Skyepony's WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Skyepony, 14:15 GMT le 23 juin 2007 | +1 |
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81 ° F
Ciel dégagé
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West Eau Gallie
Melbourne, FL
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| Elevation: | 29 ft |
| Température: | 87.1 ° F |
| Point de rosée: | 77.0 ° F |
| Humidité: | 72% |
| Vent: | 4.0 mph from the NO |
| Rafale de vent: | 6.0 mph |
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Updated: 10:11 EDT le 24 mai 2013
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Forge Mountain
Mills River, NC
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| Elevation: | 2540 ft |
| Température: | 59.9 ° F |
| Point de rosée: | 50.1 ° F |
| Humidité: | 70% |
| Vent: | Calme |
| Rafale de vent: | 0.0 mph |
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Updated: 10:11 EDT le 24 mai 2013
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APRSWXNET Etowah NC US
Etowah, NC
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| Elevation: | 2376 ft |
| Température: | 58.0 ° F |
| Point de rosée: | 52.0 ° F |
| Humidité: | 81% |
| Vent: | Calme |
| Rafale de vent: | 6.0 mph |
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Updated: 09:42 EDT le 24 mai 2013
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Page: 1 — Blog Index
Storm Season
South Florida Sun-Sentinel Editorial Board
June 23, 2007
ISSUE: Weather officials debate satellite.
Here's what federal officials ought to really focus on: Does Bill Proenza run the all-important National Hurricane Center effectively? When storms whip up in the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico, does Proenza guide his staff, and civilian populations, through those tempests?
Because, in the final analysis, that's what really counts, at least for South Floridians and others in the tropics.
Right now, however, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration officials are spending way too much time worried about what Proenza says publicly.
The ruckus basically started when Proenza spoke out about the need to replace a weather satellite, QuikSCAT. Proenza says the satellite needs to be replaced to give storm forecasters the best possible data and analysis.
NOAA officials, however, say that while QuikSCAT is a valuable tool, it's not completely indispensable. Mary Glackin, acting director of the National Weather Service, points out there are myriad other gauges and instruments that can help supplement hurricane charting if QuikSCAT fails.
OK, so, he said, she said.
It's a healthy debate, and the fact that it's been carried out in public is the democratic way. However, when the debate careens toward speculation about Proenza leaving his post, or being fired, things start getting out of control.
Folks in the general public — at least those following this give-and-take — might be wondering if all this indicates that NWS people don't have enough to do when there aren't hurricanes. They do, of course, because they must keep their eyes on lots of different weather and climatological patterns.
Sure, debate the need for a satellite, quietly and not so quietly. But Proenza's job security must depend on how well he does when the storms are swirling and headed for cities and towns in harm's way. That moment may soon be upon us all.
Everything else is, well, politics.
BOTTOM LINE: What matters most is how Proenza runs the hurricane center.
Copyright © 2007, South Florida Sun-Sentinel
enjoy your Sat (I'm at work so no happiness here! LOL my weekend begins tomorrow!)
I think it's gonna get shreaded. Some models yesterday had it more a real slow shreading. & hey we're all about blob watching so lets get pics up!
Linked to loop...
Gamma & all have a great one. I may be in & out a little more today.
That bit of weather over S TX, been eyeing that. Nothing has wanted to come off there into the gulf which for this part of the year is weird. Now that one~ lastnight looking at it, looked like it just might. Not a 00Z run had in coming off, all had it going north. Now it's 1/2 in the gulf.
ESPI is down to -1.21. Still expecting the ENSO dive.
Britian's big hippy fest got swamped with rain, like last year. They have 1200+ mud induced injuries so far. Attendance is around 180,000.
GOES-12 GOM IR loop
Link
I see our African blob got rip apart this afternoon. oh well...
Oh, my hubby thinks I'm nuts and the entire family and neighbors all laught at me...but when there is something out there, I'm the one they come to with questions! LOL...
and my SIL works for FPL and they have good info but he says the info I get is even better than theirs! LOL!!!
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1215 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2007
...DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE INTERIOR COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON...
FLZ044-045-053-058-144-232200-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.W.0052.070623T1615Z-070623T2200Z/
NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-OKEECHOBEE-SOUTHERN LAKE-
1215 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2007
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON.
