Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Once again congratulations from Teresa and I.You well deserving of your accolades.You an asset to the County and State.They need to pay you more.

Thats going to be a strange evening .But a good one.Some friends you and I know are coming here Dec 1st from Fla.Then Im giving them a tour of the area Sat the 2nd.Then they flying back SUnday the 3rd.Your invite is for Both of you.I had to buy a new suit..LOL.My Other worn out.

That wonderful Pat I might be over that way soon myself but will let ya know before I come.

We still hoping Yallcan make it.We going to party some.Then after it over.Head back here.

Some of my family going to get surprise mail for sure.Only my sister knows.LOL

I bet you tired hound dog after this long day

Still planning I have so much travel comeing in classes but still trying to make it happen.

Just finished up CISM training and got the team ready to register with the state. We will be the only reconized team in the south MS area.

We looking forward to hoping yall can attend.Dinner and cocktails.Not too shabby.LOL

Its 2 hrs drive for you up and 2 hrs Back,Long night .

A well Led team for sure.Hope to meet your team one day .

We need a Helo..for Dec 1st.LOL

LOL heck no not driving back that nite will get room to fall into.lol

WE still might too.LOL..But have company that may need to get back,..they staying in my trailer ..while we going to Bunk in house.The Hilton Complex in Baton Rouge is the event Hotel.

Its only 65 min for me right down 10 to my exit.Straight shot.

May not want to drive after that shing -ding.We still mulling the room over.May just get 2.

That sounds like a good plan.lol

This is what God made Visa for...it's all good.

Just like an old surfboard brand "Plasticfantastic" lol

Ok gonna get some shut eye another busy day tommorrow. All have a good and restful nite.

Hey aquak9..you sneaking up on me..LOL...

Gnite sandcrab..get some rack time.

Mesoscale Discussions

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF E CENTRAL GA/ERN SC/SERN NC
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AND CENTRAL FL
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

Thanks for the link, Skye. Looks like I'm gonna hafta go capital letters with the "eeeek" effect here pretty soon!

interesting radar graphic tool...SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pages .. 1 gives a good look at the SE 6 is the center of the storm.

skyepony, in that link, what does RAOB mean? it mentions it and then marginal instability...

I'm hoping it doesn't get too crazy too. sounds like the area around SC could have it worse.

Building up to the west of Tampa, offshore...reds included..

RAOB - Radiosonde Observation (Upper Air Observation)

aquak~ yeah I had been looking at buoys out that way.

Current tornado watches.

that is the largest swath of cold cloudtops I have seen in a long time. 30-40 miles wide it seems off florida's west coast.

nite, all.

Saw a show on the History channel last night on radical climate shift that suggests the global warming trend we have experienced this last 100 or so years is natural. But it also suggests the warming trend of the last 40 years has been so marked that continued acceleration of the earth's warming could trigger another Little Ice Age like the one that started at the end of the medeival period in Europe.

It was the first thing I have seen which recognises that man did not necessarily CAUSE the global warming trend.

On earthquakes and eruptions - wouldn't u agree that either is more likely to impact our weather rather than be influenced by the weather?

let's not talk about global warming. the earth goes through natural cycles. we are probably contributing to a warming trend and we need to try and reduce our emissions. however, other countries are becoming industrialized and will find the cheapest way possible to meet it's energy needs. we can't control the earth or thr weather.

now how bout this severe weather coming for the SE United States....

There was some yellow hail boxes, but they aren't showing up with the preview. The white squares is lightning strikes, the bigger the more recent. Lightning is well preceeding this one.

that lightning (along with the rest of the activity) should move NE correct? with the general motin of the front being on an eastern path.

I am a weather idiot, I just enjoy it immensly.

I think GW is an interesting topic mainly because of how it is likely to affect our weather, both in the short and long term. However, isn't it potentially related to the blog topic???

On the system currently affecting the eastern US - I wonder how much of that energy will remain when the tail end of it trails its way across the Bahamas and WCar?

I'd say ENE. Here's the Nexrad loop out of Tampa. It has arrows that denote direction, particularly stronger cells, the lightnin & hail.

Baha this was from this afternoon's ECFL NWS discussion....
WITH A
CUT OFF UPPER LOW MOVING OFF THE SE U.S. COAST TUE. RESULTING SFC
LOW WELL OFFSHORE WILL ONLY REINFORCE THE COOL DRY ATMOS.

Here's the most recent one. Doesn't really go into tommarrow & the low, just what's coming tonight.

Been kinda watching that rainbow gulf most the day...wonder if the cut off low isn't starting to happen in the BOC, that blob down there has only apeared since this afternoon. Hadn't read this evening's discussion or looked at buoys down there...any thoughts? Anyone wanna check out a blob..in an area of rather high shear? Looks like it'll travel east abit before it would be cut off.

I'll be back in a bit.

Skye,

I looked at that. Doesn't really move Sward, does it? Interesting abt. the U level divergance, obviously a key player in the current severe threat. I guess we'd need to see a similar level of instability in the SW Car to have any development along the lines of the CMC forecast . . .