Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

112.3 degrees F!!!

This view updates every 2 hours instead of every 6 hrs stormhank

It'll be a dry heat, with rel. humidities in the lower 20s.

Sorry bad link

Every three hours that is.

thanks for links! anyone have any guesses on when the tropics may start heating up with activity? Im wondering if season will be as active as the predictions said on june 1st? any comments?

Well said Scotsman. I do hold a degree in meterology but I'm sure many here are just as capable or much more capable than me at forecasting! I never argue ST's points and forecasts, just the way he presents them and challenges others'.

Nothing personal. Be back later to check in ... gtg for now.



If nothing personal why did you SINGLE out weatherguy03..

you dont generalize then use a name as you did..

and I will take 03s forecast anyday over yours..

I guess you were not here when explanations were tried in VAIN with ST last year..

maybe you should research before you post

It depends what you mean by "heating up", but we may start seeing more vigorous tropical waves developing in the Eastern Atlantic by the middle of August. Until then, I don't see much in the way of activity. I don't think this season will be above average at all, but it only takes 1 storm to ruin people's lives.

Calm down outrocket, where did he mention weatherguy03?

My guess is the last week in July stormhank, things are starting to fall into place, not quite yet though.

I dont have to earn your respect GulfSc, I have done that with many people on here the last few years. I have never said I was an "expert", but thank you!..LOL And I help out many people on here and tell them when they are right and wrong. But, you are just too stubborn to see that!..LOL

Posted By: GulfScotsman at 2:28 PM CDT on July 14, 2006.
oh.. I was just wondering if they had online archives of say... August 20th - 23drd 2005. ...

Oh crap... there I go looking at 2005 again... dag gum it 'aint 2005


Posted By: weatherguy03 at 8:19 AM CDT on August 24, 2005.
Yes we got it Storm, waters are "sizzling", explosive development, CAT 5, we heard it all already. You getting excited yet..lol...

Thats where....To put one down to make yourself look good is insecurity

Oh sorry outrocket I didn't see that. There was no need for that from GSC.

thanks supercell..:)

thanks again for replys! it may just start late and end late one never knows

"But write offs like were done with TD10/12/nothing = Katrina"

I am quite sick of these being brought up. Look at the percentages. These were outside cases. As opposed to every wave being developed. How many times has the Caribbean been doomed this year? Or the Gulf Coast? Gets a little old.

"o if your an "expert" with a degree in here - you can explain, present information, gently tell us where we are wrong... and then earn our respect."

Ummm yeah. As rocket said, that has been tried many times. Few listen, even more throw insults.

Nothing personal here either, but all of this is a little repetitive, and old. Time for some new material.

Weatherguy03, good response. And you are an expert, at least that's what I have been told from someone else that posts here.

That last post was not tongue in cheek.

And why are you on here Randrewl if there is obviously no reason to be here? Not being smart or sarcastic, just wanted to know.

Thanks supercell. Actually Rand, they are not tongue in cheek to some who read them. I have gotten 5 e-mails today from people who thought there was a TS forming in the Gulf from the stuff he said. This is no joke on here. People that this stuff seriously.

Ok I'll accept that.

*take

not a matter of thin skinned its a matter of respect...which you seem to forget when dealing with others here..This place is what we make it..I personally dont want jerks with personal level remarks just to boost their EGO...do you?

No problem weatherguy03. And you are right; after being in 5 hurricanes (3 of them catastrophic) during my life, I can understand why many take things like that to the bank.

I never made it personal, I never do, not my style. He is the one that dug up my posts from last year!..LOL Who they heck does that?..LOL

Did any of you see the person that modified a NHC tropical outlook last night to say that the area in the central Caribbean was going to produce a tropical cyclone immediately?

Andrew, in Kendall (5 miles from where the eye crossed land). Erin in 1995, in Melbourne. Charley (Orlando), Frances (Orlando), and Jeanne (Orlando).

Oh well, back to the weather right?..LOL This is what happens on a less then exciting day:)

I figured the Extremely High Horizon Refraction guy would have a news update with the hottest 1st 1/2 of the year anouncement.

I know this isn't peer reviewed science but in ways it's centuries old & well his prodictions keep coming true, so I keep posting them.

Long awaited NASA correction showed up, making May 2006 2nd warmest in history for the Northern Hemisphere. Nunavut area weather data was not included, adding its data boosted the NH temperature ranking.

Also June 2006 warmest in Global temperature history for the Northern Hemisphere beating 2005. The Russian winter cold spot has now disappeared, in its wake a significant warming has occurred at exactly the same location.

This will make it highly likely that summer of 2006 will exceed summer of 2005 as warmest in history, exactly as foretold below. Present Montreal summer of 2006 measurements were hampered by clouds and equipment failures, nevertheless, a significant number of observations show a dead heat between 2005-2006 differential refraction values, suggesting 2006 will edge over 2005 in vertical sun disk diameters.

WD July 10,2006

What's up gang??? Hey Randrewl I found another type of power pack. solar generator. could be really good for power outages

Agreed weatherguy03.

My personal feeling is this website is just a bunch of people who are trying to find the storm before everyone else and say 'look, look, I called that one first!'

We shouldn't care who called it, we should only care about why it occured and how it could occur in the future. Thus, forecasting storms later will be much easier. The arguements about who 'called it' are useless and old indeed.

Let people try to forecast things, give it a whirl. It is not like the predictions in here are going to change anyone's lives. And if someone does change their life off of a prediction in here, they need to realize 99.5% of us are not pros. Everyone try to keep up the good work. Explain your reasoning and discuss, thats the best way to learn.

Just got home from work. There's enough hot air on this blog to create a superstorm.

Pony I got to commend you on your blog topic. It is a really good idea. I really like the solar generator you brought up!!!!!!!!!!!

Charley most certainly was. It did more damage in Orlando than Frances and Jeanne combined. We got 100-110 sustained from that. Seems like you have had a few bad storms as well. And yes, I got the northern eyewall of Andrew, Category 5 winds for about 20 minutes.