Jeffs713's Tomball & Tropical Weather

2011 Guide to WeatherUnderground Hurricane Forecasters

Posted by: jeffs713, 20:54 GMT le 28 Mars 2011

2011 Guide to WeatherUnderground Hurricane Forecasters
ver. 1.0

As the 2011 hurricane season is approaching, here is a handy guide for everyone going over the different types of forecasters here on the site, and some common quotes from each of them:

Wishcasters - they wish storms to hit somewhere, preferably near them - "This chart has the storm going SW to hit here on the coast, which happens to be 10 miles from my house."
Eastcasters - they see every wobble as a definitive move to the east - "Thats not a wobble, thats a shift to the east!"
Northcasters - they see every wobble as a definitive move to the north - "Thats not a wobble, thats a shift to the north!"
Southcasters - they see every wobble as a definitive move to the south - "Thats not a wobble, thats a shift to the south!"
Westcasters - they see every wobble as a definitive move to the west - "Thats not a wobble, thats a shift to the west!"
Accucasters - they worship everything Joe Bastardi (Joe B, or JB) says - "Well, JB says the storm will hit New York, even though its South of Cuba."
Fishcasters - every storm goes out to sea - "Its a fish storm"
Downcasters - every storm is weak, and won't intensify much, if it even forms - "there is no LLC", "shear is too high ahead of it, it won't make it past TS"
Doomcasters - every storm is -for sure- going to be Cat 5, and destroy everything - "such-and-such area better get ready for this storm, its going to be a nasty storm in 2 weeks when it gets there"
NOLAcasters - every storm will hit NOLA, without fail - "People better start evacuating NOLA right now, this storm is on its way to them"
Floridacasters - same thing as NOLAcasters, except for Florida - "Florida is going to get slammed by this wave that just came off the coast, they better get ready"
Lurkcasters - they lurk for years (supposedly), then on their first post, either act like they know everything, or ask a very basic question - "Long time lurker, first time poster - what is 'shear'?"
Supercasters - the NHC stinks, and is always wrong, yet the supercaster is ALWAYS right, and knows all - "the NHC is totally wrong! That thunderstorm that hit my house last week was at least a TS!"
Firstcasters - the sum total of their contributions to the blog consists of posting "first" on Dr. M's blog during the busy season - "First!"
Trollcasters - their sole purpose in life is to irritate people - "I wish for a cat 5 storm"
Futurecasters - they attempt to forecast specific storms and events WAY in advance... like 3 months in advance - "On the super-long range GFS model, at 1560 hours, you can see a major storm hitting Georgia..."
Sourgrapecasters - those who, once a particular storm has no possible chance of striking their location, suddenly switch from being wishcasters to downcasters. - "Since the storm has passed 25N, it is doomed. There is also a new wave over Africa at 20E that may be a threat..." (from Neapolitan - thanks!)
Nowcasters - Somewhat similar to east-, north-, west-, and southcasters, these are people who forecast based on a straight extrapolation of the current condition. For instance, if a storm weakens 10 knots between TWOs, the nowcaster will claim that the storm will vanish in just two days. Conversely, if a TS increases 10 knots between TWOs, they are convinced it will be a 200-knot monster in just three or four days. - "The XTRP model says this is coming right for us!" (from Neapolitan - thanks!)
Ironycasters - those whose only comment is that people never post about tropical weather, even while they themselves never post about tropical weather. - "This is a tropical weather blog! OMG!" (from Neapolitan - thanks!)
Grumpycasters - those whose every comment is to lament about how much better the site used to be when they were the only people on it. - "Back when we had to walk 10 miles uphill both ways to get to a computer, this site was great!" (from Neapolitan - thanks!)
Wobblecasters - People who think that every wobble, even a slight one, is going to forever change the path of the storm, and spell certain DOOM to some far-away landmass, usually Florida. Wobblecasters are frequently related to wishcasters, doomcasters, Floridacasters, supercasters, and nowcasters. - "Can't you see? The storm just turned to the left, its going to hit Florida as a major for sure now! Its not a wobble, either!" (thanks cat5hurricane!)
Blobcasters - People who forecast every single blob, regardless of size, position, or conditions, to be either: spinning, consolidating, forming an LLC, intensifying, or developing a pinhole eye. "Look at the blob north of Bermuda - is that a rotation I see?"

