Crowe's Weather or Not

Thanks for the new post crowe1. The size of the map is fine, at least on my computer. Sure looks like a monster storm for the entire North East, but I'll believe it when I see it. Those model runs change so much from day to day. Let's see what the models are showing in 2 or 3 days, if it's the same or close, I'll start getting excited!

Yes, that would be exciting to get that big storm! I will be watching that closely :0) Thanks for the new post Crowe.

I reckon my first real snow was yesterday and the new moon was about a month ago, so that gives me a pretty big potential number of snows!! I'll let you know how I do!

I am happy to see the new update on winter. Unfortunately, I woke up early this morning to look out into the sky and observe . . . clouds. No eclipse for me this time around. :-(

originalLT ~ No, I could not see the eclipse myself. I did note, though, that despite being cloud covered the sky was bright and the snow illuminated before the eclipse and around 3:15am it was dark as a new moon. So I'd say I felt the eclipse more than I saw it.



LettyS ~ What an awesome scenario for viewing the eclipse!! What a special lifetime memory!

I recommend stopping at a state liquor store and asking for a bottle of 5 year old Broadbent Madeira! ($20). It's a dessert wine that is excellent and has an amazing history. If you like White Zinfandel, you'll love Madeira.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Madeira_wine

I'm up to 5 snows so far:

October 16
November 18
November 29
December 8
December 14

New Moon was October 7, so that's:

16 9 = 25 snows predicted for me.
We'll see!

NOTE: This is not counting the nearly-daily snow flurries that do cover over tracks. I haven't kept track of those. These are just the 5 storms where we got enough to plow. In fact, we got plowed out three times during the December 8th storm alone!

Hi strang weather to night it is like a frezzing fog the car is covered with ice and if you go outside you can feal something falling bout nothing on the rader. when I came home frome work the trey wee all covered with the prity white frost that I normaly see on a very cold morning it was in the low 20's Lazzy

I recommend stopping at a state liquor store and asking for a bottle of 5 year old Broadbent Madeira! ($20). It's a dessert wine that is excellent and has an amazing history. If you like White Zinfandel, you'll love Madeira.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Madeira_wine

In my other life, I have a 2nd job at a wine store. :) Wine is one of my passions. I will be honest and say I dislike white zinfandel. I'm more of a big bold red kind of gal. Bordeaux, barolos, riojas, cabs, zins, that's sort of thing.

LettyS ~

Oh, that's way better than the state store! I wish we had a good little wine store near us. We tried looking around but no one had the Madeira except the state stores. Hubby wanted to try it because he's reading the Patrick O'Brien novels about seafaring days. (One was made into the movie Master and Commander, if that helps.) At the end of a meal in the captain's quarters they would always have a little Madeira. It is a red wine and it's robust, so you might like it. It's fruity, though...and the ONLY thing that assuaged my sore throat last month when I had a wicked case of viral laryngitis. (Gargling and meds did zero.) It's a Portuguese wine that used to gain its vintage by rolling around in barrels aboard ships! If sea captains liked it, you might want to give it a chance. ;-)

Well, it's snowing...again. Wunderground says it's "overcast" here and we're expecting "Light Snow" that may accumulate 2 inches.
Family in SW Maine are snow starved. Their Wunderground forecast says "Snow" and they are expecting up to an inch.
So I guess the forecast is written in a way that's all relative!

originalLT ~ How's the healing coming along? You're still tucked into my prayers.

Here in Vermont it doesn't seem like we have discrete snow events. It seems like it has been snowing lightly in Burlington for most of the month. This may be due to lake effect snow? Burlington actually seems to have more snow than most other parts of Vermont right now including Middlebury and the Northeast Kingdom.

Listener, they are calling for about 1 inch of snow in Burlington by tomorrow but we've already had an inch and it wasn't even supposed to start until about now. I think we will get several inches. Looking at the radar, this looks like the classic north-northwestern flow that favors the eastern Champlain Valley.

I'll be in Connecticut for Christmas so I am really watching that possible Nor'Easter. I am going to bring extra clothes and supplies, because my expected return to Vermont on the 26th may be delayed if that thing really kicks in.

The rains out West are crazy. This storm reminds me of the "100-year" storms of January 2005, but those occurred during an El Nino. It is quite odd to have this sort of storm during a La Nina.

