Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

JP you got that right, he threaten to kill me. amost the other nasty stuff he said.
Sheri

Long range radar from baynews9.com shows a little circulation West of Tampa, but, in my ignorant opinion, little swirls like these seem pretty common in fronts and tropical waves and don't really mean anything.

I'm sure all tropical systems start as a tiny swirl, but I doubt these are anything important. But again, IANAM

His handle is Tropicaldiscussion

Sheri is it possible to send me that message? I want to show admin.

The GOM "clouds" are not likely to develop into anything and starting to lose convection as we speak (too much shear right now); we may not even get that much rain from it at this point; as the Godfather said, "there just wasn't enough time Michael, there just wasn't enough time........."........

.

Listen, the drama isnt for the main Blog .

I know its frustrating,but just forward any threats to admin and they will take care of that asap.

The Rules of the Road are very specific on Threats.

Use the ignore feature and just let fools fall to the wayside.

NE of the Yucatan is really firing

jp i copied it and sent it to DrM's E-mail I hope I didn't do wrong.
Sheri

Could all of this high cloud moisture from the gulf actually supress some of the rain? Alot of the moisture you see coming into SWFL is not making it to the ground, however the clouds are keeping temps down and that should supress some storms right?

SC2007 u got mail

398. TampaSpin 1:39 PM EST on June 26, 2008
Terra convection is really gathering at that spin location the last 2 updated satellite pics...

Yep I saw that, question is whether it can manage to do anything before it comes ashore in Florida. Wind shear is pretty high in that area (you can see the convection getting sheared off to the NE on visible imagery).

Sheri, you should have sent the email to Admin....Dr.M is only a meteorologist on this site.

ah...actually...he's one of the owners....and it's his blog.....

Weather456 , did you get the link I sent you earlier? Here it is again in case you didn't...Buoy Data Graphs

Well, apparently all the excitement is on the blog today instead of outside! I must have missed something big.

Anything new I should know about.... with the weather/tropics I mean.

Thats a Transformer going "Boom" at the 1:23 mark,from 25 minutes ago here.

416. Oh sorry! Thanks press....

good to hear the is light at the end of the tunnel Preslord ! first born has been a cat 5 hurricane from day one LOL --but now that he's found his career/commercial diving (returning to his first love the sea) he's got his act together. Number two, has always been Good Weather

Oh Terra thank you...I didnt get it earlier.

418. smmcdavid 1:53 PM EST on June 26, 2008
Well, apparently all the excitement is on the blog today instead of outside! I must have missed something big.

Anything new I should know about.... with the weather/tropics I mean.

Don't worry you didn't miss much! There's an area of disturbed weather in the Gulf producing heavy rainfall over Florida/NE Gulf, with a possible midlevel circulation with it. Chances of development are slim...the whole thing will come ashore soon and wind shear is hostile in the area.

Also a bit of model excitement...GFS has been consistently showing a development in the Eastern Atlantic next week, and the CMC and ECMWF have begun to agree.

my AC died last night...How the heck did people live here without it??? Was $256 to get it fixed...I'd have paid him 10 times that....

Terra did you just see the last imiage, it is really looks be trying to get together...hum.

I always say Presslord, that if they banned air-conditioners in Fl only the people who truly loved this state would be here. I live off fans during the day (yes i am a nut case) but I do run air at night

428. TampaSpin 1:58 PM EST on June 26, 2008
Terra did you just see the last imiage, it is really looks be trying to get together...hum.

It does seem to be producing more convection but it's speeding off to the northeast, and will come ashore on the west coast of Florida likely before it can amount to anything. Environmental conditions are not very friendly in the area, with wind shear values running above 20 knots. This will more than likely be a heavy rain producer, nothing tropical.

430. TerraNova 3:01 PM EDT on June 26, 2008

Yep i agree....just interesting to watch.

Thanks Terra! Didn't know others models had started to agree.

Where are you located Petrap? Here in the Orlando area we has some strong winds with the storms that are rolling through, it looked like a tropical storm.

95EINVEST.25kts-1009mb
I see we have Invest 95E.

Appears to be a weak circulation closing off west of Tampa, (per Tampa radar).

<----Uptown New Orleans Link

Area Flood Advisory from that storm I videoed below Link

Look at about 26.2N 84.1W

-

hmmmmmm, kinda in my neighborhood

I see some turning about 80 nautical miles to the west of Tampa Bay. Again, it's very faint and I can't clearly make out a center, if there is one. I also see turning west of Naples. I circled the area in which the circulation "center" look like it's in out of the KBYX site:

Tampa...

I like your spunk...lol. However, don't get to excited about the junk in the GOM. Too much shear and it's not forcasted to relax much and there still is the ULL sitting out there as well so very slim chance of anything happening.

Also, you have to be very careful when looking at radar to try and determine a "spin". Radars are certainly not the best method to determine this...it can be deceiving.

442. OUSHAWN 3:23 PM EDT on June 26, 2008

Never said anything was developing just observing a spin to watch.......thats all..

don't get to excited about the junk in the GOM. Too much shear and it's not forcasted to relax much and there still is the ULL sitting out there as well so very slim chance of anything happening.

Stranger things have happened but I think you're right about this one. ULL especially a problem.

TerraNova check your mail!Thanks.

I know Tampa, that's why I said I like your spunk. Believe me, I'm guilty a lot of jumping on "blobs" I see so I'm the last person who would throw stones. I'm just as green as they come at this so I'm here to learn more than anything.

These everyday thunderstorms here are certainly giving us the opportunity to train for driving during tropical storm conditions (B4 & after a hurricane).

All of this rain is dying before it makes shore in SWFL....plus it looks like the seabreeze convection is moving north with this system....are we gonna stay dry in SWFL? our met says yes rain.....I am not sure

Dow is taking a hit today........wow
DJIA*
11,516.52 295.31 -2.50%

The "spin" you guys are seeing is mid level convective vorticity. An upper level trough lies in the western Gulf of Mexico. The positive earth vorticity over the eastern portion of the trough is generating high nearly meridional upper level diffluent winds at 200hpa, unfavorable for tropical cyclone development.

The intense tropical convection over the inland areas is being supported by the seabreeze convergence. Convection is moving upward and westward as the flow at the lower levels from the subtropical ridge out to the east comes up from the south and southeast.