Are We Kicking the Forecast Can Down the Road?

By: Bryan Norcross, 01:33 GMT le 29 janvier 2015

There’s a lot of talk in the weather business these days about how the forecast is communicated. If we could just better convey forecast uncertainty, the thought goes, people would better understand the forecast (and meteorologists wouldn’t get so much crap when they are wrong). Well, I’m going to be the contrarian. In the end, I don’t think this dog can hunt.

This issue has blown up, of course, because the Winter Storm Juno snow forecast for N...

Blizzard Winter Weather

Updated: 13:17 GMT le 29 janvier 2015

A Few Comments about “Superstorm: Nine Days Inside Hurricane Sandy”

By: Bryan Norcross, 10:57 GMT le 20 octobre 2014

The second anniversary of Hurricane Sandy has brought us “Superstorm” by accomplished author and former professor of environmental writing, Kathryn Miles. It’s a great story, though aspiring meteorologists beware. When the science gets run through the keep-it-simple machine, at times the wind blows the wrong way.

Still, Miles got the essence of the event right, in a way that few books about hurricanes do. Most often the wind and the water, the da...

Hurricane

When Hurricanes Were Hurricanes

By: Bryan Norcross, 03:36 GMT le 05 septembre 2014

Hurricanes are not what they used to be. If your parents or grandparents grew up on the Northeast coast, ask them about the great storms of 1938, 1944, and 1960, not to mention the six-storm barrage in 1954 and 1955. And if they grew up in Miami, they might have lived through the eye of a hurricane coming directly over downtown six times in the 20th century – the last time in 1964. And that doesn’t include Andrew, Wilma, or the monster storms of the late 1940s. ...

22 Years After Andrew

By: Bryan Norcross, 19:39 GMT le 24 août 2014

It was late this afternoon 22 years ago - August 24, 1992, that we got our first look at what had happened about 12 hours before when Hurricane Andrew blasted South Dade. Early that morning as the winds were dying down, about 7:00 AM as I recall, the Mayor of Miami, Xavier Suarez, came by the WTVJ studio to, essentially, assure us that Miami had survived.

He said he had gotten reports from around the city that things were okay, but I said something like,...

Don’t Put On Your Stupid Hat

By: Bryan Norcross, 20:58 GMT le 13 février 2014

Another snowstorm, another fiasco, or three. Tens of thousands of North Carolinians are stuck on highways in Charlotte and Raleigh as another state can’t manage a snowstorm. And a tempest erupts in New York City as kids are sent to school despite a forecast of 8 to 12 inches of snow.

Meanwhile in Georgia, Governor Nathan Deal and Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed get high marks for quickly learning the lessons of the debacle two weeks ago and doing things ri...

Updated: 02:01 GMT le 14 février 2014

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About bnorcross

This is the official blog for Bryan Norcross, Hurricane Specialist at The Weather Channel.

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