DRY CONDITIONS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE INTERIOR COUNTIES OF
CENTRAL FLORIDA AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
AFTERNOON. THE DRIEST CONDITIONS WILL BE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
STRETCHING FROM LEESBURG...THROUGH ORLANDO AND KISSIMMEE AND
TOWARDS OKEECHOBEE. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND THE RAPID
SPREAD OF WILDFIRES IS NOT ANTICIPATED...THE THREAT FOR FIRE
IGNITION WILL BE ELEVATED. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE BY
EARLY EVENING AS MOISTURE MOVES IN ALONG THE SEA BREEZE.
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...
LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OR A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS...ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...
OR ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
EPAC blob coming along. I little low but still worth a watch. Made green statues on probibility..
linked to loop
Thanks for digging up the buoys & the satalite patrap. Shear comparision looks not so favorable but that's put out by models that keep calling for this to go north & according to them should already be well north. Rain producer looks reasonable.
Michael~ How do I express my graditude? You were the only one there with me last Monday actually looking at & considering the signs of what to come in the face of all the La Nada supporters. & thanks for bring the latest Australia info on it. They do a great synopsis, cover some different aspects & well i ain't got time to dig it & bring it all. Good stuff.
Gamma~ I've certainly noticed a drop off in crap from the family on my "weather obsession" as well as an increase in calls from them when something is coming or they're looking to plan a party..lol. I've been a housemaker for couple years now. Gotta do something to excercise the brain & well this keeps me outta trouble.
95~ It got dry too quick. My squash & watermelon were a bit sickly midafternoon~ little late with the hose.
EPAC blob moves up another shade of green 2-3%.
That moisture though reduced looks to have made it to the gulf. Hopefuly that will reduce the severe weather the models were calling for in the midwest in a day or two that was to form from that.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
628 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SEMINOLE COUNTY IN FLORIDA.
* UNTIL 715 PM EDT
* AT 620 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
WINTER SPRINGS AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...
LAKE JESSUP.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MILES AN
HOUR AND OR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING
AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. IF THE STORM APPROACHES
YOU...SEEK SHELTER IN AN ENCLOSED BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. KEEP
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
718 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0640 PM HAIL WINTER SPRINGS 28.68N 81.27W
06/24/2007 E0.25 INCH SEMINOLE FL LAW ENFORCEMENT
WINTER SPRINGS POLICE REPORTED PEA SIZE HAIL IN THE
TUSKAWILLA AREA ON THE EAST SIDE OF WINTER SPRINGS.
&&
$$
JRC
Saturday's waterspout on the west coast
Lightning/2000 Summary (Sunday, June 24, 2007 at 11:02:20 PM EDT)
Since midnight (1382.3 mins.):
Total strokes: 11,677 (avg. 8.4/min.)
Intracloud/Intercloud: 2534 - 21.7% (avg. 1.8/min.)
+IC: 1668 - 65.8% (avg. 1.2/min.)
-IC: 866 - 34.2% (avg. 0.6/min.)
Cloud to ground: 8869 - 76.0% (avg. 6.4/min.)
+CG: 2537 - 28.6% (avg. 1.8/min.)
-CG: 6332 - 71.4% (avg. 4.6/min.)
Total strong cloud-to-ground strokes: 220 (avg. 0.159/min.)
Total noises: 16,044 (avg. 11.6/min., 57.9%)
Total energy: 21,517 (avg. 15.6/min., 184%, squelch = 4)
Peak stroke count: 160 at 5:17:52 PM
Hey SL~ The puppy got a gamely look. Ya'll have a great day:)
3 links you wanna check while here if your watching a storm is~ the one that's good for keeping up with invests~ you can look at the storms several different ways by clicking on the buttons up top, stick with the green ones, they are taken within the last 6 hrs. Also the steering currents map (I know it is the US) click on that & then the home button, next pic your ocean of choice & have fun. Last is the FSU model link, scroll down to the cyclone phase analysis, click on that, pic your model on the left & then your storm~ black dots are existing storms, red are future storms.
