The Atlantic Basin may be tranquil but the Eastern Pacific is on a completely opposite note. With 2 tropical cyclones (one a powerful category four, the other a weakening tropical storm) and possibly more to come in the short term, obviously the EPAC is our topic on the tropics this post. Fortunately, and surprisingly looking at the tropical picture, there is no immediate threat to land with any of the systems.
Hurricane Emilia
Let's begin with Hurricane Emilia, a powerful category four hurricane with winds at 130 MPH. It is moving WNW out to sea and further intensification is possible within' the next 12 to 24 hours before hitting cooler waters. A category five is unlikely, but definitely a possibility, so let's be glad that no one is in the path of Emilia...at least not at the moment. If it ever threatens land, which is very unlikely, it should be a whole lot weaker if it's even together by that time. Certainly a powerful one but not a threatening one.
TS Daniel
Weakening Tropical Storm Daniel seems harmless and is...there is no threat to land right now. It should pass a couple of hundred miles south of Hawaii at its closest approach on Friday, if it's even around by then which is also unlikely. With all that said, Daniel is not even a decent concern to any land mass either.
98E
Invest 98E is the closest to land, but also the weakest, not even a tropical cyclone yet and a couple of hundred miles off the Pacific Coast of Mexico. TD/TS formation is very possible in the short term, with the NHC giving it a 50% chance of TC formation by Thursday afternoon. However, none of the reliable models have it near land...not in the next several days, at least. With that said, it's only an area of interest.
I'll update tomorrow, though I'll be on vacation in the Buffalo NY area from Thursday into Sunday.
