Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Night y'all ☺

Gonna have nightmares now JF...lol, but not really.

I knew there was a good reason that I live on a small tropical island.
I think I'll build a Gattlin Gun though. LOL. Keep you guys away!

Maybe if they had enough warning and shut many of the systems down before hand, but the impact it would have on the power grid, and the attempt to restore that would be a major undertaking that would have to be done with little communication. If you don't get that back up, then I would think it would be hard to get to the satellite's with out the power grid, and many may be damaged beyond repair with something that massive.

TropicalStormOphelia, due to hit NorthCarolina (maybe SC) as the first hurricane of the season on Wednesday.

TropicalStormOphelia, due to hit NorthCarolina (maybe SC) as the first hurricane of the season on Wednesday.

I just saw that at the NHC page and though I was crazy. Must be a test that got out somehow.

Tropical Storm Ophelia... September 2008. Check out the date, 3-months from now.

This is definitely a test of some sort that got out. They had every computer model tracking it too.

Hopefully this doesn't fortell events to come.

It's down now but maybe they have noticed that land-cane area and are about to name it...i doubt it though.

Well, we are at a solar minimum right now. The account mentions sunspots and there aren't any. I'll start worrying when they start globbing up.

Yep, test. 2008 storm names begin with 'Arthur', and 'o' is 'Omar'. Probably this site's program automaticly reading then graphing the NationalHurricaneCenter notice.

This is when they run drills. No one is supposed to be watching the darn weather for hurricanes in early May.

263. bappit 2:15 AM GMT on May 13, 2008
This is when they run drills. No one is supposed to be watching the darn weather for hurricanes in early May.

Although it is very likely drills, Something is fishy, That system that was "land-cane" is now over water off the coast of Virginia or North Carolina and thats exactly where they positioned "Ophelia"....

Well, if they are going to make up imaginary storms, then let's get creative!

T.S. Ophelia: 70 mph winds, 989mb pressure, becoming a Cat-2 hurricane moving North along the Atlantic seaboard into the New England states... how common.

Let's create one that moves north as a Cat-2 over New England, then backs into New York harbor a 2nd time from the North-East.

It should have intermittent coronal mass ejections with it?

"This is only a test. In the event of an actual coronal mass ejection aimed at the earth you would not be reading this."

=P

Ophelia came back from the dead

Florida Wildfire Video from Channel 9, amazing pictures...I-95 on fire, people pouring water from the pool on the fire, 50 homes destroyed and counting.


http://www.wftv.com/video/16246205/index.html

well looks like we now have are 1st EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE of the season


TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON MAY 12 2008

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
THE LARGE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE THAT HAS BEEN PRODUCING COLD AND
RAINY CONDITIONS AS WELL AS STRONG WINDS OVER THE NE OF U.S. AND
THE MID ATLC STATE IS FINALLY MOVING AWAY

and for the NHC to use a 2005 cyclone as a test

Taz that is the second.. the first was late April

2nd?

587
AXNT20 KNHC 262316
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SAT APR 26 2008

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
THE W ATLC REMAINS RATHER TRANQUIL UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
STATIONARY 1022 MB SFC HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N74W. FARTHER
EAST...THE WEATHER PATTERN IS DOMINATED BY A COLD FRONT
EXTENDING FROM AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE WELL NORTH OF THE AREA.
AS OF 18Z...THE COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 31N50W AND
CONTINUES ALONG 25N54W TO 20N60W. A WIDE BAND OF SHOWERS EXTENDS
WELL AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE LESSER ANTILLES TO
BEYOND 32N BETWEEN 39W-59W. W TO NW WINDS TO 20 KT ARE BEHIND
THE FRONT AND S TO SE WINDS 20-25 KT ARE AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY.
A SECOND RIDGE EXTENDING FROM A SFC HIGH NEAR THE AZORES COVERS
THE EASTERN ATLC. ALOFT...AN UPPER HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 7N51W.
SWLY FLOW ON THE N SIDE OF THE UPPER HIGH IS SUPPORTING THE
AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT.

cyclone is heading off the map!

thanks

I'm a firm believer that hurricanes live up (or down) to their names. All of the really tough hurricanes had the NAME to go with it.

Hurricane Hugo - good name.
Carmen - Don't mess with people named Carmen.
Hurricane Elena - has a certain ring to it.
Katrina - A mean sounding name.
Opal - Looks good spray painted on boards.
Andrew - A leader's name, strong and smart.
Rita - A surly waitress

So with this in mind, we can predict the 2008 Atlantic Hurricane season.

Arthur - Smart, symetrical, small hurricane that avoids Texas (because Arthur isn't a Texas name). Arthur will end in the islands.

