Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Nor'easter of 2007 winds down
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 13:50 GMT le 17 avril 2007 +2
The Nor'easter of 2007 is steadily winding down, but will continue to bring high winds, minor coastal flooding, and up to one inch of rain to portions of the Northeast U.S. today. The nor'easter brought the heaviest rains since 1882 to New York City and northern New Jersey, triggering widespread flooding that will cost hundreds of millions of dollars. Hoboken, NJ became an island when roads surrounding the city flooded up to three feet deep, submerging cars, basements and parking lots. Over 1400 people were evacuated from homes along the Raritan River in New Jersey, which crested 10.5 feet above flood stage. At least 5000 people were evacuated in New Hampshire due to flooding, and over 400 roads closed. A woman and her 4-year-old granddaughter died when they were swept into fast-moving floodwaters as they tried to cross a washed-out section of a road in Lebanon, Maine, near the New Hampshire border. Winds gusting to 60 mph knocked out power to over 123,000 homes in Maine, the second largest power outage in state history. The record was set during an ice storm in 1998 that knocked out power to 340,000 homes.

Storm surges
Along the Massachusetts coast, tidal flooding has been minor to moderate, with overwash and erosion of dunes, flooding of coastal roads and some homes, but minimal damage to buildings. The peak storm surge in Boston at high tide was 2.2 feet yesterday, which added to the regular high tide to bring a 13.2 foot storm tide. Tonight's high tide may bring a storm tide half a foot higher, leading to moderate flooding. The new moon will bring a slightly higher high tide tonight than yesterday, and winds will remain gale-force, pushing 20-foot waves against the coast. Maine has already seen its highest storm surge from the storm--2.5-3.5 feet of surge during high tide yesterday. This was the fourth highest storm surge along the Maine coast since 1990. Storm surges of 1.5-2 feet are likely along the Maine coast during today's high tide cycles. Storm surges of 1-2 feet are likely at high tide today in New York City and Long Island Sound, which will cause additional minor to moderate flooding. The storm caused major erosion at Jones Beach, Robert Moses State Park and beaches in Montauk on Long Island.

Winds and snow
Tupper Lake, NY recorded 26 inches of snow. Winds gusts of 72 mph were observed in Milton, MA; 81 mph in Cape Elizabeth, ME, and 156 mph at Mount Washington in New Hampshire.


Figure 1. Visible image of the 2007 Nor'easter on Monday at 4 pm EDT. Image credit: The University of Wisconsin CIMSS Satellite Blog, which has a nice page of images and animations of the Nor'easter of 2007.

I'll have a new blog Wednesday or Thursday.
Jeff Masters
high tide in kennebunkport (hossom1)
ocean side business in kennebunkport ME
high tide in kennebunkport
New England Nor'easter (normle)
High tide & a 4' storm surge left the marina parking lot under water
New England Nor'easter
Categories: Hurricane
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153. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 23:49 GMT le 18 avril 2007    
T MINUS 1036 HRS 12 MINS HURRICANE SEASON
Member Since: 15 juillet 2006 Posts: 147 Comments: 41318
154. flarancher 00:29 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
H2PV Very well stated. I've not read 200 scientific books but consider myself well read and one thing is certain and that is that the earth is either in a warming or cooling phase at any given point in time with or without man. My question is this: when earth is in a global cooling phase, who causes it?
155. Inyo 01:05 GMT le 19 avril 2007    

Another observation: the cycling between El Nino and La Nina seems to be faster. Anyone else think it seems that way?


I have noticed this as well. Also, for the last 5 years, the correlation between ENSO and rainfall patterns in southern California has not been as strong as in the past - a very mild El Nino brought record rains, and a somewhat stronger el nino brought record drought. Last summer was incredibly weird and can't be attributed to either.
Member Since: 3 septembre 2002 Posts: 42 Comments: 765
156. franck 01:18 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/climate/research/prelim/drought/zimages/12.gif
Member Since: 30 août 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1150
157. franck 01:26 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/climate/research/prelim/drought/zimages/12.gif
Member Since: 30 août 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1150
158. LowerCal 01:31 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
That could also be long term for California as we are beginning our dry season. :^(
Member Since: 26 juillet 2006 Posts: 58 Comments: 9026
159. pottery 01:32 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
H2PV...... well said. Thank you.
Member Since: 24 octobre 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20866
160. pottery 01:38 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
Inyo....... It does seem that the corelation between ENSO and the predicted effects associated with that cycle are a little out of whack. But surely our historical modelling is going to show some out-of-whackiness purely because historically, we've never been here before.
Member Since: 24 octobre 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20866
161. TheCaneWhisperer 01:49 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
The way things are going Lower Cal, you could see your wettest dry season yet! CPC bodes bad news for the west coast though! Hummm Little rain during El Nino, Less rain during Neutral. Seems the old grey mare just aint what she used to be.
162. pottery 02:15 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
Is it usual, in La Nina conditions, when the sst on the west coast of central America is as cool as it is now, for there to be such high sst just North of that ?
Member Since: 24 octobre 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20866
163. pottery 02:24 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
Hello ??
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165. Andrix 03:18 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
166. Andrix 03:26 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
167. franck 03:41 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
Weather and porn, like mayonnaise on a peanut butter sandwich.
Member Since: 30 août 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1150
169. Inyo 05:10 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
Posted By: TheCaneWhisperer at 1:49 AM GMT on April 19, 2007.
The way things are going Lower Cal, you could see your wettest dry season yet!


last year the east flow tried to kick in during the dry season, which was quite weird. one theory is that with global warming winters will be drier, but we would start getting summer rain. that would change everything.

we will see, it will be an interesting summer.
Member Since: 3 septembre 2002 Posts: 42 Comments: 765
170. K8eCane 10:48 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
morning Dr Jeff
hope you have a great Thursday!
Member Since: 26 avril 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 2496
171. refill 11:57 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
Anyone know which was the SAL conditions last year in this date???? Thanks
172. ricderr 12:01 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
storm junkie i believe has that info in his blog refill
Member Since: 27 juin 2006 Posts: 630 Comments: 18090
173. Srt4Man 12:43 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
H2PV, I decided to get an account here after several years lurking so that i could tell you that i feel that was a great post. Wish there were more people like you around.
174. thelmores 13:20 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
man..... read 200 science books..... I better get started, so maybe I can share a cognitive thought in the future!

Can i get a waiver if I studied heat transfer in the navy? LOL
Member Since: 8 septembre 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3754
176. franck 14:31 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
thelmores....hardly.
Member Since: 30 août 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1150
177. thelmores 16:01 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
"Posted By: franck

thelmores....hardly."

hmmmm, I would have thought the Navy Nuclear Power program would have done a good job teaching me heat transfer...... guess I was wrong! :)
Member Since: 8 septembre 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3754
178. indigenous 16:12 GMT le 19 avril 2007    
H2PV, Brilliant post. Very well written, clear and to the point. I printed a copy to show as many people as I can. Your post clears a lot of cobwebs and lets the sun shine through. Thanks to you and to Dr. Masters.
179. JohnKole 09:29 GMT le 26 avril 2007    
Thank you Dr. Masters.
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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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