Winter Storm Blog

By: TheDawnAwakening , 15:15 GMT le 07 janvier 2011

I will be leaving soon, so hopefully we all get one more great snowstorm before I leave for TX on Tuesday. Thank you for your prayers and for your thoughts. I appreciate it. I will back blogging when I can given that tech school asks a lot out of their airmen. I will do my best to keep you ahead of the next weather event after the next two months. Unfortunately it will be around spring time when that does happen, but regardless, we should have a couple more storms to track of significance. Stay tuned!

National Intellicast Radar Imagery

Regional Radar Intellicast imagery

HPC forecasted winter storm tracks


Current upper air analysis

Winter Weather to impact SNE tonight through Sunday:

00z and 06z model runs have come into better agreement on a potential winter storm sometime late Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning. Models differ on exact details but accumulating snowfall is possible for SE MA including Cape Cod and the Islands. Also there is an inverted trough that will begin developing once the arctic front stalls over or near NYC NWward into Albany, NY CWA. Western CT/MA/VT could see some 2-4" regionwide with 5"+ in the eastern slopes of the Berkshires. Right now it would appear SW CT/Long Island/SE NY up through Albany, NY could see accumulations near or exceed 6" if the inverted trough slows down some and begins to pivot. An offshore low passing to the east of Nantucket, MA this morning is bringing some light virga into the offshore coastal waters approaching Nantucket, MA this morning. These should not bring any snowfall to the region. Models indeed bring the inverted trough northeastward tonight through the day on Saturday, but weaken this trough as the lift weakens. Therefore regionwide NW of a BOS-PVD corridor expect snowfall around 1-3", isolated 4" possible in heavier banding, and about a coating to an inch southeast of this corridor. It is this corridor that is expected to see the best snows from the SAT afternoon through SUN morning storm. If latest trends continue I see no reason why this can't get any more intense then currently modeled. 12z NAM shows almost an all out blizzard for SE MA up through BOS. By the way the 00z GEM/RGEM showed the same thing the 12z NAM showed a potential raging but small blizzard for south coastal region of MA and RI. Stay tuned, this could get bigger and more intense in later runs as intense energetic vorticity max attempts to phase with the polar disturbance as they reach the Delmarva peninsula. There are questions with timing and potential phasing, but if trends show us anything lately the last 3 weeks, do not think the trend to the west is over just because most models have something out to sea, in fact this morning model runs are quite opposite, they are trending closer with this energy. We could have a raging snowstorm on our hands tomorrow afternoon.

Country National Hazards Map


Follow this link tomorrow night into Sunday, as this will help us determine where the third surface low tracks, latest 12z runs have this low very close to this buoy and the Benchmark.

Here is my Janaury 11-13th 2011 snowstorm map. I hope everyone stays safe and enjoys this snowstorm. Good luck everyone and depending on my schedule at tech school I will post as often as I can after mid March, thanks for all of the positive comments. It is only a two month hiatus, so it won't be that long. Thanks again, James.

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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13. TheDawnAwakening
16:53 GMT le 12 Mars 2011
I graduated basic military training here in San Antonio, TX. I am limited to what I can say, but I am on town pass now with my family and I will be able to post more often after Monday when I am in Virginia at technical training school for my air force job. Right now I need to stay out of trouble. I need some type of reports from that one major snowstorm.
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12. originalLT
14:34 GMT le 10 janvier 2011
Thank you, James! Larry T.
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11. breald
14:33 GMT le 10 janvier 2011
Thanks TDA. Good luck in Tx.
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10. TheDawnAwakening
02:51 GMT le 10 janvier 2011
Thanks Blizz, keep the blogs up to date.
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9. Zachary Labe
02:45 GMT le 10 janvier 2011
Good luck!
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8. TheDawnAwakening
01:50 GMT le 10 janvier 2011
Thank you for all the support, and hope for the continued prayers. Thanks again and hope to blog sometime in mid March, reasoning for the internet silence is that I am going to USAF basic traing. I will be going through rigorous training both physically and mentally. So again thanks for the support and hope for the continued prayers. Thanks.
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7. TheDawnAwakening
16:02 GMT le 09 janvier 2011
LT, I will in San Antonio, Tx or just outside of there, it will be in the upper 40s when I am there until Friday and then in the lower 70s next weekend. Can't wait, but kind of mad that I will miss a big storm.
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6. originalLT
15:45 GMT le 09 janvier 2011
Again , I wish you good luck and be safe. We will miss your input here at WU. I hope you will have a chance to check in every now and then, but I know Basic Training is very intense and exhausting. In what part of TX. will you be in? If I know that, at least I can check out what the weather is where you will be. Again , do well and be safe. LT
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5. TheDawnAwakening
15:11 GMT le 09 janvier 2011
Looks like my snowfall map was way overdone, maximum amounts were around 4" for Yarmouth, MA. This storm actually came too far east for everyone to benefit from this storm. It was quite intense, but mid level dry air stunted precipitation growth over the region for a good deal of the overnight. Unfortunately it started off warm as well. Here imby I ended up with around 4" of snow. Next week, around Tuesday night/Wednesday night snowstorm will miss me, because I will be leaving Logan on Tuesday afternoon. I don't expect any delays for my flight and I will likely leave then. I will miss just a monster of a storm, seen developing over TX today with a large squall line.
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4. TheDawnAwakening
18:15 GMT le 07 janvier 2011
Thanks LT, great advice.
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3. originalLT
17:59 GMT le 07 janvier 2011
You are welcome. A buddy of mine who was in the service had this advice: if the drill sargent asks for volunteers, don't volunteer for anything! We just had about half an hour or so of heavy snow, now that band is moving out. Snow is back down to light to mod. We've had about 3". Baro is down to 29.35"F
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2. TheDawnAwakening
16:37 GMT le 07 janvier 2011
Thanks LT. Thanks for the support. I hope all goes well when I am at basic training.
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1. originalLT
15:47 GMT le 07 janvier 2011
Thanks TDA, Snowing (light to mod.) here in Stamford, an area of mod. to heavier snow should be over me between 11AM and Noon. Had about an inch or so, so far. Baro. is 29.45"F
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