Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Western Caribbean disturbance aims to soak the Yucatan

Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 20:53 GMT le 31 octobre 2006

Unsettled weather continues in the Western Caribbean in association with a tropical disturbance (93L) that has developed a weak surface circulation this afternoon. The circulation center of 93L was at 20N 83W at 3pm EST this afternoon, moving west-northwest at about 15 mph. The disturbance is under 20 knots of wind shear. This shear is expected to increase to 30 knots on Wednesday, so I am not expecting 93L to develop into a tropical depression. The disturbance should bring heavy rains to Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula Wednesday afternoon through Thursday. At this time, it does not appear that 93L will affect South Florida, although moisture from the surface trough of low pressure 93L is embedded in will increase the chance of rain by Wednesday night. QuikSCAT satellite-measured winds were in the 20-30 mph range southwest of Jamaica at 6:03am EST this morning. 93L will pass over buoy 42056 at 20N 85W tonight. Winds at the buoy this afternoon have been less than 15 mph.

Figure 2. Preliminary models tracks for the Western Caribbean disturbance.

In the Pacific, Typhoon Cimaron has made an abrupt course change, and is now on track to strike China near Hong Kong on Friday as a tropical storm.

Jeff Masters

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251. Patrap 14:28 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
Thatll work.I know a few..out the way places that most tourist dont know or get to. Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 113014

252. sandcrab39565 14:29 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
Skye, I will be glad to share whatever is discussed with everyone. I am required to attend. Member Since: 25 juin 2006 Posts: 36 Comments: 9971

253. Patrap 14:29 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
Skyepony needs to come visit and get the tour..Bring the camera.Well do the Ouarter then tour the coastal devastation. Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 113014

254. sandcrab39565 14:30 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
Sounds good Pat get a good po-boy and cold beverage.lol Member Since: 25 juin 2006 Posts: 36 Comments: 9971

255. Patrap 14:30 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
Maybe I could get a Honorary Jackson County special advisor for a day, pass..LOL Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 113014

256. Patrap 14:31 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
I have VA appt tommorrow..My Chlosterol is down from 302 to 241,..and Im 10 lbs lighter Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 113014

257. Patrap 14:33 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
All with the diet and that er..procedure last week..So im feeling MUCH better.Like 100% better.Ready to get back at it. Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 113014

258. GaTechNukE 14:33 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
skip bourbon street, hit frenchman street. Eat at Maspero's, Drago's, Cafe du Monde, and The Bon-Ton. You're a N.O. native already :-)

259. Skyepony (Mod) 14:35 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
Excellent sandcrab, I expect an extensive daily update in your blog, with the highlights here..lol. You bring us some pretty sweet info that is only privey to those of your status..Thanks:) Patrap~ Perhaps next time I'm out that way...which isn't gonna be til someone in the family out there get married, dies or needs some major help. Member Since: 10 août 2005 Posts: 145 Comments: 29995

260. Patrap 14:36 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
Did work for Dragos in 02 in Metarie.But miss the lunch Counter at Woolworths on Canal & Rampart where Mom worked the most when that closed. Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 113014

261. Patrap 14:37 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
Dont stay with Family..We have oodles of Places to stash people.From Uptown to Bay St.Louis.You can get a lifetimes of Pics in a Day or Two.Jump on a Plane one day..Stay two..Fly back. Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 113014

262. Patrap 14:39 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
Im 6 minutes from the Airport.We send boy round to pick ya up.LOL Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 113014

263. Skyepony (Mod) 14:40 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
Tropical Storm Position and Intensity Page. 93L has weakend as Cimaron is strengthening Member Since: 10 août 2005 Posts: 145 Comments: 29995

264. sandcrab39565 14:40 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
I may can slip ya in Pat.lol Member Since: 25 juin 2006 Posts: 36 Comments: 9971

265. Skyepony (Mod) 14:41 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
I'm vacationed out right now Pat, maybe one day. Member Since: 10 août 2005 Posts: 145 Comments: 29995

266. sandcrab39565 14:41 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
Well better get back at will check back later Member Since: 25 juin 2006 Posts: 36 Comments: 9971

267. GaTechNukE 14:42 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
Pat- I'm from the Northshore

268. Patrap 14:44 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
Nice to c ya, Colds coming back to the N shore..Was inviting Skyepony... Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 113014

269. Patrap 14:45 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
Gatechnuke..parts of nshore got pounded.Bad Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 113014

271. GaTechNukE 14:46 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
I think for every 5 times it freezes on the NShore, it freezes once in N.O.

272. Patrap 14:48 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
Im right Next to PArish line ,Kenner now.West Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 113014

274. GaTechNukE 14:52 GMT le 01 novembre 2006
I gotcha, I was down there last weekend actually on my way to Grand Isle for some redfishing. I flew in for a long weekend, cause unlike Sky, I dont know how to be "vacationed out" :-) Caught our limit too.

275. CybrTeddy 15:49 GMT le 26 décembre 2011
Looks like this well above average weather is finally at its end in Florida, at least for the short term. Forecast saying temperatures could dip in the mid to maybe even low 40s in my area from the upcoming cold front. Certainly nice, but my Christmas was rather ruined by walking outside and thinking it was late September. Member Since: 8 juillet 2005 Posts: 255 Comments: 20658

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