Skyepony's WunderBlog

ECFL Weather & El Ni�o update

Posted by: Skyepony, 04:07 GMT le 28 novembre 2006

ENSO Update

From the weekly discussion...continue throught Jan- March, weaken in April & May.
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NHC Tropical Disscusion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Local Hazards
......Wind & Sea Threat.............................lightning...... ..........................hail.................... tornados....

severe wind......................................flash flood..........................................wat er spouts

Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook

South East graphics.
looking for rain

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
938 AM EST TUE DEC 26 2006

.DISCUSSION...

NOTE TO USERS: A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TEAM IS ENROUTE TO DELAND
AND LEESBURG THIS MORNING TO ASSESS STORM DAMAGE FROM YESTERDAY.
REFER TO OUR LOCAL STORM REPORT (LSR) PRODUCTS FOR ADDITIONAL INFO.

ALSO...A SURVEY CONDUCTED YESTERDAY IN DAYTONA BEACH DETERMINED THAT
TWO SEPARATE AREAS OF DAMAGE WERE CAUSED BY A TORNADO RATED F-2 ON
THE FUJITA SCALE WITH ESTIMATED WIND SPEEDS OF AROUND 120 MPH.

REST OF TODAY...STILL EXTENSIVE CLOUDINESS AND A BAND OF SHOWERS
MOVING ACROSS EC FL AT MID MORNING. THIS OCCURRING WITH THE
CONTINUED INFLUENCE OF RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF STRONG UPPER JET AND
5H TROF AXIS/VORT ENERGY STILL BACK TO THE WEST. ADDITIONAL TEMP
CLIMB EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED BETWEEN THE CLOUD COVER/PRECIP AND SOME
COLD ADVECTION STARTING TO OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON...SO MAX TEMPS
SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 60S MOST AREAS. ZONES/GRIDS WILL HAVE A FEW
TWEAKS AS TRENDS ARE INDICATING BUT NO SIG CHANGES ARE NEEDED.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1050 AM EST TUE DEC 26 2006

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM TORNADO 3 N DE LAND 29.08N 81.30W
12/25/2006 VOLUSIA FL NWS STORM SURVEY

*** 7 INJ *** INTIAL STORM SURVEY TEAM REPORTS F2 TORNADO
STRUCK NORTH SIDE OF DELAND NEAR HIGHWAY 17 AND 11
INTERSECTION YESTERDAY. WIND ESTIMATES ARE IN THE 120 TO
150 MPH RANGE. DAMAGE IS SEVERE IN SOME PLACES WITH TOTAL
DESTRUCTION OF MANUFACTURED HOMES. AN UPDATED SURVEY
REPORT WILL BE SENT LATER TODAY. TEAM WILL NOW HEAD TO
LEESBURG AREA. INJURY INFORMATION PRELIMINARY.

&&

$$

BCH

Surfers & Surge
cool wave watch graphic.
NOAA Wave Watch III
Storm surge threat model...Always wondered if or how vulnerable your or friend's place would be to surge? Covers Volusia, Brevard, Indian River, St Lucie & Martin Counties.

Radar/Satellite/Microwave
Melbourne NEXRAD Radar
NOAA Satellite Services ~ I like the RGB by day, rainbow at night with some Water Vapor thrown in once in a while.
Navy site~ good to keep up with invests

Models~
Local Meso Model (well it covers most the state)~ lots of informative blue bars, each a different model, above it to click on too. Forecasts weather for the nexr 24 hrs.
FSU Model page
Shear loop .
Comparing different models shear, steering & percipitation loops.

Click to make maps bigger.

SHEAR

STEERING CURRENTS

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Southern Hemisphere
Bondo~ 60kts, over land.

90S 15kts, 1006mb....Not looking so healthy
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~

Categories: ENSO Tropics

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251. Skyepony 00:20 GMT le 27 décembre 2006
Thanks Finn:) PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 241 PM EST TUE DEC 26 2006 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 1220 PM TORNADO 2 E LEESBURG 28.81N 81.85W 12/25/2006 LAKE FL NWS STORM SURVEY NWS STORM SURVEY TEAM CONFIRMS F0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN BRITTANY ESTATES 2 MILES EAST OF LEESBURG. WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 MPH. && $$ BCH A little note on the El Ni�o update....to make the squiggly over the n, instead of typing n, hold down the Alt button & type in 164 on the number key pad. Member Since: 10 août 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29293

252. Raysfan70 10:44 GMT le 27 décembre 2006
Good Morning {{Skye}}! Have a WUnderful Wednesday. :-) Member Since: 28 juillet 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57352

254. charlestonlady 15:46 GMT le 27 décembre 2006
good morning skye! have a great wednesday! Member Since: 26 juin 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 16683

255. Raysfan70 10:38 GMT le 28 décembre 2006
Good Morning {{Skye}}! Have a Great Day. :-) Member Since: 28 juillet 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57352

256. Lovethetropics 12:37 GMT le 28 décembre 2006
Lyrics Member Since: 18 août 2005 Posts: 236 Comments: 11291

257. Skyepony 14:55 GMT le 28 décembre 2006
Morning everyone! This last update isn't really updated, just copying some stuff to make a new blog. Member Since: 10 août 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29293

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Elevation:	29 ft
Température:	75.2 ° F
Point de rosée:	70.7 ° F
Humidité:	86%
Vent:	2.0 mph from the Est
Rafale de vent:	4.0 mph
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