A small lake near our family cabin is also in danger of failing, and the roads up the mountains are washing out. Seriously, some of the roads still haven't been repaired since 2005. 20 inches of rain have fallen in those mountains, instead of snow. Scary business.

Hi Inyo,

Yes, that is very scary business in California!! Fires and floods make like very difficult there. I hope your family stay safe.

I agree that the snow prediction is a bit off. It does seem to me that this side of the Green Mountains we do get some lake effect snow. That's the very snow that helped Snowflake Bentley discover the treasures of snowflakes, back in the day. That's because Jericho is half way between the lake and the mountains so the moisture rises from the lake and as the system hits the mountains it drops the snow here. We love it!


And now, here's the latest
*** ♥ ALLY UPDATE! ♥ ***
Wednesday, December 22, 2010 12:58 PM, EST

Ally is HAMA positive.  We're still waiting to hear back from the NY hospital as to our next step.  We will either wait 3 weeks and draw HAMA again, or go the Rituximab route again.  I bet I will have to call them back tomorrow.....

Anyway, that means we do not need to get on a train first thing in the morning on the day after Christmas, and we will do all of Ally's scans at DHMC, an hour away, next week.  Please pray for clear scans, that would be a wonderful Christmas present!

Aha. Here you go, Inyo. They're finally catching up to you...


"Accumulations... 2 to 5 inches. Highest totals across north-
central Vermont including the western slopes of the Green
Mountains."
http://www.wunderground.com/US/VT/Jericho.html#WIN

Hoping for the best for Ally!

Yeah, we got several inches of snow last night for sure.

The longer range GFS has a really crappy rain on snow even for new years. It would drop some snow again near the end but still... would be a shame. Hopefully that doesn't happen. We'll see.

***update*** the latest GFS has changed this storm to some very heavy, wet snow (or freezing rain). I guess it's too early to call it, except that there may be a storm.

I'm off to drive the 89. It's a bit slick out so I'll be going slow... so I'd better get going. Not sure if I'll be back on here before after Christmas. Have a great holiday, everyone, and safe travels!

Traveling mercies, Inyo!

We got 7" of new snow overnight! So that's storm 6 for here, not counting the flurries days that covered tracks.

Send me a refrigerated truck and I'll send back all the snow I can pack into it. I'd really rather share some!

Thanks for the thought Listener on my shoulder.. Its coming along, been 7 weeks now and my range of motion is much better but its still pretty weak. The rehab sessions are painful--manipulating the arm into positions it doesn't want to go!, but I think overall the sessions are working. Have a wonderful Christmas and a healthy and happy New Year.

Merry Christmas to all you snow lovers! I'm literally watching our next system creep in from the WNW. When it gets here I'll try and throw it your way a little sooner than it's projected to turn. If I can tuck in some Gulf moisture, you ought to be good to go!

You want snow, and I'd just be happy to get out of shorts and flipflops! LOL

Hi everyone and Merry christmas to all

Merry Christmas, Everyone!

Hi are we infor a storm with all the phone
cals this am, everyone is talking about a storm the most I have is 50% chance of snow on monday Lazzy

Merry Christmas Lazzy, I think you will get a good 6" up there by you. Down here by me at least 12". I'll let you know what I get.

*** ♥ ALLY'S CHRISTMAS ♥ ***


Saturday, December 25, 2010 3:14 PM, EST

We have had a magical Christmas so far. 

Ally has been so excited for the whole week.  We were worried she would not be able to sleep last night.  Nope...she was such a good girl, she fell right asleep.  We actually had to wake her up this morning too!  Ally was very excited to see that Santa had eaten his cookies and drank his milk.  She opened her presents and then would play with each of them for a little bit, before moving on to the next.  Toward the end she was just ripping through them, tossing the paper to the side.  It was fun to watch.  She was very excited for all of her presents, excepts the clothes, which she tossed to the side...it was reminiscent of "A Christmas Story".  She has had tons of fun playing with all her new toys and hanging out with all the Aunties, Uncles and Grand Parents.

Merry Christmas to all!

We are home safely from Maine. :-)

9. crowe1 12:11 AM GMT on December 22, 2010
Crazy stuff out west...