Bertha - Packs a mighty punch. Bertha is hispaniola bound. It will give people a suprise because Bertha is a suprising name.

Cristobal - Forms, then dies out in the ocean without hitting land. Cristobal can't be written easily on boards and T-shirts, so it can't hit land.

Dolly - The first hurricane that really will look good on signs and CNN newscasts, Dolly has to hit land somewhere in Florida. You will see lots of signs like "Hello, Dolly!" and other references to that play. Dolly will be a Cat-2.

Edouard - Nobody can spell Edouard, so it won't make landfall. Edouard will barely make tropical storm strength, then fade away.

Fay - Easy to spell, especially for people in Mississippi and Alabama where it should make landfall as a mid Cat-1. Fay is a rainmaker and has a certain flair for showmanship.

Gustav - Being French, Gustav will only hang around for a long time as a tropical storm. It will try to organize several times and generally get on people's nerves, then wander off into the Atlantic.

Hanna - Look out for Hanna. This one will be a biggie. Hurricane Hanna has a certain ring to it AND it's easy to spell AND will look good on T-shirts. Hanna is made for the Carolinas, but it's definitely a southern storm.

Ike - Ike follows Hanna. Again its easy to spell and lots of things rhyme with "Ike", so it has to make landfall. I bet it follows a week behind Hanna, same path.

Josephine - Style and class, but no substance. Hurricane Josephine just doesn't get people excited. Its too difficult to say after a few beers. Josephine has to hit eastern Mexico.

Kyle - Kyle wears glasses and only pretends to be tough. This one becomes a strong tropical storm, threatens to turn into the gulf, but in the end chickens out and joins the North Atlantic.

Lili - Last show of the season. Lili is easy to say and spell, however it isn't a very tough name. Cat-1 at best. Lili can't land anywhere in the south, so this one is New England bound.

Marco - Marco is Puerto Rican. This one will bypass the U.S. and British Virgin Islands and tear itself apart over Puerto Rico, then remnants over Cuba.

Nana - Won't form at all. We've already had too many easy to spell hurricanes this year and people will be tired of them. Besides, Nana just doesn't scare anyone.

Omar - A late November suprise for two days, then off to the North Atlantic with it.

Paloma, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred - Names will be unused this year. There is just no pizzaz to names like Hurricane Paloma or Hurricane Teddy. They wouldn't sell, no merchandizing profits... no hurricane. That's the rule.

Based on the storm names, these are my early season projections.

i dont know about any test but i myself have a couple of floaters on the area of disturb weather
track mark 39.9w/7.5n
floater 1 north atlantic rgb image
floater 2 south atlantic wv/enhanced 6.5 micron

Hi Jeff:
That video of the cars being thrown around is incredible. I'm not sure how much difference there would be in the window glass now compared to cars made in the '60, but a tornado hit Belvedere Ill. years ago and there wasn't a bit of glass left any larger than a pencil eraser. The car was full of it, and I can't imagine being in that car as all that glass 'Imploded'! The cloth upholstery was shredded in places!
I've never forgotten it and that alone has kept me away from cars as protection!
Thanks again for bringing that video here!

That area of disturbed weather near Myanmar has now been designated as 96B.INVEST.

271. HadesGodWyvern "and for the NHC to use a 2005 cyclone as a test"

The NHC (and/or this site's program) came up with an entirely new tracking map of an "Ophelia" located ~100miles/~160kilometres due south of where the SouthCarolina-NorthCarolina border meets the Atlantic
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Edit: Ignore the above. Thought HadesGodWyvern had posted a different tracking map of a past TropicalStorm off of Florida's east coast.

some one take 96B out to sea they dont need it

aspectre:



like this?

Taz nope.. the monsoon is affecting them now I suppose.

GFS model has this invest developing into "Abe" if the IMD names it of course and heads it northwest into Bangladesh/India region.

1200 UTC GFS model

thats not good


by the way 96B now has a T # of 1.0

BahaHurican:

Actually, no. Of all places to be and have an interest in tropical weather, I live in Iowa :) I grew up in the Houston and Beaumont areas, though, and have a number of relatives along the gulf coast.

Terranova -- re, the GFS:

I've been watching that region -- mainly because it's had consistently low shear and reasonable SSTs. It's been all dry air so far, but looks like it'll finally get some convection. Definitely something to keep an eye on.

they are saying soon that the Ruapehu volcano in New Zealand go blow up


whats going on here ???


we go Ruapehu volcano Chaiten Volcano Mt. Etna the Ubinas, Peru Volcano and now they are saying that they now have Yellow Alert at Puyehue Volcano how could all the Volcano be waking up???

