

There's actually not much showing up on Google Earth for Lianga Bay, so that area must have a lower population than I initially thought (based on the shape of the bay).

There is probably going to be an entire town destroyed no matter where it goes, if it comes in south of Lianga Bay.

Bislig Bay, South of Hinatuan, has several small to medium scale towns and cities around it, and would not be a good place for the eye to go at all, probably the worst place in terms of total potential damage and potential loss of life, but I don't know enough about the region to say for sure.
Member Since: 25 janvier 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
1133. pcola57
15:09 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting Skyepony:
WOW, Bophia still strengthening..getting close to maxing out dvorak..



Maxing out the Dvorak is something I've never seen happen..
Bopha is one intense monster.. :(
Member Since: 13 août 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6877
1132. TropicalAnalystwx13
15:08 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
I thought the Philippines were going to be a little lucky and only have to contend with a Category 3/4 typhoon...

I was wrong.

Bopha is in the neighborhood of 180-190 mph right now.

Member Since: 6 juillet 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32505
1131. washingtonian115
15:07 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting VR46L:


You know I was quite stunned myself reading all the profound wishcasting for that storm when it obiviously was heading to Islands that would not be able to cope . I admit ,I beleive most people on here wishcast for open water storms ,I freely admit I adore looking and tracking them, which the E-Pac give us most of the time but I never got why people pull for storms that are heading into Islands without building codes or areas of high population . Its Just my opinion.
Some of the most populated areas are going to get smaked pretty hard.I put a anology on the blog a few days ago saying that when a typhoon is headed for land it looks like a car crash in slow motion.That car looks so beautiful out on the raod(In this case the hurricane over water) but when the car is headed on a collision course with something(The hurricane headed for land) the end results are not a pretty site to see.
Member Since: 14 août 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17475
1130. Skyepony (Mod)
15:06 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
WOW, Bophia still strengthening..getting close to maxing out dvorak..

Member Since: 10 août 2005 Posts: 191 Comments: 38624
1129. barbamz
15:05 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
I just saw this tweet:

TeleTech Pilipinas ‏@TeleTechPinas
A weather disturbance will affect the Philippines – Typhoon ‘Pablo’ (Bopha) was located based on satellite ...

Weather disturbance??? And I don't add a "lol" ...
Member Since: 25 octobre 2008 Posts: 58 Comments: 6233
1128. pcola57
15:04 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
Where is 91L?



Here it is Wash.. :)
Member Since: 13 août 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6877
1127. AussieStorm
15:04 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
Aussie putting your health in danger for the blog is not worth it.Go get some sleep.I've witnessed a few times what your body can do when you don't get any sleep.You feel like crap.

I'm fine. but I know there will be maybe 10's to 100's of people killed on Mindanao Island. I can feel it in my bones. This ain't going to end well for many people there.
Member Since: 30 septembre 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15961
1126. stormchaser19
15:02 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
I feel bad, the disaster is imminent in philippine :(
Member Since: 20 juin 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2166
1125. VR46L
14:59 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
Good morning.I feel very bad for the people in the Phillipines.I have two friends that I work with who have family there and they have been checking in on them to see if their all right.

Before my last departure from the blog I saw people wishing for the Typhoon to intensify into the system that it is now saying "It has all the ingrediants?"."So why won't it intensify?"

Well I hope you all are happy..... be careful what you wish for..It may not be what you always wanted...


You know I was quite stunned myself reading all the profound wishcasting for that storm when it obiviously was heading to Islands that would not be able to cope . I admit ,I beleive most people on here wishcast for open water storms ,I freely admit I adore looking and tracking them, which the E-Pac give us most of the time but I never got why people pull for storms that are heading into Islands without building codes or areas of high population . Its Just my opinion.
Member Since: 1 Mars 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6950
1124. pcola57
14:58 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting TomballTXPride:

That top image of the visible satellite in your post is so great. It's the same product I use for my area too.


TY Tom..
I like it too..keeps updating as time goes by..
I like the visible products most of the time except when significant precip. is involved.. :)
Member Since: 13 août 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6877
1123. washingtonian115
14:58 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting AussieStorm:

Opps. It is almost 2am here. brain stopped functioning at 12am.
Aussie putting your health in danger for the blog is not worth it.Go get some sleep.I've witnessed a few times what your body can do when you don't get any sleep.You feel like crap.
Member Since: 14 août 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17475
1122. ILwthrfan
14:56 GMT le 03 décembre 2012


Monkayo(103,263)and Bislig (111,133) are a couple of the bigger urban areas to be effected by Bopha.
Member Since: 2 février 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1535
1121. AussieStorm
14:56 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting originalLT:
Aussie, post # 1109, I think you meant , latitude.
Quoting Skyepony:


It think you mean latitude. Going farther north enabled it to spin faster. It's movement through longitude has actually been a little detrimental taking Bopha into cooler waters.

Opps. It is almost 2am here. brain stopped functioning at 12am.
Member Since: 30 septembre 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15961
1120. SuzK
14:55 GMT le 03 décembre 2012
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
You must have been a Beach Boys fan


Not especially, more of a Beatles girl :)
Member Since: 8 octobre 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 100

Viewing: 1170 - 1120

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Overcast
50 ° F
Couvert