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
124 PM MST TUE DEC 21 2010

UTC053-220130-
/O.CON.KSLC.FF.W.0070.000000T0000Z-101222T0130Z/
/00000.U.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WASHINGTON UT-
124 PM MST TUE DEC 21 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE IMMINENT FAILURE OF TREES RANCH DAM
IN WASHINGTON COUNTY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM MST...

AT 110 PM MST...THE IMMINENT FAILURE OF THE TREES RANCH DAM...ALSO
REFERRED TO AS THE SOUTH CREEK DAM...ON THE EAST FORK OF THE VIRGIN
RIVER IN WASHINGTON COUNTY WAS REPORTED BY WASHINGTON COUNTY
SHERIFFS DEPARTMENT. THE NEAREST DOWNSTREAM COMMUNITY IS ROCKVILLE
WHICH IS AT RISK FROM THIS IMMINENT DAM FAILURE!

IF THIS DAM WERE TO FAIL CATASTROPHICALLY...FLOW IN EXCESS OF 50000
CFS WOULD REACH ROCKVILLE ABOUT 35 TO 45 MINUTES AFTER THE FAILURE.
THIS IS A WORST CASE SCENARIO. A LESS RAPID FAILURE WOULD RESULT IN
A MUCH LOWER...ALTHOUGH STILL SIGNIFICANT...VOLUME OF WATER
IMPACTING THE TOWN OF ROCKVILLE.

THIS DAM IS LOCATED AT THE MOUTH OF THE PARUNUWEAP CANYON WHICH IS
JUST SOUTH OF ZION NATIONAL PARK. WATER FROM THIS DAM WILL MOVE
DOWN THE EAST FORK OF THE VIRGIN RIVER AND EVENTUALLY INTO THE
VIRGIN RIVER. IF YOU LIVE DOWNSTREAM OF THIS DAM TAKE ACTION
IMMEDIATELY!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. IF YOU LIVE DOWNSTREAM OF THIS
DAM TAKE ACTION IMMEDIATELY! DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE
INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY
BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER
GROUND!


This is the cutest little town-Rockville I really hope that dam doesn't break!!!

Well, I'm back safe!

Looks like a few inches will fall in Burlington but nothing major unless the storm is further west than predicted or a northwest flow sets up as it passes. I'd love to have a foot of new snow but we already have lots of snow either way.

It still looks like a thaw around New Years but it doesn't look as bad as it did before. I don't think we will lose all our snow. It's hard to imagine a thaw at all, since it is 13 degrees out!

Last night I got 8 hours of sleep! Son stayed over and has stayed all day! :-) I made us a yummy breakfast of eggs, homefries, orange juice, and cranberry-apple-walnut pancakes with maple syrup. Mmmm. This evening he bought us pizza. We watched the SNL 25th reunion, and now we have Sound of Music on the telly.

We've had a few light flurries but are expecting only 3-7". I'm good with that. Family in Kennebunk is expecting 12-20" and they're delighted. :-) Something for everyone. Son and his intended decided to drive from NH to Worcester in the storm, to visit friends. Seems I always have at least one to pray for. Heh.

Later addition...They made it to Worcester safely. (He has a Subaru wagon.) Only saw one car off the road, but sure saw a lot of plows. That made me think of cchamp6!

Good morning. When I went to bed at midnight, light snow had just begun. The ground was just coated. When I woke up this morning - nothing. Even the coating was gone!

Good morning everyone, we received 12-14" here in Stamford CT. NYC got about 20", and some places in eastern NJ close to 30"!! Winds gusted up to 60mph. Baro. got down to about 29.06" at its lowest, now rising. Just cloudy outside now, 26F, barometer is 29.19R slowly. Still some blowing snow. Drifts around my area up to 3ft. My shoulder rehab. I had to cancel, couldn't get the car out, but I called and they were open at 7:30, don't know how the people got there. My physical therapist lives about 20 miles away!

Burlington mostly missed out, except that around midday a heavy snow squall came through with wind and heavy snow for a bit. In total we got 3 inches or so, per the airport, but in practice it is impossible to tell. The new snow blew into drifts but so did the snow from before, so it all just got redistributed. I think the wind picked up some of our snow and blew it to NYC. I did find some drifts to about 2 feet deep here though.