Feel free to add your own in the comments...

~Jeff

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Tomball wildfire - 06/18 (jeffs713)

Wildfire near Tomball, TX on 06/18. At this time, was approx. 30 acres. Pic taken driving down FM2920, towards the east from downtown Tomball.

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1. CybrTeddy 21:04 GMT le 28 Mars 2011
JFVcasters - enough said. Member Since: 8 juillet 2005 Posts: 253 Comments: 20179

2. Grothar 21:05 GMT le 28 Mars 2011
That is very clever. May be refer to it when the season comes? Member Since: 17 juillet 2009 Posts: 56 Comments: 19487

3. jeffs713 21:06 GMT le 28 Mars 2011
Quoting Grothar: That is very clever. May be refer to it when the season comes? Absolutely! Member Since: 3 août 2008 Posts: 15 Comments: 5722

4. jeffs713 21:07 GMT le 28 Mars 2011
Quoting CybrTeddy: JFVcasters - enough said. Those fall under Trollcasters. I debated giving a separate category to JFV, or specifically mentioning JFV in the description for trollcasters, but that would just add to the lore and bring more attention to JFV, so I made it more general. Member Since: 3 août 2008 Posts: 15 Comments: 5722

5. tkeith 21:11 GMT le 28 Mars 2011
good list Jeffs, I think you got it covered :) Member Since: 1 novembre 2004 Posts: 25 Comments: 8838

7. NRAamy 21:22 GMT le 28 Mars 2011
SQUAWKcasters: those that simply sign on to yell SQUAWK! ( I think I may be the only person to qualify ) ;) Member Since: 24 janvier 2007 Posts: 315 Comments: 31937

9. Neapolitan 21:27 GMT le 28 Mars 2011
Excellent. ;-) But don't forget: Sourgrapecasters - those who, once a particular storm has no possible chance of striking their location, suddenly switch from being wishcasters to downcasters. HennyYoungmancasters - those who fantasize about leveraging the added traffic the blog receives at the peak of the season into a belated comedy career, so their every comment is yet another unwelcome (and usually very lame) attempt at "humor". They become angry when reminded they should post something about tropical weather at least sometimes. Sycophantcasters - those who think the HennyYoungmancasters are the funniest thing ever, and thus post unlimited comments stating "Oh, [insert name of HennyYoungmancaster], you are the funniest thing ever, and the only reason I visit this blog". Nowcasters - Somewhat similar to east-, north-, west-, and southcasters, these are people who forecast based on a straight extrapolation of the current condition. For instance, if a storm weakens 10 knots between TWOs, the nowcaster will claim that the storm will vanish in just two days. Conversely, if a TS increases 10 knots between TWOs, they are convinced it will be a 200-knot monster in just three or four days. Ironycasters - those whose only comment is that people never post about tropical weather, even while they themselves never post about tropical weather. Grumpycasters - those whose every comment is to lament about how much better the site used to be when they were the only people on it. Member Since: 8 novembre 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 11142

10. Patrap 21:27 GMT le 28 Mars 2011
JB is @ WeatherBell now... Say it aint so Joe? Posted at 04:30 PM ET, 03/11/2011 Joe Bastardi hired by start-up firm WeatherBell By Jason Samenow Bastardi joins renowned forecaster Joseph D'Aleo Member Since: 3 juillet 2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244