Interesting CMC & gfs kills off 03B fairly quick each sends it on a different path. I could be changing that header in the morning, for now it seems to feeding on some decent conditions.
35kts 990mb
Storm coming together just west of me.
Full update in a few hours.
NOAA CoastWatch: Recent SeaWinds wind Data
Looks like the Bahamian swirly is gone now
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1154 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2007
FLZ044-045-144-251630-
NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
1154 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2007
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING EASTERN LAKE COUNTY...NORTHWESTERN
ORANGE COUNTY...
AT 1142 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG STORMS OVER ZELLWOOD AND MOUNT DORA...LITTLE MOTION IS
INDICATED.
THESE STORMS WILL DRIFT TOWARDS LAKE APOPKA. FREQUENT LIGHTNING
STRIKES...WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
ABOUT 1230 PM BEFORE THE STORMS START TO WEAKEN.
EPAC blob now invest!
Rainman I thought I started that conspiricy group last year during that after the season named storm. Here's your recent quickscat on Nexsat..
{{95}}~ Keeping up on the warnings. Seabreeze maybe getting a little more than scattered..
Laura you guessed my favorate..lol.
Dee~ Lucky!!!!not yet, trying to be hopeful
Michael~ yeah CPC centers on last week. I really wanna see that pic..link?? Pretty please.
{{Wab}}~ this one has killed too many so far.
Yesterday's & today's local reports.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
746 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1230 PM LIGHTNING APOPKA 28.69N 81.51W
06/25/2007 ORANGE FL BROADCAST MEDIA
CENTRAL FLORIDA NEWS 13 REPORTED LIGHTNING SPARKED A FIRE
THAT CAUSED HEAVY DAMAGE TO A LARGE HOME. NO INJURIES
WERE REPORTED.
1250 PM HEAVY RAIN PLYMOUTH 28.69N 81.55W
06/25/2007 M1.70 INCH ORANGE FL CO-OP OBSERVER
1.7 INCHES IN 20 MINUTES
0100 PM LIGHTNING DELTONA 28.91N 81.21W
06/25/2007 VOLUSIA FL BROADCAST MEDIA
WKMG CHANNEL 6 REPORTED LIGHTNING STRUCK AND CAUSED HEAVY
DAMAGE TO A HOME AT EDISON TERRACE IN DELTONA. NO
INJURIES WERE REPORTED.
&&
$$
JRC
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
000
NWUS52 KMLB 252328
LSRMLB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
728 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0630 PM LIGHTNING WINTER SPRINGS 28.68N 81.27W
06/24/2007 SEMINOLE FL NEWSPAPER
FLORIDA TODAY REPORTED LIGHTNING CAUSED A 2-ALARM FIRE
THAT DESTROYED A HOME ON BEAR CREEK CIRCLE IN WINTER
SPRINGS. THE DAMAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT APPROXIMATELY
600,000 DOLLARS. NO INJURIES WERE REPORTED.
&&
$$
JRC
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
000
NWUS52 KMLB 251701
LSRMLB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
101 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1250 PM HEAVY RAIN PLYMOUTH 28.69N 81.55W
06/25/2007 M1.70 INCH ORANGE FL CO-OP OBSERVER
1.7 INCHES IN 20 MINUTES
&&
$$
FXD
damage
surge (the blue is 1-3 ft)
rainfall
brightest colors are 4-6 inches
red= 2-4"
orange 1-2"
yellow=less than 1"
Link to these
looks pretty healthy for being on land. Weakend slightly to 40kts 993mb.
linked to larger
HadesGodWyvern~ Several news reports refure to the cyclone as Yemyin, since the India Meteorological Department wasn't online a bit i figured they got the info straight from the source, you may be right though, might have never been named officially by anyone other than the media.
Either way glad to see it weaken 20kts 1007mb.
Been training light rain here:)) .08" so far, the nice soaking veriety.
& wow how about that CMC~ TS or TD on us in 48hrs... Not completely unbelievable looking at the satalite either. Enjoy the last bit of dry air for a few days, here comes the moist.
The gem model develops it too, just in 48 hrs a little farther out & 1008mb instead of ~1000mb.
Models just don't agree what the shear is gonna do the next few days either.
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