The wind chill has been below zero all day. It's cold! I won't mind a little thaw, after all of this.

We have 4" of new snow and it's 10 degrees, but feels like minus-6 out there.
Humidity 70%, wind NNW at 13-26mph.

All my peeps got home safely from states away, so all's right with the world.

I'm looking forward to a warm weekend!

Hi not a nice day hear very windy with lots of blowing snow

Hi Lazzy, how much snow did you get?

Hi crowe,

Can you check to see if the New England forecast map is clickable? It's the second map posted at the start of this blog, but the last few days I haven't been able to get it to click and go to the site.

Thanks! :-)

Hi I realy can't tell the wind was blowing too hard I would gess around 7" Some of the fields are bare with 3 to 4' drifts around the stone walls. Now thay are calling for a warm spell I hope it just settals I would like too keep the snow if it is going to get cold. Lazzy

Hi friends, I have a weather question!

Last night it was around 15-16 (F) degrees with a northwest wind at the Burlington, Vermont airport... until 6 AM or so. Then the temperature dropped like a rock and at 8 it was 3 degrees! The wind was calm or light from the ESE. Then at 10 it shot up to 13 and 11 to 23. The northwest wind was back too.

I thought it was some sort of error but the Wunderground weather station at Colchester Ave a couple of miles from the airport had a similar temperature profile. Looking around, most weather stations away from the lake, near the Winooski River, had a similar temperature profile. It happened to a lesser extent in Middlebury, 30 miles to the south, also. But... my station near the lake didn't seem to experience it much if at all, and my unreliable thermometer actually says it is 28. I don't see any stations on the New York side of the lake that experienced it either.

Anyone know what happened? 8 AM seems too late in the morning for radiative cooling. Maybe cold air drainage came blasting out of the mountains, but Montpelier way upriver never got below 10. It's totally clear out and looking to be a nice day.

Any ideas?

(see http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KBTV/2010/12/28/WeeklyHistory.html )

Good questions, Inyo!

I'm wondering if the funnel effect was at play at all, as the wind comes down Lake Champlain between the mountain ranges. Also, I wonder if your weather equipment was at all shielded from the wind for part of the time, perhaps by another building? Just a few first thoughts on the fly.

Montpelier is ALWAYS colder than the rest of us, because the land it is on is effectively a bowl resting among mountains. Also, Middlebury is far enough south of us that they get 2 extra weeks of growing season.

Must run out to work. But wanted to post one thing first...

*** ♥♥ TWO Ally updates!! ♥♥ ***

Monday, December 27, 2010 10:55 AM, EST

We have already been out to shovel.  Ally had a blast shoveling the snow back onto the walkway.

Tomorrow we are supposed to go to DHMC [the most local medical center] for a port access and an MIBG injection.  I just got a call from the MIBG department (nuclear medicine) saying they do not have the dose right now, and with the storm they may not get it in time......
I will have to call them around 10:00 tomorrow to check and see if the plane was able to arrive, and then the truck was able to drive there....the odds seem very low that we will be able to do this tomorrow.
I do not know what this will mean for the rest of the scans (CT and Bone Marrow).  I guess I will find that out tomorrow as well.  This just adds more stress on top of the already stressful situation of scans.

Please pray that the weather will lift in time for the delivery.  Also, we have a friend who is having a baby soon, and things are not going 100% perfect with the pregnancy.  She will be induced next week sometime.  Please send prayers her way for a happy outcome and a healthy baby.

I'll be sure to update about what is going on with the injection tomorrow.



Tuesday, December 28, 2010 10:08 AM, EST

We are good to go!

_____

::: Hurrah for all the folks who worked in the storm to get Ally's meds there in time! :::

*** ♥ Ally Update! ♥ ***

Tuesday, December 28, 2010 5:13 PM, EST

Everything went well today. Ally even got to choose a gift from under the tree in the playroom.

Tomorrow her scans are scheduled to begin around 2:30. Please pray that Ally and I are both patient with the no eating thing all day. Also, we need lots and lots of prayers for clear scans. Hopefully we will know something tomorrow, but we don't always get results right away.

Also, thank you so much for praying for our friend. She delivered even sooner than expected. The baby is here. It is 4.4 pounds, but the text said: "Tiny...but healthy". Please keep them in mind as tiny babies need even more care.