Link


some in has to be in the roots of all of this you this cant have evere Volcano blowing up at the same time

288. Tazmanian 04:40 AM GMT on mai 13, 2008:
it might be some reasons for volcanos waking up like this: first i'd like to say that it could be simple and natural, due to the cycle of our planet, but meanwhile, the galactic transition and alignement could be blamed for this. Also, the extreme weather could be connected to this as well...
But this is only my opinion, after more than two years of study and selecting the info that the www and media somehow "leaked". And now in entire world is a "doomsday" psihoze that makes me laugh :))) What could be so wrong to our planet to change? I don't understand why the human race is struggling to "preserve" the planet as is? It won't be possible! It's not a pickle that could be closed in a jar among the preservatives and a lots of "E"-s :)) If the planet changes, human changes too, and I don't see anythig wrong on that. And what if some cataclysmic events may occure? Not all the human race will be swept away. Everythig it has it's order and time and place, nothing is made by "mistake". Sorry for this offtopic, but I can't hold it back ;)

So, neutrino....

Did you forget to take your meds?

RSMC: India Meteorological Department (New Delphi, India)

Tropical Cyclone Outlook (0600z 13May)
---------------------------------------
Broken intense to very intense convective clouds over Andaman Sea, Bay of Bengal between 10N to 20N east of 90E, North Andaman Sea, South Arakan coast, Gulf of Martban and adjoining Southern Myanmar in association with low level circulation over the area.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Tropical Disturbance Summary (0800z 13May)
=============================================
An area of convection (96B) located near 15.7N 97.1E or 85 NM southeast of Yangon, Myanmar. Recent animated multispectral and water vapor satellite imagery shows flaring deep convection near a developing low level circulation center evident in a 0106z SSMI image. The disturbance lies slightly equatorward of a synoptic scale, upper level anticyclone with low to moderate vertical wind shear and favorable diffluence aloft.

Maximum sustained surface winds are at 15-20 knots with a sea level pressure of 1006 mb. The potential for this disturbance to form into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is POOR.

JTWC has updated the info related to 96B...
http://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc/ab/abioweb.txt

Bad news for Myanmar, unfortunately... The only good thing is the system is close to land, and it should develop slowly if it occurs.

Anyway, in the satellite images, I can see deep convection over the end of the Irrawaddy River, the most affected area by NARGIS :/ Surely torrential rains are taking plase again over it and surrounding areas...

From BBC

Page last updated at 11:28 GMT, Tuesday, 13 May 2008 12:28 UK version


Burma continues to reject help

Burma's military government has said it is still opposed to letting foreign aid workers in to help the many victims of Cyclone Nargis.

Vice-Admiral Soe Thein, of the military leadership, said Burma was grateful for the aid shipment from the United States which arrived on Monday.

But he said that so far there was no need for aid workers.

The US has said it hopes to send in two more transport aircraft carrying aid later on Tuesday.

Two lorries carrying relief supplies overland have also now arrived in Rangoon.

But aid workers complain that much of the aid delivered over the past week has not reached those who need it, because the Burmese military insists on controlling most of the distribution - despite lacking the equipment and expertise to do it well.

They describe delivering supplies in the Irrawaddy Delta with dugout canoes, and say they are badly overstretched.

The rest of the story: BBC News

From: Reuters

Rain lashes Myanmar cyclone survivors
Tue May 13, 2008 6:47am EDT

By Aung Hla Tun

YANGON (Reuters) - Heavy rains pelted homeless cyclone survivors in Myanmar's Irrawaddy delta on Tuesday, complicating already slow delivery of aid to more than 1.5 million people facing hunger and disease.

As more foreign aid trickled into the former Burma, critics ratcheted up the pressure on its military rulers to accelerate a relief effort that is only delivering an estimated one-tenth of the supplies needed in the devastated delta.

"The response of the regime in Burma to this crisis has been absolutely callous and those paying the price of this callousness have been the long-suffering Burmese people," Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd told parliament

Link to rest of story: REUTERS

FLFreak

You may want to spell check you paper. coriolis effoect, or coreolis but not carreohwhatever.
I think gravity does not act like weather pressure systems since there is no up and down.

You may want to look at the TED.com talk on the African Einstein for newer gravity/space/big bang theories.

If you can draw conclulsions from you analogies, "like tornadoes in space" and then find them, That would be interesting.

Oddly, the tornado vid. Makes me want to get in one of those clear cusioned spheres that you walk inside and try to chase down an F1. If the sphere can take a fall from about 30ft, it might be a blast to ride one out in an open field without cars flying at you. THAT would be a cool vid.