11. jeffs713 21:30 GMT le 28 Mars 2011
Quoting Neapolitan: Excellent. ;-) But don't forget: Sourgrapecasters - those who, once a particular storm has no possible chance of striking their location, suddenly switch from being wishcasters to downcasters. HennyYoungmancasters - those who wish to leverage the added traffic the blog receives at the peak of the season into a comedy career, so their every comment is yet another unwelcome (and usually very lame) attempt at "humor". They become angry when reminded they should post something about tropical weather at least sometimes. Sycophantcasters - those who think the HennyYoungmancasters are the funniest thing ever, and thus post unlimited comments stating "Oh, [insert name of HennyYoungmancaster], you are the funniest thing ever, and the only reason I visit this blog". Nowcasters - Somewhat similar to east-, north-, west-, and southcasters, these are people who forecast based on a straight extrapolation of the current condition. For instance, if a storm weakens 10 knots between TWOs, the nowcaster will claim that the storm will vanish in just two days. Conversely, if a TS increases 10 knots between TWOs, they are convinced it will be a 200-knot monster in just three or four days. Ironycasters - those whose only comment is that people never post about tropical weather, while they themselves never post about tropical weather. Grumpycasters - those whose every comment is to lament about how much better the site used to be when they were the only people on it. OOOOH.... I will add some of these to the list! Member Since: 3 août 2008 Posts: 15 Comments: 5722

12. Midweststorm 21:40 GMT le 28 Mars 2011
Interesting list, and quite a fun read. Perhaps add one called Poofcasters- those that use the word way to much just to tell everyone they are putting someone on ignore. Just kidding, but it does get annoying. Dont forget the Blobcasters-those who call out every puff of cloud that has a drop of rain in it! (unless this specifically qualifies under other categories) Again, enjoyed the read! MWS Member Since: 5 août 2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 76

13. PlazaRed 21:58 GMT le 28 Mars 2011
Doubtcasters:- People who say they really believe that somewhere somebody is going to get hit but they doubt it will be anywhere near them, in case it annoys their neighbours or causes them to loose face at the garden party. Should their doubts prove to be confirmed they are praised and should 'they get hit' against all possible expressed doubts they can always claim disbelief! News-Casters:- ''Mist, these ones.'' People who normally haven't a clue and rely on people who have read too many books and listened to too many 'witnesses,' in bars, who claim to have information which is never first hand but might be correct. Normally these people are in big demand at social events for their deep and profound 'Knowledge,' plus their endless strings of 'connections?' Parrot-Casters:- People who pronounce phenomena dead without the ability to belive in 'resurrection!' Member Since: 21 janvier 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1442

14. Some1Has2BtheRookie 22:08 GMT le 28 Mars 2011
I rarely post during threats to land masses. I much prefer to lurk and learn during those times. However, let it be known, should the "land mass" be near me you can call me a "panic caster" - OMG! Duck! Run! Hide! How far to Ohio? Personal experiences: Alicia - without power for 3 weeks. I was one of the "lucky" ones to get power back "quick". Allison - Just made it home before that would have been impossible. Three days before the water receded enough for me to get to work. Rita - Lost my home when 1/3 of the roof was ripped off. Ike - I actually only lost three ridge row shingles and two other shingles. Without power for 6 days. Just imagine. Three of those names are now retired! Member Since: 24 août 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4102

15. sunlinepr 23:44 GMT le 28 Mars 2011
PumpingtheridgeCasters LeviCasters JeffMasterCasters ConusCasters GomCasters Member Since: 2 août 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8435

16. jeffs713 13:57 GMT le 29 Mars 2011
I added a few of Nea's to the list, thank you Neapolitan! Member Since: 3 août 2008 Posts: 15 Comments: 5722

17. GeorgiaStormz 15:57 GMT le 10 avril 2012
a year later Member Since: 11 février 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7036

18. jeffs713 13:27 GMT le 11 avril 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz: a year later The -casters still haven't changed. Their names have, but what they do will be forever fixed into our minds. Member Since: 3 août 2008 Posts: 15 Comments: 5722

19. PlazaRed 18:01 GMT le 08 septembre 2012
Thanks again Jeffs for that list, now 18 months later. Its cleared up a lot of terminology in the last few months. You should post the link to it again. Member Since: 21 janvier 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1442

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